It was a good morning to be hitting it early. Glassy conditions prevailed and although the tide was close to the 0705 low when I checked it out, the waves weren’t anything like as horrifically crunchy as yesterday afternoon. The Bureau says the wind should stay light this morning and the models have the swell sticking around but weakening gradually. The MHL buoy was picking up both SE and NE components, but the SE was dominant at about 1.5 metres at 9 seconds. As the pictures show, that means folks were getting waist to chest and even a touch bigger on the bombs at the exposed spots. For Dee Why there were waves from the point to a little north of the pole (Longy appeared to be largely missing out) around at Collaroy-Narrabeen, you needed to be looking from the Marquesas north to the alley. Not too many peaks that I could see, so the main action and crowd was at Northy. The plan is to get out there now because it looks like this morning could be as good as it gets for the next few days… Have a great Saturday! BTW just posted a video minute of what I was seeing around 0645 at Dee Why.
Fun little grinder at south Narrabeen 0630
Waist to chest up for the Northy crew
Driving takeoff at Dee Why beach @0645
Rights and lefts on tap for the lucky early crew at DY
Smaller, less consistent but fun too at the point
Weather Situation A low pressure system west of Tasmania extends a front to western Bass Straight. Ahead of this system, generally north to northeasterly winds will prevail along the coast for the next day. The low is expected to develop into a more complex system and slowly move over southeast Australia during the weekend and then over the Tasman Sea on Monday. Several small scale centres and troughs are likely to develop within this complex, some over New South Wales Coastal Waters. There is considerable uncertainty regarding the position of these small scale features, which will have a significant influence on wind speed and direction, though winds aren’t generally expected to be strong in their vicinity. Forecast for Saturday until midnight Winds Northwest to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning then becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon. Seas Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening. 1st Swell Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres. 2nd Swell Southeasterly around 1 metre. Weather Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Sunday 31 January Winds North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots before dawn then becoming north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late evening. Seas 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon. 1st Swell Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday. 2nd Swell Southeasterly around 1 metre. Weather Mostly sunny. 40% chance of showers offshore, 20% chance elsewhere. Monday 1 February Winds West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending west to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then becoming variable about 10 knots during the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning. 1st Swell Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore. 2nd Swell Southeasterly around 1 metre. Weather Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.
This morning sees scrappy, messy but not flat conditions at Dee Why. Fair number of people in the dodgy looking water and Dee Why itself is in full Australia Day mode under partly sunny skies. However, the forecast is showing a 60% chance of rain. Swell is still out of the east at about 1.5 metres. Average period has slipped just below the 10-second mark, so the bomb sets today will probably be more like the sets of yesterday. At Dee Why it’s looking like knee to chest with the odd plus. Tide’s full as we head to the high at 1040 this morning. Wind is set to be 10-15 kts from the east to NE today. Outlook is for the wind to stick to this pattern more or less for the next couple of days and the swell models show the energy levels bouncing around the 10-sec mark with wave heights dropping a bit tomorrow and coming up a bit again on Thursday. How was that rain last night? Got a good look at the dramatic consequences because it caught me on the road home. Drove from Balgowlah to Collaroy at about 40 kph. I mention it because an hour or so later my phone peeped to tell me that there was a partially treated wastewater discharge event at Warriewood at 0100 Australia Day. Water is “likely to be polluted” from Newport to Collaroy and dodgy along the Dee Why to Narrabeen stretch. But apparently it’s okay everywhere else in Sydney. Have a great Australia Day one and all.
Australia Day festivities in full swing
Snagging one on the inside at Dee Why
Junky but catchable along the beach at 0815
Weather Situation A high pressure system passing to the south of Tasmania today extends a ridge along the New South Wales coast, while a low pressure trough lies over the state’s west. Southeast to northeasterly winds will turn more northerly during Wednesday and Thursday as the coastal ridge weakens and the inland trough shifts east. This trough may affect some coastal parts at the end of the week before decaying, although another trough looks set to affect the region during the weekend. Forecast for Tuesday until midnight Winds East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore. Weather Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. Wednesday 27 January Winds Easterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Seas Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning. Swell Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore. Weather Cloudy. 20% chance of a shower. Thursday 28 January Winds North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots. Seas 1 to 2 metres. Swell Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore. Weather Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.
I love it when this happens. Last night I went shooting up at North Narrabeen. There were definitely a few quality sections (gallery up later), but it was very wind swelly, ie, close together, not super punchy and tending to fade away after running a short distance. I figured it’d be half the size and marginal this morning, but at least where Dee Why’s concerned, there are some fun looking chest plus sets coming in. According to the MHL buoy, we had east wind swell of 1.5 metres with a 9 second period at the last analysis at 0300.
The forecast from the Bureau says we can expect the waves to gradually fade back to waist toward evening and then it looks as though that’s where it’ll stay give or take for a few days.
High tide was at 0705 and will be back to low at 1300 when the NE’r is supposed to be up.
The usual story then, morning sesh looks the best shot.
Have yourself a top old Wednesday and if you haven’t taken care of your pledge to the crowdfunding drive, then why not take care of it today? We’re halfway there with a touch over a month to go!
Forecast issued at 4:10 am EST on Wednesday 18 September 2013. Weather Situation A low pressure system centred over the far southern New South Wales coast weakening and moving slowly southwards. During Wednesday another trough will move through New South Wales, generating fresh and gusty winds along much of the coast. During this time, a weak high pressure system is forecast to develop over South Australia before drifting east during Thursday and Friday, bringing a return to generally lighter winds towards the end of the week. Forecast for Wednesday until midnight Winds Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending northwest to northeasterly 10 to 20 knots in the early afternoon then tending west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the late evening. Seas 1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon, then increasing to 1 to 2 metres later in the evening. Swell Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening. Weather The chance of thunderstorms during this evening. Thursday 19 September Winds Westerly 15 to 25 knots. Seas 1 to 2 metres. Swell Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening. Friday 20 September Winds Westerly 15 to 25 knots tending southwesterly during the evening. Seas 1 to 2 metres. Swell South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Autumn is coming… another morning with light offshores and a modest, but surfable mainly east swell of around 1.5 metres at about 9 seconds apart. Best time to be in the water looks like being this morning before the NE’r kicks in at around 10-15 kts. Tide is high at 0930 and will be low around 1545.
Outlook is for the waves to basically bump along more or less as they have for the rest of the work week. The Bureau says we could see SW wind by Thursday, and from Friday through to Sunday is showing some potential from this morning’s swell forecast modelling. Not as optimistic as yesterday’s call, but not bad. Could have some solid east swell with favourable winds for Saturday. And it’ll be even better up the coast toward the border. That comp on the goldy could finish with a bang…
Have yourself a great Tuesday everyone!
Forecast for the rest of Tuesday Max 27Partly cloudy.Chance of any rain: 20% Rainfall amount: 0 mm Sydney area Partly cloudy, with the chance of morning showers near the coast. Early fog patches in the west. Winds north to northeasterly and light increasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the afternoon. Weather Situation A slow-moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards New South Wales, maintaining a warm east to northeasterly airstream along the coast. The high is expected to weaken during the next day or two as a cold front, currently near Western Australia, moves steadily east. This system is forecast to bring a southerly change to the southern New South Wales coast later Wednesday, weakening as it moves to the north on Thursday. Forecast for Tuesday until midnight Winds Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Easterly about 1.5 metres. Wednesday 13 March Winds North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening. Swell Easterly 1 metre. Thursday 14 March Winds Northerly 15 to 20 knots tending southwest to southeast 15 to 20 knots inshore by the afternoon. Seas 1 to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the morning. Swell Easterly about 1.5 metres. Weather The chance of thunderstorms from midday.
Wind was out of the NNE at around 10 kts around 0800 this morning. Swell was out of the east at around 1.5 metres with a period of about 9 seconds.
No one was visible in the water at Dee Why, although it did look as though there was enough size to at least be occasionally catchable – albeit pretty bumpy and junky. Semi-protected north corners again today I’d say. Especially as the wind is due to ramp up into the 20-25 kt range. Tide will be high at 1005 and low at 1620. Weather will be mainly cloudy.
Lots of wind in our future according to the forecast, but tomorrow the Bureau is showing northerlies in the morning. That could mean a reasonable wind and swell combo (although the tide will be full) for the morning sesh. Weather outlook is for rain developing with the odd thunderstorm. It won’t last much beyond noon though because that’s when the Bureau expects the southerly to arrive in Sydney. Thereafter it looks as though we’re in for lots of wind. There is some hope that protected corners might possibly have a little something because swell should be out of the east and on Sunday the period may stretch out to help the cause. But the wind forecast says we’ve got another week at least of onshores from one direction or another most of the time.
Have yourself a top old Wednesday!
Here’s a snap of Gardens from about 0815…
Weather Situation A strong high near New Zealand extends a ridge to New South Wales north coast. The high will direct a dominating northeasterly airstream towards the coast today. A cold front is expected to bring a southerly change to the far south coast early Thursday extending to the central coast during Thursday. Forecast for Wednesday until midnight Winds Northeasterly 20 to 25 knots turning northerly in the afternoon. Seas 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell Easterly about 1.5 metres. Thursday 28 February Winds Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots in the early afternoon. Seas 1.5 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening. Swell Easterly about 1.5 metres. Weather Isolated thunderstorms. Friday 1 March Winds South to southeasterly 25 to 30 knots. Seas 3 metres. Swell Easterly about 2 metres.
Swell was inbound as I wrote this, but judging from the foam off to the east of the point at Dee Why, there are probably a few forerunner sets around the joint. The Bureau says the swell will be out of the east at a couple metres for the next 48+ hours. At 0400 the MHL swell spectra chart was showing all the energy coming from the SE, but up north at Byron it’s dead east with an average period of nearly 13 seconds. Bet the Pass and Broken are pretty fun…
Tide is dropping until just ahead of the end of the world at about 1000.
Annoying about the wind forecast which is currently 10-15 kts SE swinging E-NE late.
Outlook is for the onshores to be a factor right through the projected life of the swell. Ah well.
Get out there and enjoy!
Weather Situation A cold front and associated southerly change is moving to the northern coast tonight, where it is expected to weaken and stall during Friday. Following the front a high pressure system is expected to drift across southeast Austral during Friday, reaching the Tasman Sea during Saturday. This high will direct east to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast through the weekend, with the next significant southerly change expected early in the new week. Forecast for Friday until midnight Winds Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly in the evening. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Easterly 2 metres. Weather Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore. Saturday 22 December Winds East to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Easterly 2 metres. Weather Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore. Sunday 23 December Winds Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the day. Seas Up to 1.5 metres. Swell Easterly about 2 metres decreasing to 1 metre during the evening. Weather Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.
We have a pretty similar set up to yesterday morning, ie swell out of the east and light winds delivering smooth surface conditions on a still dropping tide. Being a Saturday, lots of folk were in the water from first light. With wave faces ranging from waist high on the little ones to shoulder high on the bombs at exposed spots, conditions are perfect for a fun little session – and big crowds.
According to the Bureau, you can wander down to the beach whenever it suits as conditions are set to stay like this pretty much all day. And, the tidal range isn’t going to change much either.
Tomorrow morning looks like a case of rinse and repeat. So really no excuses, you should get a wave this weekend!
Weather Situation A high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards the northern New South Wales coast, maintaining southeast to northeast winds along much of the coast. This ridge will remain the dominant feature until the next southerly change reaches the south during Sunday. Forecast for Saturday until midnight Winds Variable below 10 knots, becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Easterly 1.5 metres. Sunday 1 April Winds Variable below 10 knots. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Easterly 1.5 metres. Monday 2 April Winds South to southeasterly below 10 knots. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Easterly 1.5 metres.
It picked up a touch yesterday afternoon and this morning sees about 1.5 metres of 9 second period east swell coming in. At Dee Why that means rather lumpy and sectiony waist to chest high plus conditions for the earlier risers.
Wind was light early, but the forecast is calling for southerly tending SE later. The good thing is that although coming from an unhelpful direction, the wind is expected to stay in the 10-15 kt range through the day.
I’m liking the look of the Goat’s forecast for the next week too.
Go well with your Friday!
TIDES: L @0840, H @1440
Weather Situation A high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards the northern New South Wales coast, maintaining east to northeasterly winds along much of the coast. A trough of low pressure on the central coast is expected to weaken today. By later Friday the ridge will reassert itself as the dominant feature until the next southerly change reaches the south during Sunday. Forecast for Friday until midnight Winds Southerly 10 to 15 knots, tending southeasterly 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Easterly 1.5 metres. Weather Isolated thunderstorms. Saturday 31 March Winds Variable below 10 knots. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Easterly 1.5 metres. Sunday 1 April Winds North to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming light during the morning then tending southeasterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Easterly 1.5 metres.
If you were in the water at North Narrabeen whilst I was shooting late Friday morning, it is highly likely I caught a few of your moves. Conditions weren’t huge, but there were some very fun and crunchy sets and although the crowd was healthy, it was reasonably consistent. As usual if you want to get a high res version without my watermark, just double -click on the pic and look for the add to cart link (which shows you the prices/sizes).
Northy was picking up the east swell Thursday morning. Got there maybe an hour before the wind started taking it apart. Quite crowded but I stuck around because my mate the legendary Tom Kirsop was out in the lineup and I wanted to see if I could get a pic of him. Being 80 and on the other side of a couple hip operations, he takes his time picking ’em. In the end I got a few of shots of him – plus about a hundred of everybody else who was in the water between about 0900 and 1000. I reckon if you got a right, I got a shot! Check ’em out…
North Narrabeen 8 April 2010 (am) – Images by Don Norris All pictures for sale at very reasonable prices! Just click on the image you want and you will be taken to the gallery site where you’ll find an “Add to cart” option top left. Click that and you can buy and immediately download the picture.
In due course it turned pretty sideshore, so I pulled up stakes and headed for the desk to get some magazine work knocked over.
By the way, here’s a shot of Tom on one of the bomb sets…