The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted by: on March 1st, 2018

Surf forecast issued Thursday 1 March 2018:

Seven day outlook for Sydney:

I can’t resist starting with the Bureau’s summary of the:

Weather Situation
A vigorous southerly change has moved along the southern and central coast overnight, and is forecast to reach the far north coast by this evening. Following this change, a weak high pressure ridge will extend across New South Wales waters as a high pressure system slowly moves from the Bight to the Tasman Sea by the weekend. Winds will turn north to northeasterly during Saturday as this high moves over the Tasman Sea, ahead of another southerly change expected on the south coast on Sunday morning.

It certainly was “Vigorous” at our place when it came through in the very early nighttime hours, blowing things around the bedroom. I remember hearing this and noticing that it made my wife get up and close the window!

The waves were small to nothing first thing this morning, but came up later at places open to dead South, along with the wind, which made it very unattractive to hmm….everyone.

The outlook as you can see is for more chopping and changing of winds,  so don’t expect too much in the way of surf…

Friday: down from this arvo, around the middle of the 1-2 metre range at dead South places, with wind, and very little elsewhere

Saturday: down more, say 1 metre or less South East

Sunday: ditto East South East/South

Monday: around 1 metre East North East, then starting to come up later from SE with the wind

Tuesday: around the middle of the 1-2 metre range East South East/ South, possibly with some sets

Wednesday: down low end of the 1-2metre range South East

Thursday: around 1 metre or so South East

Friday: ditto

Enjoy!

TG

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Mar  1 04:30:00 2018

MSLP Analysis for Thu Mar  1 00:00:00 2018 AUTC

Wind

https://www.windy.com/?-33.883,151.167,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 23, 24.

image

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h tending southerly 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Friday 2 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 25
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower near the coast in the morning and early afternoon. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly in the late morning and early afternoon.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

 

Saturday 3 March

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Sunday 4 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 28
Shower or two developing.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the morning then tending south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 5 March

Summary
Min 21
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the outer west. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Tuesday 6 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 24
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h turning southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 7 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Winds southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Thursday 8 March

Summary
Min 19
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

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