Hello Friends,

Swell was still happening this morning. The settings are not much changed from yesterday. It’s still east at a couple metres, but the period has bumped up a touch to 11 seconds. Wind was light early, but the southerly was already chewing into spots south of Sydney as of 0700, so it’ll be here before much longer.

Tide hit high at 0700 and will be back to low at 1340.

It looks as though this is the peak of the swell energy for us this week, but then again, the swell model riffing this morning generally points to a steady supply of surfable size conditions – but with so-so to ordinary wind settings.

Gotta run to see if I can get a snap or two before it all goes pear-shaped and the dull grey skies return…

Weather Situation
A trough bringing a southerly change to the southern and central coasts this morning is linked to a low pressure system south of Tasman, while a second low lies over the central Tasman Sea. The trough is expected to remain over the northeast of the state during the next few days, while a slow-moving high near Western Australia extends a ridge to the east. Later in the week the trough is expected to deepen and move west.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly 5 to 10 knots shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots in the morning then tending south to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres increasing up to 3 metres by midday.
Swell
Easterly 2 metres.
Tuesday 7 February
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning southeasterly during the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 3 metres.
Wednesday 8 February
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.

Hello Friends,

Somewhat bumpy from a light SE’r as Saturday kicked off. Tide was low at 0630 and the 2 metre swell was coming from the SE at around 11 seconds apart. That’s juicy enough to be delivering solidly overhead wave faces at Dee Why point. Our generally featureless banks are shutting down on the bigger ones and anywhere with exposure to the SE will have been bumpy from the get-go.

It’s very likely that the swell is at, or near peak size and from here on, it gradually decreases into a week of marginal – but with any luck – not totally flat conditions.

So get on it while you can!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southwestern Tasman Sea is very slowly moving south-southeast maintaining a ridge to New South Wales north coast. A low pressure trough is expected to bring southerly change to the south coast later on Monday extending to the far north coast during Tuesday evening.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 5 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres.
Sunday 18 December
Winds
Easterly 5 to 10 knots tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots by early evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Monday 19 December
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre.

Hello Friends,

Solid and relatively clean looking south swell for the early risers this Wednesday. Set wave faces were 1.5x overhead and it looked pretty consistent at around 0730. A crew were on it at Dee Why point and there were a few scattered in the beachy. But the largely featureless banks are making the latter less than attractive.

The MHL buoy is showing the average swell height at sea to be around the 2.5 metre mark. As importantly, the average period has climbed from 7 seconds yesterday at this time to close to 9 seconds. There should be any number of surf options around Sydney today based on those numbers.

The southerly is set to be 15-25 kts this morning but it should fade back a little into the 10-20 kt range.

One consideration for most spots is the big high tide at 1020. It’ll drop pretty quickly though because the 1700 low is only 0.3m.

We’re supposed to have sunny periods (there was one when I wrote this) too.

From the shape of this morning’s swell forecast model riffing, we should have morning surf sessions through to Saturday, but the peak size is going to be around midday for Sydney on current reckoning.

Get out there if you can and have yourself a good one!

Weather Situation
A low pressure system over the central Tasman Sea is moving to the southeast, while a high south of the Bight extends a ridge towards New South Wales. The high will slowly drift east during the next day or two, with a ridge strengthening along the Australian east coast. During this time a broad trough of low pressure is expected to develop across the northwest of the state. The trough may deepen during the weekend as an upper-level feature approaches, although it’s movement is likely to be restricted by the high lingering over the Tasman Sea through to early next week. This very slow-moving pattern will see a shift to warmer northeasterly winds along most of the coast during the weekend.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots easing to 10 to 20 knots by the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore in the afternoon and evening.
Thursday 15 December
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly up to 10 knots later in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Friday 16 December
Winds
Becoming east to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly about 2 metres.

Hello Friends,

As anticipated, the swell has perked up. The height at sea hasn’t changed much – it’s still averaging around the two metre mark – but the power setting has jumped significantly, with average periods now around 10 seconds. Plus, there’s some 15 second stuff in amongst it. And, the direction now has a touch more east to it As a consequence the solid Sunday crew are being served up some pretty interesting surf options. Sets are into the head high plus range and the wind was light at 0830.

Outlook is for the swell to stick around all day, although the models show it backing off a touch. The wind should be SW. There’s an 80 percent chance of some rain, although it was holding off when I checked it at around 0815.

Latest wave model predicitions are pointing to small for tomorrow morning but from Tuesday onward, we could get back into reasonable energy levels as a strong east pulse develops and potentially lasts through to Friday.

Despite the grey skies, I plan to get out and about with the camera so with any luck, I’ll have another gallery to share later… say hi if you see me!

Have yourself a great Sunday.

TIDES: L @1130 H @1800

Weather Situation
A high centered near Adelaide will move eastwards over the next few days, with a ridge stretching from Victoria to the New Zealand. A trough is expected to deepen along the NSW coast on Sunday and early next week.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds: East to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending southeast to southwesterly around midday. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres. The chance of thunderstorms. Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.

Forecast for Monday
Winds: Southeasterly 5 to 15 knots. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly 1.5 metres. The chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.

Forecast for Tuesday
Winds: East to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots. Seas: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: Southeasterly 1.5 to 3 metres. The chance of thunderstorms.