Articles tagged with "SSE-1.5m-8/9s"

Little waves for the early

Posted by: on November 23rd, 2012

Hello Friends,

Pleasantly surprised to see a little wind swell wave this morning at Dee Why. According to the MHL buoy, it’s coming mainly from the SSE at about 8 seconds apart. Out at sea it’s around the 1.5 metre mark, but as you can see from the picture, the sets aren’t much above waist high. Not much wind for the first shift, however we can expect the NE’r to pick up as the morning goes along.

Tide was high at 0415 and will be low at 1030.

So, you can get wet if you’re reasonably keen – and that’s a good thing.

Go well with your Friday one and all!

Weather Situation
A weak low pressure trough on the northern coast will remain slow moving on Friday. A high moving across southern New South Wales is forecast to strengthen over the Tasman Sea during the weekend, directing a northerly airstream along the coast. A second trough will enter the south later on Sunday, bringing a southerly change.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre.
Saturday 24 November
Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly about 1 metre.
Sunday 25 November
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 0.5 metres.

Gloomy Saturday morning

Posted by: on October 6th, 2012

Hello Friends,

Not too flash looking this morning along the beaches. Heavy overcast and visibility down to less than 5km as the day got started. Light drizzle falling as well. Not much wind about though and there is a small line hinting, I hope, at bigger things to come.

You’d need to be very keen and have something floaty to make use of the kick off conditions. As far as Dee Why was concerned, nobody was motivated to run the dawn patrol.

Winds should go NE and pick up into the 25-30 kt range by late this afternoon. At the same time, we should see the south swell building and by this evening the Bureau says we could be seeing “large swells breaking dangerously close inshore”

For what it’s worth, the data from down the coast at Eden was showing over two metres of 10 sec period south swell, while here in Sydney we were still on about 1.5m at 8-9s.

The swell forecast models are not unanimous on timing. Some reckon like the Bureau that we’ll have solid longer period energy by dusk, while others project the energy filling in overnight and lasting to about Tuesday early.

Wind is going to be a factor though. Tomorrow it’s set to start out SW at 25-30 kts, but then it’ll swing south and stay that way through Monday.

Tide’s not swinging too much today. High is at 1145 or so and low is about 1830.

Have yourself a great Saturday everyone!

Weather Situation
A low pressure system will cross New South Wales south coast later today and deepen bringing gale force winds to the south and central coasts and strong winds to the north coast. Winds will ease gradually during Sunday as the low moves rapidly towards New Zealand on Sunday.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly 25 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening then increasing to 2 to 3 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly 2 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore late this evening. Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.
Sunday 7 October
Winds
West to southwesterly 25 to 40 knots turning southerly 20 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
Up to 4 metres decreasing to 3 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres increasing to 3 to 4 metres late in the evening.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.
Monday 8 October
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then decreasing to about 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the evening.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 4 metres.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore in the early morning.

Breezy start, not much energy

Posted by: on September 26th, 2012

Hello Friends,

One of those mornings when you look at it and want to go straight to the forecasts to see if there’s any hope for later in the day. As of 0800, I couldn’t see anyone in the water from just south of the pole to the point at Dee Why. The MHL data is showing SSE at about 1.5 metres. There’s only 8-9 seconds in the period column, so what we have is struggling to reach knee to thigh high. Wind was out of the north and making the surface conditions a little scrappy as well.

So… what about those swell prediction modellers… hmmm… not too flash I’m afraid. Energy settings look like sticking around at this level through to tomorrow arvo. A SE change is set down on the Sydney dance card for Thursday afternoon, but its effect on surf prospects is likely to be marginal. Yes, the wave heights should bump up, but the average period is likely to be a wind swell-y 6-8 seconds. Maybe when the wind comes back around to the north again on Friday, we’ll have a little something to mess about with in the north corners.

Long range is still looking like, well, spring. Funny that.

So roll on through your day and get up to some good!

TIDES: H @0515, L @1105

Weather Situation
A high pressure system strengthens over the western Tasman Sea, while a deep low pressure trough approaches South Australia. This trough, and its associated cold front, will move through the state on Friday and Saturday. North to northeasterly winds will increase today as the system approaches before tending northwesterly during Friday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly below 10 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the late afternoon, then easing to 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres decreasing to about 1 metre this afternoon and evening.
Thursday 27 September
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots tending northeasterly 20 to 25 knots in the early afternoon then tending north to northeasterly 25 to 30 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly about 1 metre.
Friday 28 September
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly about 1 metre becoming 1.5 metres during the evening.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms from midday.

Sticky: Weakening scenario

Posted by: on August 30th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Another beautiful end of winter morning. According to this morning’s run of data from the MHL waverider buoy, the swell settings are very slightly smaller than close of play yesterday, ie averaging around the 1.5 metre mark from the SSE at about 8-9 seconds apart. As with yesterday, the best spots will be those with good south exposure. It’s therefore looking pretty marginal at the Dee Why end of the Longy-Dee Why stretch. In fact, I didn’t see anyone in the water at 0700.

Winds are light to begin with, but the Bureau says that the wind will get around to the E-SE and pick up to a junk-inducing 10 knots.

Latest run of the forecast models points to a gradual decline in average size over the next day or so. Overall it looks as though we’re likely to have flatness by the end of the week but with luck the weekend should see a small pulse of activity. Looking a lot like spring to me.

I did some shooting over the weekend and as I write this, the fruits of that labour are currently uploading to my gallery site. As usual I’ll post a couple galleries here once the pics are all online.

Go well with your day and get wet if you can.

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Monday until midnight: Wind: South to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending east to southeasterly by early evening.Sea: Below 1 metre.Swell: Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Tuesday: Wind: North to northeasterly 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.Sea: Below 1 metre.Swell: Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: North to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

 

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