Archive for September 2018

Clean and tiny Saturday

Posted on September 22nd, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Another beautiful morning along the beaches. Skies are clear, winds were light and offshore at 0630 and there is a tiny south wind swell delivering the odd waist high wave face at magnet spots. Water’s around the 18C mark,. Tide was high at 0635, which probably didn’t help much, but as the pictures show, with the right equipment at the right spot, you could get one – just don’t expect to rack up a big wave count.

Wind is set to go around to the NE at 15-20 kts later this morning, so getting in early is the plan.

The MHL buoy was showing 0.9 m from the south (160-164°) at 8 seconds apart as of 0500. It should stay at those settings today. Tomorrow Huey swings the wind to the south and dials in a 60% chance of shower. As the wind ramps, the swell will follow. Some models are predicting a noticeable bump in the afternoon, but others are not so hopeful. The consensus seems to be that Sunday-Tuesday will be dominated by south wind and 1.5-2m of 8-10 sec straight south swell.

Happily, prospects for Weds-Fri are interesting. If the predictions are right, we’re looking at around 1.5 metres of longish period (13-17 sec) south swell. Wind could be offshore in the mornings too.

Here’s hoping!

Have a top old Saturday one and all.

In a quiet corner of the lagoon

 

No Mans

 

SUPs the go in the soft high tide conditions

 

Putting their backs into it off Collaroy

 

Waiting for something catchable

 

Behind you!

 

A few folk in the water at Northy 0630

Weather Situation

A high pressure system drifting slowly across southeast Australia is expected to be over the Tasman Sea today. This should result in a gradual return to northerly winds in most coastal areas, before the next cold front and southerly change on Sunday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
North to northwesterly about 10 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunday 23 September

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 20 to 25 knots during the morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers in the evening.

Monday 24 September

Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots turning southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Another barely there surf day

Posted on September 21st, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Not much of anything to be seen at Dee Why this beautiful morning. Couldn’t see anyone in the water, nor any reason for them to be there for that matter. Swell was sitting on 1.2 m at 9 seconds from the south (162-164°). Tide was high at 0555 and is now dropping to a 0.6 m low at 1135. According to Beachwatch, the water temp is up to 18C.

Outlook is for conditions to remain tiny through the weekend, but next week’s outlook has improved on some models this morning. From around Monday – if they’re right – we could start to see some improvement at south spots. The problem is that the wind could be southerly into Tuesday. Right now Thursday is shaping to be the tip for south spots.

Have a great Friday everybody!

No sign of surf at Dee Why

 

Tiny lines hint at possibilities

0530 WRL cam

Weather Situation

A high pressure system will drift slowly across southeast Australia today, and is expected to be over the Tasman Sea by the weekend. This should result in a gradual return to northerly winds in most coastal areas, before the next cold front and southerly change on Sunday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Saturday 22 September

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunday 23 September

Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 20 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the evening.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Surf report from Kijkduin Den Haag

Posted on September 20th, 2018 in At large.
7pm howling sideshore whipping up small waves and they’re off to the beach!

Rain to start the day

Posted on September 20th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Light but steady rain this morning along with light westerly wind. There was a little wave activity, but it looked weak and disorganised at Dee Why. The MHL data from 0600 showed 2.3 metres of 9-sec swell from the south (160-162°).

The radar was still showing a fair amount of precipitation as of 0730 but it should fade by this afternoon. By then the wind should be around to the south at 15-20 kts. So not the most attractive day for a surf.

Nothing much of interest in the near-term forecast. Several of the models are showing some long period but very small SSE bump for early Saturday. Beyond that there seems to be some hope of an improvement, particularly when we get to mid next week – according to several models. At the more optimistic end of the predictions they’re talking chest to head plus at south magnets thanks to some very long period swell around Weds-Thrs.

Here’s hoping…

Have a top old day everyone!

Not much showing at 0720

 

Messy and weak looking at No Mans

 

Weather Situation

A cold front, which brought a southerly change to southern and central parts of the New South Wales coast earlier today, is continuing along the northern coast tonight, and will reach the Queensland border Thursday morning. Behind this, a high pressure system is expected to drift slowly across from the west during the next day or two, to be over the Tasman Sea by the weekend. This should result in a gradual return to northerly winds in most coastal areas on Friday and Saturday, before the next cold front and southerly change on Sunday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers during the morning and afternoon.

Friday 21 September

Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Saturday 22 September

Winds
North to northwesterly about 10 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Little wind swell bumps

Posted on September 19th, 2018 in At large, Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Back from my adventures talking to pollies in Canberra about climate bipartisanship (hey, one can dream). Surf situation has not improved in my absence. Stopped by Collaroy for a look and then wandered past Long Reef before heading back to the RealSurf wheelhouse to check in. As the pictures show, there are only soft little windswell bumps coming in from the NE. Collaroy had no takers, although I think if you were really keen, you could have a splash with a bodyboard maybe. Definitely more activity around the corner at Longy where a dozen or so folks were picking up very soft and slow waist high bumps just north of the lugga. There were a few more down at Kiddies, but they didn’t seem to be finding much.

To put some numbers on the situation, as of 0600, the MHL buoy was seeing about 7-sec, 2 metre bump from 60° (NE). As of 0720, North Head was detecting 5-7 kts from the north. Tide was dropping to the 0.7 low at 0940. By the time the it’s back to the 1.4 m high at 1620, the southerly could be with us.

Tomorrow’s shaping to be southerly and – unlike today – cloudy. Swell could come up a little, but the models show periods in the windswell range, so I’m not expecting much of interest in spots out of the wind. That said, the Bureau predicts a mix of swell, including some bump out of the NE. We could have more favourable winds for Friday morning, but the swell settings are not encouraging. I’m hoping for some mal-able bumps.

Have a top old Wednesday!

Very quiet at Kiddies this morning

Moseying along on a soft one at Longy 0800

Crew enjoying the slo-mo conditions at Longy

Bomb set wall at Longy 0800

Not too exciting looking north from Collaroy

Fluffy little windswell bump at Collaroy 0750

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is slowly moving east as a cold front approaches the coast from the west. Fresh to strong northerly winds will continue over the New South Wales coast ahead of the front. A southerly change is forecast with the passage of the front today up to the Mid North Coast and early Thursday in the far north. Winds will then gradually shift northerly on Friday or Saturday ahead of the next front.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting southerly in the late afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the afternoon, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Thursday 20 September

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon.

Friday 21 September

Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting north to northeasterly below 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Far from a flat sea

Posted on September 17th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Your correspondent has fetched up in our nation’s capital to join in some Citizen lobbying, so I’m utterly reliant on remote sensing data for news of the beach today in Sydney. Looking at the WRL pic from earlier this morning, it’s obvious there’s nothing going on at east to NE spots. And the North Bondi RSL cam shows nothing coming from the south.

The MHL buoy is showing 1.8 metres of 160 degree swell at 11 seconds… so, maybe it’s not hooking into nth Bondi and going past south Narra altogether… and there are in fact waist high waves at south magnets… could be…

Wind is now SE 5-7 kts, but the Bureau’s call (see below) is for it to be NE this afternoon.

Outlook is for not much to happen on the surf front for the rest of the week. That’s in line with modelling over the last few days, so I’m thinking ankle to knee high with the odd bomb in the waist high range at magnets in the next 48 hours, fading to less than that as we get up to the weekend. Of course I hope to be proven spectacularly wrong as I’m really keen to get wet again soon!

Go well with your Monday!

 

WRL cam view from 0930 Monday morning – lookin’ micro

North Bondi view uninspiring

Weather Situation

A high pressure system is moving across New South Wales. South to southwesterly winds are expected to tend more northerly today and Tuesday as the high moves overhead and out over the Tasman Sea. The next cold front is expected to bring a southerly change to New South Wales waters on Wednesday and Thursday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
South to southwesterly about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon. Winds reaching up to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Tuesday 18 September

Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Wednesday 19 September

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting south to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon and increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

How keen are ya

Posted on September 15th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends

Down in Canberra this morning but I can see that the 1.5 metres of 6-8 sec north-NE wind swell is producing knee to waist plus at magnets. Water’s a chilly 16C and the light early morning north breeze is going to ramp up into the 15-25 kt range as the day warms. Late this evening the wind should be still going as hard, but it’ll be SW.

Tide’s currently running into the lunchtime high.

Outlook is for some south energy tomorrow but with strong SW wind. With luck the swell energy (I’m hoping on your behalf for shoulder plus sets) will stick around into Monday morning. Looks like we have a midweek fade to near flat, but with a slight hope for an uptick on Thursday-Friday…

Have a great day!

WRL’s 0630 pic shows the short period swell pushing in


Grey, still and small this morning

Posted on September 14th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Barely a breath of wind at 0700 under overcast skies this morning at 0700. A tiny set rolled through the point when I grabbed the pictures this morning. It looked too small to be rideable and up the beach there was only the barest suggestion of a line. I think we can call it flat. MHL’s Sydney buoy hasn’t reported in since late yesterday afternoon but the other buoys up and down the NSW coast are all telling the same, sad story of sub-metre swell heights. Average periods reported by the stations south of us are below 8 seconds, while up north, they’re seeing about 13 sec from the east.

There isn’t much hope of an improvement to conditions today and tomorrow there’s a gale warning for winds in the 15-25 kt range starting from the NE and then swinging SW. At the same time, swell is set to bump up into the 1.5 metre range from the NE. Unfortunately, the models suggest that the period will be in the 7-8 second range, so I don’t expect much of an improvement in the waves.

Sunday looks equally ordinary but Monday’s currently shaping to be possibly fun at spots that like dead south swell.

Have a great Friday everyone!

Hint of a line up the beach

 

The point sees a little set

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards southern Queensland, while a trough is stalled and decaying on the New South Wales coast. The Tasman high will become dominant today, directing northerly winds over most coastal waters. A strong cold front is expected to bring a vigorous west to southwesterly change to southern and central parts of the coast during Saturday, reaching the northern coast early Sunday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending northeasterly in the early afternoon then tending northerly in the late evening. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Saturday 15 September

Gale Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northeast to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots shifting west to southwesterly 25 to 35 knots in the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.

Sunday 16 September

Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots turning southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.

Still on hold at Dee Why

Posted on September 13th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A cool and steady 5-10 kt SSW breeze when I climbed aloft for the morning pictures. Skies were sunny but hazy. But we’re still waiting for swell. The MHL data from 0600 this morning was showing 1.6 metres of 7-second wind bump from the S-SSE (168-172°). Tide is running into a 1.6m high.

The wind should peak from the south at 15-20 kts this morning before decreasing and drifting around to the easterly quarters in the afternoon. But there’s no expectation of an improvement to the waves, indeed, it looks as though it might even get smaller over the day. And right now things aren’t looking too special through Saturday. Some models show swell heights perking up on Sunday and Monday, so here’s hoping…

Have a great Thursday one and all!

 

Faint lines at 0720

 

No surfin’ this morning at Dee Why

Weather Situation

A stationary high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards the northern New South Wales coast, while a trough has brought a southerly change to southern and central parts. This trough is expected to stall and decay on the Macquarie Coast during today, with northerly winds again extending along the entire coast on Friday as the Tasman high becomes dominant. The next cold front looks set to bring a southerly change during Saturday and early Sunday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots, becoming east to southeasterly 10 to 15 10 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Friday 14 September

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the early afternoon then tending northerly in the late evening. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloud clearing.

Saturday 15 September

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the late afternoon or evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Minimal surf options at Dee Why this morning

Posted on September 12th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Another mild and breezy morning along the beaches. Wind was coming from the NNE at about 10 kts a little before 0800. There didn’t appear to be much of anything in the way of surf at Dee Why. No one was in the water when I grabbed the snaps and I’d say it’s probably not much above knee high anyway. Tide’s high a little after 1000, so that’s not helping much. Plus the sideshore is texturing it up. Out at sea the MHL buoy tells us there’s around 1.3 metres of 8-sec stuff from just off dead south (170°).

So when does this situation turn around? Well, the long range models currently suggest we’re in for another week of this barely-there stuff. That’s spring time for ya I guess.

Keep on smilin’, we’re another day closer to good waves!

Not much evidence of energy at No Man’s

 

Maybe… if you were really keen at 0740

Weather Situation

A trough over inland New South Wales is moving east and will bring a southerly change to southern parts of the coast this morning, then central coastal areas this evening, before moving over northern parts of the coast during Thursday. Later Thursday the trough decays and a high pressure system over the Tasman Sea becomes the dominant feature. Northerly winds increase once again on Friday and Saturday ahead of a strong cold expected to cross the coastal waters later during the weekend.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots. Winds shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots in the south in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny morning, cloud increasing during the afternoon.

Thursday 13 September

Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending south to southeasterly below 10 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Friday 14 September

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the evening.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloud clearing.

 

Page optimized by WP Minify WordPress Plugin