Archive for May 2017

Forum update

Posted on May 24th, 2017 in Surf Reports.

Forums are back online. Enjoy!


Back to minor after that burst of swell

Posted on May 24th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Swell’s faded dramatically overnight and this morning at 0730 set waves were struggling to make the waist high mark at Dee Why beach. It’s now too small to surf the point. Wind was a light NNW’ly and tide was dropping from the 1.66 m high at 0640. It’ll be back to low at 1240. The MHL buoy was showing 1.3 metres of 13s east swell as of 0600.
Outlook is for the the wind to be N to NW going SW in the late morning and picking up to 15-20kts. Swell according to the models is heading down another few notches over the next 24 hours. And thereafter it could be that we’re in for an extended period of marginal to near flat conditions for the next week – if the swell models have it right…
So get in if you have the chance and go well with your day!

Not totally flat at 0720

Crew at Kiddies pouncing on the possibilities

No takers at the point

Weather Situation
A low pressure trough is bringing a west to southwesterly change to southern and central parts of the New South Wales coast this morning, and will extend to the northern coast tonight. Behind the change, a high pressure system will drift across from the west to become the dominant feature in the region during Thursday and Friday, promoting a return to fairly light winds. The next trough and cold front are expected later on the weekend.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots, shifting west to southwesterly in the late morning, reaching 25 knots offshore.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.
Thursday 25 May
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower offshore.
Friday 26 May
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots turning south to southwesterly below 10 knots during the morning then becoming east to southeasterly during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Much smaller than yesterday but waves to be had

Posted on May 23rd, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Swell still going this morning, having dropped significantly in the last 24 hours. We still have a combo of NE and SE swell, sot there’s plenty of energy in the system. As of 0600 the MHL buoy was showing the dominant vector was two metres of 13 sec SE. Tide is dropping to a low at 1155 from a 1.6m high at 0545.
As the pictures show, there were lots of people on hand for the early session both at the point and along the beach. Set wave faces were head high to head and a bit. It seemed a bit setty, but I don’t think you’d call it inconsistent. Wind was out of the west early but it seems to have drifted around to the north as I write this (according to the RealSurf anemometer).
Outlook is for the energy to gradually fade across the day and by tomorrow be back into the knee to waist range – where it looks like staying for another week or so.
Get out there if you can and have a great Tuesday!

Still some solid ones at 0720

No Mans producing the odd interesting moment

Kiddies A frame

Point still going this morning

Lotsa folk in the water from early

Weather Situation
A strengthening high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is slowly moving east, bringing light southeast to northeasterly winds to the waters. Winds will gradually turn north to northwesterly during the remainder of today and Wednesday as a cold front approaches from the west. A southerly change associated with the cold front is then expected to develop on the south coast on Wednesday and reach the north coast on Thursday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northwesterly in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm this morning.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Wednesday 24 May
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning westerly in the late afternoon. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
30% chance of a shower in the morning. Sunny afternoon.
Thursday 25 May
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Thumping lines pouring in for the early

Posted on May 22nd, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Wind was light as two or so metres of 17 second SSE swell plus some smaller but similar long-period stuff from the NE lined into the beaches of Sydney this morning.
At Dee Why the point was close to maxxing on the bombs but the slightly smaller head and a bit stuff was looking pretty fun if you were in the right spot. Obviously not a day for beginners to be contemplating a surf.
Tide was high at 0445 and is currently dropping to low at 1110.
Should be partly cloudy all day and the wind should stay around the 10 kt mark but from the NE.
This morning’s swell models show the swell fading pretty quickly but still being fun size tomorrow morning. Right now Wednesday looks like maybe being waist and a bit in the morning but from the afternoon on through the weekend it currently looks ho-hum knee to waist dribble is most likely.
Have yourself a great Monday everyone!

Set fills in

Solid size on the bombs at 0740

Very consistent

Weather Situation
Weak southerly winds along the New South Wales coast will turn southeast to northeasterly today then north to northwesterly during Tuesday and Wednesday. A southerly change associated with a cold front is expected to develop on the south coast on Wednesday and reach the north coast on Thursday.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Southerly below 10 knots becoming east to northeasterly in the early afternoon.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower offshore, near zero chance elsewhere.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Tuesday 23 May
Winds
North to northeasterly below 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots early in the morning then tending north to northwesterly later in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers offshore, 50% chance elsewhere.
Wednesday 24 May
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning westerly 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Waves for Sunday morning

Posted on May 21st, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

First day back from my trip up north and whadya know, there are waves. The MHL buoy is showing 1.5 metres of 8-0 sec from the east, but there were definitely shoulder to head high wave faces at the point and up the beach – which is more than I’d have expected from the numbers. Crowd was a Sunday standard moderately busy. The Bureau says the wind’ll be relatively light and from the S-SW later. At 0730 it was out of the west.
Tide’s low at 1020 and then back to a 1.5m high at 1640. Weather should be partly cloudy with a high of 22. Water is generally clean according to beachwatch.
Outlook is for waves all day and tomorrow the models are telling us to expect a very long period (14-16 sec!) pulse from the SSE with light winds all day. The predictions are for the energy to still be rolling in on Tuesday and for the wind to again be light. It’s shaping to be smaller but not unsurfably so in the back half of the work week and through the weekend. Happy days!
Have a great Sunday everyone!

Set rolls into the point 0730

Set at the beach 0730

Lines at No Mans 0730


Forecast issued at 4:16 am EST on Sunday 21 May 2017.
Weather Situation
A low pressure trough has brought a weak southerly change along the New South Wales south coast which will reach Sydney Waters early today and the north coast overnight. Winds will turn north to northwesterly during Tuesday ahead of another southerly change associated with a cold front expected to develop Wednesday night.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers offshore, 30% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm this evening.
Monday 22 May
Winds
South to southeasterly about 10 knots becoming east to northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower at night.
Tuesday 23 May
Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then tending northerly during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.


Postcards from Crescent: you’re really not missing it

Posted on May 20th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

After a rainy night, Saturday morning dawned overcast and still. Unfortunately there’s only a very weak knee and a bit high east windswell lapping into Crescent Head. Four folk on standups were having a cut at it, but even with the leverage of paddles they were having a tough time catching and staying with the extremely soft and gutless wind lumps.
So, you’re missing nothing up this way.
And that’s curious because the MHL buoy data is showing 1.5 metres of generally E to ESE swell with 12 or so second periods. Definitely no 12 sec stuff around here.

Set wave crumbling to an end at Crescent Head 0640

Digging deep to catch it

The less than exciting scene at Crescent Head early this morning


Arrawarra postcards

Posted on May 19th, 2017 in Surf Reports.

Raining on and off as we head south. First sight of the ocean since Lennox
and the onshores are smashing the little bumps at Arrawarra as up north.
Impressively despite the conditions a couple of stalwarts were in the water
on very long boards. Points for getting the stoke happening!



TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on May 18th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast, Surf Reports.

Surf Forecast issued Thursday 18 May 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney  :

Well as we know, we live in an active part of the world for weather …variety is the spice of life… and surf conditions may be prone to change in a somewhat inconsistent manner, so here’s the outlook as she’s currently looking:

Medium to large surf all week, with extra large long period sets to surprise punters from time to time.  Keep your eyes ooen and watch the surf for a whike before you rush in. Not looking suitable for beginners on many days, especially with the shallow banks currently at places like Palmie and the Queenscliff to Manly stretch ..even at high tide there are strong rips in places and shallow water is where a lot of accidents happen…and as for rock fishermen…you’ll be safer at home on many days. Check the BoM warnings also from day to day.

Friday: in the 1-2 metre range East South East with bigger oomphier sets at places that get dead South swell

Saturday: 1-2 metre North East windswell

Sunday: 1-2 metre range East South East but with bigger sets from time to time

Monday: coming up around 2 metres or more South East with bigger sets

Tuesday: easing a bit 1-2 metre range South East with bigger sets

Wednesday: down more to say 1, 1+ metres East South East, with bigger sets from time to time

Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range at dead South spots.

Take care

TG

Water temp is very mild

Weather courtesy of BoM is here

www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/sydney.shtml

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.783,151.049,5

Tides

tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf


Postcards from Lennox

Posted on May 18th, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends,

What a contrast to yesterday’s glassy and sunny conditions. Lennox Head sees sloppy chest plus conditions this morning under grey skies. Wind was light but it’ll be around to the east later and that obviously won’t improve things. One of those situations when you’ve had really good waves the day before and it’s still sorta surfable but so mediocre that you really need to work at talking yourself into another go out. Or is it just me being an old guy? 🙂
Hope your day plays out well!

Blowing the top off one at Lennox Head 0810

Sloppy conditions this morning


Surf report

Posted on May 17th, 2017 in Surf Reports.

There were waves aplenty around lunchtime…with absurd midweek crowd
numbers to match…zoom in on the black dots in the water


 

Page optimized by WP Minify WordPress Plugin