Articles tagged with "S-1m-8s"

It’s a lake in Sydney

Posted by: on July 3rd, 2016

Hello Friends,

The ocean looks as flat as a coalition marginal seat-holder’s mood after Saturday. The MHL buoy is showing not quite a metre of dead south bump at about 8 seconds apart. I’d be surprised if you could get anything less than a SUP to propel you shoreward. Throw in the high tide at the start of the day, and despite the wind being light and offshore under clear skies, you have a recipe for not much surfin’
And from what the models project, it would seem that the hopeless flatness will persist until late in the week. From about Thursday onward though, things look intriguing. Certainly there could be a fair amount of straight south energy about the place. Wind call is for strong SSW early and the swell, if the models have it picked, could be around the 5 metre mark and 10+ seconds. Yikes.
Meanwhile on my side of the pond the energy levels have dropped away for northern Ventura and Santa Barbara county. Yesterday I got in the water at California street where there were some fat chest plus sets, light sideshore wind (rare) and not that many people (even rarer). Today however, the sw swell was pretty much gone. Still, I grabbed a couple postcards to share…

south of hobsons

4th of July weekend and the city bus sized RVs stretch for miles along the beachfront in northern Ventura

hobsons tiny conditions

Only weak little wind swell chop showing at Hobson’s in north Ventura county

Drifting into the doldrums

Posted by: on November 24th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Not great numbers to start with this Tuesday. About a metre of 8-sec south wind swell showing on the MHL Sydney buoy and 10-15 kts of ESE wind along the coast. Throw in a high tide at a little after 1000 and I’m not overconfident about the wave prospects for you. Ankle to knee onshore slop is my prediction. Good day for work or school.

From the look of the forecasts, tomorrow isn’t too exciting looking, but there may possibly be some activity for the early on Wednesday morning.

Only a few days left on the Cali coast for me now. My reporting will stop after Weds and when it resumes early next week, I shall be back in dear old Sydney once more.

Went for a surf at Mesa Lane (bit of a go-to this trip) and pulled a few framegrabs from the gopro…

surfing at Mesa Lane

Another makeable section at Mesa Lane

longboarder mesa lane

This bloke was on fire, catching heaps at Mesa Lane

Fun wall at Mesa Lane

Yep, made this one too.

Pelicans glide past the peak

Pelicans glide past the peak

Have yourself a great Monday one and all!

Weather Situation

A low pressure trough that moved up the central NSW coast Sunday evening has weakened about the Hunter coast overnight. To the north of the trough northerly winds dominate and as the trough weakens further on Monday winds along the southern and central coasts will tend back to the north. This is ahead of a stronger southerly change associated with a cold front that is expected to develop on the south coast Monday night and move up the coast during Tuesday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon then tending south to southwesterly in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Tuesday 25 November

Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeast 10 to 15 knots. Winds tending south to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the morning locally reaching up to 30 knots then turning easterly below 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Wednesday 26 November

Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, tending 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre, tending southerly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 40% chance of showers.

Short-period and tiny here and there

Posted by: on November 10th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Not a great deal going on in Sydney this morning. There’s a mix of straight south and NE wind swell stuff, but at best it’s only around the 8 second mark at about a metre at sea. That means marginal to nearly flat for lots of places. Take the floatiest option in your surf arsenal if you’re keen to get in.

As of 0700 wind was light and SSW, but the Bureau says it’ll swing SE soon and could be up into the 25 kt range by afternoon.

Swell doesn’t look like improving at all today, so might be a good one to be off to work or school.

Tomorrow might see a slight improvement to the swell energy, but the wind is expected to still be SE. By Weds the swell could be a bit bigger again and it might actually be somewhat interesting for the morning sesh. Tide was low today just a bit before 0500 so it’ll be starting to come back in after 0615 on Weds. Combine the incoming push with light and variable winds and it could be fun at south spots. And Thursday looks better still…

Today’s postcard from Cali is a screengrab from swellmagnet.com’s Huntington Beach pier cam. It’s a touch bigger down there than here in Santa Barbara. Got my fingers crossed for later in the week though when we might get a little west pulse if all goes well…

Have a great Monday!

HB pier northside from swellmagnet.com

HB pier northside from swellmagnet.com

Weather Situation

A fresh southerly wind change follows in the wake of a trough slowly extending up the northern half of the coast expected to exit the region on Tuesday. Winds are expected to ease behind the wind change although remain strong over the South Coast due to a cold front passing over the southern Tasman Sea. Winds will gradually turn to the north again by the end of the week as a high pressure system moves over the Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the afternoon. Winds easing to 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore during the morning.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 30% chance of a shower this morning.

Tuesday 11 November

Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 40% chance of showers.

Wednesday 12 November

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy

Sticky: Tiny but not absolutely flat

Posted by: on August 24th, 2013

Set action

Nothing happening

Immense set

Hello Friends,

Swell perked a tiny bit overnight, but it’s got too much SW in it to be getting into many beaches this morning. Dee Why and Longy were just barely showing a little knee to waist line before 0700. With the tide rushing into a big high at 0945, those waves may not survive the swamping.

The energy levels are set to peak around midday and then will very gradually roll off, but there just might be some tiny barely catchable ripples through tomorrow at south exposed spots.

Tides: H @0945, L @1545

Weather Situation
Windy conditions persist over southern New South Wales in the wake of a complex low pressure system moving over the southern Tasman Sea. Winds will ease this afternoon as the low moves further towards the east and a ridge of high pressure extends across the region. Early in the new week this high is forecast to move over the Tasman Sea, with winds shifting northerly ahead of the next frontal system.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Strong wind warning for Saturday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending south to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres around midday, then decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Sunday 25 August
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the morning.
Seas
Up to 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Monday 26 August
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the day.
Seas
Up to 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.

Posted by: on October 31st, 2012

 

 

Hello Friends,

Most interesting thing going on at Dee Why this morning was a black swan cruising in the lagoon. That’s a very rare sight these days, so it’s good to see that somehow they’re managing to cling on in our urban landscape. The waves? Nup. Nothing above knee high that I could see. The MHL buoy off Sydney is showing about a metre from the south with an average period of 9 seconds. That could possibly produce something catchable at south spots, but I wouldn’t be taking my high performance board this morning.

Tide’s high at 0845 and will be low at 1515. It should be around 24 and sunny with light winds from the north.

It looks as though we’ll get a mixed southerly and east to NE pulse on Friday and Saturday, but we’ll have to deal with steady onshores. I’d be backing the early on Saturday as the high point for the week at this stage.

Keep on smilin’!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is moving slowly east-southeast while a cold front approaches from South Australia. This front is expected to move through NSW later in the week, bringing a south to southwest change to southern waters on Thursday and to northern waters on Friday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northerly about 10 knots tending northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly about 1 metre.
Thursday 1 November
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 25 knots before shifting southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon or evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly about 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms during the evening.
Friday 2 November
Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots becoming southerly 25 to 30 knots early in the morning then decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres increasing to 3 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly about 1.5 metres tending easterly 1.5 metres during the evening.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore in the afternoon and evening.

Sticky: Tiny early, maybe a bit more toward lunch

Posted by: on March 24th, 2012


Hello Friends,

We’re in for a beautiful morning with offshores followed by an afternoon of gradually increasing SE onshores. Our big issues for the morning are an incoming tide and a lack of significant swell energy. At daybreak the MHL buoy was showing a metre of south wind swell with an average period of about 8 seconds. There is still some 11 second period component in the mix, so it may be that stuff we were seeing every now and then at Dee Why for the early.

I’d be keeping an eye on it just in case we get a few east sets from around lunch time. Could be a case of getting your timing exactly right to peak the day’s peak before the SE’r becomes a factor.

Outlook for tomorrow sees some variation in the swell modelling. According to some interpretations of the WAM data, there might be some surfable size at south swell spots thanks to a couple metres of swell. The big question mark is over the quality. This morning’s call from the Bureau is for Sunday to be southerly early, turning SE later.

Next week is shaping to be small and marginal for Monday-Tuesday before we get into a (slightly) rising east swell trend. Byt Friday and next weekend, we could be back into chest to head high plus territory.

TIDES: H @1015 L @1615

Weather Situation

A high pressure system lies to the south of WA, with a cold front and low pressure system moving over the Tasman Sea. These systems are producing southwesterly winds over NSW. Over the weekend the high will move slowly east and extend a ridge over most of the state. Early next week the high will move into the Tasman Sea and direct a relatively light east to northeast airflow over NSW.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Westerly 20 to 25 knots tending south to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots around midday then tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots by early evening.
Seas
Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly about 2 metres.

Sunday 25 March

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots turning east to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 metres.

Monday 26 March

Winds

Northeast to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots.

Seas

Below 1 metre.

Swell

Southerly about 2 metres.

Sticky: Not quite totally flat

Posted by: on July 27th, 2010

Hello Friends,

I guess the good news is that it’s not quite dire enough to be absolutely unsurfable. There were a few bods in at Dee Why for the early. It’s struggling to get to waist high, so you need to be extra keen. Just to add to the picture, the wind call is for SE early followed by a gradual change to light easterlies. Blergh. Good for getting work done I guess.

The low energy settings that have been showing in the forecasts for some time now are still there. The next 5-6 days (still) look pretty ordinary for the east coast. This morning’s run of the WAMs shows what seems to be an east coast low developing late in the weekend. That’s a big call at this stage though. I guess it’s the usual story with these forecasts – it’s something to watch for now, but it’s too early to make plans.

Have yourself a great day!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: Southeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending easterly by early evening and northeasterly at night. West to southwesterly winds to 10 knots inshore at first.Sea: Below 1 metre.Swell: Southerly 1.5 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: Northwest to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending north to northeasterly 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.Sea: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.Swell: Southerly about 1.5 metres decreasing below 1 metre by the evening.
Thursday: Wind: Northerly 10 to 20 knots.

Sticky: Small Sunday

Posted by: on April 11th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Nice conditions this morning, shame about the swell. Wind was moderate from the NW so places like No Mans with reasonable exposure to the southerly swell direction looked nice – even though the sets are struggling to get to waist high for the most part. Banks are pretty ordinary up that way it has to be said. Actually they aren’t too flash anywhere I’ve checked lately. We’re still in the transition phase to winter, so they’re by and large pretty parallel with the shore at this stage.

General outlook for today and tomorrow is for the swell to stay at about this level. The wind is set to pick up from the westerly quarters, so while it will be nicely offshore, it’ll also be pushing against the incoming swell. If you can find a little something to steer the mal along or work with a fish, consider yourself fortunate.

The latest run of the models suggests that from about midweek we should start seeing a little more energy. A couple of the interpretations are showing a very interesting and intense long period south pulse filling in on Friday. If the call is right, we could see double overhead conditions at exposed spots. This is right at the extremity of the prediction models though, so I wouldn’t be committing to anything just yet. Might be sensible to block it out in the diary though…

Have yourself a spiffing Sunday!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Sunday until midnight: Wind: Northwesterly 15/20 knots tending west to southwest at 20/25 knots in the evening.Sea: about 1 metre rising 1.5 to 2.5 metres. Swell: Easterly about 1.5 metres.
Monday: Wind: West to southwesterly 20/25 knots decreasing to 15/20 knots during the morning then becoming southwesterly 10/15 knots during the afternoon.Sea: 2 to 2.5 metres abating about 1 metre in the afternoon. Swell: Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Tuesday: Wind: South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southeasterly up to 10 knots during the evening.

Sticky: Nice morning, but lookin’ very small

Posted by: on January 18th, 2010


Hello Friends,

As expected, not much going on this morning at Dee Why. But the good news is that we should see a south pulse and SW wind by tomorrow morning. The wind’s set to go pretty hard by this afternoon and to blow overnight, but we should have a couple metres of south swell filling in at the same time.

With any luck the energy won’t drop away too quickly and we’ll have waves all day tomorrow with maybe a scrap left over for Wednesday at the south swell magnets.

This could be the best swell we’ve had in a couple months – if it happens as the models anticipate.

By Wednesday evening it could be back to very small. But, the patterns seem to be shifting a bit. The Bureau is watching for a possible cyclone to develop in the Gulf and some of the models are showing it sitting off far north Queensland by the weekend. That’s all a long, long way from surfable cyclone swell in Sydney, but hey, it gives us something to watch.

Go well with your day

SMS donation numbers for Haiti in this article on SMH.com.au

H @1050, L @1730
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong Wind Warning.
Monday until midnight: Wind: S/SW 10/15 knots increasing to 15/20 knots in the morning and to 20/30 knots in the afternoon, chiefly offshore. Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres rising to 2 to 3 metres in the afternoon. Swell: S/SE 1.5 to 2 metres increasing.
Tuesday: Wind: SW 15/20 knots reaching 20/30 knots at first easing to 10/15 knots in the afternoon with local inshore seabreezes.Sea: 2 to 3 metres abating to 1 to 1.5 metres in the afternoon. Swell: S’ly 2 to 3 metres decreasing.

Wednesday: Wind: W’ly 10/20 knots and afternoon inshore seabreezes.

Sticky: Smooth sea

Posted by: on December 15th, 2009

Hello Friends,

I’d say we’re well into a holding pattern. This morning finds us with only a paltry metre of south windswell. There doesn’t seem to be anything at all showing in the corner at Dee Why, so I might make a quick circuit to see how it looks up the other end of the beach.

High tide micro burger gets taken apart.

 

Surf school set to go for the first tranche of students.

 

Well, as you can see, it was very small at Longy. But it was bigger there than around the corner at Collaroy. Windswell is weak and tiny, to put it mildly.

Outlook is for it to be small for the rest of the day. Might come up a touch tomorrow and we could possibly see some south energy on Thursday, building into the solidly surfable range on Friday. My fingers are crossed tight on this one boys and girls!

Tides H @0808 and L @1454
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: E/NE 5/10 knots inshore and 10/15 knots offshore at first, becoming NE 15/20 knots throughout in the afternoon and reaching 20/25 knots in the evening. Sea: about 1 metre rising to 1.5 to 2.5 metresSwell: E about 1 metre.
Wednesday: Wind: N/NE 15/20 knots strengthening to 20/30 knots in the afternoon.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres rising to 2 to 3 metres. Swell: NE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Thursday: Wind: NW/NE 25/33 knots

 

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