Articles tagged with "NE-1m-5s"

Foggy Sydney morning

Posted by: on September 7th, 2016
dy point

Nothing to interest a surfer at the point 0920

dy

Kiddies micro as well

dy beach

Up the beach a ripple getting caught

wrl cam

WRL am view at 0630


Hello Friends,
Visibility from the crows nest was down to 300m as I started rapping out this report. It should burn off soon, so I’ll post more pics later. I’m not expecting to see anything surfable though because the MHL buoy is showing only a metre of 5-se NE wind bump. Well exposed spots might see the odd knee high bomb thanks to some remnant 10-sec south bump.
Wind was light westerly at North Head, but the forecast is for it to go N-NE 10-15 kts this afternoon. Tide was low at 0600 and will be back to high at 1155.
Outlook hasn’t changed much since yesterday. There’s still a prospect of the swell bumping up into the fun range at NE spots late Friday through Saturday. Some predictions are calling shoulder to head, but I’m guessing those will be the bombs rather than the typical sets.

Have a top old day!

How close to flat can you get?

Posted by: on March 24th, 2015

Hello Friends,
Rainy afternoon coming up, but the sun was putting in an appearance as the day got started. But a great slab of cloud was sliding slowly in from the south as I climbed aloft to grab the morning snap. As you can see, it was extremely small at 0730 – but not absolutely flat. Several SUP’ers were poking around for the odd ankle to knee high little NE lines at the Dee Why end of the beach.
Swell was about a metre out of the NE at just 5 seconds apart. Glorified wind chop really, but it was glassy looking, so with the right equipment some low key fun could ensue. East swell magnets should be producing a touch more size on the biggest ones, but I reckon the bombs won’t get much above waist high.

Wind is lightly SSW as of 0800 but is expected to swing south to SE soon before going back to the SW this evening. Tomorrow the wind is supposed to come up a fair amount from the south to SW but it doesn’t look like mattering much/ The models aren’t too hopeful for Wednesday or Thursday, but some are predicting a mix of SSW swell with 10+ sec average periods and some sub-metre east swell of about the same period. Bottom line? Maybe some waist to chest plus energy at places where the mix comes together optimally. The Bureau reckons the wind will be out of the SW until noon Friday, so… here’s hoping!
And… the models say we could still have some energy for Saturday…

Have yourself a fine old Tuesday!

Tides: L @0620, H @1225

dee why

Teeny tiny barely there but there

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is moving east maintaining a ridge to the New South Wales north coast. During Tuesday a cold front will bring a southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast before weakening in the north on Wednesday. The next front with an associated southerly change is expected to move up the coast during Thursday and Friday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the morning. Winds shifting south to southeasterly later in the morning then tending south to southwesterly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 90% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening.

Wednesday 25 March

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds shifting east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres decreasing below 1 metre in the afternoon.
1st Swell
South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers in the morning.

Thursday 26 March

Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southwesterly and increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.

Beautiful morning …for a swim

Posted by: on September 14th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Only the faintest hint of energy this morning. The MHL Sydney buoy was showing a metre of 5-second NE wind swell at 0600 and by the time I checked conditions at 0800 the tiny waves were little more than a rime of white on the rocks at Dee Why. Better exposed spots might offer the odd knee high wavelet, but the person bobbing hopefully around at the point didn’t look likely to be troubled by anything as big as that.

It’s an absolutely beautiful morning though.

The flatness looks likely to persist for another day and a half. Tuesday afternoon should potentially see an interesting change as we see a couple of metres (potentially) of south swell in combo with late afternoon offshores.

This morning’s long range models are pointing to more activity from late Tuesday through into next week. If the more optimistic modelling is right, Monday and Tuesday week could be pretty fun at south swell spots. That’d be right. I’ll be back on the sidelines for a few weeks from Thursday. We’ve all been there.

Have a great Sunday everyone!

dee why point

Waiting hopefully at the point.

Weather Situation
A high in the Tasman Sea is currently extending a weak ridge back across New South Wales. A trough and weak southerly change, associated with a low pressure centre moving well to the south of Tasmania, will extend along southern and central parts of the coast today. The southerly change will move to the north coast on Monday, as a weak low pressure centre moves from the Bight into western New South Wales. Winds along the coast will freshen from the north to northeast on Tuesday as the low approaches and then crosses the coast later in the day. Winds will then shift southwesterly Tuesday night or Wednesday as the low moves into the Tasman Sea and a ridge begins to build from the southwest.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds shifting south to southeasterly during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms later this afternoon and evening.
Monday 15 September
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Tuesday 16 September
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the morning then shifting westerly below 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms.

Lookin’ near flat at Dee Why

Posted by: on April 3rd, 2014

Hello Friends,

The numbers tell the story. At 0500 the Sydney MHL swell spectra chart was showing only a faint 5 second period NE windswell of less than a metre. So, if you can find something surfable, you’ll be doing very well. There weren’t any takers at Dee Why when I checked for the first time at around 0730. And from the shape of the forecasts, we’re in for not much change today.

We’re set to have a south change come through this afternoon. It’ll change the wind pattern to SE-SW overnight, but we should be back to northerly tomorrow arvo and then on Saturday another afternoon south change is lined up for us. The models aren’t unified, but right now it looks as though it should be a bit bigger over the coming weekend, but that wind is going to be an issue.

The Goat’s often along with his wisdom on a Thursday, so as always, I’ll be keen to see his call too.

Have a great Thursday everyone!

Looks like it'll burn off soon.

Looks like it’ll burn off soon.

Very weak and tiny at 0730

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Thursday 3 April 2014.
Weather Situation
A high pressure system centred near New Zealand extends a weak ridge over northeast New South Wales. A trough and associated cold front are approaching from the southwest. This system is expected to bring a southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast today, before stalling north of Sydney on Friday. There are indications that a low is likely to develop off the South Coast on Friday, deepening and moving eastwards during the weekend under the influence of a passing upper-level feature.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly in the early afternoon ahead of a late southerly change 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore by early evening.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms later this afternoon and evening, more frequent inshore.
Friday 4 April
Winds
Southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots early in the morning then becoming northwest to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore by early evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Saturday 5 April
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots turning southerly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms in the morning.

Sticky: The waiting game continues

Posted by: on December 18th, 2013

Beach waiting for swell

The day gets going

Hello Friends,

I’m calling it 1 out of 10 at Dee Why. Maybe I shouldn’t be so harsh though. Just because it’s almost perfectly flat, doesn’t mean it’s such a bad day at the beach. You could go for a walk or a swim or get out the SUP and have a paddle around. Skies are mainly clear and there was a light NE sea breeze ruffling the sea.

The MHL buoy off Sydney is recording a faint NE wind swell of about a metre at just 5 seconds apart. It’ll be a real challenge to catch that stuff.

This morning’s forecast is calling for a day like yesterday and a tomorrow like today – ie tiny east swell and an afternoon NE’r.

Tide is high at 0835 and low at 1510.

Have a top old day!

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Wednesday 18 December 2013.
Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the western Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the New South Wales north coast. This high is expected to remain slow moving during the next few days, with northerly winds becoming increasingly dominant along coastal waters by the end of the week. A trough is forecast to bring a southerly change to southern parts Friday or Saturday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Thursday 19 December
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Friday 20 December
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly around 1 metre.

Sticky: Looking pretty tiny out there

Posted by: on September 23rd, 2013

High tide and not much

Hello Friends,

Although high tide isn’t until 1030, as of 0700 Dee Why looked pretty full. Not that it matters much because the energy levels have tailed right away to almost nothing. The swell spectral chart from MHL shows only short period (5-7 seconds) wind swell coming from the NE and south. There were a few hopefuls bobbing about where the waves have been for the last 4 or 5 days, but really, if a waist high set turned up, that’d be a special event this morning.

There doesn’t seem to be any real prospect of an improvement today, although the forecast is for the wind to be a summery NE’r at up to 25 kts in the afternoon, so I don’t know, maybe… there might be a little wind swelly slop burger to be had in the north corners for the late.

Not a fabulous outlook it has to be said for the week ahead. Nothing much of interest in the near term swell modelling either. With luck we’ll see some sort of uptick on Thursday. Here’s hoping!

Here’s hoping as well that this week will see pledges to our crowdfunding effort start picking up. It’s gone pretty quiet on that front, worryingly so for yours truly. So scratching around for something to gee it up, I’ve decided we need a party to look forward to. It’s early days on the planning, but I’ve had a word with Steve at Deck Bar in Dee Why and he’s put our name down in his big book for Wed 23 October.

Our crowdfunding campaign ends at 0100 on the 24th, so Don’s Surf Party will either be a celebration or a wake. We’ll cross out the adjective that doesn’t apply on the night. 🙂 I’m just starting to secure the entertainment, but Tim Bonython has promised to turn up with some fresh footage to show, and I’ll roll out some of my rarely seen footage of MP, Rabbit, Terry Fitz and Dee Why’s very own Peter Crawford. I’ll be keeping you posted as the program develops, but in the meantime, to get an invite, you need to get that pledge taken care of asap. Spaces are limited and therefore I’m only offering them to pledgers.

It’ll be a night of surf, surf and more surf and it’d be great to see you there so click the link below, join the pledgers and an invite to Don’s Surf Party will head your way.

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EST on Monday 23 September 2013.
Weather Situation
A weak high pressure system lies over the Tasman Sea as a trough of low pressure approaches the western border of New South Wales. This trough is forecast to to reach the western border during the afternoon, continuing to the coast on Tuesday although weakening. Increasing northerly winds will affect much of the coast ahead of this trough. A strong cold front appears likely to reach the coast during Thursday.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Tuesday 24 September
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the afternoon then becoming southwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres in the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Wednesday 25 September
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning then becoming north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.

Go swimming?

Posted by: on March 27th, 2013

Back to nearly flat
Hello Friends,

Another warm day coming up for Sydney. Positively summery in fact. Sadly, the swell situation is also summery, ie about a metre of 5 second period NE wind swell. A 1.7m high tide at 0900 isn’t helping either. The outlook is little changed this morning. We’re not likely to see much of significance over the coming week. A few days ago, Saturday had looked a reasonable hope for east swell spots. It still looks better than this morning’s offerings, but not by very much.

Just for fun, I’ve had a look at the prospects for waves at Bells for the contest. From the shape of the charts there might be a bit of swell next week, but the latest long range modelling isn’t showing anything epic thus far.

Gotta jam, have a good one!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system near New Zealand is maintaining a ridge towards southeast Queensland, while a weak low pressure trough lies over northeastern New South Wales. A second trough, with an associated cold front, is approaching from the west. Northerly winds between these systems will continue to affect the coast through Wednesday. Late on Wednesday the cold front will bring a gusty southerly change to the west of the state, continuing to the southern coast during Thursday, and the north on Friday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots turning northeasterly 25 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly about 1 metre.
Thursday 28 March
Winds
Northwest to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre tending northeasterly 1.5 metres late in the evening.
Friday 29 March
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots turning southerly 25 to 30 knots during the morning then decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres tending southerly 3 metres from the morning.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore early in the morning.

Sticky: Barely there, but if you’re really keen…

Posted by: on December 8th, 2012

 

 

Hello Friends,

Dropping tide (low at 0820) and a 5 second period NE wind swell with some remnant south bump was delivering the occasional knee to waist high set at Dee Why and Long Reef. Not much going on I’m afraid, but if you’re patient and keep your expectations realistic, a diversion or two of a surfly sort may come your way.

The wind is supposed to pick up from the NE later. While that will probably lower the water temps again and blow in the odd blue bottle, it’s not likely to kick up the energy levels much. I suppose there might be some scrappy stuff at NE wind swell spots, but if it got above the waist high mark I’d be surprised.

Tomorrow should see more NE’rly in the morning ahead of a south change. Again, there might be some messy stuff for the super keen, but it’s not looking flash. The rest of the week is shaping up to be dominated by short period mainly onshore and small wind swell action.

It’s summer, what can ya say?

Keep on smilin’ and have yourself a top old Saturday.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the western Tasman Sea is moving slowly east maintaining a ridge to New South Wales north coast. During Saturday northerly winds will increase along the coast ahead of southerly change developing on the far south coast overnight and reaching central coast in the afternoon on Sunday. This change will weaken on the north coast early Monday as another high moves towards Tasmania strengthening a ridge along the coast.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.
Sunday 9 December
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres increasing to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre tending northeasterly about 1.5 metres from midday.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms from midday, contracting offshore by early evening.
Monday 10 December
Winds
Southerly 20 to 25 knots turning southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
Up to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 metre tending easterly during the evening.

Another micro morning for Dee Why

Posted by: on August 24th, 2012

Hello Friends,

No joy this morning for those of us who’d like a wave. There’s not much of anything showing on the offshore buoy where it’s a metre from the NE at 5 seconds on average. Nothing more than chop. And with westerlies forecast all day, there is no prospect of an improvement.

What’s worse is the models’ generally gloomy outlook for the next week. Whilst there’s plenty of energy in the southern ocean, the forecast has it all pushing SW’ly as it goes past Tasmania and not angling up into our swell window.

Oh well. Maybe head down to western Vic…

Have a great day anyway!

TIDES: L @0645, H @1320

Weather Situation
A low pressure trough and associated cold front are moving from eastern New South Wales to the Tasman Sea this morning. A deep low near Tasmania will continue to drive a vigorous westerly airstream across the southern and central New South Wales coast today, while a high over central Australia extends a ridge across the state’s north. Later today the low will move away to the southeast, allowing the ridge to strengthen over the region during the weekend and bringing a return to lighter wind conditions.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Saturday 25 August
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to variable about 10 knots in the early afternoon then becoming westerly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly about 1 metre tending southerly 1 metre during the evening.
Sunday 26 August
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to variable about 10 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1 metre.

Apologies!

Posted by: on November 22nd, 2010

Hello Friends,

Sorry about that! It seems the cloud burped and the site went away for a few hours. Back on deck now and all should be as usual tomorrow.

Waves were soft, weak and small this morning and the outlook for tomorrow is for even punier conditions. The swell went from the east around to the NE today, but using a word like swell to describe the dribble we had is pretty laughable. Since this morning the average period has lost another second, so at mid-evening it was only 5 seconds apart.

Blerggh

Happily, since this morning’s run of the models, the supercomputers seem to be calculating a bit of an improvement for us around Wednesday – but only at spots that can handle a heap of NE wind and like east swell. I’m not expecting much in the way of quality, but it might be sort of okay in a sideshore messy kinda way…

Anyway, have a good evening and catchya tomorrow.

Weather Situation

A high over the Tasman extends a ridge over New South Wales . This high is expected to remain semi stationary throughout the week, bringing north to northeast winds to most of the coast.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds: Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas: 1.5 metres. Swell: Easterly 0.5 metres.

Forecast for Tuesday

Winds: North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening. Swell: Easterly about 1 metre.

Forecast for Wednesday

Winds: Northeasterly 20 to 25 knots increasing to 25 to 30 knots around midday. Seas: 2 metres increasing to 3 metres around midday. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Thursday

Winds: North to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots becoming northeasterly 25 to 30 knots during the evening. Seas: Up to 3 metres. Swell: Easterly 1.5 metres.

 

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