Articles tagged with "SE-1m-9s"

Very small SE bump

Posted by: on September 6th, 2016
dy point

Tiny bump at 0700

dy beach

Tiny line up the beach

sydney pollution

Murky air in the city at 0700

0630 WRL cam showing no significant activity at south Narrabeen

0630 WRL cam showing no significant activity at south Narrabeen

Hello Friends,

A beautiful morning along the beaches but maybe not so hot on the air quality front in the city. Surf? Not really. South Narrabeen looks flat, or near enough, and Dee Why is only a tiny bit bigger. At 0700 there was just enough energy to make a liitle barely catchable bump at the point on the “sets”. Although I didn’t actually see a person on a wave, it did seem as though there could still be the odd waist high opportunity up the beach.
The MHL buoy is showing a metre of 9-sec SE, North Head wind was 5-6 kts NW at 0800 and tide was on the way in to the high at 1115. It should be sunny all day.
According to most of the models, outlook is for tiny to flat until maybe Saturday when there might be an uptick for the morning sesh. I’d say waist to chest at spots that like NE would be a good outcome.
Have yourself a happy and productive day!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system centred above New South Wales is drifting slowly east, and will be over the Tasman Sea by late Tuesday. This will see winds shifting more northerly in most coastal areas during the next day or two, freshening towards the end of the week as the next cold front approaches. This front looks set to bring a gusty westerly change during Friday or Saturday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly about 10 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Wednesday 7 September
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots early in the morning then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Thursday 8 September
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Back to tiny for Sunday at Dee Why

Posted by: on August 28th, 2016
Quiet at the point as loan paddler conducts an inspection

Quiet at the point as loan paddler conducts an inspection

dy beach

Kayaker eyes a prospect at 0730

No surf at south narrabeen WRL cam

No surf at south narrabeen

Hello Friends,

Another beautiful day coming up for Sydney. Unfortunately for DY surfers there was nothing going on at the point and only the odd knee high ripple along the beach when I checked it out at 0720. I reckon the best of the magnets will be in the knee to waist range with the odd plus. The MHL buoy was showing a metre of 9-sec SE wind swell. Tide’s dropping to low at 1040 and will be back to high at 1715. Should get to 20 later and water’ll be around 18.
Tomorrow and Tuesday look like being smaller again, but there’s still some hope for a brief long period pulse late Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Wind’s expected to be north at around 10 kts, so north corner, south swell magnets are the best bet. Unfortunately the models are generally aligned on this one in that they project the long period stuff to fade rapidly Weds morning.
Have a great Sunday everyone!
ps: I’m doing a radio chat with Simon Marnie a litte after 1000 on ABC 702’s weekend show…

Tuesday getting smaller but still catchable this morning

Posted by: on August 9th, 2016

Hello Friends,

Sunny start to Tuesday and about a metre of 9-sec SE swell coming into Sydney’s beaches. Tide was low at 0615 and is now coming into the high at 1245. Sets along the beach looked to be in the waist plus range, while at the point waves generally seemed to be a little smaller. The outlook is for the energy levels to fade across the day and I have to say the outlook is not great for the next 7 days according to the models. So get in if you can because surf options for Sydney start looking fairly grim from tomorrow onward…
Have yourself a great Tuesday one and all!

dy point

Catching little ripples now

dy point

Set at the point about 0710

dy beach surfer

Up the beach the odd possibility

Small but not flat on Monday morning

Posted by: on May 23rd, 2016

Hello Friends,

Light north wind as the day got started and swell was a touch under a metre out of the SE at 9 seconds apart. At Dee Why there were knee to waist-ish lines at both the point and along the beach. Tide was still coming into the high at 0910.

There’s a strong wind warning for the NW’r to kick up soon and then to swing SW this afternoon.

While the outlook is for the swell to, if anything, fade more today, the models continue to project it to start ramping tomorrow afternoon. Wind is set to be strong SW again, so surf options may be somewhat limited. The Bureau says it should be 2-3 metres from the south and then on Wednesday, they see it going to 3 to 5 metre(!) south with SW wind.

The models show the swell dropping back pretty quickly overnight into shoulder to head on Thursday morning. Right now Friday’s shaping to be on the small, but not flat, side.

Have yourself a top old Monday one and all!

dy beach

Little line at DY beach

dy point surfers

A few bods chasing little ones at the point 0710


.
.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system currently centred in the western Tasman Sea will continue to move east. North to northwesterly winds will freshen ahead of a cold front, which is expected to bring a strong gusty south to southwesterly change along the coast during Monday, reaching the far north early Tuesday.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots turning west to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 24 May
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the morning and early afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre, tending southerly 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.
Wednesday 25 May
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning then becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 5 metres, decreasing to 2.5 to 3 metres during the evening.
Weather
Sunny.

Tiny Tuesday under clearing skies

Posted by: on April 5th, 2016

Hello Friends,

Had to wait for awhile to get a picture of someone actually riding a wave at the point a little before 0700 this morning. Swell has dropped down another cog and the rideable set waves are getting rarer. Wind was light from the north and the 0500 MHL data showed about a metre of 9-second SE swell. Tide was low at 0615 and will be high at 1240.
The wind’s expected to ramp up into the 20-30 kt range from the NE by late afternoon. It should be sunny and we’re due to get a high of 27 today and 29 tomorrow.
Outlook is for the tiny conditions to persist through tomorrow and aside from a possible uptick on Thursday when a southerly comes through. It then looks like going back to small to flat until early next week when we might get a little bump into the waist plus range.
Stay happy everyone and have a top old day!

dy point wave rider

Bomb set just into catchable range at 0640

city and foggy skirts

Misty morning for ferry riders

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the central Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards the northern New South Wales coast, and is directing east to northeasterly winds over most waters. This pattern will remain until a cold front brings a southerly change to the south coast early Wednesday, extending to central areas overnight before weakening on the north coast during Thursday. Behind this, a new ridge looks set to extend into New South Wales from the west, with most areas likely to experience fairly light winds during the latter part of the week.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Wednesday 6 April
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Thursday 7 April
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending southerly during the morning then tending east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 40% chance of showers.

Marginal yes, but not totally flat

Posted by: on August 17th, 2015

Hello Friends,

Monday morning started off with clear skies and chilly offshores along the beaches. As of 0500 the main swell energy was coming from the SE. It was around a metre at 9 seconds and where Dee Why’s concerned, that meant ankle to knee at the point and knee to waist-ish up the beach. Tide is heading toward the high at 0950.
The Bureau’s forecasting the wind to get up to 15-25 kts from the west today, and to turn SW later. Oh, and the swell is supposed to drop back a bit too.
Tomorrow the Bureau expects to see SW wind early, turning southerly during the morning. The south swell should perk back up. Wednesday the call is for 1.5-2 metres of south swell, but with light onshores from the SE early, going NE during the morning.
Longer range outlook on the various models this morning points to smallness on Thursday and then a possible slight uptick at dead south spots on Friday before a return to small to flat out into next week.
Have yourself a great Monday one and all!

dy point surfers

Spot the hopeful surfers

dy beach surfer

Little cruise-y one peels along the beach at 0700

Southerly day in prospect

Posted by: on March 5th, 2015

Hello Friends,

Sunny, light offshore and really small as Thursday got started. We had around a metre of 9-second SE swell. At Dee Why it was struggling to get to waist high and despite smooth surface conditions had only attracted a few takers. Things look like being very different later today and tomorrow.

As noted for the last few days now and confirmed in this morning’s forecast, we can expect to see the swell ramping up toward the end of the day sufficiently to have triggered a large and powerful surf warning.

Wind is set to push up into the 20-30 kt range from the south by midday. It’s expected to stay that way until after dark. But tomorrow morning the swell could be pretty solid under mostly sunny skies and with winds from the westerly quarters. And in a harbinger of the season to come, the winds look to stay favourable into Saturday, although the swell peak could be overnight Thurs-Fri.

Keep on smilin’ everyone and have a top old Thursday.

tiny wave dy

Very small at 0720

Weather Situation

A strong cold front is expected affect the New South Wales coast during the day bringing vigorous south to southwesterly winds, which are likely to moderate overnight Thursday. A ridge of high pressure should extend across the state in the wake of the front. Several weaker cold fronts are expected to move through Bass Strait on Friday and Saturday but should only affect the south.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots, shifting southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the morning and then shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots in the middle of the day. Winds easing to 15 to 25 knots by late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre, tending southeasterly 1 to 2 metres by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower in the morning and early afternoon. Large and powerful surf conditions in the evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Friday 6 March

Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending westerly in the middle of the day then shifting east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 4 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Saturday 7 March

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Here a bit better than there

Posted by: on November 16th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Running a bit late today. Looks like Sydney’s not doing much surfwise. Hardly any swell showing on the MHL buoy and stiff 20+ kt NW wind should mean marginal knee to waist at places that like the metre or so of 9-sec period SE swell.

Monday for the early looks like a bit more potential with swell due to bump up a touch.

Tue-Wed looking like mornings will be the best shot for something in the knee plus range.

Over here in Cali we’ve had a couple of days of small west swell. Water’s about 19 and wave faces were anywhere from chest to head high at standouts. I surfed around midday at Mesa Lane in Santa Barbara and had a few fun things. Water’s around 18 or so which is damn weird for this time of year. After I got out I took a few postcard shots for you…

Interesting surf vehicle

Interesting surf vehicle

Mesa Lane lines

Mesa Lane lines

Taste of California glass from Mesa Lane

Taste of California glass from Mesa Lane

Have a great Sunday one and all

Weather Situation

A slow-moving trough and associated southerly change lie near the Queensland border, while a low pressure centre is tracking east along the New South Wales/Victoria border. This low is expected to deepen as it reaches the south coast later this morning, generating strong to gale force southwesterly winds over southern and central coastal areas, before moving steadily away to the east tonight. Conditions should continue to ease during Monday as the next high pressure system drifts across from the west, becoming the dominant synoptic feature during the first half of the week.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northwest to westerly 20 to 30 knots shifting southwest to southerly 20 to 30 knots in the late afternoon. Wind easing to 15 to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of showers in the morning/ early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the early afternoon.

Monday 17 November

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds becoming variable about 10 knots early in the morning then becoming easterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Tuesday 18 November

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower.

Quiet Tuesday morning at Dee Why

Posted by: on August 5th, 2014

Hello Friends,
This morning saw about a metre of 9-second period SE swell wafting in under sunny skies, wintery chilliness and light offshores. Tide was dropping toward the low at 0930. But the only person having a go when I grabbed the pics was a lone SUPster looking around the point for a little wave. Didn’t have any luck while I watched. Sets seemed to be in the knee to waist high range, so there should be something if you’re keen.
The Bureau says the swell will come up a little as the day goes along, but it looks as though that’s because they also expect the wind to go around to the south in the afternoon. So, I’m not overly hopeful.
The swell models are kind of all over the place this morning, but there seems to be some commonality about an improvement tomorrow as a longer period pulse develops. It’s nearly 14 seconds from the south down at Eden right now, so, it’s not an implausible prediction.
The remainder of the work week seems to shaping to be smallish Thursday with maybe an uptick Friday, lasting into Saturday. And the very long range predictions are looking interesting for next week… and that’s a good thing.
Have yourself a great Tuesday everyone!

Briefly fun at 0920

Briefly fun at 0920

South Curly fluke bomb

South Curly fluke bomb

Lotta shutdowns this morning

Lotta shutdowns this morning


From around 0720 this morning…
Pretty small, but with a mal maybe...

Pretty small, but with a mal maybe…

SUPster not having much luck at 0720

SUPster not having much luck at 0720

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system over southeastern Australia is slowly moving east, strengthening a ridge across the western Tasman Sea. The next south to southwesterly change along New South Wales coast is expected to develop on the south coast late Wednesday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots tending southerly in the early afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Wednesday 6 August
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day then tending westerly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres offshore later in the evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Thursday 7 August
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon.

Faded and still fading

Posted by: on June 4th, 2014

Hello Friends,
Brief update:
Managed to get a look at Manly, Curly and Northy this morning. Around 0900 Manly was knee to waist, clean, but high percentage of shutdowns. The pick quality wise. Curly was waist to chest, a bit ruffled by the wind and mostly shutdowns with the odd shortish shoulder. Northy had half a dozen in the water, was more wind affected but also delivering more makeable waves and was around the waist to chest range on sets.

Momentary wall to be enjoyed

Momentary wall to be enjoyed

Best wave I saw at mid-Curly @0915

Best wave I saw at mid-Curly @0915

Mildly alluring esp. given the utter lack of crowd

Mildly alluring esp. given the utter lack of crowd


Swell energy levels have weakened overnight and where Dee Why’s concerned, the point’s no longer an option. There were still a few little waist plus things turning up along the beach as the morning kicked off. The MHL buoy is showing some small SE mixed with smaller and shorter period E to SE wind swell. Wind was chilly and out of the WSW at 10-15kts. The Bureau says the wind’ll go S-SE this afternoon and the swell will likely further decline.

Tide was low at 0645 and will be high around 1330.

As of this morning, it looks as though we’ll have to wait until late in the weekend for our next serve of energy. The more optimistic modelling continues to show a 2-3 metre south pulse from as early as Sunday with a peak about 24 hours later. As noted yesterday, the wind call is for strong south to SSW across the front half of the swell pulse, so it could be Tuesday before conditions come together for a majority of spots.

Have yourself a great Wednesday everybody!

Point back to slumber mode

Point back to slumber mode

Long waits now, but not quite gone

Long waits now, but not quite gone

Weather Situation

A low pressure system east of Tasmania is moving southeast and should weaken during today as a high pressure ridge builds across southeast Australia.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
West to southwest 5 to 10 knots tending south to southeast about 10 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.

Thursday 5 June

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.

Friday 6 June

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms in the morning.
 

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