Posts in Dee Why

Pretty but tiny Monday morning

Posted on September 23rd, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Stunner of a morning, but it looks like you’d be doing well to catch something with a thigh-high wave face. The point might possibly work (on the bomb sets) if you have a rescue board or something similar. But really, for all practical purposes, it’s flat. If you’re really hanging out to get wet, I’d be checking up toward Longy or around at Curly on the off chance. The Sydney MHL buoy was seeing 1.1 metres of 7-second dribble the SE as of 0600. Wind was out of the west at 6-7 kts around 0740.

Weather call is for partly cloudy and a high of 22 along the coast. Ocean is still on the cool side at 17C but water’s clean.

Both the Wavewatch and ECMWF WAF models are showing tiny conditions today and tomorrow, but while the latter isn’t predicting anything exciting, Wavewatch shows a little south influx of 1.3 metre, 9 second stuff (waist plusses at good exposures). But apart from that, the long range outlook is a very Spring like, ie weak and tiny dribble in the ankle to knee high range.

Have a top old Monday everyone!

Monday 0730 – too small to surf at the point, maybe knee high along the beach

Sydney Coastal Waters Forecast: Broken Bay to Port Hacking
View the current warnings for New South Wales

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EST on Monday 23 September 2019.

Weather Situation
A southerly change that reached the Macquarie Waters overnight will continue moving north today, reaching the Far North Waters this evening. Meanwhile, fresh and gusty west to southwesterly winds will affect southern parts of the coast today as a cold front clips the state’s southeast. A high pressure system is then set to become predominant over the region Tuesday onwards.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Tuesday 24 September
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Wednesday 25 September
Winds
West to southwesterly below 10 knots becoming south to southeasterly during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Scrappy Sunday surf

Posted on September 22nd, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Light NW breeze chopping up a small SE wind swell this morning at Dee Why. Sadly the period is just 7 seconds, so along with the gloomy grey skies and lackluster surface conditions, the waves were looking very weak. Nevertheless, there were a few keen types scattered along the beach north from the point (where there were a couple of hopefuls sitting patitently). If you want a bit more size, I’d try better exposures up the beach or around at Curly.
Water quality has been given the tick by Beachwatch which also reports an ocean temperature of 17C (thanks to the NEr for the last couple of days no doubt).
Outlook is for the energy levels to drop a bit more in the next 24 hours – and then to hang around the metre level with short periods through most of the coming week. That said, one of the more optimistic modelers reckons it could actually be fun on Thursday at south magnet spots.
We shall see…

Knee to waist high and weak at 0740

Weather Situation
A strong and slow-moving high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards New South Wales, bringing northeasterly winds to most of the coastal waters. A cold front is currently bringing a southerly change to the southern coast, and this will reach central parts of the coast today before stalling. A second front will follow on Monday, pushing the change to the Queensland border by Tuesday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 30 knots early in the morning. Winds then shifting southeast to southwesterly later in the morning then tending northeast to southeasterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm.
Monday 23 September
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots becoming southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the late afternoon then decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
The chance of a thunderstorm in the early morning. Mostly sunny day.
Tuesday 24 September
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the day.
Seas
1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Little waves, big climate strike

Posted on September 20th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A mild breezy start to the global #ClimateStrike day. Yours truly is getting ready to bus it into the Domain with family and friends, so I’ll be passing on this morning’s soft knee to waist high wind swell bumps at Dee Why. Wind was already 8-10 kts NE as of 0800. Swell was 1.6 metres at a gutless 8 seconds from the SE. By this afternoon the Bureau tells us the wind will be belting along from the NE. That’s a summery set of numbers, so if you’re keen, there might be a windswell bump in the waist plus range at semi-protected summer wind swell spots. An extra day of mostly sunny conditions should also help to knock down the run-off induced pathogen load a bit too. No use risking getting crook for 2 star surf conditions.
My plan is to take a few pics of #ClimateStrike to share via my socials. They’ll be tagged #RealSurf #ClimateStrike

Plausible for a fat fishy or a mal at 0800

Little bump gets caught at Kiddies 0800

Weather Situation
A strong and slow-moving high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards New South Wales, and is bringing a gradual return to northeasterly winds to all coastal waters. Winds are forecast to increase on today ahead of a cold front, which will bring a southerly change to the southern coast later Saturday and to central parts on Sunday before stalling. A second front will follow on Monday, pushing the change to the Queensland border by Tuesday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, tending east to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres in the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Saturday 21 September
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Sunday 22 September
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots tending southerly 15 to 20 knots during the morning then becoming east to southeast 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.


More rain keeping the water woofy

Posted on September 19th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
It was a Pollution Possible day at every surf spot from Little Bay to Palm Beach yesterday afternoon. And it’s raining again as I write this a little before 0800 on Thursday morning. As the picture shows, there is swell and there were a few devil-may-care surfers in the water at Dee Why point. However, the quality was unimpressive. Swell was 2 metres out at sea as of 0600 this morning. It was coming from the SSE, but the period was just 8 seconds so it looked pretty gutless. Wind was out of the ENE at 5-6 kts. Tide will peak at 1115, but it’s a 1.5 m high, so kinda typical rather than super swampy.
The Goat should be along with his weekly outlook later today, so I’m hoping he’ll spy something interesting in what looks to me like a rather ho-hum, will-I won’t-I set of indicators. So check back for that and of course, have a great day!

You’d want to be keen – and indifferent to dodgy water quality

Weather Situation
A high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge to Bass Straight while a trough lies over New South Wales waters. This trough will dissipate later today while the high remains firm, gradually bringing north to northeasterly winds along the entire New South Wales coast. Winds are forecast to increase on Friday ahead of a cold front, which will bring a southerly change to the southern half of the coast during the weekend. A second front will soon follow on Monday, pushing the change to the Queensland border by Tuesday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
1st Swell
East to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Friday 20 September
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the morning.
Saturday 21 September
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.


Rest day

Posted on September 13th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Wind was SSE 10-15 kts inshore by 0700 on Friday morning. Yesterday’s surprisingly punchy swell seems to have vanished – in line with expectations. It was about a metre at 11 seconds from the SSE out at sea, but as the picture shows it was closer to ankle to knee high at Dee Why. According to the Bureau, the southerly wind should drop back a bit as the day goes along and the swell should perk back up a bit. Whether it gets into your idea of a surfable range remains to be seen.

Both the ECM and Wavewatch models are showing conditions staying micro tomorrow but possibly perking a tiny bit on Sunday before stumbling back into marginal for the front half of next week.

Have a top old Friday everyone!

 

0630 micro again

Weather Situation
A cold front moving through Victoria and southern New South Wales has brought a fresh southerly change to the south and central coasts overnight and will reach the far north coast around midday. A high will move across New South Wales in its wake, and should move to the Tasman Sea on Sunday. Another cold front is expected to affect the southern half of the coast later on Monday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the early afternoon then becoming northerly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre, tending southerly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Saturday 14 September
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly early in the morning then becoming variable about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Sunday 15 September
Winds
North to northwesterly below 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.


Lotsa waves this morning

Posted on September 12th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

That’s interesting. Yesterday’s forecasts and models pointed to declining energy levels overnight, but it only looked a bit smaller as of 0700. There were shoulder plus sets along the beach north of the surf club and chest to shoulder plus at the point for the 20 or so already in the water. Wind was light NW under sunny skies when I grabbed the snaps. Out at sea, the swell was 3.7 metres at 12 seconds apart from the SSE-SE. So, if you had a good session yesterday, I’d go back there again today.

Outlook on the ECM and Wavewatch models is for the wave energy to fade back to sub one metre tomorrow. But the Bureau begs to differ, predicting a mix of east and south swell for Friday. – and they see the south pulsing up on Saturday (along with some south wind). Beyond that, we’re left to the ECM and Wavewatch for a look into the future and they’re telling us we could be in for an extended period of weak and small conditions.

Make a move today if you can!

 

Nice looking section

Beachy looking fun

20+ in the4 water by 0700

Waist to chest with plusses at 0700

Weather Situation
A high pressure system near the Bight is extending a ridge across the state as a low near New Zealand moves east. Winds are forecast to freshen a little from the west to northwest on Thursday ahead of a cold front that clips the state’s south. Late on Thursday and during Friday a southerly change is forecast to move up the New South Wales coast as a cold front clips the south. Another front is expected on the weekend.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore during the morning and early afternoon. Winds tending northwesterly in the morning then becoming variable about 10 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southerly around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Friday 13 September
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming southerly 15 to 25 knots before dawn then becoming variable about 10 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 0.5 metres by early evening.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the early morning. Mostly sunny afternoon.
Saturday 14 September
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending southerly during the morning then becoming variable about 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 0.5 metres during the evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny


Fun looking morning

Posted on September 11th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Conditions have settled down into the waist to chest high range at south swell magnets. Weather outlook is for sunny and SW wind early going NE later. Swell is out of the SSE at 9 seconds with heights at sea close to the 2.5 m mark. There was a 1.3 metre high tide at 0640 and we’re currently dropping to the low at 1215.

The swell models show the energy levels staying about at the current intensity all day. There should still be a little something for tomorrow morning’s session, but beyond that it looks a wee bit marginal from there through the weekend. Both ECM and Wavewatch models are saying it could come back up on Saturday, so bit of divergence between them and the various interpretations (eg MSW or Surfline).

Beachwatch shows 18C water temp and clean water quality across Sydney’s beaches.

Have a great Wednesday everyone!

Might be fun up the beach

Beachbreak opportunity

All in at the point

Cruising inside

Weather Situation
Southerly winds will ease today as a deep low near New Zealand moves east and a high near the Bight extends a ridge across the state. Late on Thursday and during Friday a southerly change is forecast to move up the New South Wales coast as a cold front clips the south. Another front is expected on the weekend.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting north to northeasterly during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Thursday 12 September
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots turning northwesterly in the late morning then shifting west to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
1st Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Friday 13 September
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southerly during the morning then becoming variable about 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Bright and windy with waves

Posted on September 8th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Wind chill definitely a thing as the dawn opened play for the day. At North Head it was 20-30 kts westerly as of 0900. The keen types dealing with the firehose in the face effect of such strong offshores were latching onto chest high sets at the point. The beach looked to be a bit bigger, but very straight and shutting down. The MHL buoy was showing 2.8 m but SSW at 9 seconds apart as of 0700.
The BoM says we can expect the wind to throttle back a little by late afternoon while the swell should stay about the same inshore, even as it builds out at sea. Tomorrow it says we can expect gale force W-SW wind, the possibility of rain and a midday ramp of the swell into the 4-5 metre range. The bigness should stick around into Tuesday morning on current reckoning, but the wind won’t be back off much and the partly cloudy potentially showery weather will still be doing its thing.
From the look of the models, there should be a gradual weakening of the wind and swell for the latter part of the work week, but indications are that we should have surfable stuff to play in.
Have a top old Sunday!

Wave at the point 0830

Straight offshore and waist to chest

Unridden section up the beach among the closeouts 0830

Weather Situation
A deepening low pressure system east of Bass Strait is generating vigorous west to southwesterly winds over New South Wales Waters. Winds will shift southerly early next week as the low moves further east across the Tasman Sea, with winds beginning to ease from Tuesday as a high pressure system approaches from the west.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the late afternoon. Winds may reach up to 30 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres inshore, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Monday 9 September
Gale Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots, reaching up to 45 knots during the day. Winds turning southerly 25 to 30 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, increasing to 4 to 5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, increasing to 4 to 5 metres around midday.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Tuesday 10 September
Winds
Southerly 25 to 35 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
2 to 4 metres.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 5 metres, decreasing to 3 metres during the evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning


Bumpy and small at Dee Why this morning

Posted on September 6th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

As of 0645 the wind was 8-12 kts from the NE and the MHL buoy’s latest data showed 1.6 m at 11 seconds from 158° (SSE). As the pictures show, the surface conditions were lightly choppy and wave faces were in the waist to chest range at Dee Why.

Outlook for the rest of the day and tomorrow is not too interesting surfwise. Both the ECM and Wavewatch models show us approaching near flat conditions by tomorrow morning. The forecasts continue to show a southerly pulse coming our way on Sunday. ECM predicts that it’ll still be small on Sunday morning, while Wavewatch says it could be into the 2 metre range at 10 seconds apart by 0600. Wavewatch sees the swell ramping into the 3+ metre range by mid afternoon, but ECM says naw, only a little bigger than the morning. Both models show wind out of the SW to W across the day. By Monday Wavewatch says it should still be solid, but ECM’s saying a touch under 2 metres at 9 seconds (definitely surfable). They’re calling for wind to be offshoreish early but then a blasting southerly hits by about midday. Wavewatch remains excitable as it predicts 4 metres of 11 sec south for Tuesday morning. ECM is again less enthusiastic, calling for maybe half that. Both models show the energy levels declining across the day on Tuesday.

Have a top old Friday!

Murky looking in the city

Rider riding a little one at the point 0630

Sets looked mildly interesting

Maybe, if you were pretty keen, you could find something to do along the beach.

Weather Situation
A vigorous cold front will cross the coast today, associated with a deepening low near Bass Strait. This low should slowly move away to the east during the weekend, as the next high extends into New South Wales.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Gale Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots shifting westerly 25 to 30 knots in the late afternoon or early evening. Winds reaching up to 35 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore by early evening.
Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore late this afternoon and evening.
Saturday 7 September
Gale Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Westerly 25 to 30 knots increasing to 30 to 40 knots in the morning then tending southwesterly 25 to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
2 to 4 metres, increasing to 4 to 6 metres offshore around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the early morning.
Sunday 8 September
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
3 to 5 metres, decreasing to 2 to 3 metres during the evening.
Swell
Below 0.5 metres, tending southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Scrappy but surfable sunny morning

Posted on September 5th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Out at sea the swell was 1.7 metres at 10 seconds apart as of 0600. It was coming from the SSE (160°) and the wind was WSW 4-6 kts by 0800. As you can see from the pictures, the surface conditions were somewhat choppy looking and set wave faces were in the waist to waist and a bit range at the point. The tide was low at 0632 and will be back to high at 1300, so there should be a little incoming tide push going on. Nevertheless, the beachy looked to be closing out and from the RealSurf crowsnest I couldn’t see anyone in the water.
From the look of the models this morning, we can expect the surf to become even more margin over the next couple of days, but after hitting bottom surfwise around Saturday, it currently looks pretty interesting from Sunday through to mid next week – and possibly beyond. If it pans out as the models suggest this morning, we could see big to very big conditions from Sunday with favourable wind conditions… here’s hoping!
Have a great day everyone.

Not big but catchable

Set shapes up

Beachy looking shuty-downy at 0745

Weather Situation
A broad ridge of high pressure will remain the dominant synoptic feature over eastern New South Wales today. On Friday, a vigorous cold front is expected to cross the coast, associated with a deepening low near Bass Strait. This low should move away to the east during the weekend, as the next high pressure system extends into New South Wales.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Southerly about 10 knots becoming east to southeasterly in the afternoon then east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Friday 6 September
Gale Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots shifting westerly 25 to 35 knots in the afternoon. Winds easing to 20 to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Swell
East to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Saturday 7 September
Winds
Westerly 25 to 35 knots turning southwesterly during the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 5 metres offshore during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 5 metres.