A steady NE wind, overcast skies dropping the occasional drop of rain but only a feeble and scrappy little SSE-NE combo swell making itself felt along the beaches this morning. The MHL buoy was seeing 1.7 m at 10 seconds, but I didn’t see too many wave faces in that range when I checked conditions around 0730. Tide wasn’t a big issue as the 0740 peak is a modest 1.3 m. It’ll be back to a lowish 0.48 m at 1315. Water temp has dropped to 16°C.
Wind should pick up later in the day, while the swell seems unlikely to improve in any respect.
According to most of the models, outlook for the week ahead is not red hot for Sun-Tue but Weds-Thr looks hopeful on a couple of the predictions.
Have a top old Saturday!
A high pressure system lies over the western Tasman Sea whilst a low pressure system and associated trough lie over the far northwest of the state. North to northeasterly winds will freshen as the low moves east this weekend. Late on Sunday winds are forecast to turn southerly along the southern half as the trough moves into the Tasman Sea. Southerly winds are then expected to extend along the coast during Monday as a complex low pressure system forms over the Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
- North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning northerly during the day.
- 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
- Southeasterly around 1 metre.
- Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Sunday 26 August
- Northerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late morning. Winds shifting west to southwesterly in the evening.
- 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
- Southerly around 1 metre.
- Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the early morning.
Monday 27 August
- West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending south to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
- 1 to 2 metres.
- Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
- Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.