Posts in Dee Why

Little lines coming into Dee Why

Posted on December 5th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Light NNW winds beginning to push smoke in from the record number of fires across NSW. Swell is dead south (182°) and, in line with predictions, has into the 2 metre range at 12 seconds. There’s definitely more of a line showing at the Dee Why end of the beach and there were even a few folks out at the point waiting hopefully around for a set. But to get the maximum size, you’ll be heading to the northern ends and south magnets where I’d be expecting shoulder high with the odd plus. The Bureau says the swell will peak this morning and the models showing it fading back overnight into tomorrow. As always I’m keen to see what the Goat thinks about the coming surf week’s prospects when he rolls out his forecast later today.

We’re heading to a scorcher today with a high of 34C along the coast and air quality is pretty bad. Water temperature is sitting on 20C and the next tide is a low at 0935. It’ll be back to a moderate 1.38 m high at 1545.

Have a good one.

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated PM2.5 and ozone levels in Sydney for Thursday 5 December 2019.

 

A few waiting at the point as a little line comes into the beach at 0745

Lines showing up the beach, maybe more north from there


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Weather Situation
A number of cold fronts will cross southeastern Australia over the coming days, bringing a series of wind changes to New South Wales waters, particularly through southern and central parts.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots, tending north to northeasterly in the early afternoon. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres, increasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.
Friday 6 December
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day then tending southeasterly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Saturday 7 December
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Sunday scrappyness at Dee Why

Posted on December 1st, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Less than amazing late morning at Dee Why this Sunday. There were a few gutless bumps, but you had to work them to get any forward motion. Lulls were long too and by the time I grabbed the snaps around 1040, the high tide was less than two hours away. So, on top of the weak swell, it was also getting fatter. Yes, you could go for a paddle, and there’s nothing wrong with that, but finding any juice, well that wasn’t really on the menu.

The wind was dribbly side shore, but the Bureau tells us it should swing NE during the afternoon – and the swell will weaken.

Looks as though the weak and tiny conditions will be southerly tomorrow but late Wednesday and overnight into Thursday, the Wavewatch model is showing a straight south pulse that might get into the magnets. The ECM model doesn’t agree and it predicts tiny dribble through the week.

I’m planning to head down to Manly after lunch to see if I can make myself useful on the Surfrider Ocean Care Day stall. Drop on by if you’re around!

Head dip on a bomb near No Mans 1040

UFO looms over the hot surf action as a one wave set hits No Mans 1035

Looking like very long waits at Longy lugga

Rider slowing into instability as the little wave at Kiddies fades out

Weather Situation
A weakening trough lies over the New South Wales north coast today, with winds shifting northerly in most coastal areas. A vigorous cold front will reach the southern coast tonight, continuing through remaining areas on Monday, bringing a gusty west to southwesterly change. Following this, a weak ridge looks set to develop over the region on Tuesday, and should remain dominant through much of the coming week.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day then tending northerly 20 to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the evening.
Monday 2 December
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots before dawn, reaching 30 knots during the day.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 3 December
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots tending northwest to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then tending west to northwesterly during the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.


Barely there for the early

Posted on November 30th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Another dense atmosphere morning for Sydney and the Bureau has the following warning on its Saturday forecast:

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated PM2.5 levels in Sydney for Saturday.

It’s right at the lower end of surfability this morning at Dee Why and Narrabeen. If you figure ankle to knee with the odd thigh high bomb set, your expectations should be close to reality. Wind has come around to south and was 12-15 kts when I grabbed the pictures at 0630-0640.

Tide is currently running into what will be a swampy high at 1135. The bump is coming from the SSE-SE at 7 seconds apart and about 1.3 metres out at sea.

Outlook is for conditions to deteriorate surfwise as the day goes along and right now I’m not seeing much of interest on the models until around midweek when there seems to be prospect of a small south pulse into the waist-ish range.

Have yourself a top old Saturday everyone!

Paltry offerings at Long Reef

A few tiny bumps in the corner at Dee Why

Trying – but not succeeding – south Narrabeen

Waist high at Northy 0630

Near the Gardens 0630

Weather Situation
A weak high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the northern New South Wales coast, while a cold front brings a southerly change to southern central waters today. This change is expected to stall and decay in the north during Sunday. A second, more vigorous cold front is forecast to affect southern waters later Sunday and continue through remaining areas on Monday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots in the early morning, locally reaching 30 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
Sunday 1 December
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning then north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day. Winds locally reaching 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening.
Monday 2 December
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 25 knots turning westerly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy


Grey skies for Friday morning

Posted on November 29th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Looks like a morning to give it a miss at Dee Why unless you’re really, really keen. And if you are, you can have ankle to knee high dribble pretty much to yourself. Out at sea the wind bump is a couple of metres but less than 7 seconds apart and coming from the SE. Wind as of 0700 was light NE. Next tide is a high of 1.83m at 1055. And then there’s this from today’s forecast for Sydney:

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert has been issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated PM2.5 levels in Sydney for Friday 29 November 2019.

We’re going to a high of 28.
Outlook? Ah, well, we have the Goat’s weekly wisdom to consider!
Go well with your Friday.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is directing north to northeasterly winds over New South Wales waters. A cold front is forecast to bring a southerly change to southern parts of the coast late Friday, central parts on Saturday and northern parts on Sunday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.
Saturday 30 November
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting southerly 20 to 25 knots in the morning then tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early evening ahead of a late southwesterly change 10 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening.
Sunday 1 December
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots becoming west to northwesterly about 10 knots during the morning then becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny. The chance of a thunderstorm


Surf on hold at Dee Why

Posted on November 28th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

So, nothing doing on the surf front this morning for Dee Why. Swell is straight south and about 1.5 metres with a period of 9 seconds. Wind was coming faintly from the NW at 0730. Tide was ramping up to a swampy 1.9 m high at 1010. We’re going to a high of 29 on what is forecast to be a sunny day.  While there aren’t any waves at the south end, there might be a little something into the knee plus range up the beach toward Longy, but I don’t think you’ll find much of anything above waist high anywhere along the beaches.

The Goat should be along later with his thoughts about the surf prospects for the weekend and next week. I hope he’ll see something, because my reading of the runes is that we could be facing a proper summer style flat spell. Really hope to be proven wrong!

Have yourself a top old Thursday everyone.

Dee Why tiny Thursday morning

Faint line up the beach

Weather Situation
A weak ridge of high pressure extends across the region with northerly winds generally prevailing next couple of days. A cold front passing to the south will bring a brief southerly change to the far south coast this afternoon. A stronger front looks set to bring a southerly change to southern parts late Friday, central parts on Saturday and northern parts on Sunday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon and reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.
Friday 29 November
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.
Saturday 30 November
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots turning northwesterly in the morning. Winds shifting southerly in the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Easterly below 1 metre, tending northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.


Beautiful morning with waves

Posted on November 27th, 2019 in At large, Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Had a look around this morning to see if I could spot a worthy wave. Swell has come up as expected. It’s straight south and a couple of metres out at sea with a period of 11 seconds. This meant it was biggest at north ends such as Long Reef. Unfortunately in the latter case the SW wind was chewing it up pretty severely before 0900 when I looked. Plus a deep 1.9 m high tide was coming into the to the peak at 0925. The tide and straight south combo weren’t delivering a lot of joy down at the Dee Why end. There were plenty of folk in the water from Kiddies up to No Mans, and some set wave faces looked to be into the shoulder high range, but they were really difficult to paddle into and the sets were not too frequent.

By the time the tide is ready to play nice, the wind will be southerly, going around later to the NE at the end of the day. So, timing will be everything if you’re going to have a go – as usual.

Water quality’s basically good everywhere but Queensy lagoon and temp is sitting on 20C.

Right now it looks as though the general settings will be retained through tomorrow and then the models show the period decreasing as we get into Friday-Saturday. So if you can find something today, I’d do it.

Have a great Wednesday everyone.

No Mans wave of the morning

Fat shoulder at Dee Why

Lotta waiting around for short rides near the Lugga

Size but scrappy and lumpy in high tide, sideshore Longy.

Heart-stopping action at Collaroy 0830

The Ile De Brehat, a French cable-laying vessel off Narrabeen this morning

 

Weather Situation

A weak ridge of high pressure is establishing itself about coastal parts in the wake of a cold front. Northeasterly winds will prevail over the coming days, before a southerly change moves up the waters behind the next cold front on the weekend.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots shifting northeasterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Thursday 28 November

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.

Friday 29 November

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunny and smoke hazy with no waves

Posted on November 26th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

The smoke from the bush fires up and down NSW has dropped visibility to around 10 km along the beaches this morning. As the picture shows there’s no real reason to take anything smaller than a SUP down to the seashore at Dee Why. The MHL buoy is showing a little under a metre from the NE at 8 seconds and North Head was reporting 8-9 kts from the NNE at 0720.

The wind will get into the 15-25 kt range today before swinging SW late and tomorrow should see it light SW early with a rising south swell. From the look of the models, it’ll be straight south, so the waves will probably only be surfable at the magnets. How big? Well, I’m hoping for waist with the odd chest plus on bombs. But we’ll see…

Have a great Tuesday!

Another flat and smoky start to a hot day

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies over the Tasman Sea, promoting northerly winds along the New South Wales coast. A cold front looks set to bring a vigorous southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast on this afternoon and evening, and then weaken as it reaches northern parts of the coast on Wednesday. Following this, winds are expected to gradually ease as a weak high pressure ridge extends along the coast through the remainder of the week.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Gale Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting southwesterly 25 to 30 knots in the evening. Winds reaching up to 40 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Sunny morning. 80% chance of showers during this afternoon and evening. A thunderstorm likely during this afternoon and evening, possibly severe.
Wednesday 27 November
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots before dawn then shifting easterly below 10 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
2.5 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
1st Swell
Below 0.5 metres, tending southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Thursday 28 November
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.


Micro Monday

Posted on November 25th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Light NNW breeze early brought the smoke haze back to the beaches this morning. It should pick up later as it swings NE and gets up to 15-25 kts. Out at sea the MHL buoy was detecting less than a metre of 8 second bump from the SE. But it wasn’t doing anything surfwise at Dee Why. It should heat up to 29C and there’s a 60% chance of a shower or two. Yesterday’s Beachwatch report said that our water temp is up to 21C now. So, no more steamers until next June – apart from the odd NEr dropping the temps for a few days…
There might possibly be a few little semi-rideable bumps this afternoon when the wind’s been up for a few hours, but I’m not expecting much. Tomorrow doesn’t look a lot more interesting, but Wednesday morning could have the odd chest high face at south exposures.
Go well with your Monday!

Hazy and micro at Dee Why 0650

Nothing going on at No Mans

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies over the Tasman Sea, promoting northerly winds along the New South Wales coast. A cold front looks set to bring a vigorous southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast from Tuesday afternoon, and then weaken as it reaches northern parts of the coast on Wednesday. Following this, winds are expected to gradually ease as a weak high pressure ridge extends along the coast.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening.
Tuesday 26 November
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots shifting west to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Weather
Becoming cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
Wednesday 27 November
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots shifting east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Winds reaching up to 30 knots during the early morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres developing during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny


Gloomy, choppy and small for Sunday morning

Posted on November 24th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Looks like a great day to do something other than try to surf at Dee Why (and elsewhere along the beaches no doubt). The pictures really tell the story, but for the record out at sea the bumps are into the 1.5 metre range, they’re coming from the SSE but the period’s a febrile 5 seconds. So, just chop really. Just to round out the picture, the wind is a steady 10kt SSE’r. Blergh. Oh and there’s a possibility of very welcome showers.
Tomorrow looks like being hot and smoky again. Surfwise we’re probably not going to see anything much until maybe Wednesday morning when a little south pulse could turn up with light wind.

We had a brilliant turn out for yesterday’s paddle out at Manly. I put a few pictures on Surfrider’s Facebook page from the Fight For The Bight paddle-out .  To see some of the 50 or so other paddleouts around the country, check out the Great Australian Bight Alliance FB page This should give Equinor a very clear message: no fossil fuel drilling in Australia.

Go well everyone!

 

No Mans bumps 0830

Small crew in the water at Kiddies, but waves look paltry.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies over the northern Tasman Sea while a weakening trough lies about the lower Mid North Coast. South to southeasterly winds lie to the south of the trough and north to northeasterly winds to the north. This trough trough is expected to have weaken during today, such that by Monday the high will be promoting northerly winds along the coast till the next front brings a vigorous southerly change to southern and central parts on Tuesday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon and then becoming variable about 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.
Monday 25 November
Winds
Northerly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the early morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
Tuesday 26 November
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots ahead of a gusty south to southwesterly change 25 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Becoming cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.


Another smoky morning

Posted on November 22nd, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

The beach was just barely visible from RealSurf HQ thanks to another day of smoke from the fires devouring vast areas of the bush around NSW. Waves look very small and the MHL buoy shows why: it’s around 2 metres from the north out at sea but average period is only 7 seconds. I’d call it ankle to knee with the odd plus where Dee Why’s concerned.
Tide is currently dropping to low at 1115.
Outlook for tomorrow and beyond we now know thanks to the all-seeing, all-knowing, very stable Goat who graced us with a forecast overnight.
Have a good Friday everyone!

With a severe amount of processing, you can sort of make out that there are waves.

The point just barely visible at 0710 (unprocessed image)


 

 
Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies over the northern Tasman Sea will direct increasing north to northeasterly winds along the coast, as a cold front approaches from the southwest. This front will bring a vigorous southerly change to central parts of the coast, reaching the lower Mid North Coast by Friday afternoon, when it is expected to stall and weaken.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting south to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning then tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Saturday 23 November
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds turning east to southeasterly below 10 knots in the afternoon then tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy.
Sunday 24 November
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly below 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm