Articles tagged with "SE-1m-12s"

Tiny high tide bumps at Dee Why

Posted by: on May 6th, 2016

Hello Friends,

Back in Sydney again and it looks as though waves have maybe come up a tiny bit. MHL buoy data was showing a metre of SE at close to 12 seconds. Skies are clear and wind is light – and likely to stay that way today. Tide was high at 0735 and will be low at 1340. So, should be some little waves around the place at the magnet spots. I reckon knee to waist-ish for the most part with maybe something more impressive on the bombs.
The Goat has an awful lot on his plate this week, so not sure if he’ll be able to give us the benefit of his considerable wisdom. For what it’s worth, it looks as though we could see the swell bump up a touch this weekend and the end of next week looks interesting on some of the models – but not all…
Might have a few pics later… we’ll see…
Have a top old day!

dy surfer

Little line along the point at 0800

dy surfer

Tried but couldn’t catch this one on the inside

Summery looking Monday morning

Posted by: on September 21st, 2015

Hello Friends,

Warm from early and a textured sea under summery pale blue skies as we rush through spring. Swell is still coming from the SSE. It was showing about a metre of 12-sec energy on the 0700 MHL spectral data. As the pictures show, that was making for waist to chest plus wave faces on the takeoff, followed almost inevitably by a shutdown.
There were a couple of folks in the water at south Curly at 0800, but while the size was okay, it was really lumpy and rippy. A bigger group was up the north end catching softish looking and generally smaller stuff.
Around at Dee Why, the point was asleep but there were more lumpy, slightly choppy chest-ish sections in amongst it. Most of the activity was on the south side of the Pole but there were a few bods on mals messing about in waist-ish dribble up at Longy.
Next tide’s a high at 1335. Outlook is for a high of 24 today and only a small chance of any precipitation.
Surf conditions are unlikely to improve today as the swell is predicted to stay small and the wind to pick up from the north soon.
Tomorrow should be quite a contrast though. The Bureau’s hoisted a gale warning for the Sydney coast and is expecting 20-30 kts of southerly in the morning. Swell will start coming up with the wind and their call is for 2-2.5 metres by lunchtime.
The southerly is set to hammer along at much the same intensity again on Wednesday and the swell will build a bit more too.
From the models, it looks like we’re in for unrelenting southerlies until Sunday morning – by which time the swell will be fading back into the shoulder-chest range.
Ah well, at least there’s lots of energy in the system…
Have a great Monday!

sth curly

South Curly moment of face before the shutdown 0800

nth curly

Summery looking north Curly peak at 0800

dee why beach

Dee Why beachy offering the odd (brief) opportunity

Longy tiny

Soft looking up toward Longy this morning.

Not quite flat but close

Posted by: on March 31st, 2015

Hello Friends,

According to the MHL buoy data from 0500, swell energy levels are just about the same as they’ve been since Monday, which means we’re still looking at about a metre of 9-10 second SE wind swell. So, if you found something yesterday, go back there to start your search today.

Wind was light southerly early but is expected to swing east and then NE soon. So, increasingly choppy and onshore in addition to being micro. Cloudy and 80% chance of showers too. Nice.

There’s still some prospect of the energy levels going up late Thursday and Friday as south change pushes through. The issue of course will be the wind which looks set to be more or less southerly to onshore right up to Monday. So, on the one hand we ought to get a little more wind swell from the south, but on the other, most places with any exposure to said swell will be getting the worst of the wind.

The longer range models are finally showing a little hope for us. Maybe by this time next week we’ll be seeing both offshores and fun size SE swell…

Here’s hoping!

Have yourself a great Tuesday.

dy beach and point

No takers at Dee Why at 0740

Tide was high at 0635 and will be back to low at 1220

Weather Situation
A high pressure system centred over the western Tasman Sea is extending a ridge across New South Wales, where it will remain for much of this week, bringing east to northeasterly winds to the coast. The next cold front is expected to move up the coast during Thursday and Friday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Easterly 15 to 20 knots turning northeasterly in the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
South to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Wednesday 1 April
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers offshore, near zero chance elsewhere.
Thursday 2 April
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the day then becoming southerly 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 50% chance of showers.

Smoky Sydney

Posted by: on May 22nd, 2014

Hello Friends,
Still under a metre up and down the NSW coast this morning. There seemed to be a hint of extra energy showing at Dee Why, but only the barest little bit. Swell at sea of Sydney is out of the SE again this morning and average period is sitting on the 12 sec mark. So I reckon if you found a wave yesterday, there’ll probably be something similar there again today. Exposed spots could be around the knee to waist high mark but otherwise, it’ll be more lakelike than anything else.
Tide hits high at 0855 is back to low at 1510.
The Bureau tells us not to expect much change in the swell today, but tomorrow it predicts a swing more to the east with a slight increase toward midday.
Not sure if the Goat will do a forecast today, but I’ll be interested to see how he reads the guts. The modellers are generally agreeing that we should see some solid energy from late Saturday through to Monday night at south swell spots. Oh, and they’re suggesting offshore winds in the mornings too. This pattern has been showing for some time now, so I’m pretty hopeful…
Keep on smilin’!

A little line showing maybe @ 0730

A little line showing maybe @ 0730

Text book inversion layer

Text book inversion layer

Weather Situation
A broad and slow moving high pressure system is currently over New South Wales, and will persist until the end of the week. A front will cross the area on Saturday and extend a southerly wind change along the New South Wales coastline.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
South to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Friday 23 May
Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore later in the evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Saturday 24 May
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots shifting south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southerly 1.5 metres during the evening.

Slumping back

Posted by: on April 29th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Tide was swallowing up any interesting looking lines coming into Dee Why at 0700. Swell has dropped back from 1.5 to 1 metre from the SE, although the average period is still 12 seconds. That could mean the odd interesting little waist high plus bump at SE magnet spots once the tide starts dropping late this morning. Wind is set to be out of the north 15-20 kts, so that could be an issue too. Weather outlook is for partly cloudy.

Will try to come back later with some thoughts about the outlook. Broadly speaking though, it looks like being small to nearly flat through to the late weekend – but there seems to be some divergence among the model interpretations (ie something for the optimists).

Tides: H @0900, L @1410

Sets didn't get much bigger than this @ 0800

Sets didn’t get much bigger than this @ 0800

Typical set Longy lugga peak @0830

Typical set Longy lugga peak @0830

Paddle makes the difference on a "Long Wait" set

Paddle makes the difference on a “Long Wait” set

Lotta shutdowns at the Lugga

Lotta shutdowns at the Lugga

Situation at 0700

Deceptive lines approach a solitary searcher (they didn't do anything).

Deceptive lines approach a solitary searcher (they didn’t do anything).

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will continue to move eastwards on Tuesday, extending a ridge over northeast New South Wales. The passage of a cold front is expected late on Tuesday, with a southerly change moving up the coast on Wednesday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around dawn, then decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
Wednesday 30 April
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the morning. Winds turning west to southwesterly in the early afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the afternoon, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Scattered thunderstorms offshore developing in the morning, becoming less likely in the afternoon, clearing at night.
Thursday 1 May
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.

Glassy early but no takers detected

Posted by: on March 4th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Mainly cloudy but a few spots of brighter sky about too. No wind to speak of as of 0730, but it will eventually get up to 10-15 kts from the east to NE. There’s about a metre of 12 second period SE swell, so it’s not flat, but when I grabbed the first pics of the day, I couldn’t see anyone in the water at Dee Why. There were very occasional set wave faces into the chest high range, but the woeful bank situation continues and it looked to pretty much be a case of all shutdowns all the time.
Tide hits a highish high at 0810 and then drops to low at 1445.
Swell outlook remains uninspiring for the next week or so. It looks as though what we’re seeing this morning is what we’re likely to see into the coming weekend.
As with yesterday, the very long range projections are still pointing toward a significant run of solid east swell beginning at the end of next week. If the modelling has anything to do with reality, we’re looking at days of overhead east swell with sunny days and mainly light winds. Such a delightful dream… hope it comes true and doesn’t just fade away as we get closer.
Have yourself a top old Tuesday!

About the same size and power as south Curly.

About the same size and power as south Curly.

Grey, glassy and gutless at 0840

Grey, glassy and gutless at 0840

South Narra sole occupant catching softies @0900

South Narra sole occupant catching softies @0900

Nothing for the beginners this morning.

Nothing for the beginners this morning.

No one around to chase this glassy shutdown.

No one around to chase this glassy shutdown.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system moves east of Tasmania extending a ridge over the north coast of New South Wales today. A cold front is expected to bring a brief southerly change to the south coast during Wednesday before weakening on Thursday as the high pressure system in the Tasman Sea strengthens.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Wednesday 5 March
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Thursday 6 March
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to northeasterly below 10 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the evening.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.

 

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