Archive for February 2020

Sydney Saturday Surf Report

Posted on February 29th, 2020 in At large.

Happy leap day… last official day of Summer!  Hasn’t it been a beauty… fires, floods, storms, you name it.

Today though is fab.  The sun is out the sky is blue … in the south just a cloud or two…

Swell offshore according to the MHL buoy is in the 1.8 – 3 metre range from South South East with periods of 6 – just under 10 seconds.

Waves at the beach are in the 1-2 metre range depending on which way the beach faces.  Water surface is still a bit ruffled from yesterday’s wind, so quality is varying from beach to beach.

Tide was low at 6:36 and is coming in, but it’s still a bit shallow at places.  Might be best around mid tide.

Wind at the moment is delightfully calm to light on the coast, but the Bureau is forecasting winds to turn East later, so best to get to the beach before the waves get too wind affected.

Water quality has improved a lot.. There is still some weed and driftwood debris on some beaches but councils are gradually getting around to cleaning up. Water temp is a very pleasant 22, 23.

All in all… not a bad one…

Have fun!


Sydney south spots the go, swell swelling in SoCal

Posted on February 29th, 2020 in Postcard.

Hello Friends,
After coming up yesterday, the swell looks to be around where it was yesterday evening. Height at sea as of 0600 was 1.4m with a period of about 9 seconds. It was coming mainly from the SSE. I’d say waist to chest at magnets on mid-tide will be the go.
Wind early was light SW, but the BoM marine forecast (see below) says it’ll swing SE and then work around to the NE this afternoon. Low tide is 0640 and high is 1240. Should be a warm, partly cloudy day. Beachwatch says water is 24C. Umm, toasty.
Swell perked up yesterday afternoon here in the Santa Barbara area. Most exposures were calf to knee and a bit, but Sands was seeing waist to chest on sets. It’s up again this morning, so I’ll be heading out on a surf hunt in a couple of hours. Might have a pic or two to share (I hope!)
Here’s Sands yesterday at dusk…

Lines coming into Sands late afternoon


Sydney looking small to tiny, Cali same

Posted on February 28th, 2020 in Postcard.

Hello Friends,
When the buoy data is showing a metre at 6 seconds from the SSE, you know it’s going to be tiny to unsurfable in Sydney this morning. The morning SSW wind might be okay in a sideshoreish way if there were waves, but there aren’t. So, I’d say you have a rest day – just like here in Southern California.
I’ve grabbed a couple of snaps from Surfline cameras for you today. The first was taken an hour or so down at Ventura where the wind is unseasonably warm and offshore, but as you can see it’s only catchable on the longest boards…

Micro lines in Ventura

The second picture is from Santa Cruz’s Steamer Lane where there are chest to shoulder high waves every now and then. Too bad it’s 6 hours drive from here… and the water’s about 12-13C.

Lotsa bods chasing sets at The Lane

Weather Situation
A ridge of high pressure extends along the New South Wales coast in the wake of a cold front which moves through the northern waters this afternoon. Little change to this pattern is expected with southeast to northeasterly winds predominating along the coast for the coming days. Later on the weekend or during the new week, there is the potential for a coastal trough to extend from the Coral Sea into the New South Wales northern waters.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late morning and afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Saturday 29 February
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Sunday 1 March
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on February 27th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 27 February 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

There was an uptick of the surf this morning after the strong southerly change that came through last night, into the 1-2 metre SE, which has been gradually easing back through the day. Starting out cloudy it turned into a beautiful warm blue sky day, and after the breeze swung to the North East there were a lot of takers for the waves on offer.

Conditions in the water have been improving and the Bureau says the outlook is for generally light, though variable, winds and the weather looks like being similar to today’s.

The Surf outlook is for moderate to smaller and variable waves, but it looks like there will be waves of sorts all week… some days being more dependent on the tides than others for a decent wave.  But all and all.. not too bad.

Friday: easing back from today and with a bit of south in it, so say around 1 metre or so South East/South

Saturday: up a little – somewhere in the 1-2 metre range South/South East

Sunday: down a little to around 1 metre or so South East, with some East

Monday: 1 metre or so East

Tuesday: up a little into the 1-2 metre range South East/South

Wednesday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range East South East

Thursday: similar or maybe up a little tick.

Be flexible, be agile, keep on your toes, and you should bag a wave or two.

Have fun.

TG

Up in the Air

A TC and a couple of Lows up far north are expected to give the inland north and centre a bit of a soak

Latest Colour Mean Sea-Level Pressure Analysis and Infrared Greyscale Satellite

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 22 out off Sydney, but nearshore it was warm as a bath yesterday

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Friday 28 February

Summary
Min 18
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Possible morning mist in the west. Light winds becoming southerly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending southeasterly in the early afternoon.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Mostly sunny. Sydney 18 25
Mostly sunny. Penrith 15 28
Mostly sunny. Liverpool 15 27
Mostly sunny. Terrey Hills 16 24
Mostly sunny. Richmond 15 28
Mostly sunny. Parramatta 15 26
Mostly sunny. Campbelltown 14 26
Mostly sunny. Bondi 19 23

Saturday 29 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a light shower, most likely during the morning. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Sunday 1 March

Summary
Min 19
Max 28
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light during the morning then becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Monday 2 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 3 March

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 4 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Thursday 5 March

Summary
Min 21
Max 28
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Light winds.


Little in Sydney, littler in Cali

Posted on February 27th, 2020 in Postcard.

Hello Friends,

Looks as though Sydney surf is going to be on the marginal side today. Skies are set to be mostly cloudy and wind early was SE. Not a bad day to miss out if you have to. If you’re desperate, figure on waist high on the best ones.

Was hoping for a wave today in Cali, but while the weather is perfect, yesterday’s little pulse is all gone and once again it’s flat in my bit of Southern California. Hoping for another bump in a couple of days…

Sandspit in Santa Barbara (surfline pic)

Califronia Street microness

Weather Situation
A trough is bringing a southerly change to the northern waters today, while a ridge of high pressure extends along the New South Wales coast in its wake. Little change to this pattern is expected with southeast to northeasterly winds predominating along the coast for the coming days. Later on the weekend or during the new week, there is the potential for a coastal trough to extend from the Coral Sea into the N
ew South Wales northern waters.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming southeasterly below 10 knots in the late morning, then turning north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Winds locally reaching 20 knots inshore in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Mostly cloudy.
Friday 28 February
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting south to south to southwester 15 to 20 knots in the morning, then turning southeasterly in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Saturday 29 February
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly below 10 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Clean little lines……

Posted on February 26th, 2020 in Surf Reports.

Clean little lines on the northern beaches this morning. Perfect morning for a swim or a slide on something with some volume. Early will be best.

{CAPTION}

Sent from my iPhone


Carpinteria salt marsh

Posted on February 25th, 2020 in Postcard.

Hello Friends,
No waves here today, and not looking exceptional in Sydney either. although at least looks like you might be able to get a knee high bump at the better exposures.

My brother needed to do some work on a climate data gathering site at Carpinteria this morning, so I grabbed my camera and tagged along. The Natural Reserve in question is one of the few coastal wetlands in southern California, so I hoped to get a few bird pictures.

Interestingly though, the first thing I photographed was a sizable gathering of sharks in the main channel from the sea. There were easily 50 of the 1-1.5 metre critters hugging the shallow bottom as they looked for their main prey, shellfish.

Tidal estuary crowded with little sharks in Carpinteria

Birdwise, it was relatively quiet, but I managed to find a few subjects…

Osprey, Carpinteria, CA

Egret

On the hunt…


Lovely Mona morning………

Posted on February 25th, 2020 in Surf Reports.

Very nice conditions to start the day at Mona Vale this morning. Warm water, waist high waves and light northerly wind. What’s not to like? Incoming tide won’t help but there should be small fun waves all morning.

{CAPTION}

Mona morning hues….

{CAPTION}

Sent from my iPhone


Cali sunshine and very small

Posted on February 23rd, 2020 in Postcards.

Hello Friends,
Swell in Sydney looks to have cogged down a notch during the nighttime hours and as of 0600 was 1.5 metres from the SE at 9 seconds apart. So if you got waves yesterday, go back there again today and you should still get a little something.

Continues to be very small in southern California. Today’s pic is from the California Street Surfline cam in Ventura. C-Street is a swell magnet, so when it’s small there, it’s likely small every where. It’s a pretty day here though

California Street. (Surfline screenshot)

 
Weather Situation
A high pressure system in the Bight is extending a ridge to the Tasman Sea, while a trough of low pressure lies over inland New South Wales. The high is expected to slowly drift eastwards during the next few days, maintaining a ridge along the coast. The next significant change looks set to arrive during the middle of the coming week.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 24 February
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots. Winds reaching up to 20 knots inshore during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 25 February
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Well, Warriewood’s whiffy……

Posted on February 22nd, 2020 in Surf Reports.

Message from Sydney Water this morning:

“Partially treated discharge at Warriewood at 11:10 22-02-2020”

Enter at own risk.

{CAPTION}

Sent from my iPhone