Articles tagged with "ENE-1.5m-7s"

Grey and glassy but very small on the early high tide

Posted by: on May 9th, 2016

Hello Friends,
Swell, such as it is, is coming mainly from the E by ENE this morning. At 0600 it was about 1.5 metres but with an average period of just 7 seconds. Those settings are pretty close to yesterday’s, so if you managed to find something worthy of your effort then, the same conditions should be roughly the same.
Wind is expected to come around to the north and get into the 15-25 kt range later. Tide’s high at 1020 and will be back to low at 1600. At the same time the swell is predicted to bump up a little and some of the models are showing the possibility of longer, juicer period energy too. With any luck it’ll stick around into tomorrow. Midweek looks tiny on the models, but some are showing a nice perk into the fun range from Thursday onward.
Your correspondent is going to head up the coast again this week, so expect a few more postcards along the way. I hope they’ll mostly be of waves, but we shall see…
Have a great Monday!

dy point

Micro Monday at the point as of 0700


.

Weather Situation
A high pressure ridge over the coast is weakening while a low pressure system is deepening in the Bight. Winds along coastal waters will shift more northerly and gradually strengthen today as a trough and associated cold front approach from the west. This system is expected to bring a gusty westerly wind change as it crosses the coast tonight, reinforced by the passage of a second cold front on Tuesday.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of rain.
Tuesday 10 May
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northwesterly 20 to 25 knots, turning southwesterly 20 to 25 knots late evening and reaching 30 knots offshore.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower offshore in the evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere.
Wednesday 11 May
Winds
Southwesterly 25 to 30 knots tending westerly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.

Posted by: on February 16th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Very late start for your correspondent. Fortunately no harm done as there really isn’t much going on at Dee Why or over the hill at Curly. Lots of people in the water there, but not for any obvious reason I could see. Sets were struggling to get to waist high and they weren’t too frequent. Grey skies, humid temps and desultory rain drops falling just frequently enough to make you aware of them. Swell’s showing as mainly from the ENE. It’s about 1.5 metres on average out at sea, but the 7 second period means it’s not amounting to much.

Interestingly it looks from the forecasts as though we might possibly have a little activity tomorrow – winds willing – at south swell spots. Tide’ll be coming into a high at around 1030 on Monday morning.

Have yourself a great Sunday!

Sunday late morning and few waves on offer.

Sunday late morning and few waves on offer.

Weather Situation
A low pressure system to the east of Tasmania moves over the southern Tasman Sea today bringing a fresh to strong southerly change to the South Coast this morning, extending to the North Coast overnight. Fresh to strong northerly winds are expected ahead of the trough. Winds moderate into the new week as a weak high pressure system develops over the western Tasman Sea on Monday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms from the morning until evening.
Monday 17 February
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday, then tending south to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Tuesday 18 February
Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.

Smoky not smoking

Posted by: on October 21st, 2013

Visibility very poor
Hello Friends,

Visibility at 0700 was less than 2 km because of the severe bush fire smoke pollution. It’s going to be a very tough day for people battling respiratory issues and of course a very frightening day for our fellow Australians near the fires.

According to the latest MHL data, we have 7 second period NE wind swell with an average height at sea of 1.5 metres. Tide will be high at 0920. Wind is set to come up from the NE and to get into the 15-25 kt range. Presumably that will clear the smoke from the coastline.

At Dee Why the surf situation is looking pretty tiny. There were some folks in the water, but the visibility was pretty ordinary when I took the picture so I couldn’t tell if they were doing much. I’d say knee to waist plus at magnet spots would be a reasonable expectation.

The marginal surf conditions look like prevailing until the end of the week when at least some of the modelling is projecting a reasonable south pulse late Thursday into early Friday. The BoM says from early Thursday, so pencil that one in maybe.

We only have three days left in the crowdfunding campaign and following a good weekend, we’re heading up to the deadline with an excellent chance of meeting my next target – at least 200 croudfunders. Every cent we raise is of course incredibly useful, but to my mind it is particularly gratifying to have a large number of supporters. The Friends of RealSurf as all you good contributors are known, will be a vital part of the redesign process from my perspective. Soon after the campaign closes officially, I’ll get started on an initial survey to help me identify important issues to take on board when I scope the design.

Anyway, if you’ve left it to the last minute, well, er, it’s pretty much the last minute. 🙂

Have yourself a safe day and get up to a little good on the way through!

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Monday 21 October 2013.
Weather Situation
A slow moving high pressure system centred near New Zealand will maintain a ridge over northeastern New South Wales during Monday and Tuesday. The ridge will gradually weaken as a low pressure system enters the far southern parts of the state later on Monday. A south to southwesterly wind change is expected to develop along the South Coast later this morning associated with the trough reaching Sydney overnight.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong wind warning for Monday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Tuesday 22 October
Strong wind warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots before dawn then turning east to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly around 1 metre around midday.
Wednesday 23 October
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots shifting west to southwesterly during the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, tending northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres.

Sticky: Scratching around

Posted by: on May 23rd, 2011

 

Hello Friends,

This morning saw a waist high NE windswell with an average period of about 7 seconds making its very slight presence felt at spots with the best orientation. I checked Curly and Dee Why and can report that there were maybe a dozen in the water all up. That short average period means the waves aren’t overly energetic, so if you’re keen to get wet, take your small wave gear.

The latest round of the wave model interpretations predicts that the little waves will get smaller today and tomorrow we could see flatness.

Those models continue to predict 3-4 metres of south swell on Wednesday and 2-3 metres on Thursday. The wind will be pretty strong from the south over the peak period of the swell, so I’m not expecting particularly memorable conditions. But it should be pretty big!

Have yourself a top old Monday.

TIDES: L @0700, H @1300

Weather Situation
A complex cold front will cross New South Wales coast today and a low pressure system will develop on the front over the central Tasman Sea during Tuesday increasing southerly winds along the coast. Winds are expected to gradually ease during Wednesday and Thursday as the low moves towards New Zealand a strong high pressure moves slowly towards the Bight extending a ridge to the Coral Sea.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds: North to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending west to northwesterly during the afternoon. Seas: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: Northeasterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Tuesday
Winds: West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots becoming southwesterly 20 to 30 knots later in the evening. Seas: 1 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres later in the evening. Swell: Northeasterly about 1 metre.

Forecast for Wednesday
Winds: Southerly about 30 knots. Seas: 3 metres increasing up to 4 metres during the morning. Swell: Easterly about 1.5 metres.

 

Sticky: You’d want to be keen

Posted by: on January 24th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Looks like a good morning for a coffee and work. Only a single bod in the water – and given his SUP he was really more on the water than in it. Conditions in the corner at Dee Why looked junky, weak and small. According to the MHL buoy the windswell is out of the ENE at a about 1.5 metres and barely 7 seconds apart. If you could find a rideable waist high wave, I reckon you’d be doing well. I’m sure there are a few about, but with the tide coming in, you won’t want to leave it too late.

Speaking of late, there’s at least a possibility of a brief window of fun toward dusk. Sometimes when the NE’r blows as hard as it’s forecast to this afternoon (20-30kts) there can be an hour or so of okay conditions in south corners as the wind comes around into the oncoming windswell. Not a huge possibility I admit, but ya never know… it might happen…

Outlook for the next few days isn’t terribly exciting for our region. Swell is set to remain out of the east and for the most part to be small and short period. The weekend, which was looking more promising a day or two ago isn’t looking dire or anything, but the models seem to be showing pretty much only Sunday morning as being of much interest.

Of course we have a small tropical cyclone (Anthony) boiling around off north Queensland, but on current reckoning it’s not expected to do much of anything this far down the coast. Indeed, if it plays out as the forecasts anticipate, it may not sling much into the SE Qld surf zones either.

Have yourself a good one!

Weather Situation

A weak high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the New South Wales north coast. A low well south of Victoria extends a front northwards. This will bring a southerly change along the southern half of the coast today. The front will weaken on the Mid North Coast on Tuesday. Another front will move along the southern half of the coast on Wednesday,

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds: North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon ahead of a southerly change 20 to 30 knots during the evening, Seas: 1.5 to 2 metres increasing up to 3 metres during the afternoon then decreasing to 2 metres later in the evening. Swell: Easterly about 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Tuesday

Winds: South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending east to northeasterly by early evening. Seas: Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Wednesday

Winds: North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending southeasterly up to 25 knots during the evening. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Easterly about 1 metre.

Tides: H @1230, L @1850

Sticky: More grey skies, more littleness

Posted by: on December 10th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Half a dozen bods in the water at Dee Why beach, waiting patiently under leaden skies for the very, very occasional knee high dribbler to make its way into shore. My hat’s off to the keeness of those stalwart types. I reckon it’s pretty impressive that they’re having a go when Huey’s only sending us 1.5 metres of 7sec period ENE wind swell. I’d say the early risers are getting the small advantage of an incoming tide too. It’ll hit the high at around 1100 and the low will arrive at 1745.

Outlook is for the energy levels to hold at about this setting through the morning and then it seems from the models as though we’ll have to make do with even stricter rations. It looks like Huey’s just not interested at the moment. It has to be said that the long range models are fairly bleak for the east coast of Oz. If you want a wave, head for western Vicco where it looks as though Mon-Tuesday should be very good indeed. (Anyone out that way want to drop us a report?)

Have yourself a great Friday and keep on smilin’ through.

 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge to the northern Tasman Sea, while a cold front is bringing southerly change along New South Wales coast.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds: Northeast to northwesterly 5 to 15 knots tending southerly up to 20 knots later in the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Northeasterly about 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Saturday

Winds: Southerly 10 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the morning. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Easterly 1 metre tending southerly from the late morning.

Forecast for Sunday

Winds: West to southwesterly 5 to 15 knots tending southeast to southwesterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southeasterly 0.5 metres.

Sticky: Rainy all day is the plan for Sydney

Posted by: on December 1st, 2010

Hello Friends,

Welcome to summer. Rain all day and east to north east wind with it. Woo-hoo. According to the MHL buoy, the primary direction of the wind swell this morning is NE. It’s a touch under 2 metres on average and the period setting is right where it’s been seemingly forever (7 sec). Wind is out of the NE at 10-15 kts this morning and according to the Bureau, it’s set to stay that way for the rest of Wednesday. Tide was high at around 0400 and will be low at 1015 before climbing back to high around 1510.

Here’s a picture of the only person surfing between south Curly and Long Reef this morning. It was at north Curly and the wait for set waves like this one was very long. Big question mark over the water quality too because the lagoon was draining all the valley’s run-off into the sea.

Weather Situation

A high over the Tasman sea is maintaining a ridge to the southern Queensland coast. The high remains the dominant feature for the remainder of the week and through the weekend, maintaining north to northeast winds along the New South Wales Coast.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds: Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening. Swell: Southeasterly about 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms.

Forecast for Thursday

Winds: Northeasterly 20 to 25 knots. Seas: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: Easterly 1.5 metres. The chance of thunderstorms.

Forecast for Friday

Winds: North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: Easterly 1.5 metres. Isolated thunderstorms until late afternoon, mainly offshore.

Sticky: Waves around

Posted by: on November 13th, 2010

Hello Friends,

MIDDAY UPDATE:

Went for a splash this morning. Started by checking south Narrabeen, but only an hour or so after I posted this morning’s pics, it was already looking much more ordinary. The banks are pretty straight along there at the moment, so on the lowish tide the chest high sets were crashing over in unmakeable style. There were a few bods having a go, but an extended watch did not see anyone even risk a take off. So I headed down to the Longy-Dee Why stretch for a look. Carpark was very busy because there’s a big club comp on. I walked down toward the pole and after watching it for a bit decided to just get wet. If I caught any waves, it’d be a bonus.

Water was kinda chilly. But then we have had NE’rly wind for a few days and that always knocks the temps down. Sets were struggling to make chest high and even then, the short period and steadily increasing onshore insured that they were kinda weak and slow. Anyway, it was good to be in the ocean and paddling around with the hope of a wave on a beautiful spring morning in Sydney. Ya wouldn’t be dead for quids!

Outlook is for the wind to pick up as the day goes along, so there might be some wind swell ramps and lumps worth chasing as we get toward dusk. Bureau says the wind will power on through the night and still be going stiffly tomorrow morning. That being the case, we could maybe see the average size at rideable spots improving over this morning’s offerings.  The NEr is set to build up again tomorrow afternoon. Overnight Sunday the Bureau says it’ll go more north, so I’m thinking there is a chance the early on Monday could be worth the effort.  We shall see!

Hey, don’t forget to check out www.welovewaves.org for all the latest on next weekend’s conference. Programs with this kind of direct focus on matters of concern to surfers really don’t come along too often, so I hope to see a few of you there!

earlier I wrote

We’ve got some waves this morning. As hoped for overnight, the steady NE has kicked up some rideable wind swell waves at spots exposed to the primary NE direction of the energy. Sets are into the chest high range, so it’s a bit bigger than I’d anticipated yesterday. Tide’s coming in this morning, so there’s another reason to get yourself out and about for a look.

Weather Situation

A high over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to southeast Queensland, while a low pressure trough lies across western New South Wales, where it will remain through the weekend. A vigorous northerly airstream will affect coastal regions during this period as a marked pressure difference develops between the two systems, although a brief southerly change will affect southern parts this evening as a front passes to the south.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds: North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots inshore, reaching 30 knots offshore. Seas: 2 to 3 metres. Swell: Northeasterly about 1 metre.

Forecast for Sunday

Winds: North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots around dawn then becoming northeasterly 25 to 30 knots later in the evening. Seas: Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres around midday then increasing to 2 to 3 metres later in the evening. Swell: Northeasterly 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Monday

Winds: Northerly 10 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots at times, decreasing below 15 knots during the morning then tending northeast to southeasterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon. Winds tending northwest to southwesterly up to 20 knots during the evening. Seas: Up to 3 metres decreasing below 1.5 metres during the morning. Swell: Northeasterly about 1.5 metres. Scattered thunderstorms from midday.

The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:05 pm EDT Saturday.

Yep, dusty at the beach too

Posted by: on September 26th, 2009
Not looking too big this morning.

Not looking too big this morning.

Hello Friends,

If you don’t need to be out and about in the dust this morning, the recommendation is to stay inside until it clears up. There’s nothing much going on down at the beach anyway.

The swell really screeched to a halt yesterday afternoon as Huey dropped the power setting from 10-12 seconds to a paltry 7. So, even if you don’t mind the dust situation, you’re not likely to find anything above waist high.

Outlook is for the smallness to continue until around Monday as the low offshore starts spinning up. I’m hoping for some fun size SE swell off that one…

Go well folks and I should have a couple fresh slideshows up later today for you.

Tides: L@0652, H@1341
Synoptic Situation
A cold front with an associated low to the south is moving along the central coast expected to reach Wooli later in the morning and Point Danger in the afternoon. The low will deepen over the southwestern during Sunday before moving towards New Zealand on Monday.
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Gale warning.
Saturday until midnight: Wind: W/NW 25/33 knots reaching 34/30 knots at times chiefly offshore.Sea: 3 to 4 metres.Swell: SE about 2 metres.
Sunday: Wind: W 25/33 knots reaching 34/40 knots at times.Sea: 3 to 4 metres. Swell: S/SE 1.5 to 2 metres.
Monday: Wind: W/SW 25/33 knots.

Hey, those look like little waves

Posted by: on April 12th, 2009

Hello Friends,

Happened by Gardens late this arvo and what do I see? Little waves. Fun little waves actually and amazingly, for a holiday weekend, not overly crowded either. Grabbed a snap with the Sony a900 I’m currently testing.

Swell has gone around to the ENE during the day and is averaging about 1.5 metres out at sea on a pretty gutless 7 second period. But you know what? Those little peaks looked pretty tempting – even though I was out hunting for something to bbq this evening.

extra pic for you as well: Silva Lima the womens winner at Bells from Tim Bonython.

Hope you got in today!

Bells 3009 Womens winner is Silva Lima.

Bells 3009 Womens winner is Silva Lima.

There were a few little peaks to be had up and down the Gardens to Narrabeen stretch.

There were a few little peaks to be had up and down the Gardens to Narrabeen stretch.

 

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