Articles tagged with "SSE-2m-10s"

Sunday swell

Posted by: on November 6th, 2016
dy point wave

Another nice set at the point 0700

dy point swell

Lines at the point at 0700

dy beach

Lines up the beach but lotsa shutdowns too

Hello Friends,
Dee Why point and beach were already well populated at 0700 thanks to a set of near perfect conditions. Wind was light from the WNW and the SSE swell was around 2 metres at about 10 seconds Sets at the point were into the head high range on the bigger ones and it seemed to be about the same up the beach toward No Mans.
Tide was low at 0645 and will be high again at 1310.
Outlook is for wind to pick up during the morning but to stay out of the westerly quarters. Swell should stick around all day, but the Bureau it expects it to begin fading by late afternoon.
Tomorrow should see a similar pattern with the sunny weather and reasonable winds, but swell’s expected to have dropped overnight and it’ll continue running out of puff during Monday. Some of the models show it going flat but others say we could still have some waist plusses at south magnets – for the early at least.
Rest of the week currently shaping to be marginal to flat, although there is a maybe for Thursday on some models.
Take a patient and friendly attitude with you if you’re going for a surf today and have a top old time!

wrl cam south narra

South Narra looking marginal on the WRL cam early

north bondi rsl cam

Waves at North Bondi this morning

Weather Situation
South to southwesterly winds along the New South Wales coast are easing and they will turn northerly by Monday as a high pressure system moves over the Tasman Sea extending a ridge to the northwest. The next southerly change is expected to develop along the southern half of the coast during Tuesday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds shifting north to northeasterly below 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Weather
Sunny.
Monday 7 November
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots before dawn. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.
Tuesday 8 November
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots tending northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then becoming variable about 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Thumping swell and bigger tomorrow

Posted by: on May 24th, 2016

Hello Friends,
Now that’s annoying. Went out and shot pics at a heap of spots for you this morning only to get home and find the memory card had carked utterly and completely. So they’re off to pixel heaven and you’re none the wiser. Sorry, but will just have to make do with the crowsnest shots for now.
What I can tell you is that we have a very straight and juicy south swell hitting most of the beaches.
Manly was best at the Queensie end, but pretty straight and only rarely makeable for any distance. Few people were out at the Bower too, although consistency would be a real problem.
Curly was uncrowded, and for good reason, the joint was shutting down 99.9% of the time. Size was comfortably overhead on the big ones too.
Dee Why point was busy as you’d expect with a bit of a wait for the head plus sets, but not super bad. Kinda fat on the incoming tide, but some fun walls now and again.
Dee Why beach and No Mans were just long, lined-up shutdowns with the sets being as big as at Curly.
Longy actually had some makeable ones on occasion at the Lugga. Looked like the bombies hadn’t fired up quite yet, but I didn’t stick around to see a bomb set, so I’d expect them to get going.
Swell’s coming from the SSE and at 0800 was 2 metres at 10 seconds. Bureau expects it to come up some more and tomorrow it’s talking 3-5 metres. Wind should be W-SW 15-20 kts today. Tide’s high at 0950. Gonna be sunny too.
Have a great Tuesday and check back later in case I got some more pics!

dy point surfers

Occasional makeable littler ones on the beachy, plenty of folks in the water at the point

dy point surfer

In between size set wave at the point 0900

no mans lines

Lotsa lines, lotsa thumping shutdowns along no mans

Monday waves looking fun early

Posted by: on September 28th, 2015

Hello Friends,

Swell is fading but this morning’s early session saw close to 2 metres of 10-second SSE swell, minimal wind and sunny skies. Set wave faces at Dee Why ranged from shoulder plus on the biggest ones at the point to head and a bit on the beachy bombs. School holidays are delivering reasonable population levels too. Tide will be high at 0800 and then back to low at 1405.

Wind outlook is for the southerly to pick up and get into the 10-15 kt range later before swinging onshore (SE to NE) this afternoon. So, as usual, get in early or put up with choppy and junky later.

Speaking of later, the swell is going to fade away over the next day or so and thereafter it looks like small to marginal for as far ahead as the models project. So get in if you can – and if you can’t have top old day anyway!

dy point surfer

The crew watches as a little set arrives 0615

dy surfer

This one ran a good 100 metres

dy surfer

More consistent and a touch bigger along the beach than the point

dy surfer

A set wave looking fun at the point 0620

Brief window of opportunity Saturday morning

Posted by: on September 26th, 2015

Hello Friends,

Swell’s dropped significantly from yesterday, but exposed spots were still showing head high plus wave faces on the bigger ones. Surface conditions were comparatively smooth and less lumpy than yesterday – but it’s still pretty raw looking.

Dee Why point was the best of the bunch when I looked. There were waves at south Narrabeen (see pic) but the conditions looked fragile and it was its usual self (ie, very quick little rides). Nothing much was going on at the Collaroy end, but there did seem to be lines getting into White Rock. Longy is just too exposed in these conditions, so even without the wind, it wasn’t looking terribly interesting. The same applied to the beachies from there to Dee Why.

The problem is that while the wind was light before 0700, the Bureau is predicting it’ll ramp back up again this morning and be SE 15-20 kts by lunch. Tide was high at 0630 and will be back to low at 1220, so if you’re getting in, you better get in.

Outlook is for southerly wind in the 15-20 kt range again tomorrow. Swell should maintain at about the current levels. Monday the wind should slack off, but so will the swell. However, it shouldn’t go flat, so here’s hoping for a few fun ones…

Finally, if you’re thinking of getting in this morning, be aware that pollution is likely at most beaches in Sydney.

Go well with your Saturday one and all!

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending southerly in the middle of the day.
Seas
1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.
Sunday 27 September
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

sth Narrabeen

Shorey action at South Narrabeen 0640

dy point

Slotted at the point 0645

dy surf

Possibilities peaking in the corner at Dee Why

Long Reef

Lines showing on the outer bombies at Longy

white rock

Lone searcher heads toward White Rock

Monday morning waves

Posted by: on April 27th, 2015

Hello Friends,

Chilly tinge to the air at 0730 but wide blue skies overhead and 2 metres of 10-sec SSE swell rolling in for the first shift. Sets at Dee Why point were around the chest mark and similar, if not a bit bigger along the beach. Wind was a 10kt westerly and tide dropping to the low at 1030 for the healthy crew at Dee Why when I checked for the first time.

The Bureau says the swell will continue along at the present intensity and that the wind’ll swing SW and come up to 15-20 kts before dropping back and swinging more southerly later.

More thoughts later on the long range outlook (and a few piccies I hope)

A low pressure system near New Zealand is moving southeast and weakening as a strong high pressure system south of the Bight strengthens a ridge across the western Tasman Sea and vigorous southerly winds along New South Wales coast are easing. This ridge is expected be the dominant synoptic feature over the following few days.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the morning. Winds turning southerly during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.
Tuesday 28 April
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the morning. Winds turning southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers offshore, 40% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.
Wednesday 29 April
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

dy point surfing

Tucking into a little one at the point 0720

dy point and beach

Beachy and the point firing up

no mans wave

No Man’s empty

Waves for the early and more to come

Posted by: on October 3rd, 2014

Hello Friends,

The Bureau’s hoisted a warning for large and powerful surf conditions later today. As of 0630 the swell was showing from the SSE at a couple of metres with an average period around the 10 second mark. Wind was light offshore for the dawn patrol and set wave faces at Dee Why beach were getting toward the head high mark. Conditions were clean a the point as well, but the sets looked to be about a third smaller than the beach. Of course your mileage may vary.

Wind is expected to come around to the SE later this morning before swinging to the NE. The swell is predicted to build this afternoon and to peak overnight and to still be hammering along strongly for the first sesh tomorrow. In fact, there should be waves pretty much through Sunday. Tide’s low at 0850 this morning.

Could be a good long weekend for surfin’ everybody, so I’m looking forward to getting pics of a few of you fine folk.

Go well with your Friday and have a great day!

surfing dy

Fun-size for the first shift at Dee Why

dee why point surf

Early morning set arrives at the point.

Weather Situation

A high pressure system near Mount Gambier extends a ridge over most of NSW, and will gradually move east during the next few days before a southerly change affects southern and central parts of the coast on Sunday. A strong cold front passing over the southern Tasman Sea and an associated deep low even further south will generate a long period southerly swell for the NSW today and Saturday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Southeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late morning then tending northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Saturday 4 October

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore during the afternoon and evening. Winds turning northerly in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Sunday 5 October

Winds
Northerly to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.

Signs of activity

Posted by: on September 16th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Interesting combo of short period NE wind chop and a SSE swell. According to the MHL data, the SSE is close to a 2 metres at 10+ seconds, but looking at Dee Why this morning, there’s minimal evidence of the south component. Kinda weird. Wind at the RealSurf crows nest as of 0700 was pushing along at 5-10kts. As you can see from the pictures, it was making surface conditions fairly choppy. I didn’t see anything above about knee to waist high showing at the beach (the point was smaller still). Tide was just about low at that point and will be high just on 1400.

There’s definitely more activity this morning, but that said, you’ll be doing very well to find something worth the effort. The various forecast models are in general agreement that surf prospects aren’t good for today but there might be a slight improvement tomorrow and Thursday could see another step up in energy levels – potentially into the surfable range.

There are indications that this coming weekend could see a south wind affected southerly pulse into the shoulder-head high range at exposed spots. And, it might last into Monday.

Get through those obligations today I’d say.

Go well!

dee why beach

A bit more activity, but not quite surfable

dee why point

…but not finding anything yet

Weather Situation

A relatively weak low pressure system over western Victoria extends a trough northwards over eastern NSW. This system will move steadily east today with the trough crossing NSW coastal waters later this afternoon and evening and the low moving through eastern Bass Strait and deepening somewhat during this time. The low is expected to move slowly to the southeast and intensify further during Wednesday while a cold front moves northeast from the Southern Ocean across Tasmania then southeast NSW. Fresh to strong southwest winds are expected for southern and central waters on this day. Another cold front or trough is likely to pass near southeast NSW on Thursday and Friday, and combined with a slow moving high south of Adelaide, is likely to bring fresh to strong southwest to southerly winds to much of the coast, particularly southern and central areas. A southerly swell is also expected to increase late in the week.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots shifting westerly in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the afternoon, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms until later tonight.

Wednesday 17 September

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning and again in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres around midday, then increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.

Thursday 18 September

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the afternoon then becoming westerly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.

Please be awareWind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

 

Sunday surfday

Posted by: on September 16th, 2012

 

 

Hello Friends,

A touch bigger than I’d expected for this morning. Sunny skies and light NW winds are combining with a couple metres of 10 second period SSE swell to deliver the odd head high set along the beach at Dee Why. The point seemed much less consistent and smaller. There should be any number of south swell spots with a fun wave today.

The swell models show the energy declining steadily through the day, but with any luck there should still be the odd waist to chest high thing on offer as we run out of light.

Looks like a summery wind regime too. Light and variable for the early risers, settling into NE seabreezes by around lunch time.

Tide peaks at 0800 and then drops pretty quickly to the low at 1400.

Given the outlook for the coming week is pretty marginal, I’d be joining the crowds this morning if I could.

Have a good one!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over South Australia extends a ridge across New South Wales, promoting generally light to moderate winds along the coast. This ridge will drift slowly east through the weekend, with winds turning northeasterly on Sunday as the high reaches the Tasman Sea. A trough will deepen over the state early in the new week.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Monday 17 September
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots turning northeasterly early in the morning.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms from the late morning.
Tuesday 18 September
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending northerly 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
Up to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly about 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms during the evening.

Sticky: Drizzle but glassy and the swell continues early

Posted by: on June 10th, 2012


Hello Friends,

Dull skies, drizzle and a wintry chill to the air, but there were waves as of 0900 thanks to 2 metres of 10 second period SSE swell. Those numbers are exactly right for lots of places in Sydney, so if you’re keen to get in, there should be opportunities to hand.

The wind call is for 10-15kts of SEly but as I write this, it’s actually lightly offshore and just now a little sunny break has opened up off to the NE…

Waves are in the chest high plus range on sets and it’s busy-ish but not crazy.

Tide was low around 0700 and will hit high at 1315.

The forecast models are calling for the swell to fade this afternoon and to be smaller tomorrow and into Tuesday.

However, there are some interesting things showing up on the midweek forecasts. If the modelling is right, we could have an extended run of fun size east swell from as early as Wednesday through to next weekend.

Have yourself a great Sunday and keep on smilin’!

Weather Situation

A high pressure system is moving towards the Bass Strait extending a ridge to northern New South Wales and a low pressure trough is developing off the north coast. Later today a low will develop within this trough and deepen on Monday as the high moves southeast of Tasmania maintaining the ridge to the northwest of the state. The low is expected to move slowly east away from the coast during Tuesday and Wednesday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly about 2 metres.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms. Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.

Monday 11 June

Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 knots around dawn then increasing to 15 to 25 knots by early evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms.

Tuesday 12 June

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly 2 metres.

Sticky: Still pumping on Monday morning

Posted by: on May 16th, 2011

 

 

Hello Friends,

Did you get in the water over the weekend? The swell didn’t quite go ballistic in the way the models (and the Bureau for that matter) said it would, but it wasn’t exactly small either. This morning sees the swell down a bit since yesterday afternoon, but it looks much cleaner at Dee Why and presumably that means it’ll be similarly smartened up at other south swell spots.

Size is around the shoulder to head high mark on the average set and there are the occasional overhead bombs in the mix. The MHL buoy off Sydney is showing a couple metres of SSE swell at about 10 seconds apart. That’s a good recipe for us. And, the wind’s set to be out of the SW-W too. According to the Bureau, it’ll weaken a little as the day goes along. So too will the swell but with luck it won’t be too drastic.

This morning’s run of the models is calling for fun size over the next two days and for a solid but brief spike on Wednesday morning. The long range models are pointing toward a stretch of small to marginal conditions from late in the week into next week. So make hay!

I was out and about with the camera this weekend, so expect a few new galleries later.

Go well with your Monday!

Tides: H @0700 L @1250

Weather Situation
A cold front is moving south of Tasmania with associated strong winds in the far south. A high pressure system centred near Adelaide is extending a ridge over New South Wales with winds easing along the remainder of the coast. Over the next few days, the high will move very slowly east strengthening the ridge over the state as winds further ease. The high is expected to move over the Tasman Sea from Wednesday onwards still maintaining the ridge towards New South Wales.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds: West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending northwest to southwesterly up to 10 knots around midday. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres.

Forecast for Tuesday
Winds: Southwesterly 5 to 10 knots. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres. Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.

Forecast for Wednesday
Winds: Southeast to southwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending north to northeasterly during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly 2 to 3 metres. Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.

 

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