Articles tagged with "SE-1m-10s"

Not much for Sydney today…nor So.Cal

Posted by: on November 8th, 2014

Hello Friends,

As of 0100 swell was SE at about 8 seconds apart and maybe a metre offshore at the MHL buoy.Next tide is a high at about 0950.

Although Saturday looks like being about as small as it gets for the next week in Sydney, it’s not likely to pick up much at all tomorrow or even Monday. Maybe from late Tuesday the swell will start pushing up into the shoulder plus range from the south and east. Unfortunately the wind looks like being mainly south on Wednesday, so options look limited. Thursday and Friday should see the swell sticking around at a reasonable shoulder plus size and the wind could start coming more from the North to NE.

Today’s postcard is a shot of a famous San Diego county surf spot called Swami’s. Even though it was just about flat, little sets would turn up every now and then. Any surfer looking at the set up can see the potential!

San Diego's famous Swami's remarkably uncrowded

San Diego’s famous Swami’s remarkably uncrowded

 

Here’s the marine forecast.

Weather Situation

A weak high pressure system lies over the Tasman Sea. Northerly winds along southern half of New South Wales coast will increase during Saturday ahead of the southerly change associated with a cold front developing the far south in the evening. This change will slow on the central coast Sunday morning and it is expected to reach the far north coast Tuesday night.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
East to southeasterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Saturday 8 November

Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunday 9 November

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots shifting south to southwesterly in the morning then tending south to southeasterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre, tending southerly 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower in the late afternoon and evening.

Monday 10 November

Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 20% chance of a shower.

eather
Partly cloudy.
Outlook

Looking close to flat

Posted by: on September 15th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Another nice morning in Sydney, but with no real waves at Dee Why.Winds were light early and the MHL buoy was detecting about a metre of 10-second period SE swell. Given the numbers, I was a little surprised to see how flat it looked. From the shape of the forecast, it doesn’t look as though we’ll see any real improvement today or, probably, tomorrow. But from Wednesday onward things are shaping up in an okay way on at least some of the forecasting sites.
If the predictions are right, we should see fun waist to chest at exposed south swell spots from around midday on Wednesday and then lasting in one form or another into maybe Saturday (and possibly beyond…)
Have yourself a great Monday and get up to some good where you can!

dee why point

Still micro

Weather Situation

A trough and weak southerly change will move from the Hunter Coast up to the Byron Coast today, while a weak low pressure centre moves from near Adelaide into southwestern New South Wales or northwest Victoria by this evening. Winds along the coast will freshen from the north to northeast on Tuesday as the low approaches and then crosses the coast in the far south later in the day. Winds will then shift southwesterly Tuesday night and Wednesday as the low moves into the Tasman Sea and a ridge begins to build from the southwest.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore tonight.

Tuesday 16 September

Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, tending north to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots in the morning, then shifting westerly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, then tending east to southeasterly by early evening.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.

Wednesday 17 September

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.

The covers are off and play can resume

Posted by: on July 4th, 2014

Hello again Friends,

Looks as though there’s a hint of energy left in the ocean this afternoon. Nothing too fabo, but south magnet spots should be producing the odd knee to waist plus wave face. Wind was kinda chopping up the surface though. The MHL buoy off Sydney was showing 0.9 metre of 9.8-second ESE-SE swell. Next tide is a low at 1850

(BTW, my Doc unveiled the eye (yeesh, looks ‘orrible) and pronounced herself preliminarily pleased. That’ll do me. Still, gotta stay out of the water for a minimum of two weeks. Nice to have the brightness and sharpness though after years of steadily encroaching cataract.)

Go well everyone!

At 1430 still a few minor moments

At 1430 still a few minor moments

Unlike the rights, this one ran a way at 1430

Unlike the rights, this one ran a way at 1430

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the far northeast of NSW will move further east during the day today as a low moves to the vicinity of western Bass Strait and an associated cold front crosses western New South Wales later today. The front and low are expected to move further east over the weekend, with winds shifting southwesterly in southern parts of the coast during Saturday, and central and northern parts of the coast on Sunday. A ridge will develop over NSW following this low.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late evening. Winds tending westerly in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday, then increasing to 1 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore by early evening.
Saturday 5 July
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Sunday 6 July
Winds
West to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.

[email protected] Dee Why beach

Posted by: on February 18th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Had the opportunity to swing by the beach late morning, not far off high tide. Despite the forecast, it was glassy and humid with a weak little SE wind swell producing set wave faces up into the shoulder high range. But the waves were so feeble that people on regular short boards were struggling to keep from sinking out after their first turns. The MHL buoy was showing 10 sec average period at 0800, but it didn’t look like that to me. If I’d tossed the board in the car, I might’ve had a splash, but the quality’s not quite enticing enough to persuade me to make a return trip.

Have yourself a good one.

Getting the most out of a soft little wave at Dee Why beach @1030

Getting the most out of a soft little wave at Dee Why beach @1030

Not spectacularly punchy, but big and wide boards worked okay.

Not spectacularly punchy, but big and wide boards worked okay.

Briefly shoulder high wave face lasted only seconds.

Briefly shoulder high wave face lasted only seconds.

Sticky: At least it was glassy early

Posted by: on January 10th, 2014

Groan

Hello Friends,

Not much wind around as the day got started, so the surface conditions were quite smooth. Swell was around the metre mark from the SE at 10 seconds apart – which just wasn’t enough to get anything going at Dee Why. Couldn’t make out anyone in the water as of 0615. Sets looked to be around the knee to waist range, so in theory you could get onto ’em with the right gear. Tide was still dropping to the low at around 1120.

Looking at the spectral data off to the south of us, I don’t really see any prospect of an improvement for today. And sadly, that is in line with the BoM’s forecast this morning. And my reading of the long range modelling is that we’re not likely to see any improvement for as far out as they can anticipate. Patience…patience… one morning it will be back and this tedium will be forgotten…

In the meantime, have yourself a top old Friday everybody!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system centred over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge along the New South Wales coast, while a low pressure trough lies near the western border. The high is moving slowly eastwards and weakening. A relatively weak cold front from the Southern Ocean is expected pass across southeastern Australia later on the weekend, before the next ridge of high pressure moves in from the west.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Saturday 11 January
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Sunday 12 January
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots becoming southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly below 1 metre.

Another micro day coming up

Posted by: on December 19th, 2013

Lion Island view

A full moon last night

A couple of takers

Hello Friends,

Another morning of essentially flat conditions for Dee Why. However, at 0200 the MHL buoy was showing about a metre of 10s SE swell, so maybe an optimally configured bank at just the right tide would see the odd waist high set wave face.

Outlook remains pretty ordinary with the best hope being a little score around daybreak on days following windy afternoons. We’re in for a couple of days of reasonably fresh NE wind, so getting up early for a look could be a plan if you’re getting desperate.

Tide’s high at 0910 and low at 1545.

Have yourself a top old Thursday and get up to some good on the way through!

Forecast issued at 4:49 am EDT on Thursday 19 December 2013.
Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the western Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the New South Wales north coast. This high is expected to remain slow moving during the next few days, with northerly winds becoming increasingly dominant along coastal waters by the end of the week. A trough is forecast to bring a southerly change to southern parts late Friday and the Central Coast on Saturday.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Friday 20 December
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Saturday 21 December
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting southerly during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, tending northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.

Sticky: Out and about in search of swell + video!

Posted by: on September 4th, 2013

Dee Why beach

South Curly

Far north Collaroy

Crunchy

Northy

Dawn at Dee Why

Hello Friends,

My brain was spinning with ideas for the site and the crowdfunding project, so I was up before daybreak making notes and thinking. Decided to hop in the car and go down to the beach to have a look and to make a short video about the crowdfunding stuff.

Surf situation seems to be a touch better than yesterday thanks to a distinctly longer period line. Dee Why and Longy are just barely twitching. Sets are struggling to get above the knee high mark for the most part. However, over at Curly, the swell is a little bigger, particularly at the south end. Sets were waist plus and looking fun. The Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch was pretty near flat at the Collaroy end, grading to knee plus at Northy. Some very pretty little shories at south Narrabeen and Gardens, but you really couldn’t surf em.

Tide was high at 0720 or so and will be back to low at 1315.

The Bureau is showing the swell gradually increasing as the day goes along but the wind is going to pick up too and by this afternoon we look like having a summery 15-20 kts of NE wind with it. With luck tomorrow morning will see another slight uptick in the conditions at spots that like east swell.

Yours truly is going to grab the mal and head north to see just what I might find. My hope, as I said yesterday, is that I’ll be able to file the occasional story along the way…

So stay tuned, and I’m really looking forward to seeing your name among the pledgers soon!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge into New South Wales and will remain the dominant feature over the next few days. A weak trough is expected to bring a southerly change to the southern half of the coast at the end of the week.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Thursday 5 September
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Friday 6 September
Winds
West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning then becoming northerly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
Up to 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.

Sticky: Whadya know? Little waves…

Posted by: on August 28th, 2013

Catching the action

Shutdown lines

Butterbox

Hello Friends,

As the Bureau predicted, we do have a small uptick in swell energy this morning. It’s out of the SE at around a metre with an average period of a touch under 10 seconds. These numbers don’t work for the point, but up the beach toward the pole at Dee Why, a small crew of young surfers were finding sets into the chest plus range. To be frank, they were 99% shutdowns, but at least there was something to be shutting down.

You’ll want to get on it ASAP though because the forecast tells us we’re heading back to flatness for tomorrow.

Tide was low at 0700 and will come in a bit to the high at 1340. Should be sunny all day too.

Have yourself a great day, and please consider kicking in to the crowdfunding effort!

Forecast issued at 4:11 am EST on Wednesday 28 August 2013.
Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the western Tasman Sea is expected to move slowly east over the next few days, while a weak trough of low pressure moves east across the southern Tasman Sea. A second trough of low pressure will then extend into western New South Wales late today. Winds will freshen along the coast on Thursday as the second trough approaches from the west.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
West to southwesterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the morning then becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Up to 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Thursday 29 August
Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
Up to 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon, then increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Friday 30 August
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots during the morning, easing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon, then shifting west to southwesterly about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the evening.
Swell
South to southeasterly up to 1 metre, tending east to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.

Sticky: Knee to waist at best

Posted by: on August 10th, 2013

Little wave at 0645
Hello Friends,

Last night it looked as though it might be a touch better this morning than things have turned out for Dee Why. The point is flat and you’ll want your floatiest surfing object for the beach break this morning as it’s struggling to get to waist high on the metre or so of 10 second period SE swell.

Tide’s coming into high at around 1015, so you’d better get on it pronto. By this afternoon when it’s dropped back again, the waves could be pretty much gone because the swell is continuing to fade. If you’re in the mood to travel out of Sydney for a wave, I’d be heading north rather than south today. SE spots north from about the Hunter could be into the chest high range on sets. But not in Sydney. Magnet spots will be struggling to get above the waist-ish mark.

This morning’s surf forecast models are pointing toward a couple of days of near flatness to start the week, then maybe a tiny bump upward on Tuesday morning, minorness again Wednesday and potentially a quick but useful south pulse for Thursday (however there is a question mark over the wind for Thursday, with some models indicating a fair amount of southerly).

Yours truly will be working away on the crowdfunding bizo, so I could use a flat day or two. 🙂

Have yourself a top old Saturday one and all!

The MHL buoy is registering about a metre of 9 second period SE swell as of 0500

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EST on Saturday 10 August 2013.
Weather Situation
A weak cold front will pass to the south of the state this morning before a high pressure ridge gradually extends over NSW. The ridge will lie over eastern NSW tomorrow morning before moving into the Tasman Sea later in the day as another cold front approaches. The front is expected to cross southern and central parts of the coast during Monday.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots tending southwesterly in the middle of the day then becoming variable about 10 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southerly around 1 metre around midday.
Sunday 11 August
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots before dawn then becoming northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Monday 12 August
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southwesterly 25 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly up to 1 metre.

Little wave at 0645

Sticky: Saturday not out of the question

Posted by: on July 6th, 2013

Small but not flat

Hello Friends,

Not exactly booming this morning, but not totally flat either at Dee Why. We have about a metre of mainly SE swell, the saving grace of which is its 10 second period. When I grabbed a shot around 0700, there was a small but hardy crew jagging the odd waist to maybe even chest high thing at the ever productive peak just north of the SLSC. Surface conditions were lightly ruffled and skies were clear. Wind should stay offshore and the swell ought to continue in this low key fashion through the weekend.

Come Monday we could see a fresh south pulse into the shoulder to head plus range at magnet spots. If the swell modelling is right, there should be surf of some sort at south spots through to midweek at least for Sydney.

Have yourself a fun Saturday one and all!

Tides: H @0700, L @1240

Forecast issued at 4:11 am EST on Saturday 6 July 2013.

Weather Situation

A complex low pressure system lies to the south of Tasmania and is moving east, generating fresh to strong winds in the south. A high pressure system is expected to strengthen over central Australia extending a broad ridge to NSW coast with winds easing on Sunday. The high is expected to strengthen and move to the southeast, over Victoria early in the new week, directing more southerly flow along NSW coast.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
South to southwesterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly around 1 metre around dawn.

Sunday 7 July

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the late afternoon then becoming westerly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.

Monday 8 July

Winds

West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southwesterly during the day then decreasing to about 10 knots during the evening.

Seas

Around 1 metre.

Swell

Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.

 

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