Archive for August 2019

No surfin’ Sunday

Posted on August 18th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Nothing happening at the Dee Why end of the beach this morning. If you want a wave, maybe look up toward Longy or pop around to Curly where you could probably get a groveller or two. Wind is due to go around to the NE, so that may not help.

A change is headed our way, but it doesn’t look like changing the prospects of a wave. This morning’s model updates are showing flatness again tomorrow but then maybe a little uptick Tue-Wed before we cop some 3-4 metre south swell Thursday morning – but with a lot of wind. Friday the models tell us should still be big but the wind could be lighter and offshore. Saturday currently looks as though it could be pretty fun as the swell fades out.

Have a great Sunday!

All quiet at the point as of 0840

Tiny wave with no takers at Kiddies

 

Weather Situation

A cold front will sweep across southeast Australia today and into Monday. In its wake a slow moving high pressure system will move across the Bight bringing a strong west to southwesterly flow across the south of the state.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots early in the morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Monday 19 August

Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots shifting west to southwesterly 25 to 30 knots before dawn.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
South to southeasterly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of a thunderstorm in the early morning. Sunny day.

Tuesday 20 August

Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Almost but not quite flat

Posted on August 17th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Hoped to see some swell this morning after seeing the Bureau’s call last night, but it’s still about the same as last night – ie ankle to knee with the odd plus at magnets. The MHL buoy was showing 0.8 meters from 152° at 16 seconds. There’s a 1.4 metre high at 0925 and then we’re back to low at 1505. The Eden buoy was showing 1.18 m at 15 seconds as of 0500, so maybe the forecast of a small increase will come true for us later. However, there’s nothing in the numbers to give great hope for a significant improvement.

Right now it looks as though we’ll be cooling our heels until late next week as none of the models are showing significant swell energy until around Thursday when it’s possible that we’ll get an energetic south pulse…

Have a great Saturday everyone!

 

All’s quiet at Northy

Patterns in the sand but no surf to speak of at Narrabeen

Wave getting ridden near the club at DY

A few hundred people putting up tray tables and fastening seatbelts for arrival

One hopeful at the point

Surf action near the lugga

Nothing doing at Butterbox

Good morning Saturday

.

Weather Situation

A cold front that crossed the state’s southern coast late yesterday is bringing a southerly change today, reaching the northern coast later today. Meanwhile, a high pressure ridge will briefly form over the region today, before another, stronger, cold front sweeps across southeast Australia on Sunday and Monday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots early in the morning. Winds becoming variable about 10 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunday 18 August

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the morning then turning northeasterly 20 to 25 knots in the early afternoon. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Monday 19 August

Winds
Northwest to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots tending west to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Sunny day.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on August 16th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Friday 16 August 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

After a week of waves for those in their prime, it’s going down to levels more suitable for other punters… provided that’s at the right place, right tide, etc.

Saturday: around 1 metre or so dead South, with maybe occasional little sets from South East

Sunday: less than 1 metre or maybe 1 metre from North East

Monday: hmm let’s say around 1 metre or so at places open to North East

Tuesday: maybe similar…maybe not…a lot of waves headed out to sea

Wednesday: a bit more SSW so let’s say maybe 1 metre or in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places

Thursday: looking bigger tat the moment but things could change… at the moment the crystal ball is saying 2-3 metrish at dead South places…. but we’ll see about that.  Mother Nature might change her mind!

TG

Up in the Sky

A variety of more westerlies a comin’>>>>>>>>>>>

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Fri Aug 16 07:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Fri Aug 16 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216/waves?waves,2019-08-20-18,-34.296,151.216,8,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 18-19

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Friday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Light winds.

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert has been issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment due to elevated particle pollution in Sydney today, Friday 16 August.

Sun protection recommended from 10:10 am to 1:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Saturday 17 August

Summary
Min 12
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds southwest to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 10:10 am to 1:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Sunday 18 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 23
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Sunny day. Slight (20%) chance of a shower at night. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 10:10 am to 1:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Monday 19 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 18
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 25 to 35 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 10:20 am to 1:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Tuesday 20 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 20 to 30 km/h.

Wednesday 21 August

Summary
Min 12
Max 21
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds westerly 25 to 35 km/h.

Thursday 22 August

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds westerly 20 to 30 km/h turning southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning.

Friday 23 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 21
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending west to northwesterly during the morning.


North of Mona…..

Posted on August 16th, 2019 in Surf Reports.

Smaller but clean lines. Another classic late winter’s morning.

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Sent from my iPhone


Test with pic

Posted on August 15th, 2019 in Surf Reports.

Still some solid sets rolling in.


Bonus bumps

Posted on August 15th, 2019 in Surf Reports.

Hello Friends,

Here was me thinking there’d be nothing left this morning. Sitting at Dee Why a little after 8 and I’m seeing some crunchy beaches down near the pole with shoulder high faces. Not looking too malleable but at least the energy is there. Quite the crew way up at Longy where it looks chest high. Meanwhile out in front the point has a dozen people waiting out the long lulls for the odd one wave set in the waist to shoulder range.

Here are some snaps…


A few sets left in the tank this morning

Posted on August 14th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Sets at the point and along the beach were still in the shoulder plus range at around 0700 this morning. Once again, the point was busy but the beach had few takers – evidence that the lack of decent banks continues. Wind was out of the west at 10-12 kts which made the 13C air temp feel sharper. Skies were clear and tide was coming into a 1.3m high at 0740 (it’ll be back to low at 1315).

Outlook is for waist to chest high waves and benign wind conditions to last all day. Tomorrow the predictions are all in agreement – it’ll be smaller but (hopefully) still in the surfable range. Beyond that the prospects are looking less than exciting. So might be a plan to get in today if the schedule permits.

Have a great day everyone!

Ok size but shutting down along the beach

Set rolls into the point a little after 0700

Up the beach, a little line


 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system is moving steadily across the south of the state and will become established over the Tasman Sea by Wednesday night. It will be the dominant influence on the weather for the rest of the week. A cold front is expected to bring a south to southwesterly change along the southern half of the coast on Friday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Thursday 15 August

Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots tending northwesterly early in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.

Friday 16 August

Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Tuesday morning cold and clean waves

Posted on August 13th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Another cold and sunny morning with nice swell along the beaches. There were around 30 people in the water at the point by the time I checked it for the first time around 0730. Even with a consistent swell as this one looks to be, 30 folks is probably too many. Much of the problem comes down to the beach not having many peaks to offer surfers alternative choices. Maybe the last few days of activity will improve things…

Wind looks like being benign all day as it stays out of the westerly quarters. Tide was high at 0700 and is now dropping to the low 1230. The MHL buoy for Sydney is still out of action, but it looks as though swell at sea will be around the two metre mark from the SSE-SE at 11-12 seconds.  That extra touch of east is helping it wrap around the point I’d say. Beachwatch says ocean is 17C.

The models show swell energy fading out pretty rapidly across the day, but with luck we should have a few scraps in the waist high range tomorrow morning. Beyond that it appears that we’re potentially in for a week or so of really small to flat conditions.

So get out there and find a wave if you can!

 

 

The point at 0720

Typical set

Possibilities along the beach?

Another set arrives

Weather Situation

Fresh to strong south to southwesterly winds are affecting the far south only this morning as a high pressure ridge extends across the north. Light winds will then prevail for most of the coast from Wednesday onwards as the large high associated with the ridge moves slowly across the region.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming south to southwesterly about 10 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Wednesday 14 August

Winds
South to southwesterly below 10 knots tending west to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots before dawn then becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Thursday 15 August

Winds
North to northwesterly about 10 knots tending west to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.

A few pictures from this morning

Posted on August 12th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Took the board and camera down for a closer look at the point before the wind got into it. 30 people in the water and already bumpy conditions put me off the idea of adding myself to the crowd, so I took a few snaps until the southerly arrived and really knocked it on the head…


Cold and windy with swell

Posted on August 12th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

It looked to be in the chest to shoulder plus range at Dee Why when I first checked it around 0800. Sets looked to be reasonably frequent too. The beach still seems to be mostly offering shutdowns. Wind was out of the west at 14-18 kts and air temp was about 14C, so if you’re in the 17C water, you’re actually a bit warmer than if you were just standing in your wetty watching from the beach. The MHL buoy for Sydney is offline at the moment, but looking at the data north and south of it, we can infer that swell at sea is probably a couple metres and coming from the south at about 11 seconds apart.

The Bureau informs us that the wind will swing around to the south later and that the swell should roll along at the current intensity – more or less – through to Wednesday morning-ish. Wind should be SW tomorrow and light and variable Wednesday. Thereafter the models are pointing to small to flat right into next week. So, sounds like the plan is to hit it in the next three days if you can.

Have a top old Monday everyone!

Ok size but shutting down in the beachy

Set arrives at the point

 

Weather Situation

A trough of low pressure associated with a complex low pressure system over the southeastern Tasman Sea is brushing the coast, bringing strong south to southwesterly winds across the coast. The winds should ease from this afternoon as a high pressure system over the Bight slowly drifts east. Winds will become light over the coming days as the high pressure system crosses the state during the midweek period.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots at first, easing to southerly 15 to 25 knots by the late morning, tending south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday, then decreasing below 1 metre later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning and afternoon.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Tuesday 13 August

Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots, decreasing to about 10 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2.5 to 3 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Wednesday 14 August

Winds
Variable below 10 knots.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

 


 

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