Articles tagged with "E-1m-8s"

Marginal swell but a perfect morning otherwise

Posted by: on November 13th, 2016
dy beach and pooint

Little bump gets caught at Kiddies at 0800

dy beach surf

Tiny bumps up the beach toward No Man’s

dy point

Lots of foam but no real waves at the point

Hello Friends,

Warm with light and variable WNW breeze as of 0800 on sunny Sunday morning. There’s a tiny 8-second period east wind bump drifting into Dee Why but it seemed to be getting swamped by the 0745 high tide. The Bureau says the wind’ll come around to the west and be into the 25-30 kt range. Being straight offshore, you’d have to expect it to blow the weak little wind swell flat.
Tomorrow should see westerlies and no real waves in the morning and then strong southerlies in the afternoon which should be followed by a gradual increase in south swell. Tuesday’s looking to be southerly with some prospects in corners out of the wind.
That exciting looking long range forecast chart I shared yesterday has reverted to a much less interesting prediction today. Still it does seem possible we’ll see some okay waves from the south with light winds and sunny skies for Wednesday-Thursday. I’m hoping for chest plusses at standout spots.
Have yourself a great Sunday everyone!

Back to marginal numbers for awhile in Sydney

Posted by: on July 12th, 2016

Hello Friends,

At 0200 the MHL Sydney buoy was show a metre of 8 second east wind swell. Wind was NNW 8-10 kts. Tide’s low at 0800.
The Bureau has issued a gale warning for the Sydney coast for NW 20-30 kts of wind. Wind should swing westerly overnight and then go back NW and up to 30-36 kts tomorrow morning. Swell should start to come back up late tomorrow and Thursday’s looking like 20-30 kts of westerly with 2-3 metres of south swell. Could be a few protected south corners happening…
Hey and a big shout out to Doug for the pictures from yesterday at the point.
Longer range outlook is for waves of some description into the weekend.
I’ve grabbed a couple of postcards from Cali for you, but first I thought I’d share this image from the WRL cam at south Narrabeen. It was taken maybe a couple hours before low tide yesterday evening and you can really see how the council’s new seawall has gobbled up the beach in front of the protected properties. I bet the water’ll be against the rocks at high tide for the winter months from now on and there’ll probably be times when it’s impassable even at low tide. Maybe council could build some steps and a footpath across the top of it so the public can continue to saunter along the water from Collaroy to Narrabeen…

collaroy narrabeen beaches

New headland for Collaroy-Narrabeen beach(es) (image WRL)

From Santa Cruz to the Mexican border you’d be hard pressed to find anything above shoulder high. And mostly it’s way smaller than that in California today. Herewith a couple of snaps to give you a feel for what your wave-starved webmaster faces…

Topanga

South of Malibu, on the edge of a city of 3.8 million, little lines wrap into Topanga State Beach

shell beach

Shell beach is on California’s central coast just north of Pismo beach about half way between LA and San Francisco

Knee to waist high at Dee Why this morning

Posted by: on April 28th, 2016

Hello Friends,

Getting into the marginal range this morning at the point. Swell’s coming from the east at around a metre with an average period of under 8 seconds. That means knee to waist on the catchable ones at the point, and something similar along the beach.
Winds were light and from the N to W early. Tide was low at 0630 and is now coming into the high at 1230. By the time we’re dealing with high tide fatness, the wind’s expected to be out of the north at 10-15 kts.
The Goat should be along with his forecast later today and I’ll be interested to see his take on the prospects. The models are generally pointing toward small to marginal across the next week, but some hold out hope for Saturday morning and again on Monday.
Get out for a splash if you can, but take your little wave board and however it plays out, have a top old day!

sydney fog

Foggy city morning

Sets are just into the rideable range with the right equipment

Sets are just into the rideable range with the right equipment

Up the beach a small bump appears at 0700

Up the beach a small bump appears at 0700

hawkesbury fog

Foggy on the Hawkesbury at 0700

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is very slowly moving east, maintaining a ridge across New South Wales. The ridge will gradually weaken as the high moves further east. Winds will remain northeast to northwesterly for the rest of the week.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Northerly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower offshore this morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere.
Friday 29 April
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Saturday 30 April
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of rain.

Saturday morning little fun ones at the right spots

Posted by: on February 13th, 2016

Hello Friends,

Less than a metre of swell coming from the east this morning with an average period of close to 8 seconds. Only a few spots were lighting up at all – Northy (join the crowds) and No Mans at Dee Why (ditto). Set wave faces were into the waist plus range and it looked pretty fun if you had something with some volume under your feet.
Wind was light and out of the NW early. Tide was low at 0640 and is running back into the high at 1250. Wind will pick up steadily and be a summer-standard 15-20 kts from the NE by this afternoon.
So the plan is to hit it ASAP.
Outlook for the rest of the week remains interesting. Tomorrow looks like being a little smaller as a result of decreasing period. Monday could see an uptick as both size and average period click up a little bit. Problem is that it also looks like we’ll be into a southerly regime from there on through to Thursday when it looks like we might possibly get light winds plus some solid 12-13sec south swell…
Have yourself a top old Saturday!

dy surfers

Little lines looking fun at 0620

sunrise

Saturday’s getting started, where were ya?

north narrabeen surfers

Well attended as usual when there are little waves

jetski

Goes for the big punt at South Narrabeen

jetski

sploosh


surfer dy

Stylin’ dude

Marginal but do-able early at east spots

Posted by: on December 29th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Heading toward low tide at 0910 and as of 0700 the wind was still lightly from the NW. Hardly any swell showing. Dee Why was the realm of SUPs but elsewhere the generally east direction of the knee to waist wind swell could be delivering the odd diversion.

The wind is due to come around to the NE and get up to 15-25 kt by around lunchtime, so if you want a clean but tiny wave, go sooner rather than later. Otherwise, you might want to check your fave NE wind spot an hour or so dark.

Outlook for the week ahead hasn’t shifted too much. Basically it looks like tomorrow will be light and variable wind for the morning session. Swell is shaping to be pretty marginal though. Not sure at this stage if it’ll even be surfable. Kinda depends on how hard and late the NEr goes.

Some of the models are showing a little uptick in energy levels for Wednesday, but others predict flatness or near enough. I’m resolutely hopeful!

Have yourself a great Monday everybody and go well with your plans.

dee why

Swell almost not there at all.

Weather Situation

A high pressure system is centred near New Zealand, with a weakening trough near the northern coast of New South Wales. Winds will turn northerly along the coast and freshen today ahead of a southerly change associated with a cold front developing on the far coast in the afternoon. The change is expected to reach Sydney Waters early Tuesday before weakening on the central coast in the afternoon.
Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Tuesday 30 December

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting south to southwesterly before dawn then becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Wednesday 31 December

Winds
East to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending east to northeasterly during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending south to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 40% chance of showers.

Too tiny

Posted by: on July 25th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Quiet wave-wise up and down the east coast this morning. At O730 Dee Why was showing only the odd knee high dribbler thanks to a weak east swell of about a metre at 8 seconds. Wind was light from the west. Tide was high at 0715 and will be back to low at 1330 – for what it’s worth.

Chance of a late shower or two as we head toward a springish 22 high.

No real prospect of an improvement to conditions today, or for some time. The Goat’s had a bit of a think as is his habit this time of week.

May your Friday unfold with the utmost satisfaction to your good self!

SUPster snags micro wave

SUPster snags micro wave

Nothing doing folks

Nothing doing folks

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the central Tasman Sea is moving slowly east. A low pressure trough over western NSW is expected to move slowly east today and Saturday, crossing the southern coast early Saturday and the north Saturday night, and bringing a fresh west to southwesterly change. Another high pressure system will move over the state Sunday and Monday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 20 knots. Winds turning northeasterly in the middle of the day tending northerly in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
South to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms later this afternoon and evening, more frequent offshore.

Saturday 26 July

Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending southeast to southwesterly in the middle of the day then tending northwest to southwesterly in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore in the morning.

Sunday 27 July

Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
South to southeasterly below 1 metre.

Small Saturday, but not flat Saturday

Posted by: on March 29th, 2014

Hello Friends,

We had a small 8 second period east wind swell and light westerlies as dawn spread her rosy tipped fingers across the eastern sky. I was thinking there could be the odd knee to waistish offering at favourably angled stretches of sand. Banks – or rather the lack thereof – will continue to be an issue though.

At Dee Why the conditions were glassy for the early crew with sets into the waist plus range along the beach. There were a few bods at the point, but in the time I watched, they didn’t catch anything. The beachy was 99% shutdowns, but at one point (see pics) a lucky person picked up a right that ran for more than 5 seconds.

Outlook is for something through the day, and maybe even tomorrow and Monday mornings, but thereafter it looks like Huey’s likely to have wandered off elsewhere. Nothing much at all showing on the charts for us in the way of swell over the next week and well into April. One wonders if the inexorable march of climate change means that maybe May has become the new April.

Ah well, the waves will return in force again, so keep on smilin’ and get up to some good whenever you can!

Looked like a set - but it wasn't

Looked like a set – but it wasn’t

Brief sections, then shutdowns.

Brief sections, then shutdowns.

This right actually ran for more than 3 seconds @0720

This right actually ran for more than 3 seconds @0720


Tides: [email protected], L @1500

Weather Situation
A high pressure system is centred over the Tasman Sea while a broad trough extends through Queensland and northern New South Wales. An offshore low is expected to deepen and remain slow moving in the western Tasman directing fresh south to southwesterly airstream along the coast. Southerlies will weaken on Sunday under a feeble ridge, followed by weak northerlies developing on the southern half by next Tuesday.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southerly 15 to 25 knots in the morning then decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Sunday 30 March
Winds
Southerly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around dawn.
Monday 31 March
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots turning east to southeasterly below 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.

Saturday surfin?

Posted by: on March 22nd, 2014

Hello Friends,

Light westerly breeze and clear skies before dawn and a touch over a metre of 8 sec period east wind swell reported at 0200. It should be getting bigger as the day goes along. Winds will be out of the N to NE later and this evening will see a south change.

As the day got underway, it was evident that conditions were pretty so-so for the early risers. Dee Why looked junky and messy but around the waist to chest high mark on the bigger wave faces. Still no banks to speak of at the south end, so a high percentage of shutdowns were on offer. Looked a touch cleaner up the beach, but smaller too. I’m hoping it’ll clean up later, but there could well be better offerings elsewhere anyway.

Tide’s low at 0710 and back to high at 1310.

Outlook for tomorrow according to the Bureau is for S-SE 15-20 kts with the swell picking up a touch more as the period increases. Swell will stick around one way or another into the middle of next week – but that stupid SE wind is shaping to hang around with it. According to some of the modelling, the biggest period will be Monday-Tuesday, when we could see overhead sets at east spots.

It’s a rough cut with a few editing errors, but if you’d like to see some more surfer point of view GoPro footage from Crescent Head, check out my compilation of Weds and Thurs afternoon’s waves here: http://youtu.be/5EgNz0yHbrw

Have yourself a great day!

Dee Why looking less than appetizing at 0700

Dee Why looking less than appetizing at 0700

Maybe up toward Longy?

Maybe up toward Longy?

Will the morning sickness clear up later?

Will the morning sickness clear up later?

Weather Situation
A high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge over northern New South Wales this weekend. A southerly change currently on the South Coast will extend to the central parts this evening before stalling and weakening into Sunday. A strong high pressure system south of the Bight is forecast to extend over Tasmania and into the southern Tasman Sea during the first half of the new week.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots this afternoon ahead of a southerly change of 15 to 20 knots late this evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around dawn.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms offshore, extending throughout from early this afternoon.
Sunday 23 March
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore around midday.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms, more frequent offshore.
Caution
Deceptively powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Monday 24 March
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms.

Another tiny day for Dee Why

Posted by: on March 12th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Pretty quiet at Dee Why this morning. Only person I could see in the water was a kayak user. Looked to be the best option for catching waves too. Wave faces on the bigger ones are probably around knee to waist-ish. But there are no banks as such and with only a metre of 8 second period east wind swell, very little power. Outlook is for the conditions to stay at about this level for the next few days.

Depending upon the model you look at, the expected swell could turn up as early as Thursday evening, or as late as Saturday morning. As so often happens once you get close to a forecast big swell event, the predictions scale back. At the conservative end, the modelling is showing waist high at a place like Dee Why from Friday late through Saturday, then bumping up into the double overhead range for Sunday-Monday as the long period stuff starts to hit. More optimally angled stretches should be a bit bigger again.

All fun stuff, so here’s hoping the forecasts match up with reality, especially the call for westerly wind and solid east on Monday!

You'll need something floaty to have a chance.

You’ll need something floaty to have a chance.

The right equipment for the morning.

The right equipment for the morning.

Weather Situation
A weak high pressure ridge will persist over the northern coast. A cold front is expected to bring a southerly change to New South Wales south coast this morning with southerlies extending to the central coast in the late afternoon and evening. The change will weaken on the Hunter Coast overnight as another high moves towards Tasmania strengthening a ridge across the western Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting south to southeasterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre around midday, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms inshore from the late morning, extending throughout from early this afternoon.
Thursday 13 March
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms, contracting offshore during the evening.
Friday 14 March
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms.

Sticky: Little waves on a sunny Tuesday morning

Posted by: on December 3rd, 2013

Puttering along on a SUP

Bomb set wave arrives

Hello Friends,

This morning sees a small but catchable east wind swell of about a metre coming into Dee Why with an average period around 8 seconds. Set waves are in the waist high range, but there are definitely a few bombs pushing up toward the chest high mark. There was a light breeze from the north and skies were bright and clear. Tide’s high at just before 0800 and will be back to low at 1435-ish. It’s a pretty big swing too. Still, I reckon it’s a perfect morning to go for a quick little splash on something floaty. Wind should swing NE before long and be up to standard issue summer strength (15-20kts) by dusk.

Tomorrow is set to be a hot one and here’s a turn up for the books – there could be a reasonably fun wave for early risers. I’m not expecting anything dramatic, but it could be a touch bigger than this morning’s offerings at beaches that like the east direction. The models are kinda mixed about the remainder of the week, but some interpretations are holding out the prospect of a couple of metres of east energy for Friday into Saturday…

Have yourself a happy and productive Tuesday everyone!

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Tuesday 3 December 2013.
Weather Situation
A high pressure system is moving slowly east across the southern Tasman Sea maintaining a ridge to New South Wales north coast. Later on Wednesday a cold front will bring southerly change to the far south coast. This change is expected to extend to the central coast Thursday morning.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly below 10 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre, tending easterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Wednesday 4 December
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots becoming northeasterly 25 to 30 knots in the late afternoon then tending northerly in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2.5 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Thursday 5 December
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots shifting southerly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing below 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.

 

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