Hello Friends,

Thought I’d take another look at the waves this evening… and nup, no real change since this morning it has to be said. Swell settings have stayed the same according to the latest MHL data, ie a metre of ENE 6 second period windswell.

At this stage it doesn’t look like there’s a huge incentive to get up for the early (so I’ll probably have my usual late Sunday start), but with a bit of luck, tomorrow afternoon might see a little more activity at NE windswell spots.

Have yourself a top old Saturday evening!

Sunday Tides: L @0900, H @1445
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Saturday until midnight: Wind: N/NE 15/20 knots. Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres.Swell: E/NE about 1.5 metres.
Sunday: Wind: N/NE 15/20 knots increasing to 20/25 knots in the afternoon. Sea: rising 2 to 2.5 metres. Swell: E/SE 1.5 to 2 metres.
Monday: Wind: NE/NW 15/25 knots.
Tuesday: Wind: NW/SW 5/15 knots.

Hello Friends,

As I write this, the south change is looming toward the northern beaches. By 0800 the beaches are going to be a different place. Not that there was anything too impressive going on before then. As the pre-change pics I shot earlier show, set waves were struggling to get to waist high. 15-20 kts of southerly will put an end even to that I’d have thought.

Here’s a pic of the incoming change… more thoughts below…

It doesn’t look as though the change will push up much of anything in the way of swell for us. If it blows steadily from the SE through the day and into tomorrow, we might have some little junky windswell mushburgers tomorrow morning. But the models are not looking too impressive for the next week where Sydney’s concerned.

However, without getting too excited, there does seem to be some prospect of a small south pulse for us around next Tuesday… if… the long range trends turn into reality. It also looks as though you lucky pups up Queensland way could possibly get a little east swell action from about Thursday onward.

Here’s hoping!

Go well with your Wednesday one and all!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Wednesday until midnight: Wind: NW/NE 18/23 knots, ahead of a S/SE change 20/25 knots later in the morning. Sea: 1.5 to 2.5 metres. Swell: E/SE about 1 metre. Scattered thunderstorms.
Thursday: Wind: SE 13/18 knots. Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: SE about 1 metre.
Friday: Wind: E/NE 10/20 knots.

From this afternoon…

From this morning…

Hello Friends,

Aw c’mon Huey! First day of the new year, and what have we got in old Sydney town? Knee high dribble that’s what. I really wish I had better news for you, but them’s the breaks, it’s summer time and all we can do is stay positive.

What we have is maybe a metre of 8 second period E by ENE swell, so it’s not exactly lighting up the old Dee Why. I’m going to get out and about briefly later, so I’ll see if I can find another picture or two for ya… but don’t be too disappointed if I don’t end up finding anything.

I’m still hoping we might see a little south pulse Sun-Mon. Monday morning in particular seems to be about the best prospect for lighter south wind and fading south swell.

Have a top old day!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Friday until midnight: Wind: N/NW 8/13 knots, turning N/NE 10/15 knots during the day. Sea: about 1 metre. Swell: E/NE about 1 metre.
Saturday: Wind: N/NW 5/10 knots, increasing to 10/15 knots during the morning. A S/SW change 20/30 knots during the evening. Sea: about 1 metre, rising to 2 to 3 metres late. Swell: NE about 1 metre. Afternoon/evening thunderstorms.
Sunday: Wind: S 20/30 knots, easing to SE 10/20 knots later.

Hello Friends,

The grey skies of this morning are set to give way to sunny and warm conditions later. Unlike yesterday, there do seem to be some tiny little waves around. They’re coming out of the ENE and they’re pretty close together, but at least you might see the occasional waist high set at exposed spots.

From the look of the forecast, we could be in for a gradual increase in size as the NE’r kicks up this afternoon. With luck it we’ll get a repeat tomorrow that could see some shoulder high plus sets at spots that like a bit of NE windswell (’cause that’s all it’ll be), Of course it’ll be windy, so we aren’t looking at high quality prospects – but at least we should be able to get something resembling a wave.

Tides: H @0749, L @1434
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong Wind Warning
Wednesday until midnight: Wind: N/NE 13/18 knots strengthening to 20/30 knots in the afternoon or evening.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres rising to 2 to 3 metres later. Swell: NE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Thursday: Wind: N/NE 20/30 knots, reaching 33 knots offshore.Sea: 2 to 3 metres. Swell: NE 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Friday: Wind: S/SE 20/30 knots early easing to 5/15 knots by afternoon.

Hello Friends,

Sadly it appears that the forecast was correct for this morning. It’s mild, there’s a light breeze, we have sunny skies – but only a metre of 6 sec period ENE windswell. Once again, it seems from the buoy data that the entire east coast is in low-energy mode.

The outlook across the next week is again pretty ordinary. The most optimistic interpretations of the forecast data from the WAMs are calling for a small upward blip around midweek and then another toward the weekend. Neither, it has to be said, look like resulting in surf much above waist high for the Sydney region.

Typical summer conditions I guess.

Go well with your Sunday and stay in touch!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Sunday until midnight: Wind: S/SE 10/15 knots freshening to SE 15/20 knots in the afternoon. Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: SE about 1.5 metres.
Monday: Wind: SE 15/20 knots tending E/SE in the evening and easing to 10/15 knots. Sea: about 1.5 metres.Swell: SE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Tuesday: Wind: NE freshening to 15/25 knots

Sunny Sunday morning is drawing the crowds.

The MHL Sydney buoy is currently showing about a metre of 6 sec ENE windswell lapping in from the broad Pacific. Average periods are a touch better up along the north coast, but the difference is pretty minor and the average size is about the same as here in Sydney.

From the look of the forecasts and the models, we’re not likely to see much of any improvement over the coming week. Summer continues – big surprise.

However, the long range forecasts seem to be indicating that the present static pattern could possibly be starting to break down. I’m not getting excited just yet, but at least there seems to be something going on. Right now it looks as though next weekend might see some chest to shoulder high NE windswell at the better NE spots. Fingers crossed!

Go well!

ps: I’m twittering at http://twitter.com/mr_realsurf