Archive for July 2017

Curly and Dee Why flat too

Posted on July 31st, 2017 in At large.

Hello Friends
You can write off surfing this morning. It’s flat everywhere – and choppy.
The SW’ly should kick in this afternoon and by tomorrow be going strongly. At the same time this morning’s forecast from the Bureau confirms what the models have been saying for awhile now, namely that we should see a south pulse fill in tonight and be obvious tomorrow. It looks like being just short period stuff, so only the magnets are likely to see anything of interest — and they have to be friendly to the strong SW wind as well. The models show the swell staying around the 2 metre mark through Friday, but the average period doesn’t look likely to improve significantly. A mixed bag really and I’m not expecting all time conditions anywhere – just hoping it’ll be somewhat surfable somewhere.
Have a great Monday everyone!

Massive set wave at south Curly 0745


Weather Situation
As a cold front moves off the New South Wales coast today, a low pressure system will develop over the southwestern Tasman Sea. This low is expected to deepen later today before moving rapidly east away from the coast tonight and through Tuesday. A vigorous south to southwesterly change will extend along the coast as the low moves offshore. Winds will gradually ease later on Tuesday and through Wednesday as a weak high pressure system briefly develops across the state. An inland trough and low pressure system are forecast to move across the state on Thursday, reaching coastal waters by Thursday evening.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Gale Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning. Winds shifting wets to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the afternoon, and reaching up to 35 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of rain and the chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning.
Tuesday 1 August
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots, tending south to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 3 metres during the morning, then tending south to southeasterly 3 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers offshore, 20% chance elsewhere.
Wednesday 2 August
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.


Flat in Manly

Posted on July 31st, 2017 in Surf Reports.

red sky in the morning…

Micro at Queenscliff


Rest day

Posted on July 30th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Yesterday’s early pulse started fading pretty quickly and overnight it’s now dropped to less than a metre from the SE and the NNW isn’t adding anything useful to the equation.
It looks from this morning’s models as though we’ll have to wait until Tuesday for the energy levels to improve again. At this stage the prospects are for short period fairly straight south windswell from that point on through the end of the week.
It’s been a pretty consistent winter, but wave forecast charts like this morning’s remind us that the spring doldrums are getting closer.
Have yourself a great Sunday everyone!

No sign of a wave this morning at Dee Why

Weather Situation
Freshening north to northwesterly winds along the New South Wales coast today ahead of a cold front that will bring a weak southerly change to the south coast late tonight or early on Monday. As the front moves offshore a low pressure system will develop over the southwestern Tasman Sea later on Monday, sending a more vigorous south to southwesterly change along the coast. The low will move rapidly east away from the coast on Tuesday and winds are expected to ease.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Becoming cloudy. 30% chance of a shower offshore late this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere.
Monday 31 July
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending northwest to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots early in the morning then shifting west to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm from the late morning.
Tuesday 1 August
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending southerly 20 to 25 knots during the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 4 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.


Swell at selected spots this morning

Posted on July 29th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Most places were too small to surf this morning when I did the daybreak check for my Saturday radio report. But there were solid chest high sets hitting Northy and along the middle stretch of Dee Why beach. Yesterday evening when I was down at Dee Why it was flat but in just the last 6 hours, it’s jumped up to the 2 metre mark from the south at 9 seconds apart. Tide was low at 0640 and is back to a 1.4m high at 1300. Wind was light NW as the day started and it should pick up a little as it gets warmer.

Outlook is for the swell to fade out across the day and then it looks like we’re stuck with very tiny to near flat conditions as all the swell energy stays out to sea over the next few days. However, if this morning’s forecast models have it right we could see a fresh south pulse from around midday Tuesday through to Wednesday evening… here’s hoping!

Have a top old Saturday everyone.

 

 

Mal waves along the rocks at first light

Shutty-downy but ok size at No Mans

Activity near the Pole at 0700

Nice line but too small to surf at south Narrabeen

Hello sun…

Sets hitting at Northy 0650

Weather Situation

A weak ridge of high pressure will slowly drift across the state today, as a cold front approaches from the Bight. Winds will turn northerly over the weekend ahead of this front, which is forecast to bring a southerly change to southern coastal areas from late on Sunday. A low pressure system looks likely to develop over the western Tasman Sea at the start of the new week.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northwesterly in the middle of the day, then increasing to 15 to 20 knots by evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by evening.
Weather
Sunny.

Sunday 30 July

Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.

Monday 31 July

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then turning west to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of rain.

Much smaller

Posted on July 28th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Although swell was showing 1.5 metres of 12 sec energy from the SE at 0500 and tide was low at 0600 and is now heading into a high of 1.45m at 1215, Yesterday’s shoulder to head high sets are all gone. Wind was out of the WNW at 5-10 kts just after 0900 and it’s due to pick up and go west to SW by the time high tide arrives. Grabbed a few pics on my Manly run this morning. Curly was bigger than Dee Why but just as lully and inconsistent and generally weak. Dee Why was only just barely into the surfable range.

Bomb set at Curly 0900

Curly a bit bigger than Dee Why but slow and weak

Fat and tiny little peaks near No Mans

Dee Why

Getting the most out of a tiny peak near the pole at 0900

Not a patch on yesterday at this time when there were 30 people in the water chasing head high plus sets

Weather Situation
A cold front is crossing eastern New South Wales today, with northerly winds shifting gusty west to southwesterly in its wake. A new high will drift across the state’s north later today and Saturday, with winds again turning northerly on the weekend ahead of the next cold front, which is forecast to affect coastal areas at the start of the new week.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots, shifting west to southwesterly in the middle of the day and reaching 30 knots offshore during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the day.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm this morning.
Saturday 29 July
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning north to northwesterly in the late morning or afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.
Sunday 30 July
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on July 27th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 27 July 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

We’ve had some good conditions this week and some days of pleasant surf.  It popped up again today with the MHL buoy showing peaks of 3-7 metres  before dropping back to 2-4 metres dead South at sea later today.

Weather forecast is for continuing offshore conditions till Sunday, then southerlies Monday to Thursday.

Surf outlook is for waves of some sort for the week ahead~~~~~~~~~~~~

Friday: down from today, in the 1-2 metre range at places that like dead South swell, with some little sets, and getting knocked down thru the day by windy offshore wind, before coming up a little later at dead South places

Saturday: down to around 1-1+ metres dead South places

Sunday: small waves, 1 metre or less, for Heidi to have a little paddle on her birthday 🙂

Monday: smaller, with a little teasing pulse from the SE from time to time

Tuesday: might be up a little say 1-1+ or into 1-2 metre rnage at dead South places if a Low expected to form Monday off the South Coast tracks as currently expected, but who can say for sure

Wednesday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places (ditto)

Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range South East, before turning North East later from the wind.

Have fun! But keep your eyes open, especially if you’re in the water early in the morning, or late in the evening (neither of which has become a good idea these days, unless you’re happy to be mistaken for something else) see below

TG.

From Wednesday:

Surf club: At around 5:20pm the restaurant manager alerted ABSLSC and the Club rang the shark alarm. The 8 or so surfers that were still out at South Av and the 2 at North Av all paddled in on the next waves. An onlooker on the beach ran up to the restaurant to raise the alarm.
This is the 3rd report of a Great White at Little Av we’ve been told recently.

From: Dorsal Shark Reports – Australia

Public Shark Report: NSW – SYDNEY – LITTLE AVALON. 17:20, 26 Jul 17, 2m, Great White, Sighting from shore, Liv and Emma were sitting on the rocks, watching their friend who was surfing, when they saw a great white shark breach just behind him. They were able to see the white belly and mouth of the shark.

The girls urgently called their friend in to shore who confirmed seeing something darting around underneath him but assumed it was a dolphin. Onlookers also saw the shark.

Thanks for the report Liv and Emma!

In the Sky

Look at all those squiggly lines, going round in circles ~~~~~~~~~~~~what can they mean?? TG’s Handy Guide for You: The Hs mean Happy days for the weather… The Ls can mean possibly Large wind and surf when it goes the right way.

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jul 27 06:00:00 2017 AUTC

And aint this purdy to look at>>>>

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jul 27 08:30:00 2017

Wind

https://www.windy.com/?-33.900,151.200,5

In the Sea

Water temp is slowly creeping down… now around 18-19

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

Weather from The Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 11:50 am to 12:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Friday 28 July

Summary
Min 10
Max 21
Possible morning shower. Windy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h shifting west to southwesterly 30 to 45 km/h during the morning then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

 

Saturday 29 July

Summary
Min 7
Max 21
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of frost in the outer west in the early morning. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn.

Sun protection recommended from 11:20 am to 1:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 30 July

Summary
Min 12
Max 26
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds northwesterly 25 to 35 km/h becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 11:10 am to 1:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 31 July

Summary
Min 13
Max 20
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming northeast to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then tending southeast to southwesterly during the evening.

Tuesday 1 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 18
Possible morning shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Slight (20%) chance of a shower during the morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Winds southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h tending southerly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 2 August

Summary
Min 7
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Medium (40%) chance of showers later in the day. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Thursday 3 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the day.


Wave machine on again

Posted on July 27th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Huey’s dialed it up again overnight and this morning sees 3.5 metres of 10-sec SSE swell piling into Sydney’s beaches. At Dee Why there was a fairly constant supply of chest plus waves which were mixed in with 1.5-2x overhead sets. Wind was a light westerly as of 0730. It’s expected to go around to the S-SW before switching to the NE late this afternoon. Tide was low at 0515 and is currently running into a 1.5m high at 1120. It should be sunny all day too.
Outlook is for the swell to fade pretty quickly today and by tomorrow we could be back to smallish tomorrow and getting near flat by Sunday.
Looks like the plan is to hit it asap!
Have a great Thursday and know your limits…

Consistent at 0715

Heaps of waves up the beach – if you can get out

Thumping sets at 0715

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over southeastern Australia with a ridge to the northeast is very slowly moving east and a series of cold fronts are crossing the southern Tasman Sea. Southwesterly winds along the New South Wales coast will turn west northwesterly during Thursday nigh and Friday as the high moves over the Tasman Sea strengthening the ridge to the northwest.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds shifting northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon then tending northerly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Caution
Surf conditions in the morning may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Friday 28 July
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots turning west to southwesterly in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Saturday 29 July
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting northerly during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.


Gallery from Tuesday evening at Dee Why

Posted on July 26th, 2017 in Top stories.

A selection of snaps taken just before dark on Tuesday. There were 30 people in the water at the point and the swell was fading, but every now and then a solid set would roll through and some lucky and or well positioned surfer(s) would score. Click any picture to visit the entire gallery.

DY point gallery

Empty up the beach

Standup

Inside peeler from the gallery

Stepping on the gas


Looking good

Posted on July 26th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Fun shoulder high sets lining into the point at 0700 – and mostly shutting down along the beach. Tide was coming into the 1035 1.5m high. Wind was going pretty hard. At North Head it was WMW 18-24 kts. The forecast says it’ll gradually go more W to SW this morning – but it won’t lighten up. The MHL buoy was recording 1.7m of 15-sec SSE swell.
The Bureau says this morning’s pulse will fade back to smaller again as the day goes along. So, the plan is to hit it early – or wait for tomorrow when we could well have a rinse and a repeat as the swell spikes again overnight and then fades back in the afternoon.
A quick glance at the long range forecasts this morning shows a fair degree of alignment about next week’s prospects. They’re pretty much all calling for a 2-3m south pulse ramping up around Tuesday and lasting into the following weekend. Who knows if it’ll actually play out that way, but it’s still nice to have it on the cards.
Have a great Wednesday everybody!

Brisk offshores and clean lines at 0710

Beach hosting lots of shutdowns

Consistent and clean at 0710

Weather Situation
A persistent ridge of high pressure lies over northern New South Wales as a series of cold fronts moves through the southern parts of the state during Wednesday and Friday. This pattern will direct northwest to southwesterly winds over New South Wales Waters, with winds tending fresh to strong in the south with the passage of fronts.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northwesterly 20 to 25 knots turning west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the late morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.
Caution
Surf conditions in the morning may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Thursday 27 July
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 25 knots tending south to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots before dawn then becoming variable about 10 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower offshore, near zero chance elsewhere.
Friday 28 July
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Longy midday

Posted on July 25th, 2017 in Surf Reports.

Jumped in at 1030 to see if I could snag any long period sets at the zombies. They were there but lulls were very long so only had five waves. Still a couple were head and a bit and ran at least 100m so well worth the effort. Wind was chilly but water stupid warm for this time if year.


 

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