Articles tagged with "18C"

Home again and waves too but still very cold

Posted by: on July 19th, 2015

Hello Friends,

After a 2.5 day stopover in Waikiki on the way back to Oz, your correspondent has returned to regular reporting duties once more.
(It was just about flat on the south shore, but I did rent a mal for an hour and managed to catch something at Threes, where there were only four others in the water. I last surfed it as a raw beginner 46 years ago.)
Although the forecast is calling for 15-20 kts south-SE wind later, it was still offshore at 0830 when I grabbed today’s snaps of the 3 metre 11-sec SE swell from the RealSurf crows nest.
We’re going to a high of 16 today. There’s a 70% chance of more showers too. Tide was low at 0420.
A few thoughts about the outlook on the other side of the pics…

dy beach wave

Empty peak up the beach about 0820


1.
dy bodyboarding

Bodyboarder in the slot at the point


2.
dy point lined up with waves

Consistent supply of sets at the point this morning


3.
From this morning’s swell models it appears that we should have waves again tomorrow, although the Bureau is calling for east to SE wind. Swell should decline today though and tomorrow could see it maintain the downward trend toward marginal to just surfable conditions for later this week. Long range outlook is for small through to the middle of next week when we may see another little winter pulse come up for Tuesday-ish.
Have yourself a great day one and all!

Thursday morning firing up

Posted by: on October 16th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Short version: at 0700 there were heaps of waves at Dee Why with solidly overhead sets being pretty common. Quality wasn’t too bad either thanks to light west breezes and a low tide at 0845. The MHL buoy was showing 4.5 metres of 13-14 sec S-SSE swell as of 0400.

Swell is expected to drop steadily today, but it’s not going to go away entirely.

Wind will be shifting to the E-NE around lunchtime, so this morning is clearly going to offer the widest range of choices.

Outlook is for the swell to continue to fade and be back to small tomorrow when S-SE wind will make a mess of most places from early.

Have a great Thursday one and all!

surfing dy beach

Beachy pretty active at 0700

surfing at dee why beach

Very consistent along the beach this morning

dee why point surfing

Longer wait for the sets at the point

dee why point surfing

The point gets going on Thrs morning

Weather Situation
A relatively weak cold front is expected to reach the South Coast late Thursday then move along the remainder of the coast during Friday with a fresh southeasterly change associated. A high pressure system is forecast to develop over coastal NSW later Friday and early Saturday then move over the Tasman Sea. Another, somewhat stronger southerly change may reach the South Coast late Sunday.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting east to northeasterly in the early afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2.5 to 4 metres, decreasing to 2 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the morning are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Friday 17 October
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots early in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Saturday 18 October
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the day then becoming east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Pumping Monday

Posted by: on September 22nd, 2014

Hello Friends,

Very consistent and solidly overhead on sets this morning at Dee Why. The point was well attended, the more demanding beach less so. It wasn’t super clean when I first checked it at 0715, but that wouldn’t have put me off had I been able to join the crew in the water. Swell was 2.5 metres at 13 seconds from 155 degrees – and the point really likes that combo. Wind was light from the WSW and tide was high at 0700. The conditions may not persist for long though because the Bureau says the wind should go lightly onshore soon and the swell is expected to peak this morning. Tomorrow it could well be only waist high. And then the models show it being puny until Friday. So go, go, go!

 

climate action protest sydney

Sydney kicks off an international day of climate action.

surfer dee why beach

This one ran a long way

surfing dee why point

Heaps of waves at the point

dee why point surfing

The point of course

surfer at dee why point

Another very fun looking one rolls through the joint

Weather Situation

A large, strong high is centred over Victoria and will be the dominant feature in our region for the early part of the new week, moving into the Tasman Sea today then slowly further east tomorrow with light southerly winds tending east to northeasterly. Northeast winds are expected to freshen along most of the coast during Wednesday as the next trough approaches. The trough and a southerly change is likely to cross southern and central parts of the coast during Thursday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to northeast late in the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.

Tuesday 23 September

Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.

Wednesday 24 September

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 25 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.

Waves for Sunday morning

Posted by: on September 21st, 2014

Hello Friends,

The SSE swell’s picked up overnight and as of 0800 was averaging 2.5 metres at close to 13 seconds apart. It looked a bit lumpy at 0830, but the healthy crowd in the water at the point and along the beach at Dee Why were scoring fun shoulder to head high waves with the odd head plus bomb making things interesting.

Wind was WSW to SSW at around 10 kts as the day got started. Tide was high at 0620 and the Bureau says the wind should go south to SE but not to pick up much more and then it should fade toward dusk.

Swell should hold through the day and into tomorrow morning and with luck the southerly will be around the same strength as it was today. There might be a few little things on Tuesday morning, but from the afternoon through to Thursday night is currently looking marginal at best. It’s kinda far away, but some of the models are showing another little south pulse  for Friday-Saturday.

I’m off to join fellow Sydneysiders at Bicentennial Park, Glebe a noon today as we participate with others in 130 countries around the world to let our leaders know that we want serious action at next week’s UN Climate Change Summit in New York. Foreign Minister Bishop will be representing Australia (Mr Abbott will be in NY a day later, but will not attend). Australians will be turning out for hundreds of local events around the country and in all the capital cities. Many politicians and industrialists would like us all to be quiet and to go away. But we won’t because when it comes to climate change, there is no “away”.

surfing dee why point

This one turned out well

dee why beach surf

Reasonably consistent for the crew at 0830

surfing dee why point

Fun inside section

Weather Situation

A complex low pressure system lies near New Zealand, while a large, strong high is centred near southwestern Victoria. This high will be the dominant feature in our region over the next few days as it drifts slowly east, maintaining a southwest to southeasterly wind flow along the New South Wales coast today, gradually tending east to northeasterly Monday/Tuesday. Northeast winds are expected to freshen along most of the coast during Wednesday as the next trough approaches from the west.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the late afternoon/evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Caution
Deceptively powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Monday 22 September

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.

Tuesday 23 September

Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.

Nice looking lines

Posted by: on September 17th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Had to be out and about earlier this morning and had a look at Curly and Dee Why. Swell looked clean, but small and relatively weak, plus the wind was really starting to pick up. Anyway, grabbed a few snaps at Curly so’s you could get an idea…

south curl curl beach

The floaty-ier the board, the better

Tells the story really. Clean, strong offshores, but weak

Tells the story really. Clean, strong offshores, but weak

North Curl Curl

North Curly set goes untaken @0900

Breezy offshore morning under bright skies with a little 12-second SSE pulse. It was about 1.3 metres at sea as of 0600 and certainly when I grabbed the pictures an hour later, that’s about what it looked like. Weirdly there were only a couple of SUP riders up the beach catching the odd chest high set. The point looked to be around that size on the same set, but there wasn’t anyone in the water to do something with it. The Bureau says this little pulse should fade by lunch time. Tide was low at 0720, so at least there’ll be an incoming push for the next few hours.

The modelling tells us that we should be heading into a run of swell that could last right through the weekend. Nothing huge, but it should definitely be surfable particularly in the mornings when the wind and tide combo is best. The long range forecasts for next week are not fabulous. In fact, they’re pretty ordinary. So, I’d be shifting the schedule around across the next four days…

Have a top old day!

dee why point

No one in the water

Stand-up surfer at Dee Why

Definitely rideable

Weather Situation
A relatively weak low pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a trough northwards off the NSW coast. The low is expected to move slowly to the southeast and intensify during Wednesday while a cold front moves northeast from the Southern Ocean clipping far southeast NSW later in the day. Fresh to strong southwest winds are expected for southern and central waters on this day. Another cold front or trough is likely to pass near southeast NSW on Thursday and Friday, and combined with a slow moving high south of Adelaide, is likely to bring fresh to strong southwest to southerly winds to the southern half of the coast. A southerly swell is also expected to increase late in the week.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day then becoming westerly 15 to 20 knots in the evening. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres around midday, then increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Thursday 18 September
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds turning southerly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then decreasing to 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Friday 19 September
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.

Faded and fading but not flat

Posted by: on July 12th, 2014

Hello Friends,

A lovely 5 degrees at 0700 when I climbed aloft for my first look at the sea today. It wasn’t detering a hardy band of keen types from getting amongst the fading south swell down at Dee Why though. There were a few bods sitting hopefully at the point, but that looked to be maybe thigh high on the best of ’em. The beach was more the go. Shutting down quite a bit of course, but at least some of the set wave faces were still into the chest high range.

First tide of the day is a high at 0750.

Outlook is for the odd isolated shower to develop later, but it should be sunny and westerly before then. Swell is mainly out of the south and registering around the 1.5 metre mark with an average period of 10 seconds. Water out where the buoy is shows a temp of 18C, but inshore where we surf, your mileage may vary as they say.

The rain, if we get any, will be arriving with a wind change to the S-SW late. Tomorrow morning should be strong southerly, so I reckon it might be a sleep-in sort of day. Sunday swell not shaping to be too interesting. The odd lumpy bit in the waist to chest range in the teeth of the wind, but elsewhere I reckon it’s likely to be marginal.

The southerlies look set to continue into Monday and to go more SE in the evening. Some of the forecast models predict an uptick in the swell, so possibly protected corners could get something. The Bureau is less hopeful though. It says south swell fading for Monday’s outlook.

The remainder of the week seems to be lining up with the Goat’s predictions.

Have yourself a great Saturday and keep on smilin’!

Skirting the rocks before 0700

Skirting the rocks before 0700

Weather Situation

A weakening high pressure system lies over northern New South Wales. A cold front will bring a strong south to southwesterly change to the southern and central coasts today, reaching the north coast tomorrow morning. A low is likely to develop on the front over the Central Tasman Sea tomorrow and in conjunction with a strong high south of the Bight is expected to produced further fresh to strong winds along the NSW coast. The high is expected to move east during Sunday and Monday, to be situated over southeast NSW Monday night, then over the southern Tasman on Tuesday night with winds moderating and tending more easterly during this period.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots turning south to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the late afternoon/evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Swell
South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly below 1 metre during the morning.

Sunday 13 July

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southerly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots early in the morning.
Seas
2.5 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.

Monday 14 July

Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots turning east to southeasterly below 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the evening.
Looking okay for a mal

Looking okay for a mal

Sharing the Saturday morning surfin' love

Sharing the Saturday morning surfin’ love

Another morning of fun waves everywhere

Posted by: on July 11th, 2014

Hello Friends,

As of 0600 the swell was 2.5 metres at 13.8 seconds from 165 degrees (SE). Set wave faces at Dee Why beach and the point were overhead by a bit, but it didn’t look quite as big as this time yesterday. A healthy crowd was on it by the time I snapped my first pics for the day at around 0740.

The Bureau tells us the swell will fade as the day goes along, however it’ll be offshore and sunny, so I’d say you’d get something whenever you’re able to get to the beach today.

I’ll be heading out with the camera soon, so expect another tranche of pictures later!

Here are links to the galleries from yesterday: Dee Why point mid-morning (193 pics), and North Narrabeen midday (449 pics)

Have a great one, from what the Goat says there’s more to come in the next week!

Solid head high plus faces on the bombs though.

Solid head high plus faces on the bombs though.

0740 and busy in the water

0740 and busy in the water

The crowd's was keeping busy with the bombs.

The crowd’s was keeping busy with the bombs.

Weather Situation

A low pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is moving steadily east, while a high pressure ridge over central Australia pushes into New South Wales. This ridge will be short-lived, however, as the next cold front will bring a gusty southwesterly change to the coast later Saturday. Behind this front another, stronger, high pressure system is expected to become the dominant synoptic feature in the region from Sunday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots offshore in the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing below 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, tending southerly around dawn.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the morning are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Saturday 12 July

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots turning south to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon, reaching 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres by evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.

Sunday 13 July

Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, tending about 1.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.

One of the great days

Posted by: on July 10th, 2014

Hello Friends,

I’m rating it at 9/10 for the early sesh at Dee Why this morning. Maybe 10/10.

As of 0600 the MHL Sydney buoy was registering 2.3 metres from the ESE at a touch under 15 seconds apart. Set wave faces – as the pictures show – are well overhead at Dee Why point. The beachy seemed unoccupied (gee, I wonder why). Tide was high at 0600, so it’ll be back to low at 1150.

Wind is offshore and set to stay that way. As of 0800 it was 10-15 kts from the WNW to NW, but the Bureau says it’ll be more westerly and 20-30 kts later.

According to the forecasts the swell will drop overnight and swing more to the SE. But, it should still be pretty reasonable for tomorrow morning at least.

I’m still on the sidelines, but I’ll go take pictures at the point this morning, so wave hi if you see me!

Have a great day everyone.

Wild scenes at Dee Why

Wild scenes at Dee Why

Wave after wave for the early

Wave after wave for the early

Tasty looking Dee Why point @0745

Tasty looking Dee Why point @0745

Meaty looking section slabs over

Meaty looking section slabs over

Weather Situation
A complex low pressure system near Tasmania is moving steadily east, with an associated cold front crossing New South Wales. This system is bringing vigorous winds to much of the coast, which should ease by Friday as the low moves further away and a high pressure ridge extends across from the west. This ridge will be short-lived, however, as another cold front is expected to cross the region during Saturday.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Gale Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots, reaching 35 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres by evening.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Friday 11 July
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots in the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres, tending southerly before dawn.
Saturday 12 July
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots turning south to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.

You gotta be keen

Posted by: on July 9th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Just a couple of images to share of the front as it approached toward dusk. Ocean pretty torn up and sideshore but a little line seemed to be showing as we finished up.

Change in the weather...

Change in the weather…


How it looked on the radar.

How it looked on the radar.

Not a great deal going on at Dee Why this morning. As of 0700, we had just under a metre of 9-sec ESE swell showing on the Sydney MHL buoy. It’s about half a metre bigger and more east down at the Eden buoy and the Bureau is now warning of large surf tomorrow as the swell goes southerly and builds. Today might see a little increase over the afternoon, but we’re due to have 20-30kts of N-NW wind by lunchtime and that will build to 25-35 kts later. At Dee Why the biggest wave faces I saw when I first checked this morning were struggling to make knee high. Next tide is a low at 1000.

This morning’s swell modelling efforts are lining up with the Bureau to predict nearly 2 metres of 12-13 sec ESE swell for tomorrow. The energy should stick around through Friday before fading back to marginal for 24 hours or so before coming back up for another potentially fun sesh on Sunday. And, they very long range prognostications look interesting for late next week. A huge “maybe” on that one of course.

Go well with your Wednesday everybody!

Not a great deal going on at 0800

Not a great deal going on at 0800

Weather Situation

A weak high over southeast Queensland extends a ridge southward over northeastern NSW. The high and ridge will weaken further and move east today as a strong cold front crosses NSW. The front is expected to reach the southern coast Wednesday afternoon and the northern coast during the evening or at night. North to northwest winds will strengthen ahead of the front before a gusty, strong to gale force west to northwesterly change. A low pressure system associated with the front is expected to pass to the south of the state on Thursday, maintaining strong to gale force winds for most waters, particularly southern and central parts. Winds will ease for Friday as a weak ridge develops over NSW. A moderate easterly swell is expected to reach the NSW coast Wednesday night or Thursday, resulting from a deep, slow moving low pressure system currently just northwest of New Zealand.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Gale Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots late morning or afternoon then turning west to northwesterly at 25 to 35 knots in the early evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon/evening.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore around midday.

Thursday 10 July

Gale Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Westerly 25 to 35 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres during the afternoon, then decreasing to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly 2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Friday 11 July

Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the day.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres, tending southerly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.

Please be awareWind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

 

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