Articles tagged with "E-1m-6s"

Nothin’… again

Posted by: on March 10th, 2014

Hello Friends,

The Sydney buoy’s still out of action, so no objective numbers for you this morning. However, it’s pretty obvious that nothing much of interest is going on wavewise in Sydney. It doesn’t look as though there’s anything much above thigh high at Dee Why.

There is no obvious reason to expect any immediate change in the conditions. As they’ve been showing for over a week now, the swell models are telling us that there won’t be much of anything for Sydney surfers until the end of the week.

The forecast models are again showing the swell beginning to pick up overnight on Thursday with Friday currently looking as though we could get waist plus to maybe shoulderish at the east and NE magnet spots. The peak energy is forecast to fill in Saturday and from then through to Mon-Tuesday, the models show conditions being overhead to double overhead at east spots.

Clear the decks folks, this looks like it could happen. The big question will be what the wind gets up to. Right now the call from the Bureau is for north to NW wind across the weekend.

We shall see what we shall see!

Nice morning for a paddle, but don't get your hopes up

Nice morning for a paddle, but don’t get your hopes up

Weather Situation
A high slow-moving pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge along New South Wales coast. Later on Wednesday, a cold front is expected to bring southerly change to the south extending to the far north coast and weakening Thursday afternoon.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
East to northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms, contracting offshore in the afternoon.
Tuesday 11 March
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, tending easterly 1 to 1.5 metres around dawn.
Wednesday 12 March
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.

Sunny, how weird and little waves too

Posted by: on February 20th, 2014

From this afternoon (@4)

Small crew messing about in tiny Northy bumps @ 4pm

Small crew messing about in tiny Northy bumps @ 4pm


Hello Friends,

A warm and sunny day coming up with light, SW-WSW wind early. There’s only the barest hint of east wind swell showing on the latest MHL directional spectra chart from 0400 and Dee Why is unsurprisingly very small and inconsistent looking. That said, as the pic shows, there are a few waist high set wave faces to be had for the early. I’d expect it to be a touch better at the more east-favouring spots.

The Bureau says the wind should stay favourable for this morning before coming around to onshore by lunch time. The Bureau’s swell modelling is projecting waning swell today, so the plan appears to be go now or wait until tomorrow when we should get a repeat of the favourable morning winds and an increasing south swell.

Following the rain, Beachwatch is warning of possible pollution from North Curly to Manly, across the eastern suburbs, and from south Cronulla to Sandshoes.

General outlook for Sydney seems to be for another week of small, but not flat conditions and beyond that the projections are for more of the same into early March.

Have yourself a great Thursday everybody, and stay happy!

Tides: L @0625, H @1130

Rare set ran quite a way at 0730.

Rare set ran quite a way at 0730.

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Thursday 20 February 2014.
Weather Situation
A deepening low is centred near Tasmania, with an associated trough of low pressure bringing a west to southwesterly change to central parts of the New South Wales this morning. This trough will progress northwards over the next 24 hours, expected to reach the far northern overnight. Behind this, a strengthening high pressure system south of WA is forecast to extend a ridge across southeast Australia during Friday and Saturday, before a new high develops over the western Tasman Sea later on the weekend.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots, locally reaching 20 knots, shifting east to southeasterly in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Friday 21 February
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning southeasterly during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore by evening.
Saturday 22 February
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.

Sticky: Microscopic morning

Posted by: on October 10th, 2013

Early…
Searching for waves
Later…
South Narrabeen

Hot morning
Hello Friends,

I wonder how we’ll go with the crowdfunding today… the countdown’s begun and I’m still wondering if Don’s Surf Party will be a wake or a celebration. Speaking of which, said wrap party is by invitation only, so you have to pledge something to get on the list. At this stage I’ve organised a muso, some fresh footage from Tim Bonython’s upcoming ASMF, some pretty boards to bid on from the forum’s Joshua Dowling and local hero Mike Psillakis, there’ll be a nice chunk of my rarely seen 1977 footage (MP at Kirra, Winki and in the Stubbies semi against Rabbit, etc), and finally, 702 ABC’s Simon Marnie has kindly offered to help with mic duties.

Okay, surf report time…

Sunny, scary hot (this used to be spring time), blasting NW winds and barely a metre of 6 second period east wind swell add up to not much in the way of surf prospects.

A stiff southerly change is set to come through this evening and tomorrow morning it should be dialling back as it heads to a late afternoon NE change. The Bureau expects a southerly swell to start filling in from around midday. A bit uncertain on how well this will all work, but my hunch is we’ll see mostly scrappy conditions but that there might be some amusement in north corners with the right banks. It should be better than today’s prospects anyway!

Have yourself a top old Thursday everyone!

Tide will be high at 1150 and low at 1835.

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Thursday 10 October 2013.
Weather Situation
A slow moving high pressure system is centred over the southern Coral Sea. The winds along New South Wales coast will increase today ahead of a strong and gusty southerly change developing on the south coast in the afternoon or evening. This change is expected to extend to the central coast overnight Thursday and to the far north coast on Friday morning.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Strong wind warning for Thursday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending north to northwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the middle of the day then shifting southerly 25 to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
East to northeasterly below 1 metre.
Friday 11 October
Strong wind warning for Friday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots early in the morning then shifting north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
2.5 to 3 metres, decreasing below 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, tending northeast to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres around dawn, then tending southerly 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
Saturday 12 October
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.

Sticky: Going nowhere this morning

Posted by: on October 1st, 2013

Where are ya swell?
Hello Friends,
Grey skies over Sydney this morning with gusty north to NW winds and only the barest trickle of short period east wind swell. Although a single, hopeful surfer was on duty out in front of the DYSLSC, I could see no evidence of anything actually catchable coming in. The ocean is pretty choppy and the metre of east wind swell is only 6 seconds apart.

The wind is set to go around to the SW late. Not that it matters all that much as there is no sign of an improvement to the swell energy settings. This morning’s swell prediction model interpretations and the Bureau’s meteye forecast are telling us that it’ll be pretty much like this through to Thursday afternoon late, when a brisk SW wind change could be accompanied by a very brief straight south pulse. From what I can see, the energy from that pulse will peak during the night hours leaving us with our best shot on Friday morning for the early.

The lull happens to suit me personally because I’ve got a new edition of Photo Review Australia to get rounded up and headed in the right direction. And I’ve gotta keep chasing hard on the crowdfunding effort because we’re still adrift of the target and we’re getting down to the last weeks. Tell you what, it’d be a fine thing if you could dive in and sort your pledge today!

Have yourself a top old Tuesday and get up to some good where you can!

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EST on Tuesday 1 October 2013.
Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will move slowly to the east over the next few days. Strong to gale force north to northwesterly flow is developing ahead of a cold front which will move across New South Wales today, with winds shifting to west southwesterly along the southern and central coast by this evening. A second, weaker front is expected to follow late Wednesday/Thursday. Another high pressure ridge is then expected to develop across southeastern Australia on Thursday/Friday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Strong wind warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
North to northwesterly 25 to 30 knots shifting west to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore during this afternoon and evening.
Wednesday 2 October
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots turning northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southeast to southwesterly around 1 metre during the morning.
Thursday 3 October
Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning south to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre, tending southerly 1 to 2 metres during the evening.

Sticky: Grey skies and micro waves

Posted by: on September 24th, 2013

Caught one!
Hello Friends,

Tuesday starts under grey skies but worse, it also begins pretty much as it left off yesterday, ie with almost no wave energy. The Sydney direction spectra is showing only a faint wash of light blue showing from the easterly quarters. The average height at sea is about a metre and the period is a fluffy 6 seconds.

As the picture illustrates, these conditions are producing set waves at around the knee high level if you happened to be in the water at Dee Why around 0700.

From the shape of the swell forecasts this morning, it would seem we’re facing another three days or so of this at most places. There could be a little mixed south and east pulse on Friday, so I’m cautiously hopeful of a wave. But until then… well, let’s just say that I’ll keep checking and reporting as always!

After a long period of the sales luffing in a faint breeze, we had a really good day on the crowdfunding front yesterday. A huge thanks to each and every one of you who has pledged over the last month and welcome aboard to yesterday’s newest pledgers.

We’re still well short of the goal and we have a month to get there, but whether we hit or not, I’ve decided that the only reasonable response is to have a party. I’m calling it Don’s Surf Party: celebration or wake (we’ll cross out the word that does not apply!).
You’re invited so long as you do one little thing… yep, you know what I’m sayin’… to get an invite you’ll need to be a pledger. Our venue will be Deck Bar in Dee Why and while I’ve just started working on the evening’s program, I can tell you there’ll definitely be some fresh footage from Tim Bonython and I’ll be sharing some of my 1977 16mm film of MP, Rabbit, Terry Fitz, etc. Should be a board auction or three as well. We’re going to be upstairs, so places are limited. Get in now to avoid disappointment!

Have yourself a great day and keep on smilin’ through!

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EST on Tuesday 24 September 2013.
Weather Situation
A high pressure ridge over the Tasman Sea is weakening and a low pressure trough proceeded by increasing northerly winds will cross New South Wales coast during Tuesday. Another, stronger trough is expected to cross during Thursday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Strong wind warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 25 to 30 knots in the morning then tending northwest to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre, tending northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
Wednesday 25 September
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots before dawn then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Thursday 26 September
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.

Scorcher day and no surf

Posted by: on January 8th, 2013

Hello Friends,

The Bureau says we could set a record high today, but there’s only the faintest of east wind swells lapping lightly into Sydney’s beaches this morning. The MHL buoy is showing about a metre at 6 seconds apart. Down at Dee Why around 0800 it was maybe knee high on the bomb sets. There were a few folks bobbing about in the water, but I didn’t see them moving shoreward under wave power.

Meanwhile, it was 34 down at Wollongong before 0800, so the heat will be here all too soon.

Surf outlook on the models this morning is for nothing today but just maybe a little south swell action could come our way Wednesday-Thursday. Of course there’s likely to be a fair amount of southerly with it…

Stay hydrated everyone!

From the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Tuesday
SummaryMax 43Very Hot. Mostly sunny.Chance of any rain: 10%Rainfall amount: 0 mm
Sydney area
Mostly sunny. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming hot and gusty westerly 25 to 40 km/h in the late morning then tending northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the evening ahead of a late coastal southerly change 25 to 35 km/h.
Fire Danger – Extreme
UV Alert from 8:50 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

0700 microness

Grey Thursday and very small

Posted by: on November 15th, 2012

Hello Friends,

Another cloudy, occasionally drizzly morning in Sydney. An incoming tide isn’t helping the weak and tiny east wind swell either. It’s only about 6 seconds apart, so I’m not overly hopeful about any significant improvement today. Plus, the wind’s supposed to gradually settle to the SE and that won’t be a positive change to the surf prospects.

I’ll be interested to see what the Goat has to say, but from my reading of the various riffs on the WAM data, we’re not looking at much of any real improvement to our prospects until early next week. And even then, it currently looks like just a small uptick.

Oh well, what can ya do? On with Thursday everyone!

TIDE: H @0845 L @1535

Weather Situation
A trough extends into New South Wales from a low over Western Australia, while a high pressure ridge lies to the south of the country. As the high strengthens this afternoon a southerly change will move into the South Coast. This change will reach Sydney around midnight, the Macquarie Coast before dawn on Friday, and the Byron Coast during the afternoon on Friday. As the low moves eastwards into NSW the wind will turn southeasterly. The low is forecast to move into central and eastern New South Wales on Friday, then contract to the northeast Saturday. Following this a high pressure ridge will begin to develop over NSW.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching 15 to 20 knots later.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1 metre.
Friday 16 November
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming southeast to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots early in the morning then becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly 0.5 metres tending northeasterly 1 metre from the late morning.
Saturday 17 November
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to about 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Up to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Please be aware
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
Nearby Coastal Waters

This forecast is also available via scheduled broadcasts on marine radio.
Northern Coastal Waters Forecasts (PDF)
Central Coastal Waters Forecasts (PDF)
Southern Coastal Waters Forecasts (PDF)
The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:05 pm EDT Thursday.
Product IDN11009

Your call is important to us

Posted by: on August 22nd, 2012

Hello Friends,

We’re on hold in Sydney this morning. A light but steady NW wind was adding a little scrappy special something to the surface conditions at a basically flat Dee Why when I first checked a little after 0700. According to the recently restored MHL Sydney buoy data, there is a little east wind swell of about a metre at sea. But it’s only 6 seconds apart on average, so really, we’re just talking about chop.

There’s no joy in this morning’s run of the swell forecast models either. Another week of dribble from the look of it. Spring is coming in I’m afraid.

Still, as we all know, the waves will return, so patch those dings, refresh the wax job and maybe take the mal for a paddle just to keep the muscles in shape.

Have yourself a productive and happy Wednesday.

Tides: L @0505, H @1125, L @1740

Weather Situation
A high pressure system is over the western Tasman Sea. Northeasterly winds along New South Wales coast are expected to increase from Wednesday through until the end of the week as the high moves towards New Zealand and strengthens and a deep low pressure system approaches the Bass Strait.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots tonight.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday then increasing to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre tending easterly about 1 metre from the late morning.
Thursday 23 August
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots turning northwesterly in the late evening.
Seas
Up to 3 metres.
Swell
Easterly 0.5 to 1.5 metres.
Friday 24 August
Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres increasing up to 3 metres during the morning then decreasing to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Northeasterly about 2 metres.

Sticky: Still small thanks to weak little east wind swell

Posted by: on March 16th, 2012

Hello Friends,

Not much energy on the surf front in Sydney this morning. As with the last few days, your best shot will be to get yourself to a stretch of sand with good exposure to the east. That said, my guess is that your biggest wave will be struggling to get to the waist high mark.

From the shape of the morning’s batch of swell model interpretations, it looks like the weekend will see a bump to the size but only because there going to be a strong southerly. Not much quality in prospect from what I can tell.

Oh well, maybe next week…

Have yourself a top old Friday!

TIDES: L @1045, H @1645

Weather Situation from the Bureau
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Isolated showers in the afternoon and evening, chiefly in the west, with the chance of thunderstorms. Winds north to northeasterly averaging up to 30 km/h.
Sydney Marine
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards northeast of the state as a deep low pressure system moves south of Tasmania. A front will move across NSW on Friday, bringing a gusty southerly change to the far South Coast later in the afternoon or evening. This change will extend to the Illawarra coast by dawn Saturday, then to the Macquarie coast that afternoon. Fresh north to northeasterlies are expected over most waters ahead of this change, and will be strong at times near the Victorian border.
Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing up to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms inshore early this evening.

Saturday 17 March

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots ahead of a southerly change 20 to 30 knots in the afternoon then decreasing to 20 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
Up to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly about 1.5 metres.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.

Sunday 18 March

Winds
Southerly 20 to 25 knots tending south to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre.

Sticky: You’ll want to be keen… very, very keen

Posted by: on December 30th, 2010

Hello Friends,

You’ll have to look pretty hard for a wave this morning in Sydney. It’s a lovely morning and the water’s around the 20 mark, but Huey couldn’t be less interested in us. Low tide’s at 1010 and the high will be along at about 1600 – not that it much matters from a surf perspective. We have a little east wind swell of about a metre with a totally gutless power setting of 6 seconds. If you can find something in the knee to waist high range, you’ll be doing very well indeed.

When I checked the Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch a little before 0630 this morning, there was a small group at Northy and two or three bods down the beach toward Gardens. But the biggest set I saw was about knee high – and it turned up after quite a long wait. Around at Dee Why, the situation was much the same. It was a little better at No Mans than in the corner, but the difference was very slight.

Outlook for today is for the seabreeze to come up from the SE later this morning and to swing more NE later, but the predicted velocity isn’t going to push up much, so we’re unlikely to see much, if any, real improvement to the surf situation.

The last day of 2010 just might see a slightly better chance of waves in the afternoon at the semi-protected NE corners. We’re due to get a combo of small east swell and NE wind speeds peaking in the 20-25kt range, so that may produce some chest high plus sets at exposed spots.

Longer term, I’m not really seeing much of anything on the charts to give us hope of a change to the summery pattern. Guess that’s not too surprising given that it’s summer and all…

Go well and stay happy!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea will remain there for the next few days, with a ridge extending to the mid-north coast of New South Wales. A weak southerly change on the southern New South Wales coast is expected to reach Sydney late this morning or midday. Winds will quickly return to north to northeasterly before another front brings a stronger southerly change to the south coast on Saturday extending to the Hunter coast on Sunday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds: Northeasterly 5 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly up to 10 knots around midday then tending east to northeasterly up to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southeasterly 0.5 metres tending easterly about 1 metre from midday.

Forecast for Friday
Winds: Northerly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Saturday
Winds: Northerly 15 to 20 knots tending northeasterly 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon. Seas: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

 

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