Articles tagged with "ENE-1m-6s"

Paltry offerings

Posted by: on October 11th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Roll out your biggest and floaty-est surf tool this morning because you’re gonna need it for the micro conditions. Dee Why was showing only the barest hint of activity thanks to the feeble and tiny 6-sec ENE wind swell. Beach combing looks a better option really as the wavelets are barely knee high if that, and the next tide is a high at 1100. I don’t see anything in the buoys or the forecast data to give hope for an improvement either.

Outlook for tomorrow and Monday remain uninteresting for the most part. What there is promises to be tiny and marginal at best. You might get a weak little thing at a magnet spot before the tide whacks it and the NE’r starts to do its thing.

Overnight, the forecast models started to get interesting looking from Wednesday onward. Not in a good way at first because they’re calling for strong to gale force southerlies firing up overnight Monday and sticking around at those levels for the next couple of days. But come Thursday the Bureau’s modelling shows the wind going more SSW to WSW while at the same time the southerly swell whipped up should still be chugging along into the shoulder plus range for the early. If this is any indication, Spring looks like maybe being a bit more active in a good way than in recent years.

Have yourself a great Saturday!

dee why point

Another day for not surfing at Dee Why

DY SLSC surf boat

DY SLSC crew limbers up on a quiet Saturday morning

Weather Situation

A high pressure system centred over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards northeast New South Wales, resulting in generally northerly winds along the coast. A trough will bring a short-lived southerly change to southern parts later today before the ridge reasserts itself on Sunday. Winds should increase in most areas during Sunday as another trough and developing low approach from the west. This system is likely to deliver a more vigorous southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast during Monday, with further intensification possible on Tuesday as the low deepens offshore.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
North to northwesterly 5 to 10 knots inshore at first, otherwise north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots reaching 20 knots offshore.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Sunday 12 October

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
Swell
South to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Monday 13 October

Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots shifting south to southwesterly 25 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending east to northeasterly 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening.

 

Might be a little something

Posted by: on January 15th, 2014

Go hard!

First rays

Local
Hello Friends,

Another marginal surf day coming up. Looks like the best shot is to head to beaches with a bit of east exposure because we have a short period one metre ENE wind swell lapping in. At Dee Why there were the occasional waist high bombs, but for the most part it was more in the knee high range. Such excitement!

The forecast is for the light wind to go north and then by late morning be kicking along at a summery 15-25 kts from the NE. Apart from possibly blowing in a few blueies, this might possibly generate a little extra wind swell for us tomorrow morning.

Interesting trend showing up (again) in this morning’s swell models. They’re projecting a reasonably vigorous looking area of fetch to form in the Coral Sea region and then to extend gradually down our way from around Sunday. Another system is shown swinging around Tas and into our swell window as well, so by mid next week we could well have ourselves some proper surf. And, if the Bureau’s right, the wind regime could be okay as well… here’s hoping!

Tides H @0840, L 1515, Sunny, high of 30

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Wednesday 15 January 2014.
Weather Situation
A fairly stationary high pressure system over the Tasman Sea maintains an east to northeasterly airstream over the New South Wales coastal waters this week. A trough is forecast to affect the state this weekend resulting in a southerly wind change over the southern half of the state on Saturday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots turning northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
South to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Thursday 16 January
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
East to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Friday 17 January
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending south to southeasterly around 1 metre during the morning.

Sticky: Blasting southerly but no swell

Posted by: on December 29th, 2013

Roaring southerly

Hello Friends,

Not often you see 30-40 kts of southerly but no swell. The Bureau says it should pick up a bit as the day goes along and the wind swings more SE (yeah, great). Swell, such as it is, was coming from the ENE at about 6 seconds apart and maybe a metre or so at sea at 0400. As you can see from the picture, this meant essentially no waves at Dee Why for the early.

The wind should back off a little later on this evening, but since it’ll be SE, who cares? Tomorrow the Bureau tells us it’ll still be SE in the morning, but we should at least have a couple metres of south swell, so there might possibly be some sketchy opportunity in a protected corner. Today however looks like a write-off.

Assuming the south sticks around, Tuesday morning early could be a possibility thanks to a more favourable forecast N-NE breeze.

The longer range outlook shows some prospect of a reasonable south swell late in the coming week. And beyond that, the very long range speculations are kinda interesting (after weeks of nothing) in that they suggest we might possibly get a stretch of long period and biggish east. However, I wouldn’t be making any plans just yet. 🙂

Best wishes for a top old Sunday!

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Sunday 29 December 2013.
Weather Situation
A vigorous southerly change will move up the New South Wales coast today reaching Sydney Waters early this morning and extending to the far north coast by this evening. Southerly winds are expected to ease Monday morning as a high in a wake of the trough extends a ridge along the coast. Weak onshore airstream is expected to develop under the high pressure ridge from next Tuesday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Gale Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots shifting southerly 25 to 35 knots early in the morning then tending south to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southeast to southwesterly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, increasing to 2 metres offshore by early evening.
Monday 30 December
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday.
Tuesday 31 December
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.

Sticky: Grey skies, SW wind, teeny-tiny wind swell

Posted by: on December 21st, 2013

Not much at all

You could have it to yourself

Sole surfer

Hello Friends,

Really not much of a morning for surf it has to be said. SW wind meant that it was comparatively clean lots of places, but the residual NE wind swell is awful weak and gutless and tiny. You really need an air mat or similar large floaty object (kids’ inflatable wading pool maybe?) to have much chance of any shorward push.

The Bureau says the wind’ll kick along like this for pretty much the rest of the day. So, not much hope of an improvement in prospect. Tomorrow the wind should be light early and there just might possibly be a little bumpy south-east/east combo at spots that like that sort of thing.

From this morning’s swell modelling, it looks as though the further north you are on the east coast, the better your prospects of a little something in the mornings. Or, you could go to SW vicco or WA!

Have yourself a top old Saturday one and all!

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Saturday 21 December 2013.
Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to New South Wales north coast and a southerly change is moving along the south coast. This change will weaken on the central coast Saturday afternoon as another high pressure centre develops east of Tasmania. The next southerly change is expected to develop on the south coast later Monday extending to the far north coast during Tuesday.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late evening. Winds reaching up to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning, then tending southerly 1.5 metres by early evening.
Sunday 22 December
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots before dawn then tending north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots early in the morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Monday 23 December
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots shifting southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing below 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres.

Smoky and tiny in Sydney

Posted by: on August 30th, 2012

 

 

Hello Friends,

Thursday morning’s theme is smoke. Skies were cloudless, but burning off has blanketed the joint with that familiar browny-grey haze and the almost vanilla-y odour of burnt vegetation is pervasive. Probably not great for people with respiratory issues, but the photographer in me likes the soft and moody lighting.

Anyway, as you’ve worked out, there’s still nothing much going on surfwise. The MHL buoy is showing about a metre of ENE wind swell at about 6 seconds apart. The smoke will likely be blown away when the expected 20-30 kt SW change rattles through later this morning. However it’s not going to bring us anything in the way of surf.

The forecast models continue to paint a picture of flatness. There’s still a prospect of a quickfire south pulse late Saturday into Sunday morning. Unfortunately the Bureau is predicting 20 kts of southerly with it, so options are likely to be problematic.

Have yourself a great Thursday!

Weather Situation
A weak high pressure system lies over the central Tasman Sea while a broad trough with an associated cold front is moving across New South Wales. North to northwesterly winds along the New South Wales coast will remain fresh to strong on Thursday and turn southwesterly as the trough makes its way to the Tasman. A high pressure ridge is expected to enter the west of the state in a wake of the tough to produce a generally southwest to southeasterly airstream from late Friday and through the weekend.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots shifting southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the late morning and early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly about 1 metre.
Friday 31 August
Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots turning southwesterly 25 to 30 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre tending southeasterly from the late morning.
Saturday 1 September
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending southerly and easing to about 20 knots during the late afternoon or evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres decreasing to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres.

Postcard from Redhead

Posted by: on November 26th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Had an opportunity to tag along on a run to lovely Newcastle this morning. Didn’t take the board because I figured it would be pretty tiny. And it was along the steel city’s beaches as it turned out.

On the way back, we went out to Redhead for a look. I’ve never checked this particular beach before. It’s a nice set up too. There were a few folks in the water chasing some waist high little crunchers. Definitely bigger than anything we saw in Newcastle and a few of them looked positively fun it has to be said.

Here’s a snap of a snap…

Sticky: Much the same all day

Posted by: on March 6th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Thought I’d take another look at the waves this evening… and nup, no real change since this morning it has to be said. Swell settings have stayed the same according to the latest MHL data, ie a metre of ENE 6 second period windswell.

At this stage it doesn’t look like there’s a huge incentive to get up for the early (so I’ll probably have my usual late Sunday start), but with a bit of luck, tomorrow afternoon might see a little more activity at NE windswell spots.

Have yourself a top old Saturday evening!

Sunday Tides: L @0900, H @1445
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Saturday until midnight: Wind: N/NE 15/20 knots. Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres.Swell: E/NE about 1.5 metres.
Sunday: Wind: N/NE 15/20 knots increasing to 20/25 knots in the afternoon. Sea: rising 2 to 2.5 metres. Swell: E/SE 1.5 to 2 metres.
Monday: Wind: NE/NW 15/25 knots.
Tuesday: Wind: NW/SW 5/15 knots.

Sticky: South change day

Posted by: on January 6th, 2010

Hello Friends,

As I write this, the south change is looming toward the northern beaches. By 0800 the beaches are going to be a different place. Not that there was anything too impressive going on before then. As the pre-change pics I shot earlier show, set waves were struggling to get to waist high. 15-20 kts of southerly will put an end even to that I’d have thought.

Here’s a pic of the incoming change… more thoughts below…

It doesn’t look as though the change will push up much of anything in the way of swell for us. If it blows steadily from the SE through the day and into tomorrow, we might have some little junky windswell mushburgers tomorrow morning. But the models are not looking too impressive for the next week where Sydney’s concerned.

However, without getting too excited, there does seem to be some prospect of a small south pulse for us around next Tuesday… if… the long range trends turn into reality. It also looks as though you lucky pups up Queensland way could possibly get a little east swell action from about Thursday onward.

Here’s hoping!

Go well with your Wednesday one and all!

 

 

 

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Wednesday until midnight: Wind: NW/NE 18/23 knots, ahead of a S/SE change 20/25 knots later in the morning. Sea: 1.5 to 2.5 metres. Swell: E/SE about 1 metre. Scattered thunderstorms.
Thursday: Wind: SE 13/18 knots. Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: SE about 1 metre.
Friday: Wind: E/NE 10/20 knots.

Sticky: Grey kick-off for 2010

Posted by: on January 1st, 2010

From this afternoon…
North Narrabeen

 

north Collaroy set

 

From this morning…
Dee why
Hello Friends,

Aw c’mon Huey! First day of the new year, and what have we got in old Sydney town? Knee high dribble that’s what. I really wish I had better news for you, but them’s the breaks, it’s summer time and all we can do is stay positive.

What we have is maybe a metre of 8 second period E by ENE swell, so it’s not exactly lighting up the old Dee Why. I’m going to get out and about briefly later, so I’ll see if I can find another picture or two for ya… but don’t be too disappointed if I don’t end up finding anything.

I’m still hoping we might see a little south pulse Sun-Mon. Monday morning in particular seems to be about the best prospect for lighter south wind and fading south swell.

Have a top old day!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Friday until midnight: Wind: N/NW 8/13 knots, turning N/NE 10/15 knots during the day. Sea: about 1 metre. Swell: E/NE about 1 metre.
Saturday: Wind: N/NW 5/10 knots, increasing to 10/15 knots during the morning. A S/SW change 20/30 knots during the evening. Sea: about 1 metre, rising to 2 to 3 metres late. Swell: NE about 1 metre. Afternoon/evening thunderstorms.
Sunday: Wind: S 20/30 knots, easing to SE 10/20 knots later.

Sticky: Little waves here and there

Posted by: on December 16th, 2009

No takers for the junky conditions at Gardens.

 

Hello Friends,

The grey skies of this morning are set to give way to sunny and warm conditions later. Unlike yesterday, there do seem to be some tiny little waves around. They’re coming out of the ENE and they’re pretty close together, but at least you might see the occasional waist high set at exposed spots.

From the look of the forecast, we could be in for a gradual increase in size as the NE’r kicks up this afternoon. With luck it we’ll get a repeat tomorrow that could see some shoulder high plus sets at spots that like a bit of NE windswell (’cause that’s all it’ll be), Of course it’ll be windy, so we aren’t looking at high quality prospects – but at least we should be able to get something resembling a wave.

Along the ENE exposed stretches there are little waves

 

Tides: H @0749, L @1434
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong Wind Warning
Wednesday until midnight: Wind: N/NE 13/18 knots strengthening to 20/30 knots in the afternoon or evening.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres rising to 2 to 3 metres later. Swell: NE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Thursday: Wind: N/NE 20/30 knots, reaching 33 knots offshore.Sea: 2 to 3 metres. Swell: NE 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Friday: Wind: S/SE 20/30 knots early easing to 5/15 knots by afternoon.

 

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