Archive for September 2018

Windblown and junky

Posted on September 30th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Late start for your correspondent, so by the time I got to the beach at 1000, things were looking half-past ordinary. The wind had settled to the south (it’ll go SE later). Although it was 1.7 m from 165°, the windswell period was a shade under the 8-second mark. So, weak and gutless and close together wind blown slop. Tide was about 90 minutes away from the 1.6 m high when I grabbed the pics.

Should be a partly cloudy Sunday for us with a high of 19C and only a small chance of a sprinkle. About the only good news is that Beachwatch says the water’s up to 20C.

Still looking like a very small week ahead. Right now the models are showing the wind being light in the mornings and onshore by midday. From Thursday afternoon we go back into vigorous south wind conditions that could last right through into next week – when they swing more, wait for it, SE. Groan.

Looks like yours truly will be clocking up the k’s on the pushy….

Have a fine Sunday everyone!

Kiddies set at 1000

 

No Mans dribble

 

Burbling slop at Longy

 

Tearing it up at Longy

Weather Situation

A pressure system over Victoria extends a ridge up the New South Wales coast as a low pressure trough over the Tasman Sea moves eastwards, bringing south to southeast winds to the Waters today. The high is drifting slowly east, and should be over the Tasman Sea by Monday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots early in the morning. Winds turning southeasterly below 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of a shower.

Monday 1 October

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres, increasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Tuesday 2 October

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots turning northeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Clean little waves this morning

Posted on September 29th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Nice morning and nice, if soft, little windswell making for short rides at the few magnets picking up the energy – such as it is. Wind not a factor before 0700 and skies were mostly sunny. At 0600 swell off Sydney was coming from the SSW (190°) at 6 seconds. The fact that there are little waves is a pleasant surprise.

Swell is set to come around to the south and push up by lunch time. Of course by then the wind’ll be into it from the south at 20-30 kts. And it’s set to stay that way through tomorrow.

Tide’s coming into the 1.6 m high at 1050, before dropping back to the low at 1710.

Outlook is not fabulous I have to say. The southerly doesn’t seem likely to bring much in the way of quality and by the time we get into next week the prospects are pretty grim. Right now there doesn’t seem to be much hope for any action until Friday or thereabouts. Hope they’re wrong!

Have a great Saturday everyone.

 

 

Out for a stroll along the beach at Narrabeen 0650

 

Tucking into a tiny shorey at Northy 0650

 

Stepping up at Longy 0640

 

Finding a corner at Kiddies 0635

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is promoting northerly winds along the north coast, while a trough moving up the south coast is bringing a southerly change in its wake. This southerly change will move through the north coast today. On Sunday, a new high pressure system is expected to move across from the west.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots in the afternoon. Winds tending southerly 20 to 25 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening, then decreasing below 1 metre later in the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunday 30 September

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy.

Monday 1 October

Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Should be a little something somewhere

Posted on September 28th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Swell’s faded away pretty dramatically this morning compared to 24 hours ago. Wind was out of the north at 9-10 kts under sunny skies. As of 0600 the MHL buoy off Sydney was showing about 12 seconds of 1.4 metre SSE (158-164°) swell. As the pictures show, this meant the point was too small to have any takers and up toward No Mans it was maybe a touch bigger but again, with no one in. My guess is that it might be a touch bigger up toward Longy (knee to waist plus?).  The Bureau says it’s likely to fade across the day.

Tide hits a 1.62 m high at 1010 and is back to a lowish 0.36 m at 1620. Water’s around the 18C mark.

Not too exciting on the outlook. Tomorrow is going to be cloudy and southerly but there doesn’t seem to be much hope for much, if any, improvement to the energy levels. The models are showing very short periods and heaps of wind unfortunately.

As of this morning the surf prospects for next week are still shaping to be very small to flat until (maybe) late in the weekend. Both the ECM and Wavewatch models are showing big seas south of the content all week, but they don’t show the energy ’rounding the corner, so to speak, until maybe next weekend. Maybe.

So on that cautiously hopeful note, may I wish you and yours a fine Friday!

Still the odd set in the mix at 0730

 

Much smaller than yesterday and no takers at 0730

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will promote fresh northerly winds along most of the coast ahead of an approaching cold front. This front will bring a southerly change to the southern half of the coast today, before moving up the north coast on Saturday. On Sunday, a new high pressure system is expected to move across from the west.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending north to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm late this afternoon and evening.

Saturday 29 September

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the afternoon and evening. Winds tending southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the late morning and afternoon.

Sunday 30 September

Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming east to southeasterly about 10 knots during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunny skies and nice lines

Posted on September 27th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Sunny with light NW wind and clean looking lines at Dee Why this morning. Sets looked to be into the shoulder high range at both the point and along the beach. At 0600 the 2 metre swell was coming from 156-160° at 11 seconds apart.

Wind is set to come around to the NE by midday, so the clean conditions at Dee Why won’t last long. Tide is coming into a 1.6 m high at 0930 and will be back out to the 0.35 m low at 1535. Water is 18C according to Beachwatch.

From the look of the forecasts, this morning is really it for the south ends. As the NEr kicks in, the models show the swell beginning to tail off. The very long periods have yet to materialise in the MHL data and tomorrow the predictions are that we’ll be back to small to marginal conditions tomorrow. And beyond that, the weekend and next week are shaping to be rather ho-hum.

Get in if you can and have a top old Thursday!

Distinct line at No Mans

 

Set arrives at the point

 

Set waves for the crew at 0710

Weather Situation

Northerly winds will increase today with a high pressure system drifting into the Tasman Sea and a front approaching the far west of the state. This front will bring a southerly change to the southern half of the coast on Friday, before continuing to the north on Saturday. Behind this, a new high is expected to move across from the west on Sunday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Cloud clearing.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Friday 28 September

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Saturday 29 September

Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres during the evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.

Smooth, grey and lightly raining early

Posted on September 26th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

More light rain for this morning – which is a good thing for parched gardens but makes the small to micro swell conditions less inviting. Wind was lightly offshore but waves were struggling to reach the waist high range. I’d call it ankle to knee with the odd waist. The MHL buoy data seemed to be offline, so no numbers to report this morning.

Tide will hit the 1.56 m high at 0850 and back to a lowish 0.35 m at 1450. Water is sitting on 18C.

This morning’s forecast from the Bureau says we can expect the swell to bump up a little across the day as the wind comes around to the SW. As noted for the last week or so, we’re expecting to see some long period south energy tomorrow and the Bureau has posted a warning about dangerous conditions. If we get into the 15-17 second range shown on the models’ outlook, there could be some solid sets. But, at those long periods, the lulls between sets will be equally long.

Beyond tomorrow’s pulse, the outlook is for a return to small to marginal conditions across the weekend and into next week.

Have a great Wednesday every one!

Down from yesterday

 

Tiny line at No Mans 0715

Weather Situation

A high pressure system near Tasmania is extending a ridge into the Tasman Sea, while a low pressure trough lies just off southern and central parts of the New South Wales coast. This trough will shift to the north coast tonight before weakening on Thursday as the high becomes dominant over the Tasman Sea. Northerly winds will increase on Thursday ahead of the next front, which is forecast to bring a southerly change to the southern half of the coast on Friday, before continuing to the north on Saturday. Behind this, a new high is expected to move across from the west on Sunday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to southeasterly in the middle of the day then becoming east to northeasterly about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning and afternoon.

Thursday 27 September

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloud clearing.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Friday 28 September

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Glassy early

Posted on September 25th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

At 0700 the weather radar was showing showers just off the coast when I took the pictures this morning. Down at the beach it was looking smooth and glassy with the occasional waist plus wave face just north of the club. There was one person at the point chasing soft and weak looking knee plus sets. A couple of hours earlier the MHL buoy was seeing 2 metres of 10-sec SSE (158°) swell. Tide hits a moderate 1.5 m high at 0815 and will be low again at 1415. Ocean temperature is around 18C.

The Bureau tells us to expect the wind to go east but only to get into the 10 kt range. Swell should stick around for the next three days and the models continue to predict a long period (15-17 sec) pulse on Thursday.

Have a top old Tuesday everyone!

Just into the surfable range at 0700

 

Sets at the point and Kiddies 0700

 

Nobody on this section near No Mans

 

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system near Tasmania is extending a ridge along the New South Wales coast, bringing east to southeast winds. Winds will shift east to northeasterly in most areas tonight and Wednesday as the high moves to the Tasman Sea and weakens. Northerly winds are expected to increase on Thursday ahead of the next front, which is forecast to bring a change to the south coast on Friday, before continuing to the north on Saturday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
East to southeasterly about 10 knots becoming northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Wednesday 26 September

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day then becoming east to northeasterly about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Thursday 27 September

Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Misty Monday Morning

Posted on September 24th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Definitely a little more activity wavewise at Dee Why, but misting grey skies and somewhat chilly temps were combining to keep the punters to a minimum as of 0745. Wind was 10-15 kts down at North Head and tide was just reaching the 1.45 m high when I grabbed the snaps at 0745. The MHL buoy was seeing 2.7 m from the usual southerly direction (160-164°) but the period was only 7 seconds as of 0600 – meanwhile down the coast at Eden it’s gone up to 12 seconds. So, coming our way I’d guess.

According to various models, the longer period south stuff should stick around through midweek before ramping up into the 16 second range around Thursday. Wind velocities for the morning sessions should also be dropping back a bit over the next 3 days – which ought to help.

So not too flash for today, but a bit more hopeful for the following three to four days.

Have a great Monday everyone!

You might be able to surf that… 0745

 

Faint line up the beach

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure south of the Bight is extending a ridge along the New South Wales Coast, thereby maintaining fresh southerly winds in the wake of a southerly change. Winds will gradually ease today and then shift east to northeasterly on Tuesday as the high moves drifts to the Tasman Sea and weakens. North to northeasterly winds are expected to increase mid week ahead of the next front, which is forecast to bring a southerly change to the south coast on Thursday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots early in the morning. Winds tending southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy.

Tuesday 25 September

Winds
Southeasterly about 10 knots tending northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening then tending northerly in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Wednesday 26 September

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming easterly 10 to 15 knots during the day then tending northeasterly during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunday not showing much in the morning

Posted on September 23rd, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Hazy, mild and breezy (SW 10-12kts) morning under a bright but mostly cloudy sky for Sunday. There seemed to be a small line at the point, but as of 0740 there didn’t appear to be anyone in the water there or along the beach to No Mans. The MHL Sydney buoy hasn’t reported in since early yesterday morning. In fact the nearest active unit is down at Batemans Bay where it was detecting 1.5 metres of 11.8 second SSE (156°) swell.  Tide was high at 0710 and will be back to low at 1300.

Wind is set to swing to the south and pick up across the day to be 20-30 kts by evening. Swell should come up with it, but I’m not too hopeful that the surf options will improve.

The southerly should blow all night and still be at it tomorrow morning when the Bureau says we can expect a mix of southerly and easterly swell. There might possibly be a few south options for the dawn patrol, but overall things aren’t looking exceptionally flash for Mon-Tues.

Wednesday and Thursday mornings look more hopeful at this stage. The models are still showing a long period influx on Thursday so we could see some solid sets but with long lulls.

We shall see…

Have a top old Sunday and keep on smilin’!

 

Little line at the point

Quiet up the beach at 0740

Weather Situation

A southerly change associated with a Southern Ocean cold front moved up the south coast of New South Wales last night and will move northwards up the north coast today. A strong high pressure system over the Bight is expected to rapidly push a ridge along the New South Wales coast in the wake of the change, thereby strengthening southerly winds along the southern and central coasts this afternoon and evening. Southerly winds are forecast to ease during Monday and then shift east to northeasterly on Tuesday as the high moves from the Bight to the Tasman Sea and weakens.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots, increasing to 20 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers this evening.

Monday 24 September

Winds
Southerly 25 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots before dawn then decreasing to about 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 metre by early evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Tuesday 25 September

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Clean and tiny Saturday

Posted on September 22nd, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Another beautiful morning along the beaches. Skies are clear, winds were light and offshore at 0630 and there is a tiny south wind swell delivering the odd waist high wave face at magnet spots. Water’s around the 18C mark,. Tide was high at 0635, which probably didn’t help much, but as the pictures show, with the right equipment at the right spot, you could get one – just don’t expect to rack up a big wave count.

Wind is set to go around to the NE at 15-20 kts later this morning, so getting in early is the plan.

The MHL buoy was showing 0.9 m from the south (160-164°) at 8 seconds apart as of 0500. It should stay at those settings today. Tomorrow Huey swings the wind to the south and dials in a 60% chance of shower. As the wind ramps, the swell will follow. Some models are predicting a noticeable bump in the afternoon, but others are not so hopeful. The consensus seems to be that Sunday-Tuesday will be dominated by south wind and 1.5-2m of 8-10 sec straight south swell.

Happily, prospects for Weds-Fri are interesting. If the predictions are right, we’re looking at around 1.5 metres of longish period (13-17 sec) south swell. Wind could be offshore in the mornings too.

Here’s hoping!

Have a top old Saturday one and all.

In a quiet corner of the lagoon

 

No Mans

 

SUPs the go in the soft high tide conditions

 

Putting their backs into it off Collaroy

 

Waiting for something catchable

 

Behind you!

 

A few folk in the water at Northy 0630

Weather Situation

A high pressure system drifting slowly across southeast Australia is expected to be over the Tasman Sea today. This should result in a gradual return to northerly winds in most coastal areas, before the next cold front and southerly change on Sunday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
North to northwesterly about 10 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunday 23 September

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 20 to 25 knots during the morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers in the evening.

Monday 24 September

Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots turning southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Another barely there surf day

Posted on September 21st, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Not much of anything to be seen at Dee Why this beautiful morning. Couldn’t see anyone in the water, nor any reason for them to be there for that matter. Swell was sitting on 1.2 m at 9 seconds from the south (162-164°). Tide was high at 0555 and is now dropping to a 0.6 m low at 1135. According to Beachwatch, the water temp is up to 18C.

Outlook is for conditions to remain tiny through the weekend, but next week’s outlook has improved on some models this morning. From around Monday – if they’re right – we could start to see some improvement at south spots. The problem is that the wind could be southerly into Tuesday. Right now Thursday is shaping to be the tip for south spots.

Have a great Friday everybody!

No sign of surf at Dee Why

 

Tiny lines hint at possibilities

0530 WRL cam

Weather Situation

A high pressure system will drift slowly across southeast Australia today, and is expected to be over the Tasman Sea by the weekend. This should result in a gradual return to northerly winds in most coastal areas, before the next cold front and southerly change on Sunday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Saturday 22 September

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunday 23 September

Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 20 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the evening.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

 

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