Articles tagged with "S-1.5m-8s"

SE wind and small south swell

Posted by: on February 21st, 2013

How keen are ya?

Hello Friends,

Our old pal the SE’r was doing its devilish work from early this morning and as a consequence Dee Why (among many others) was very scrappy and messy. There’s a little south swell of around 1.5 metres with an average period of 8 seconds. Wind was SE 10-15kts at 0730. Next tide is a low at around 1245. We’re headed to a high of 27 and there’s an 80% chance of 10-25mm of rain.

The Bureau says that the wind will pick up some more and that the swell should be swinging to the east and coming up to two metres.

Sadly, the forecasts continue to show a very unfavourable wind regime for the duration of the swell. Whilst it is looking like being very big on Friday night and into early Saturday morning, Saturday looks pretty awful, with lots of easterly wind and rain making conditions diabolical. The bummer is that the wind forecast for the coming week is for unrelenting onshores. There should be swell though.

I hope the conditions around at Collaroy are okay for the good folks from Disabled Surfers Association who are running an event on Saturday morning.

Have yourself a great Thursday!

Weather Situation
A deep low pressure system off Queensland southeast coast extends a trough along New South Wales north coast while a high pressure system near Tasmania extends a ridge along the south and central coasts. The two system are bringing vigorous winds to the north coast. As the low moves south winds on the north coast will ease from the north during Friday and Saturday but increase on the central and south coasts.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly 2 metres.
Friday 22 February
Winds
Southeasterly 20 to 25 knots turning easterly 25 to 30 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 3 metres becoming 3 metres late in the evening.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.
Saturday 23 February
Winds
Easterly 25 to 40 knots tending northeasterly 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Up to 4 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 3 to 4 metres.

Sticky: Slight increase evident

Posted by: on December 5th, 2012

Hello Friends,

Sunny, offshore and a hint of south swell showing. Magnet spots might see the odd waist to chest bomb, but for the most part it’s more likely to be in the knee to waist range. Still, that’s an improvement over the last little while, so no grumbling from me!

MHL revamped their site some time ago and recently they’ve introduced a cool new directional spectra chart for the Sydney region. This morning it shows the swell energy primarily coming from the south, but it’s spread out a fair amount, so while it’ll be best at spots with optimal exposure, other places should see a few scraps as well.

The swell should increase as the day goes along, so if you can’t make the morning sesh, don’t despair! The wind’ll pick up and swing SW, so that’s not too bad a thing either.

Tomorrow the swell should bump up a bit more, so let’s hope the forecast is right and that an early SE swings SW as the day goes along.

I’m liking the look of the potential for the next 3-4 days. Nothing remarkable, but if the forecast models are correct, we won’t be facing the dire flatness of the last little while.

Go well everyone!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system south of the Bight extends a ridge through central NSW. A cold front is expected to cross southeast NSW this morning with strong to gale force southwesterly winds expected over southern and central coastal waters before the high moves east across NSW Wednesday night and Thursday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots in the morning then tending southeast to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 3 metres during the morning then decreasing to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 metre.
Thursday 6 December
Winds
South to southeasterly about 10 knots tending south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots early in the morning then tending south to southeasterly in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
Friday 7 December
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 3 metres.

Sticky: Gotta be keen

Posted by: on November 14th, 2012


Hello Friends,

Cloudy, patchy drizzle and light onshores set the stage for a trickle of 8-second period south wind swell at Dee Why. The tide was nearly full as well, so the surf options were reduced to a slightly junky knee to waist high.I could only see one taker, but given how close to shore the waves were (and thus out of my field of view from the crows nest), there might’ve been a few other stalwarts in the water as well. And good on ’em for being so stoked says I.

The onshores are set to last all day and there doesn’t seem much prospect of the swell picking up by much at all. And the forecast doesn’t look better for tomorrow or the next day. The Bureau shows the swell bumping up on Saturday by a little bit. But the wind may be a factor.

Hope you have a great Wednesday!

Tides: H @0755 L @1430

Weather Situation
A weak trough lies over northeast New South Wales. A more significant trough and frontal system is forecast affect the state on Thursday and Friday, bringing southerly change to the far south on Thursday afternoon with the change progressing along the New South Wales coast and reaching the far north on Friday morning. Following this a high pressure ridge will begin to develop over southeastern Australia on Saturday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly about 10 knots tending easterly 10 to 15 knots early in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre.
Thursday 15 November
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1 metre.
Friday 16 November
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots turning southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 0.5 metres tending northeasterly 1 metre from the morning.

Sticky: Waves around this morning

Posted by: on February 23rd, 2012

Hello Friends,

Not much wind about for the early risers and there were small waves to be had. Sets weren’t much above the waist high mark, but glassy wave faces under sunny morning skies is still a good look if you ask me. The MHL buoy shows a south wind swell of 1.5 metres with an 8 second average period.

Tide will hit high about 0910 and then head off to the low at 1525 or so.

Wind should be light this morning before coming up to seabreeze strength from the east to NE.

So, as we so often say… get out there earlier rather than later.

Go well!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system developing over the western Tasman Sea is strengthening a ridge across eastern New South Wales, while a weakening trough lies over the far west of the state. This high is forecast to be the dominant synoptic feature through the weekend, moving only very slowly to the east.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots turning east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre.
Friday 24 February
Winds
North to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre.
Saturday 25 February
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre.

Sticky: Cute little waves at south spots

Posted by: on July 2nd, 2011

 

Hello Friends,
Nice to see some fun looking little sets along Dee Why beach a little before sunrise this morning. From what I could see there was a wait between sets, but that’s hardly unusual when the swell’s small (1.5 metres at sea) and from the south at around 8 seconds. The biggest one I saw was getting into the shoulder high range too. Also on the good side of the ledger was the light offshore wind and an only partly cloudy sky.

Could be a very fun day, but from the model data, it’s looking like your best shot will be this morning because the swell might back off a little in the afternoon. That said, the Bureau is calling for light NE wind later, so south exposed spots should be showing all day.

Outlook for tomorrow is for a small decrease as the (wind) swell goes more around to the east. Again, early risers are likely to have the best of it and if the models are correct, there may not be much left in the tank tomorrow afternoon.

Looking ahead at the coming week, I’d say the Goat has it right. This morning’s run of the models reinforces the point that we’re not likely to have much of interest from Monday to Wednesday thanks to combo of powering offshores and small, weak incoming swell. But…

…The end of the week is still looking very interesting. A very big and deep low is predicted to come spinning up out of the deep southern ocean and into our swell window by around Thursday. As of this morning, the call is for around 3 metres of straight south swell with a pretty reasonable 10+ second period. Again, it’s right out at the limit of the model forecasts, so take it with the usual large grain of salt, but there could be some very fun waves from Thursday into the new week. I know these things can change (and generally it ends up not being as big as we hope), but I’m still stoked!

Have yourself a great Saturday.

TIDES: H @0850 L @1425

 

Weather Situation from the BoM
A strong high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is very slowly moving towards New Zealand maintaining a ridge to New South Wales north coast. A cold front will bring strong and gusty west to southwest change along the coast on Tuesday.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 5 to 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre.
Sunday 3 July
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 20 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly about 1 metre.
Monday 4 July
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the morning then tending westerly 20 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning then increasing to 3 metres during the evening.
Swell
Easterly about 1 metre.

Sticky: Thoughts at dusk

Posted by: on December 14th, 2009

Hello Friends,

As we approach dark, the drizzle has returned. It seems to be thickening up to almost light rain now. Not a terrific day for surfing it has to be said. Stayed onshore and dull all day.

Although the average period pushed up into the 8 second range during the morning, there was no real evidence of a significant improvement. At around 5 pm I had to run an errand, on the way back, I looped out to look at Curly and Dee Why.

They were pretty much the same, ie onshore and struggling to make waist high on the sets. I stood in the drizzle at Curly and grabbed a few shots of the sets. The one below is typical of the better waves – and it only went for 20 metres or so before petering out.

Looks as though we can’t be too hopeful about Tuesday. The wind is going to start out light bfore gradually building up to a summery 15-20 kts NE by late afternoon. If some of this weak windswell is still around by first light, I’d say we’ll be going well.

I shall be up bright and early because you’ll be able to hear me around 0730 on ABC 702 radio week days this week and most of next. Hope I have something to be cheerful about!

Looks like a wooden board too...

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Monday until midnight: Wind: SE 15/20 knots, tending E/NE and easing to 10/15 knots inshore. Sea: 1 to 2 metres.Swell: SE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Tuesday: Wind: E/NE 5/10 knots inshore and 10/15 knots offshore at first, becoming NE 15/20 knots throughout in the afternoon and reaching 20/25 knots in the evening. Sea: about 1 metre rising to 1.5 to 2 metres in the afternoon. Swell: E/SE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: NW/NE strengthening to 20/30 knots.
Thursday: Wind: NW/NE 25/33 knots.

Sticky: oh dear…

Posted by: on August 2nd, 2008

Hello Friends,

Crash! Swell all gone.

Okay, well not completely, absolutely and utterly… but compared to yesterday, well, you wouldn’t want to compare it to yesterday. Average size at sea of the now mainly south swell is about 1.5 metres and the all-important period setting is a barely-functional 8 seconds.

From the look of the MHL data, I’d say there might possibly be a few sets well south of Sydney because the Batemans Bay trace is showing a couple metres at just under 10 seconds. But as you head north, things start looking pretty small.

But not to despair utterly, because there is a possibility that the pulse showing at Batemans Bay could make its way up to the Sydney region by this afternoon. If that happens, look for sets into the shoulder high range at south facing stretches. Right now (0700) however, it looks like a very long wait for knee to waist high lumps at spots such as Dee Why.

Sydney’s marine forecast is calling for WSW winds of 20-30 kts this morning, slackening to 15-25 kts this afternoon.  Could be fun if that pulse turns up.

 

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