Articles tagged with "S-2m-8s"

Saturday’s a good day for voting

Posted by: on July 2nd, 2016

Hello Friends,

It’s a day to do one’s civic duty (assuming you haven’t already done so) and maybe, possibly, even get a little wave at some point too. As of midnight the MHL buoy off Sydney was showing 2 metres of 8-sec south wind bump. The wind was offshore and as the day goes along it’s expected to swing SW and ramp up – which probably won’t be the best thing for the surf prospects. I reckon knee to waist at the stand out spots would be at the high end of expectations given those numbers. Throw in a high tide at 0610 and it’s not shaping to be a hot prospect for the dawn patrol.

If you’re checking this before 0730, tune into 702 ABC to hear the Goat hisself with the latest conditions and his outlook on the outlook for surf in the coming week. I’m thinking the end of the week looks promising for Sydney…

Meanwhile in my region of southern California we’re heading into the 4th of July holiday weekend with the usual for this time of the year dire surf forecast. As the picture below from Ventura shows, conditions are marginal at best and flat at worst. We’re hanging out for another southern hemi swell for maybe next week…

Have yourself a great Saturday and after you vote, get a sausage sanger for me!

ventura St framegrab surfline

California Street ,Ventura this morning.

Weather Situation
A vigorous southwesterly flow will extend to the far north coast this evening before gradually weakening during Saturday as a high pressure system moves over southeastern Australia, extending a ridge to the Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 25 to 30 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower offshore, near zero chance elsewhere.
Saturday 2 July
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning. Decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing below 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower offshore, near zero chance elsewhere.
Sunday 3 July
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending west to northwesterly below 10 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower offshore, near zero chance elsewhere.
Monday 4 July
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to about 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
South to southeasterly below 0.5 metres.
Weather
Becoming cloudy.

Not interesting

Posted by: on September 12th, 2014

Hello Friends,

10-15kts of SSE wind, south swell of 2 metres at 8 seconds and an incoming tide to a high at 1025 adds up to nothing of interest at Dee Why this morning. Throw in the occasional drizzle period and mainly cloudy skies and it’s looking like a day to be at work or school. If the forecast models have it right, we’re looking at not much chance of improvement until the middle of next week. Sorry to be the bearer of unglad tidings. Look at it this way, you’ll be able to front all manner of daylight activities to the surprise and amazement of your nearest and dearest.
Have a top old day!

dee why point

No swell to speak of at 0730

Weather Situation

A high in the Bight extends a ridge of high pressure into western New South Wales, while a cold front is moving north along the central NSW coast. The high will shift eastwards in the wake of the front, and by Saturday should be centred over the Tasman Sea, maintaining a ridge along the coast and bringing a return to northerly winds. Another front, albeit a fairly weak one, is forecast to reach southern and central parts of the coast during Sunday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.

Saturday 13 September

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.

Sunday 14 September

Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning then becoming southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
South to southeasterly below 1 metre.

That’s not very nice Huey

Posted by: on December 24th, 2013

Ugh.

Hello Friends,

Good day for Sydneysiders to tack into Christmas preps because the beach is forgettable in a big way. Stiff southerly blowing the tops off a trashed and gutless south wind swell. And it’s set to go SE later. Honestly, the less said about today the better.

So, thoughts turn to tomorrow, and here I am nurturing a possibly vain hope that the forecast light winds will be playing reasonably nicely with a little left over wind bump. It’s set to be dull and grey and a coolish 20-22 for the early, but maybe, just maybe you’ll sorta be able to splash around on ’em.

Have yourself a fun and safe one everybody!

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Tuesday 24 December 2013.
Weather Situation
A low pressure trough in the northeast will bring a southerly change to the New South Wales far north coast during Tuesday morning. Behind the trough a high pressure system will move over the western Tasman Sea by Wednesday, weakening gradually over the next few days with generally light onshore winds dominating along the coast. Another trough is expected to move across the state during the coming weekend bringing next southerly change.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending northeast to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon, then tending northeasterly around 1 metre by early evening.
2nd Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Wednesday 25 December
Winds
East to northeasterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Thursday 26 December
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending easterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
East to northeast below 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms.

Sunny and SE

Posted by: on November 11th, 2012

Hello Friends,

Cool and breezy from the southerly quarters on this sunny Sunday morning in Sydney. The swell is out of the south at a couple metres with a period of 8 seconds. We’re talking wind swell obviously, so the waves are going to be biggest at spots most affected by the steady 8-10 kt of wind.

Sadly, the wind will be generally onshore all day, although as noted yesterday, it is supposed to go NE late, so there might be some junky but catchable options in the north ends where the swell will be delivering the most energy.

Tide was high at 0530 and will hit low around 1150.

The swell forecast models are looking rather bleak for our region at the moment. If they’re right, we’re in for just about nothin’ across the coming week. Hope they’re wrong, but one has to be realistic too.

Have yourself a top old Sunday!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system centred off the southern New South Wales coast extending a ridge over the state. A weak southerly change is forecast for the southern and central coasts late Monday or Tuesday, with winds then turning northeasterly again ahead of a more significant frontal system at the end of the week.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
Monday 12 November
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots early in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres tending easterly 1 metre late in the evening.
Tuesday 13 November
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots ahead of southerly change about 20 knots during the morning then tending southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the evening.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre tending southerly during the evening.

Sticky: Picking up

Posted by: on July 30th, 2012


Hello Friends,

Swell is out of the south at about two metres on average with a period of 8 seconds. Wind was 10-15 kts WSW at a little before 0700. Skies started out largely cloud free over Sydney too. Tide is dropping to a low at 1120 and will be back to high at 1755. Both wind and swell should be picking up through the day, with the Bureau calling 4 metres by afternoon.

Gotta run, will try to update later…

Weather Situation
A low pressure system is deepening over the eastern Tasman Sea, while a high south of the Bight extends a ridge to the Coral Sea. Between these two slow-moving systems, much of the New South Wales coast will see vigorous south to southwesterly winds during the next few days. Conditions are expected to ease during the second half of the week as the high weakens and moves to the Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots, possibly reaching 35 knots in the afternoon and evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres increasing to 4 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres increasing to 3 to 4 metres this afternoon.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.
Tuesday 31 July
Winds
Southerly 25 to 30 knots tending south to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
3 metres decreasing to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 4 metres.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.
Wednesday 1 August
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning southwesterly 20 to 25 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 3 to 4 metres.

Sticky: A few small waves about this morning

Posted by: on January 25th, 2011

Hello Friends,

The Bureau is expecting a metre of easterly swell, but the MHL buoy this morning is reporting straight south wind swell of a couple metres and an average period inching toward the 8 second mark. It was glassy early on and Dee Why point was picking up the odd set into the chest high range. There were nice long lulls to be waited out though. But it’s great to see a little something rolling in on a warm summer morning.

The wind is set to come up from the SE according to the forecast and then back off this afternoon before swinging to the NE.

According to the swell models we should have more or less the current levels of energy over the next few days. They are showing a gradual upward trend to the weekend too. Nothing astounding looking at this stage, but January might end with some fun head high waves on Sunday morning at places that like east swell. With luck it’ll stick around to Monday.

Go well with your day!

TIDES: L @0715, H @1320

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the eastern Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the New South Wales north coast, while another ridge lies across Victoria and southern New South Wales. The trough which brought a southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast on Monday has stagnated and is now weakening. Another trough and associated southerly change will move along the southern half of the coast during Wednesday, although a more vigorous cold front is expected to affect the entire coast at the end of the week, assisted by a strengthening high south of the Bight.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds: Southerly 10 to 20 knots tending southeasterly around 10 knots during the afternoon, then east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Wednesday
Winds: North to northeasterly 10 to 20 knots tending northeast ahead of a south to southeasterly change 15 to 20 knots in the early afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday. Swell: Easterly 1 metre. The chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.

Forecast for Thursday
Winds: Northeast to southeasterly 5 to 15 knots, reaching 20 knots at times, decreasing below 15 knots during the morning then decreasing below 10 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the evening. Swell: Northeasterly 1 metre.

Sticky: All she wrote

Posted by: on January 18th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Have a look at the MHL data for Sydney (below) and you can see why this morning is back to small (but not absolutely flat) again. At lunch time yesterday the swell was almost east at two metres, now it’s dead south. But more importantly, the period slumped from a juicy 14sec to our usual 8s. There were a couple folks in the water patrolling the point at Dee Why and for their trouble were getting the odd waist high thing near the rocks. Another few bods were scattered along the beach where they too were winkling out the odd rideable section.

Hope you were among the many who found a wave to play on over the last couple days!

It looks from the chart as though we’re in to a declining swell pattern for the next couple days. The latest run of the models for our region is currently showing a slight bump upward on Thursday. At this stage it doesn’t look as though it’ll be spectacular, but if it plays out as forecast, we should get something in the waist to chest high range at spots that like s to se energy. We shall see…

Go well with your day!

Sticky: Rain early, swell on the fade

Posted by: on November 2nd, 2010

Hello Friends,

From the look of the radar this morning, we’re in for another bout of rain before it clears up. There are still some little waves to be had, but it looks as though the swell’s not going to deliver as the models were predicting a day or two ago. It’s gone around to the south since yesterday morning (it was supposedly going to be out of the east) and whilst it’s averaging around 2 metres at sea, the period continues to bump along at 8 seconds. The result where spots like Dee Why are concerned is the occasional chest high set amongst mostly smaller waves. Fortunately the early risers have SW wind, so it’s not too bad looking. The water will be pretty ordinary thanks to the torrential rain we had last night across the catchment.

Outlook for east coast waves has not improved in the latest run of models. What we have now in Sydney is set to fade away pretty quickly over the next 24 hours. With any luck it shouldn’t go quite flat until about Saturday – but it will be back into the marginal range by tomorrow morning. The weather looks set to be on again off again cloudy and the temps will be hanging around the 20 mark. I guess this is pretty much in line with typical la nina conditions.

Go well with your day!

TIDES: L @1025, H @1630

Gale warning for New South Wales waters between Broken Bay and Moruya Heads.

Details of warnings are available on the Bureau’s website www.bom.gov.au, by telephone 1300-659-218* or through some TV and radio broadcasts.
Weather Situation

A low is developing within a trough off the New South Wales central coast. This is bringing strong to gale force winds to southern and central coastal waters this morning, although conditions will ease through the day as the low moves away to the southeast. Following this, a high pressure ridge will extend across from the west, and is expected to remain the dominant feature along the coast through to the end of the week, maintaining southwest to southeast winds.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds: West to southwesterly 25 to 35 knots, reaching 45 knots offshore, decreasing to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon then south to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots by early evening. Seas: 2 to 3 metres increasing up to 4 metres during the morning then decreasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening. Swell: Easterly about 2 metres. The chance of thunderstorms offshore this morning.
Forecast for Wednesday

Winds: West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1.5 metres.
Forecast for Thursday

Winds: South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots becoming southeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning then decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the evening. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 metres during the morning. Swell: Easterly about 1.5 metres.

Posted by: on October 11th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Radar showing a few showers around as Sydney sets off on Monday. Swell has gone back to the south and is a couple metres at sea, but the period’s a marginal looking 8 seconds. Throw in 20 kts of NE’r already and it has the look of a day with restricted surf options. I’d be guessing there might be some marginal to mildly amusing possibilities in the odd north corner where the south windswell meets the NE wind. Tomorrow the swell’s supposed to line up more with the wind (swell gets more east, wind stays NE), but it’s not looking too exceptional in terms of the likely quality.

Oh well, it is spring!

Go well one and all.

Weather Situation

A slow- moving high pressure system over the southwestern Tasman Sea extends a ridge to Queensland coast. A trough lies along the northern half of the NSW coast.
Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds: East to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 knots by early evening. Seas: 1.5 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Southerly 1 metre.

Forecast for Tuesday

Winds: Northeasterly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 20 to 25 knots before dawn then tending north to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots by early evening. Seas: 2 to 3 metres. Swell: Southerly about 1.5 metres tending easterly 2 to 3 metres late in the evening.

Forecast for Wednesday

Winds: North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the evening. Seas: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: Northeasterly 2 to 3 metres.


Postcard from California

Rincon looking very, very small. Well, flat actually. You can tell there’s absolutely nothing because this is midday on a Sunday on a holiday weekend, it clear and around 30 degrees and there is one person in the water. Not looking too good for a wave you’d have to say, but maybe tomorrow it will perk up enough to be on the verge of rideable…

 

Sticky: Rainy, thundery morning

Posted by: on July 21st, 2010

Hello Friends,

Gee, I hope to be proven wrong, but this winter seems to be following the pattern of last year, ie, great start but fizzling into ordinariness by August. I’ve got to wait for the rain to lift before I can get a snap, but from the way it looked through the murk, not much of anything is happening down at Dee Why. Couldn’t see anyone in the water and it seemed to be for good reason as there really ain’t much energy.

Had an errand this morning, so I turned it into a surf check – as you do. Actually it was more sort of a dribble check. Surface conditions were pretty clean under the showery grey skies at around 0900. There were a couple bods waiting around at Mona Vale and another half dozen at the other end of the beach at Warriewood. Set faces were into the chest high range, but the waves were very weak looking thanks to the 8 second period. Since the waves are coming from the south, Northy wasn’t too attractive. You know it’s ordinary when there’s only one person in the water.

I’m going to keep an eye on it today though because despite the general gloominess of the swell forecast models, the MHL buoy off Batemans Bay is showing a slight upward trend in the period. It’s around the 9 second mark down there as opposed to 8 in Sydney. Only a small thing… but ya never know…

There’s an interesting low off NZ on the charts, so I think there’s a possibility that some long period energy could get to the Sydney region in maybe 36-48 hours. Friday for the early could be a goer… if it happens, we should be able to see the energy hit the MHL Eden and Batemans Bay buoys first.

Fingers are crossed…

Go well with your day!

 

 

 

 

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Wednesday until midnight: Wind: Southerly 15 to 20 knots tending south to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots by early evening.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres.Swell: Southerly 1.5 metres. Isolated thunderstorms.
Thursday: Wind: South to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots tending southerly 15 to 20 knots by early evening.Sea: 1 to 2 metres.Swell: Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Friday: Wind: Southerly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the evening.

 

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