Hello Friends,

You’ll have to look pretty hard for a wave this morning in Sydney. It’s a lovely morning and the water’s around the 20 mark, but Huey couldn’t be less interested in us. Low tide’s at 1010 and the high will be along at about 1600 – not that it much matters from a surf perspective. We have a little east wind swell of about a metre with a totally gutless power setting of 6 seconds. If you can find something in the knee to waist high range, you’ll be doing very well indeed.

When I checked the Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch a little before 0630 this morning, there was a small group at Northy and two or three bods down the beach toward Gardens. But the biggest set I saw was about knee high – and it turned up after quite a long wait. Around at Dee Why, the situation was much the same. It was a little better at No Mans than in the corner, but the difference was very slight.

Outlook for today is for the seabreeze to come up from the SE later this morning and to swing more NE later, but the predicted velocity isn’t going to push up much, so we’re unlikely to see much, if any, real improvement to the surf situation.

The last day of 2010 just might see a slightly better chance of waves in the afternoon at the semi-protected NE corners. We’re due to get a combo of small east swell and NE wind speeds peaking in the 20-25kt range, so that may produce some chest high plus sets at exposed spots.

Longer term, I’m not really seeing much of anything on the charts to give us hope of a change to the summery pattern. Guess that’s not too surprising given that it’s summer and all…

Go well and stay happy!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea will remain there for the next few days, with a ridge extending to the mid-north coast of New South Wales. A weak southerly change on the southern New South Wales coast is expected to reach Sydney late this morning or midday. Winds will quickly return to north to northeasterly before another front brings a stronger southerly change to the south coast on Saturday extending to the Hunter coast on Sunday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds: Northeasterly 5 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly up to 10 knots around midday then tending east to northeasterly up to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southeasterly 0.5 metres tending easterly about 1 metre from midday.

Forecast for Friday
Winds: Northerly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Saturday
Winds: Northerly 15 to 20 knots tending northeasterly 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon. Seas: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Hello Friends,

Sunday was a good morning to stay in bed for Sydney surfers. At 0730 the skies were clouded over, the ocean was an unappetising grey, and worse, what paltry little swell we had on Saturday was pretty much gone. I say pretty much because people were in the water having a go at the knee to waist high dribblers which would appear every now and then at Dee Why beach. However, the east windswell is struggling to be a metre at sea and the average period is down around the 6-7 second mark. Weak and gutless perhaps overstates the power on offer.

The models continue to show this rather abject lack of surf situation prevailing into about midweek for Sydney. Right now if you had to pick a day for a surf, I’d be leaning toward Wednesday…

Ah well.

Have yourself a great day!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Sunday until midnight: Wind: North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots.Sea: 1 to 2 metres.Swell: Easterly about 2 metres. Chance evening thunderstorms.
Monday: Wind: West to northwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending southwesterly 10 to 15 knots around dawn then tending south to southwesterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon. Winds light later in the evening.Sea: Up to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre by early evening.Swell: Easterly about 1.5 metres.
Tuesday: Wind: Northwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending northerly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Winds 15 to 25 knots during the evening.

Hello Friends,

Looking grey and grim it has to be said. Almost no swell about either. The buoy data from up and down the NSW coast is pretty much the same: about a metre of short period east windswell.

Here in Sydney the average period is sitting on a choppy 6 sec, so you’ll be struggling to find anything above knee high at the best exposed spots. And it has to be said that we’re looking at no improvement for at least the next 24 hours. A south change is set for tomorrow and once that happens we could possibly get a brief influx of  south windswell for Wednesday. The models suggest that from Thursday into Sunday we could have a fair amount of SE to ESE wind and with it some short period east windswell into the surfable range.

Oh well… that’s springtime for ya! Go well with your day

The Bureau sez:
Sydney Closed Waters, Pittwater, Port Jackson and Botany Bay:
Monday until midnight: Wind:S/SE 10/15 knots, tending E/NE late afternoon/evening. Waters:Slight. Chance afternoon thunderstorms.
Tuesday: Wind:N/NW increasing to 20/25 knots before a SW/S change 20/30 knots later. Waters:Becoming very choppy.
Wednesday: Wind: S/SE 10/20 knots tending E later.

Crystal Ball Gazing…what’s your guess?
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Midday and everyone's in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Your bleary eyed correspondent is reporting in very late today. My apologies. Not that it matters too much as we have 15-20 kts of NE wind and only a tiny, weak east windswell. Looks like a top beach day though. The overflow parking at Dee Why seems to be, well, overflowing.

Surf is maybe a bit too dramatic a word for the soft looking little things flopping over on the sand. If you’re super keen, you might be able to find some amusement in a semi-protected north corner this evening when the windswell is likely to peak.

Tomorrow morning’s not looking exceptionally impressive, nor is Tuesday… but right now the models are calling for a brief south pulse to develop overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning. With luck we’ll get waves out of that pulse over Wednesday and into Thursday morning.

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Sunday until midnight: Wind: N/NE 15/20 knots, increasing to 20/25 knots during the afternoon.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres, rising to 2 to 2.5 metres. Swell: SE about 1 metre, tending NE.
Monday: Wind: S/SE 5/15 knots, tending NE later.Sea: 0.5 to 1.5 metres. Swell: NE 1 metre.
Tuesday: Wind: N/NW increasing to 20/30 knots before a late SW/S change at 20/30 knots.

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Hello Friends,

If you’re pining for some place grey and misty, then Sydney should really make you feel feel right at home  this morning. The RealSurf crow’s nest is socked in, but fortunately intrepid PB has been out and about, so we’ve got a few pictures to look at. And they aren’t too pretty it has to be said.

The Bureau’s call is for E-SE winds of 10-15 kts this morning, build to 15-20 kts in the afternoon and then swinging NE. Drizzle is supposed to give way to occasional showers this afternoon. The rain will be increasing tomorrow apparently. Meanwhile, the windswell is not likely to bump upward today.

On Friday the NE wind will be 15-20 kts early, increasing to 20-30 kts later. That could mean there will be a few little windswell lumps late on Friday for those who don’t mind a bit of stormwater swill mixed in with their waves.

From the look of the models we could get a decent pulse of south swell early next week. By ‘decent’ I mean head high plus at south facing spots. With luck, the Goat’s schedule will permit him to have a squizz at the entrails for us and to offer us some insight into the weekend and new week’s prospects.

Back to the workbench where I have the new version of our forum’s code spread out like a disassembled clock. All those damn gears and springs to fit back together again…

Playing with twitter again as mr_realsurf…

Go well!

0705: if you have the right equipment, you can catch 'em.

This morning starts out calm and small. But the wind is set to pick up steadily and build into the 25-35 kt range by this afternoon as a ‘vigorous front’ (to use the Bureau’s expression) heads our way. So, it’s going to be something of a replay of Saturday’s toasty conditions, but maybe not quite as warm.

Surf settings continue to bump along at flat to just barely surfable. There were a couple folk on standup paddleboards motoring into knee to waist high things at Dee Why beach. I didn’t see anyone else in the water, but I suppose there might possibly be a little peak up toward the pole. To the extent that it can be described as a swell, what we have is coming from the east at about 6 seconds and is only about a metre high out at sea where the MHL buoy bobs on the less than bounding main.

As we’ve been saying for the last few days, it does look as though we might get a brief south pulse late tomorrow and into Weds morning. But the models continue to say it will only be around the 1.5 metre mark and coming from the south at a marginal 8 seconds apart. Thereafter it seems that Spring will prevail with generally tiny NE windswell about the only thing on our menu through next weekend.

There continues to be a steady supply of intense low pressure systems in the far southern ocean, but the models show them all being bumped away from Sydney’s swell window by a succession of highs. If you want waves, you need to get yourself some decent rubber and head to the exposed coastlines of western Vic, SA and Tas – or jump across the ditch to Kiwi land where their west coasts are going pretty well. So it goes, I guess.

Anyway, it’ll all come good again, so go forth and have yourself a top old day!