Hello Friends,

Wind was out of the SE at 10-15 kts this morning and the little wind swell of the last few days has dropped back to about a metre from the east at 8 seconds apart. According to this morning’s forecast from the Bureau, the wind will stay at it through the day and the average height of the swell will bump up a touch. But I’d say you’ll need to be pretty keen to get in because the quality is marginal at best.

The next tide is a high at 1045 this morning and the low will be along at about 1710.

Oh, and big surprise, the cloudy skies will continue along with an 80% chance of rain.

Over the next couple days, the wind is expected to go more around to the NE. So, maybe there’ll be a few more small surf options around at places that can do something with east wind swell and cope with a NEr.

Have yourself a top old Friday!

Weather Situation
A weak cold front is crossing the southern Tasman Sea and a high pressure system is moving towards Tasmania extending a ridge behind the front bringing southerly change to New South Wales south coast. During Friday the high will move over the southwestern Tasman Sea extending the ridge to the north coast. Another, stronger southerly change is expected to develop on the south coast on Monday.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 20 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 metre.
Saturday 28 January
Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots later in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre tending southerly in the afternoon and evening.
Sunday 29 January
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre.

Today’s report is coming to you from the grounds of Narrabeen Sports High. Your faithful correspondent is conducting a car boot sale on behalf of Amnesty International. The breeze is cool and offshore and overhead the sky is brilliant blue. From the latest MHL data, I can see that yesterday’s little wind swell has shifted more to the east and dropped down to around the metre mark. It’s around 8 seconds apart, so I’d say knee to waist high plus would be a fair expectation.

According to the Bureau, this morning’s offshores will be gone by the time we’re able to leave the car boot sale field of dreams, but it should still be out of the SW, so there might be the odd little thing around at some of the southern ends.

Have yourself a great Sunday!

Weather Situation from the BoM
A low centred to the east of Tasmania is moving towards New Zealand, while a weak high pressure system lies over western New South Wales. The high will drift steadily towards the coast today, before reaching the Tasman Sea during Monday. Warmer northerly winds are expected to become established along the coast during this time, while the next trough deepens to the west. This trough is forecast to reach the east coast mid-week, bringing a cool change.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending west to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots around midday then becoming southwest to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots by evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Monday 28 November
Winds
Northeast to southeasterly about 10 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 20 knots around midday then increasing to 20 to 25 knots later in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre.
Tuesday 29 November
Winds
Northerly 10 to 20 knots tending north to northeasterly up to 15 knots during the morning then becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the evening.
Seas
Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon then increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the evening.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre.

Hello Friends,
The best surf news this morning is that our summer water temps appear to be filling in. The offshore buoy data shows about a metre of 8 second east wind swell and a water temp of 21. Our inshore temps are not always the same as out at sea, so your mileage may vary.

This morning’s batch of WAM interpretations shows a consensus view of continued flat to barely surfable conditions into the weekend and marginal at best for next week.

Hang in there everybody, it’ll be back one day…

Keep on smilin’!

Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the New South Wales north coast, while a broad trough of low pressure is approaching the state’s west. Between these two systems, warm northerly winds are moving over the coast. The trough will reach western New South Wales this evening as it links with a cold front passing to the south, and is expected to bring a gusty southerly change to the southern and central coasts during Thursday before weakening over the north. By Saturday a new high is forecast to be above the Tasman Sea, bringing a return to generally northerly winds along the New South Wales coast.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Variable around 5 knots inshore at first, otherwise north to northwesterly 5 to 15 knots becoming northerly 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 0.5 metres.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.
Thursday 10 November
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending southwesterly around midday.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms from the late morning until late afternoon.
Friday 11 November
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly about 1 metre.

Hello Friends,

Nothing much doing at Dee Why this morning. The atmosphere was too thick for my usual start of the day snapshot but there wasn’t anything to take a picture of so far as I could tell. Wind was light SE at 0700 and the MHL buoy was showing about a metre from the east at about 8 seconds apart.

According to the forecast the wind will be out of the south by lunch and it’ll be blowing 20-25 kts. As that happens, the average height of the wind swell at sea will swing around to line up with the wind direction while also building up to about 2 metres. As a matter of interest, the average height down at Eden popped up into the 3 metre range early this morning.

This morning’s batch of swell forecast interpretations is still showing a long period pulse for Thursday. Unfortunately we’re told by the Bureau that the wind will be SE at 10-15kts. Not a great recipe sadly. And it looks as though the generally onshore winds are set to be part of our lives for at least the next week.

Ah well, at least the water has been getting warmer. Summer is coming friends!

Go well with your Tuesday plans everybody.

TIDES: H @0620 L @1235

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds

Southwesterly 5 to 15 knots tending southerly 15 to 25 knots around midday then increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon. Winds tending south to southeasterly 20 to 25 knots by early evening.

Seas

Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon then increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening.

Swell

Easterly 1 metre tending southeasterly about 2 metres from the late morning.

Weather

The chance of thunderstorms, contracting inshore around midday.

Wednesday 26 October

Winds

South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.

Seas

1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around dawn.

Swell

Southeasterly 2 metres.

Hello Friends,

Late start for yours truly this morning but for those who were up early, there were small waves to be had thanks to the minimal change in energy levels since yesterday. An 8 second period east windswell of about a metre is lapping gently ashore on the incoming tide. It’s set to cloud up later with a slight chance of percipitation on the cards, but the high should be a mild 23 and the wind will be out of the north.

From the shape of this morning’s run of the wave models, it appears that we’re in for another 48 hours or so of small conditions. Tuesday is looking as though it’ll be just about flat ahead of that substantial pulse that’s been showing on the models for some days now.

As usual the estimates of the swell size on Wednesday are bouncing around a bit, but I think we can count on it being very big and very windy from the SW. The wind and swell should last for a couple days or so too.

Have a great day one and all!

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system near New Zealand is moving southeast maintaining a ridge to the New South Wales north coast. A complex frontal system will bring southwesterly change to the south coast on Monday. Southerly winds are expected to extend to the north coast during Tuesday and to increase as a low pressure system develops over the southern Tasman Sea and another strong high moves south of the Bight extending a ridge to the Coral Sea.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds: Northerly 10 to 15 knots tending 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Northeasterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Monday
Winds: Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending west to northwesterly 10 to 20 knots around dawn. Seas: Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre around midday. Swell: Northeasterly 1 metre. The chance of thunderstorms during the morning.

Forecast for Tuesday
Winds: West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming southwesterly up to 30 knots during the evening. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 metres during the evening. Swell: Northeasterly about 1 metre.

Hello Friends,

As expected, the energy levels continued their steady decline overnight and Saturday morning saw about a metre of 8 second period east windswell coming into the beaches of Sydney. At Dee Why those settings were translating into knee to waist high sets on the incoming tide. The wind wasn’t a significant factor, skies were clear and as a consequence there were a few bods getting amongst it.

You might possibly find slightly bigger bomb sets at places that really like the east swell direction, but I wouldn’t expect anything dramatically better than the sort of stuff we were seeing at Dee Why. Take your small wave board and a healthy reserve of patience and you should be right.

Outlook for the rest of the day and tomorrow is for no significant improvement to surf prospects in Sydney. You should be able to find something little to cruise on, but that’s about it. Looking ahead to the start of next week, the models are pointing toward a classic winter lull through to about Wednesday. If it plays out as they foretell, there could be a substantial south pulse. The predictions vary in the details, but the current consensus is for us to see south swell at around the 4 metre mark with a period somewhere in the 8-10 sec range. Sadly, the Bureau says we’re going to have 30-40 km/h south to SW wind with it. So, the surf options may be somewhat limited. As always, we shall see what we shall see!

Have yourself a top old Saturday!

TIDES: L @0520 H @1120

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system near New Zealand is moving southeast maintaining a ridge to the New South Wales north coast. A complex frontal system will move over the southwestern Tasman Sea on Monday night bringing south to southwest change along the coast. Southerly winds are expected to strengthen during Tuesday as a low pressure system develops over the southern Tasman Sea and another strong high moves south of the Bight extending a ridge to the Coral Sea.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds: Northwesterly 5 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Sunday
Winds: Northerly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Northeasterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Monday
Winds: Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending westerly 10 to 20 knots during the morning. Seas: Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon. Swell: Northeasterly 1 metre.

Hello Friends,

Since this time yesterday, the swell has dropped from two metres to a metre, the primary direction has gone from SE to east and most significantly, the average period has weakened from around 11 seconds to close to 8 seconds. At Dee Why that means the point is unoccupied and kiddies is equally empty. The only waves I saw when I checked for the first time today were up the beach toward No Mans. I’d say anything above the waist high mark will be a bonus.

From the look of the models, we’re in for more or less the same as we have this morning right through the weekend and maybe to the middle of next week when it seems we might have some large but raw (ie shortish period) south swell and strong southerlies. I’ll be interested in the Goat’s take on this.

Have yourself a top old day!

TIDES: H @1030, L @1600

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will move slowly towards New Zealand over the next few days maintaining a ridge to the New South Wales north coast. A cold front is expected to affect the coast on Sunday and Monday, with northwesterly winds ahead of it and south to south-westerlies behind.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds: North to northwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending north to northeasterly during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly 1 metre tending easterly during the evening.

Forecast for Saturday
Winds: North to northwesterly 5 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Sunday
Winds: Northerly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening. Swell: Northeasterly 1 metre.

Hello Friends,

Don’t know about my fellow Sydneysiders, but I’ve had enough of the heat now thanks. Bring on that lunchtime south change. There is a tiny trickle of easterly windswell making its feeble way in from the dull horizon. There was only a breath of wind before 0900, but the Bureau says the wind should pick up, first from the NW then around to the SW and finally settling into the south – where it looks like staying more or less for a few days at least.

Given that the wind should be in the 20-30kt range following the change, I’m not too hopeful that we’ll get much quality. You’ll want to be keen I’d say.

If you like hunting down sections in the teeth of a southerly, then Monday morning may keep you amused. From the look of the latest wave models, it seems that we might get a short lived but potentially long period and therefore solid south pulse on Wednesday. Weather may be kind of ordinary (showery) and the wind is set to be s-se around the 10-15kt range.

Have yourself a great Sunday!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the central Tasman Sea is moving to the southeast maintaining a weak ridge to New South Wales north coast. A cold front will bring a gusty southerly change to far south coast this morning extending to the central coast in the afternoon and to the far north coast by Monday morning. Behind the front another high pressure system is expected to move towards Tasmania during Tuesday with a ridge extending to the north coast.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds: West to northwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning then tending southerly 20 to 30 knots around midday. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday then increasing to 3 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Northeasterly 0.5 to 2 metres.

Forecast for Monday
Winds: Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots around dawn then becoming southeasterly up to 10 knots by early evening. Seas: 1.5 to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre around dawn. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres decreasing to 1 metre during the evening.

Forecast for Tuesday
Winds: Southeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing up to 1.5 metres during the evening. Swell: Southerly 1 metre.

Hello Friends,

The metre or so of 8 sec period wind swell has moved around to the east and was producing knee to waist high grovelers for Christmas morning fugitives at Dee Why. The wind was light still at around 1000, so surface conditions were reasonably smooth. My guess is that it might be a touch bigger at spots that like east.

Wind call is for NE at 15-20 kts this afternoon for the low tide at 1730. Given the primary direction is already from the east, there just might be the odd interesting lump at semi-protected north corners.

We’re due to get a late south change tomorrow, so my guess is that the wind swell will weaken overnight and that Sunday morning will be smaller and weaker than the stuff we have right now.

So go forth and have a top old day and may all be happy and well in your world.

Here’s the word from the Bureau

Weather Situation
A high pressure system is strengthening over the Tasman sea, and will extend a ridge to the New South Wales north coast during Saturday. The high will move towards New Zealand later Saturday before a low pressure trough and associated cold front bring a gusty southerly change to the New South Wales coast during Sunday and Monday. Conditions should ease on Tuesday as the next high moves over the region.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds: East to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming northeasterly up to 15 knots around midday then tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening. Swell: Southerly 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Sunday
Winds: Northeast to northwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon ahead of a southerly change 20 to 30 knots in the evening. Seas: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: Southeasterly 1.5 metres tending easterly 1 metre from the morning. Isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.

Forecast for Monday
Winds: Southerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots at times, decreasing to 10 to 20 knots during the morning then increasing to up to 30 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres during the morning then increasing to 3 metres during the evening. Swell: Easterly 1.5 metres tending southeasterly during the evening. Isolated thunderstorms early in the morning, mainly offshore.

Hello Friends,

A quick scan of the weather info before daybreak reveals that yesterday’s little east swell has dropped a bit. The Bureau’s call for this morning isn’t looking all that wonderful, but this afternoon is set to be even less interesting as strong SE winds are set to develop. Those surf condition destroying winds are then forecast to last at some level through to at least Saturday. You’re just going to have to be super extra keen is all. Get up early and make for wherever you went yesterday. Then tomorrow if the models are right, you’ll need a similar early rising strategy, but you’ll want to get to those south swell spots on your favourites list.

Might try to add a postcard snap latter today…

Go well!

Weather Situation from the Austrialin BoM for the Sydney region

A trough and associated cold front will continue moving across the state today. A vigorous southerly change accompanies the passage of this system, moving along the southern coast early Thursday and continuing to the north coast by late evening. Following this, another ridge will move across from the west during Friday and Saturday, with winds easing according.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds: Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending southeast to southwesterly up to 30 knots during the morning then tending southeasterly 10 to 20 knots later in the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday then increasing to 3 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Easterly about 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Friday

Winds: South to southeasterly 5 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly up to 10 knots during the morning then increasing to up to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres decreasing to 1 metre during the evening.

Forecast for Saturday

Winds: Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly up to 10 knots during the morning then tending east to northeasterly during the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly 1 metre.

The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:05 pm EDT Thursday