Articles tagged with "NE-1m-6s"

Small to flat Saturday

Posted by: on May 17th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Lovely morning out there but not a hint of a wave at Dee Why, nor anywhere else along most of the east coast. Only a 6 second period NE wind swell lapping in. You might possibly find a knee high wave face at the right spot on the right tide, but that’s about it. And there’s really no prospect of significant change until maybe mid-week when we could possibly see a little uptick in the energy levels. The long range modelling this morning is projecting no major swell events for the next couple of weeks in our region.

By the time the next swell hits, we’ll probably all be in steamers again.

But that’s how it goes sometimes in the transition to winter.

So have yourself a top old Saturday, get up to some good and stay happy!

Tides L @0405 H @1005

Forecast issued at 4:12 am EST on Saturday 17 May 2014.

0630 and microness prevails

0630 and microness prevails

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge across New South Wales. This high will remain semi-stationary over the next few days. A weak southerly change is expected to develop along New South Wales south coast on Tuesday as the high in the Tasman weakens.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre around midday, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.

Sunday 18 May

Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.

Monday 19 May

Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.

Tiny weak NE wind chop

Posted by: on February 14th, 2014

Hello (again) Friends,

Came back from my morning airport run to find Curly with three or four people waiting around for something anything at high tide. Biggest thing I saw was maybe waist high – screaming outside max.

Stopped in DY for a coffee and as the tide dropped there were actually some little waist plus sets. Very weak though.

Just checked again at 1400 and as the picture below shows, no one’s in the water in front of the SLSC and for good reason; there really aren’t any waves. Guess we’ve gotta hope that maybe things will improve tomorrow… even though the Goat’s prediction is pretty ho-hum…

Grey and tiny.

Grey and tiny.

Big excitement at DY beach about 1000 Friday morning.

Big excitement at DY beach about 1000 Friday morning.


Here’s what I wrote before daybreak…
Have to do an airport run, so up very early. In fact, it’s still dark, so a picture will have to wait until I get back through rush hour to the beaches.

From the MHL data, it looks as though waves will be very tiny and weak. Only a metre or so of NE wind chop (period is just 6 seconds) showing out at sea. Plus, the tide’s high at around 0850. Through in a forecast of rain and the prospects aren’t looking too red hot.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman sea extends a ridge towards the northern New South Wales coast, while a broad low pressure trough lies over the state’s west. Over the next few days the high will drift slowly east, maintaining generally east to northeast winds along the coast until a low pressure trough affects the region during the weekend.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore by early evening.
Saturday 15 February
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Sunday 16 February
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the day then becoming south to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres.

Tiny but not totally and absolutely flat

Posted by: on December 14th, 2013

Excitement DY style

Close in

Blue

New chums arrive

Hello Friends,

Very small to almost – but not quite – flat this morning at the Dee Why to Longy and the Collaroy Narrabeen stretches. There’s a wee little NE wind swell of about a metre at 5 seconds apart. This translated into knee to maybe waist on the best sets at the best spots. Wind was light for the early session, but it’s coming up from the south as I write this at 0720. Wind is due to ramp up into the 20-30 kt range from the S-SE by late this morning. Once that happens, I reckon the surf options will really be limited.

Tide was high at 0555 and will be back to low at 1235.

Outlook isn’t too flash I’d have to say. Right now the models are projecting tiny to flat for the next week.

Oh well, I’m sure our friends and relatives will be glad to see a bit more of us! Go well one and all.

Forecast issued at 1:37 am EDT on Saturday 14 December 2013.
Weather Situation
A low pressure trough lies over northeast NSW extending over the coast and forming a low offshore and south of about Seal Rocks. This low moves slowly to the northeast today located near the southern part of the Midnorth Coast this evening before dissipating on Sunday as it moves offshore. Fresh north to northeasterly winds are expected north of the low, turning fresh to strong east to southeasterly to it’s south. Further south winds tend south to southeasterly due to a high pressure system south of the Bight, and extend up the coast behind the low reaching the north coast Sunday evening. The high pressure system will move over the Tasman Sea resulting in winds turning to the northeast into the new week.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
Northeast to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots early morning, increasing to 20 to 30 knots from late morning. Winds decrease to 15 to 20 knots this evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms until this evening.
Sunday 15 December
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly in the late morning and early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore early in the morning.
Monday 16 December
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming easterly about 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.

The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:05 pm EDT Saturday

Small Sydney, smaller SoCal

Posted by: on November 8th, 2013

Sth Narra 0700
Hello Friends,
Sorry to have not filed anything for a few days now. I’ve decided to stick around another week to help out my friends, so normal service from me won’t resume until next weekend.
Looking at the WRL pic at checking a couple of the cams, it looks as though conditions are pretty marginal, but offshore at 0900. MHL is showing 6 second period wind waves of about a metre from the NE. Tide’s high around 1110. Wind’s set to come up and blow pretty hard later from the N-NE. So, maybe your fave NE summer spot will be producing some wind lump action for the late… with luck it might last into tomorrow morning because the wind doesn’t look like letting up.

Really tiny here again, which is probably just as well since I haven’t really had an opportunity to get in the water. I’m going for a drive down the coast soon, so maybe I’ll find something to take a picture of for another little postcard.

Look after yourselves!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge into northeastern New South Wales, while a slow-moving trough approaches from the west. Between these systems, a northerly airstream will dominate along most of the coast for the remainder of Friday. The trough is expected to bring a southerly change to the far south later on Friday, gradually extending the northern half of the coast by Sunday, where it is likely to stall. Also during the weekend, a strong high south of the Bight will begin to push a ridge towards the southern Tasman Sea as a low develops over inland New South Wales, likely leading to the development of onshore winds through the early part of next week.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots becoming northeasterly 25 to 30 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms inshore tonight.
Saturday 9 November
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots tending northwest to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots early in the morning then tending southerly 20 to 30 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around dawn, then decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms.
Sunday 10 November
Winds
Southerly 20 to 25 knots tending southeasterly during the morning.
Seas
2 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres.

Sticky: Scraps

Posted by: on May 31st, 2013

Not big, but not flat
Hello Friends,

Not much of anything showing on the MHL directional spectra plot for Sydney this morning. What we have is coming out of the NE at about 6 seconds apart and a metre out at sea. There were a few small peaks along the Dee Why to Longy stretch for the early, but if yesterday is any guide, they’ll probably fade out by around 1100 as the tide comes in (it’s high just before 1400). So, I’d get on it now if the opportunity is there for you.

As usual, I concur with The Goat on the surf outlook for the coming weekend. Gotta say too, that this morning’s run of the swell models is pointing toward potentially big southerly conditions early next week.

Have yourself a top old Friday!

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system over the southwestern Tasman Sea is slowly moving east maintaining a ridge to New South Wales north coast. A cold front is expected to bring a strong southerly change along the coast on Sunday.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Up to 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Saturday 1 June
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots turning northwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Sunday 2 June
Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 25 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.

Getting pretty quiet out there

Posted by: on March 21st, 2013

Booming set wave

Hello Friends,

When I checked the Dee Why stretch this morning, there were only a couple of bods in the water with wave riding gear. It is very small, flat almost, and yet the Bureau says that we might have something surfable later. If it happens, it’ll be locally generated by a projected 25-30 kt NE’r this afternoon. So, who knows, maybe a few waist plus sideshore bumps at NE spots… We have another day of relatively small tidal swings too. It’s low a little after 1100 and then comes up by less than half a metre to the high around 1710. Tomorrow morning there might possibly be the odd NE bump at exposed spots, but from the look of the forecast, the wind could be an issue from early.

Looking ahead, I’d say there’s another week at least of small to flat conditions. Early risers will have the best shot at getting something fun, but it looks pretty unlikely to be much above the knee to waist range. And as far as I can tell, that holds pretty much from Eden to Byron. Oh well. Patience required…

Have yourself a top Thursday!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southwestern Tasman Sea will move slowly towards New Zealand over the next couple of days maintaining the ridge to the the northwest. A trough will move through the state on Thursday and Friday, bringing an increase in northeasterly winds to most coastal waters ahead of a southerly change on the south and central coasts on Friday and Saturday.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots tending north to northeasterly 25 to 30 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
2 metres increasing to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 0.5 metres.
Friday 22 March
Winds
Northerly 25 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots early in the morning.
Seas
Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly 0.5 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms in the early evening.
Saturday 23 March
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming easterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 0.5 metres tending northeasterly 0.5 to 1.5 metres from the morning.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms from the morning.

Sticky: Summer holding pattern

Posted by: on February 8th, 2013

Friday morning at Dee Why
Hello Friends,

Tide was high at 0700 and the MHL buoy was reporting a touch over a metre of 6 second period NE wind chop. Skies were clear and there was a light WNW breeze.

Where Dee Why’s concerned, this all means that there wasn’t enough going on to attract more than one or two punters for the early.

This morning’s forecast models are largely in agreement that the next few days will be pretty small. Standout NE spots could have a little waist high set now and again, but that’s about it. Looking out at the furthest reaches of the forecasts, there are currently indications that we could have a long period south swell around this time next week. So, fingers crossed!

Have yourself a top old Friday!

Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the northern New South Wales coast. A low pressure trough is expected to bring a southerly change to the southern half of the coast on Sunday.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots turning northeasterly 20 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre.
Saturday 9 February
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots turning northeasterly 20 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly about 1 metre.
Sunday 10 February
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon then decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 meters.
Swell
Easterly about 1.5 metres.

Sticky: About the same as yesterday

Posted by: on December 3rd, 2012


Hello Friends,

RealSurf HQ was socked in at report writing time this morning. I’ll eyeball it in an hour or so, but looking at the MHL data, I’d say that it’s still very small and weak because the numbers are, if anything, slightly worse than yesterday, and yesterday was just about flat. We’re looking at 6 second average period with waves at not much more than a metre and coming from the NE. Wind is lightly from the south. Next high tide is at 1050 and tide will be low at 1730.

From the shape of the swell forecast modelling this morning, we’re in for another couple days of this stuff before Huey kicks some south energy our way from about Wednesday. On current reckoning, it’ll be onshore but okay size on Wednesday and then, maybe, we’ll see a better wind and swell combo for Thursday morning.

Have yourself a great Monday!

Weather Situation
A broad low pressure trough lies over the western Tasman Sea. The trough will move to the north during Tuesday and weaken as a vigorous southerly change associated with a cold front crossing the southern Tasman Sea develops on New South Wales far south coast in the morning and moves north in the afternoon and evening. Southerly winds are expected to ease on Thursday as a high pressure system moves towards the Bight strengthening a ridge to the east.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming easterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon then tending northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1 metre tending easterly 0.5 metres during the evening.
Tuesday 4 December
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming southwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning then tending southerly in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly about 1 metre tending easterly 0.5 metres late in the evening.
Wednesday 5 December
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots tending west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning then tending southerly during the afternoon.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 2 metres.

Nothin’ much at Dee Why

Posted by: on September 28th, 2012


Hello Friends,

I don’t think I’d be steering you wrong to say that there’s not much chance of a wave this morning along the northern beaches. There’s about a metre of NE wind swell, but given the 6 second period, it’s somewhere between utterly flat and barely catchable. I’d be looking at NE spots with a set of very low expectations if you just have to get wet. Wind’s N-NE at around 15 knots, so anywhere exposed is getting torn up. The wind is set to go around more to the north and pick up into the 25-30 kt range. All that wind should push up a little more size toward dusk, but quality will be marginal at best even in the north corners.

Ah well. No reason you can’t have a top old Friday – even if a surf is off the agenda!

Tides: L @0645 H @1245

Weather Situation
A weakening high pressure system lies over the southern Tasman Sea. An active cold front will bring west to southwesterly change to the far south coast late Friday evening extending to the north coast during Saturday. A high pressure ridge will extend over the state Sunday.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots, increasing to 25 to 30 knots in the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres increasing to 3 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly about 1 metre becoming 1.5 metres late this evening.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms
Saturday 29 September
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots turning west to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Up to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Northeasterly about 2 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms in the morning.
Sunday 30 September
Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to variable about 10 knots during the day then becoming west to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 metre tending southerly 1.5 metres from the morning.

Choppy and micro

Posted by: on August 23rd, 2012


Hello Friends,

A windy and tiny day coming up for Sydney.Only a metre of NE wind swell dribbling in. Dee Why isn’t showing anything in the way of a wave and the ocean is looking choppy under clear but hazy skies. Much warmer too this morning as spring announces its imminent arrival.

Another day for other things I’d say.

Outlook on this morning’s batch of swell forecasts is not good. It would seem that the next hope of anything surfable turning up is sometime early next week.

Keep on smilin’, we all know it’ll come good again!

Tides: L @0550, H @1220

From the Bureau:

Max 26
Showers developing. Windy.
Chance of any rain: 60%
Rainfall amount: 0 to 2 mm

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and the chance of thunderstorms, mostly this afternoon and evening. Winds northerly 25 to 35 km/h turning northwesterly 35 to 45 km/h in the morning then decreasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the evening.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system located over Tasman Sea will move east towards New Zealand on Thursday. A vigorous cold front, associated with a deep low pressure system to the southwest of Tasmania, will extend over western NSW during Thursday morning and reach eastern NSW by Thursday night. Fresh to strong north to northwesterly winds will extend across NSW ahead of the front on Thursday. A colder west to southwesterly airstream will develop over southern NSW following the passage of the front later on Thursday and extend to the northern parts of the state on Friday. A ridge of high pressure will extend over northern NSW during the weekend while another cold front moves across the far southern NSW on Saturday.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
Up to 3 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre becoming about 1.5 metres from the late morning.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.
Friday 24 August
Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots becoming westerly 20 to 30 knots in the middle of the day then decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Up to 2.5 metres decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres in the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Saturday 25 August
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 0.5 metres tending southeasterly 1 metre from the morning.

 

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