Hello Friends,

Spitting grey skies and 15-20 kts of southerly – doesn’t seem very summery to me. There’s a 6 second period south wind swell of about two metres at sea. It’s maybe chest high on the very biggest ones at exposed spots, but the wind is really working it over,  so there was almost nobody in the water at Dee Why. I couldn’t spot any takers on the Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch. It was micro on the north side of Long Reef, but if you were really desperate, there might be a little ankle snapper at south Narrabeen.

The southerly looks like lasting pretty much through into the new week.

Hang in there everybody. Huey will return one day so keep on smilin’!

Tides: L @ 0720 H @1330

Saturday 3 December

Winds

Southeasterly 5 to 15 knots.

Seas

Below 1 metre.

Swell

Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.

Hello Friends,

The primary swell direction swung abruptly just before daybreak and as I write this, it’s now out of the south at a couple metres. But don’t get too excited, the period is just 6 seconds and you may have noticed that we have a bit of wind as well. It’s out of the SSE at 20-25kts as the day starts, but the forecast is for it to back off during the day to around 15-20kts.  Putting those two things together, it looks to me as though we’re pretty much out of luck for surfing today. Maybe tomorrow, if the Bureau is right about the swell, we’ll get a small south pulse during the day that may possibly give us a little something in the northern corners for the afternoon.

Have yourself a terrific Thursday!

TIDES: H @0710, L @1330

Weather Situation

A southerly change will extend to the far north coast by late Thursday. A cold front will move across the southern Tasman Sea on Friday freshening southerly winds on the south and central coasts Saturday. Behind the front a strong high pressure system will move south of he Bight and then it is expected to become semi-stationary by Saturday slowly extending a ridge to the far north coast.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds: Southerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the morning then tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots later in the evening. Seas: 2 to 3 metres decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday. Swell: Easterly 1 metre tending southerly about 2 metres this afternoon and evening. The chance of thunderstorms offshore this morning.

Forecast for Friday

Winds: South to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming light during the afternoon then tending east to northeasterly up to 10 knots by early evening. Winds tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots later in the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres decreasing to 1 metre during the evening.

Forecast for Saturday

Winds: North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending southwesterly up to 30 knots during the morning then tending southerly 15 to 25 knots during the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing up to 2 metres during the morning then increasing to 3 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Southerly 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms until late afternoon.

Hello Friends,

SSE wind of 15-20 kts, cloudy grey skies and a scrappy little south windswell struggling in to be greeted here and there by those flying the flag of stoke. And good on ‘em says I. The waves at Dee Why are weak and not much above the thigh high mark as the tide comes in this morning. The Bureau says the southerly will moderate a little this afternoon and drop back overnight.

The latest run of the models seems to be lining up with the Goat’s call, ie Sunday morning looks the best shot for a wave. The long range outlook has gone pretty ordinary for us in the Sydney region. Another week of marginal at best conditions from the shape of the forecasts. Just maybe toward the end of next week things will turn around a little for us.

Have yourself a great Friday and go well with your plans and hopes!

TIDES: L @1100 H @1650

Weather Situation
A trough of low pressure over the Mid-North coast of New South Wales is expected to move through the remainder of the north coast today. A high west of Bass Strait is expected to move east with a ridge pushing north along the coast. The high should become established over the southern Tasman Sea over the weekend with a ridge to the north coast.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds: Southerly 25 to 30 knots decreasing to 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon then tending southeasterly 15 to 20 knots later in the evening. Seas: 2 to 3 metres decreasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening. Swell: Easterly about 1 metre tending southerly 1.5 metres during the evening.

Forecast for Saturday
Winds: East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending northeasterly later in the evening. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre around midday. Swell: Southerly about 1.5 metres tending easterly 1 metre during the evening.

Forecast for Sunday
Winds: North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres during the evening. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Still no sign of swell...

Hello Friends,

A chance of early showers this morning, but it’s due to fine up later. The latest buoy data is showing a 6 second period south windswell pushing weakly in to our shores. It’s almost two metres out at sea, but it’d be doing exceptionally well to be half that size at the exposed stretches. Of course those exposed spots will also be copping the 10-15 kts of south wind as well, so a very high level of keenness is required this morning.

The models are bouncing around a bit, but for the fourth day running, they’re showing a roughly 72-96 hour run of south swell with 10+ sec periods. Heights at sea may not push much above 2 metres, but with that energy setting, we should be looking at juicy and overhead sets at places that like the predicted S-SSE swell direction. Good to have some real waves in prospect after such a run of miserable smallness.

[starratingmulti id=1 tpl=12]

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Friday until midnight: Wind: S 20/25 knots easing to S/SE 15/20 knots in the afternoon and to 10/15 knots in the evening. Sea: about 2 metres abating to 1 to 1.5 metres later.Swell: SE about 1 metre.
Saturday: Wind: Variable to 10 knots tending NE 10/20 knots. Sea: rising to 1 to 2 metres. Swell: SE 1 to 2 metres.
Sunday: Wind: NW/NE 5/15 knots tending S/SE 10/20 knots early.

0645: through the gloom, looks like a waist high set

The strong wind warning has been hoisted for Sydney coastal waters this morning. As I start writing this around 0700 the SSW’ly is kicking along at 15-25 kts. The touch of westerly is helping the surface conditions at Dee Why right now, but it’s still marginal looking. About the best I saw was the little thing I caught in the picture above.

The Bureau says it’ll be shifting more to the S-SE later. And there’s no prospect of it backing off. In fact the current call is for it to peak into the 25-35 kts range tomorrow morning.

The wind should push up the swell over the next day or so. Right now the MHL buoy off Sydney is showing a couple metres of south windswell, but the average period is just 6 seconds. The models are showing it bumping up to a somewhat more respectable, but still windswelly 9 seconds. Average period down at Eden started ramping up into that range about 12 hours ago, so the longer period stuff should materialise here during the day. The average heights look as though they will build over the next 24-48 hours. If you’ve got a fast connection, you might want to watch stormsurf.com’s animation for SE Australia here as it shows the way the models think our next little pulse will develop.

Speaking of links, I’ll hunt around for something interesting to stick into our new Editor’s cool picks for you later on. When you check it out, you’ll note that I’ve put a form in at the end of the post so that you can tell me about stuff you’ve found that could be worth sharing with everybody. My general idea is to try to keep it surfing related as much as possible and I won’t be posting links to anything that I haven’t personally checked out. Anyway, here’s what I found yesterday.

Have yourself a great day!