Articles tagged with "S-2m-9s"

Waves for Monday morning

Posted by: on September 26th, 2016
dy beach

Lines at No Mans on Monday morning about 0700

dy point

Wave gets ridden at the point at 0700

dy point

The early morning crew sizes up a little set

Hello Friends,

Sunny skies over Sydney this morning and around 10-15 kts of WSW wind fanning a waist to chest plus south swell. It’s about 2 metres out at sea and was 10 seconds apart as of 0600. There were a few bods in the water at Dee Why point chasing what looked to be waist to waist plus sets. Up the beach toward No Mans it was bigger looking and I’d expect optimally aligned stretches to be into the shoulder high range on the sets. Tide’s dropping to the low at 1030. The Bureau’s modelling is showing the swell fading rapidly across the day, so the plan is to hit it ASAP if you can.
Outlook is pretty ordinary for the next few days, but there does seem to be a small hope for the wave energy to come up again on late Wednesday-Thursday and possible to produce some knee to waist waves at south spots. I would add that this prospect isn’t showing across all the models, so your mileage may vary.

WRL south Narrabeen

Nothing much at south Narrabeen (WRL cam pic)

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies over the state, establishing a southwest flow over the waters for the next few days. The next frontal system is expected to move over the state from late Wednesday and affect the waters for much of the second half of the week.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the early afternoon then becoming southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening. Reaching up to 20 knots offshore during the morning and again in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers offshore, 20% chance elsewhere.
Tuesday 27 September
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending northwest to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots early in the morning then becoming southwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.
Wednesday 28 September
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.

Friday late, photos of an arriving swell?

Posted by: on May 27th, 2016

One last photo post for Friday. I stopped by Longy, Curly and Dee Why for a few snaps just before the light drained away on Friday. Swell was looking like it could be solid by tomorrow, but the energy was looking straight south. So, while Longy and Curly were showing head to head and a bit on the set wave faces, Dee Why point was struggling to be waist high as the sun set. All the power was just going straight past and hitting up at Longy. I’d expect the same deal for Saturday morning. Anyway, herewith a few snaps…

dy lagoon surfer

The lugga about 1600

long reef

Set trips over the bombies a little after 1600 Friday

long reef surfer

Hooking one around inside the bombies at Long Reef

Long Reef wave

Meaty shutdown showing the size for tomorrow maybe?

curl curl surfer

Curly doing a lot of shutting down at 1700

curl curl surfer

Curly on dusk

curl curl surfer

Curly about 1700

curl curl surf

Lines stacking into south Curl Curl at dusk Friday

dy surfers

Super keen crew grabs a single set wave on sundown

dy surfer

Last light of the day for a dee why rider

Clean looking start to the day

Posted by: on March 31st, 2016

Hello Friends,

Beautiful start to the day. Light offshore wind, mostly clear skies and a small but clean looking south line pulsing in. The MHL buoy data tells us it was south, 2 metres at 9 seconds as of 0500. Tide was dropping to the low at 0850 and, as you might expect, the point was reasonably well populated with the first shift. Up the beach it was equally clean looking, but the straighthanders ruled.

The outlook is for the morning to be offshore but it’ll go south in the afternoon. The Bureau is calling for the swell to pick up this morning from the south and be into the 2.5 metre range by the middle of the day. They reckon that the swell will start fading again tomorrow morning.

Have yourself a great Thursday everyone and go well with your plans!

Beachy activity but still looks pretty straight at 0730

Beachy activity but still looks pretty straight at 0730

dy point wave

Super clean looking line at 0725

dy surfers

Chest-ish on the sets at 0730

Weather Situation
A low pressure system off the New South Wales coast is moving away fairly quickly, while a high over the Bight extends a ridge into the state’s west. This pattern will see coastal winds easing today, then turn northerly on Friday as the high shifts to the Tasman Sea. A southerly wind surge is expected to affect southern and central waters during the weekend as a cold front passes to the south, preceding another gradual northerly shift at the start of the new week as the the next high moves overhead.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots offshore in the morning, turning south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower offshore in the morning.
Friday 1 April
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northerly 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres by evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Weather
30% chance of a shower in the morning. Mostly sunny.
Saturday 2 April
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the day then becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening.
Please be aware
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
Nearby Coastal Waters

Messy and small under grey skies

Posted by: on October 8th, 2015

Hello Friends,

Steady ESE wind as of 0700 and it’s not making a pretty picture where Dee Why’s concerned. A couple of hours earlier, the MHL Sydney buoy was registering 2 metres of 9-sec S-SSE wind swell. So it’s not totally flat, but that onshore is making a mess of it.

Tomorrow and Saturday look slightly more hopeful because the wind call is for a standard issue 15-20 kt NEr. With any luck it won’t be too breezy for the early sessions. Plus, the dull skies should be giving way to more aesthetic partly cloudy conditions – and it’ll be in the mid-twenties.

Keep on smilin’ folks and have a great day!

dy beach

No takers at No Mans as of 0700

dy beach

Scrappy and too small to draw any interest as of 0700

Faded rapidly but not flat

Posted by: on June 11th, 2015

Hello Friends,

At 0600 swell was 2 metres at 9 seconds apart from the south and wind was light westerly under overcast skies. We can expect the wind to come around to the SE later. Tide is dropping and today’s low will be at 0930.

Swell direction, size and period aren’t optimal for Dee Why, but as you head north along the beach, it seems prospects improve. As the pictures show, the point was pretty marginal but there were chest plus options up toward No Man’s.

As always, it’ll be interesting to see what the Goat thinks about the long range outlook. My reading of the models is that things will bumble along at about the current intensity – maybe a bit less – until mid next week when it seems a long-period south pulse could show up.

Go well with your plans everyone!

no mans wave

No Man’s set @0745

.

dy point wave

Barely rideable at the point

.

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system is moving over southeastern Australia extending a ridge to the Tasman Sea. The high is expected to move over the southwestern Tasman Sea by Monday.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots inshore in the morning. Winds turning easterly below 10 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 40% chance of showers.
Friday 12 June
Winds
Variable below 10 knots.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 20% chance of a shower.
Saturday 13 June
Winds
East to northeasterly below 10 knots.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower.

Wet but not flat

Posted by: on June 10th, 2015

Hello Friends,

RealSurf HQ totally socked in with rain this morning, so waited until I’d done the Manly run to post. Swell has come up significantly from yesterday’s flatness. And wind was light early if you didn’t mind the heavy grey and rainy skies.

Grabbed my first shot at South Steyne where a solitary optimist was paddling hopefully about but not looking like scoring anything for the forseeable.

manly surfer

Manly’s keenest surfer?

.

Only one surfer in the water at Curly. He was at the south end and had to be kind of patient. The good thing is that there were actually waist to chest plus wave faces to be had – unlike Manly.

sth curl curl surfer

Sole occupant of Curl Curl scores one at south end

.

Dee Why beach was, if anything, a bit bigger looking than south Curly. But it was also messier. You really needed to be keen. Wave faces were in the chest to shoulder plus range, but as the pic below shows, lumpy, messy shutdowns were the order of the day.

dy beach surfer

That was exciting: DY beachy action

.

Although it was pretty gutless looking, the point was the best surf option I saw. Only a couple of bods amongst it, and waves were more akin to beach break in terms of ride length, but at least they were sorta standing up for the take offs…

dy point surfing

Bomb set hits the point


.

The MHL buoy was picking up close to 2 metres of 9-second south swell at 0600. Wind was south at around 10 kts, but is predicted to be 15-20 kts through the day. Low tide is at 0835 and high will be along at 1455.

Outlook is for the swell to peak today at close to the present mark and then to drop back a small amount tomorrow. The problem is that the wind forecast has it starting out southerly and then going east to SE but decreasing to around 10kts. Friday’s call is currently for smaller swell and more east to SE wind. So, not the best outlook in the short term, but maybe the early sessions will see lighter wind conditions…

I’ll be interested to see what the Goat thinks tomorrow, but from the shape of the forecasts, it would seem we’re in for some long period energy next week, but with steady onshores.

Don’t forget the big fundraising bash for Surfrider Foundation at the Diggers on the 19th for International Surfing Day. Going to be numerous past champions on hand, barefoot bowls, raffles, door prizes (new board anyone?) and Celibate Rifles will be playing their little hearts out too. A great cause and a great night, so hope to see you there!

Weather Situation
A weakening cold front over the central part of the NSW coast will move further north along the coast today with a southerly change associated, while a high south of the Bight extends a ridge over Victoria and southeastern NSW. The high will move slowly to the east to be centred over southeast NSW by Friday, then over the western Tasman Sea over the weekend.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres inshore during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers during the morning and afternoon.
Thursday 11 June
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots inshore early in the morning. Winds turning east to southeasterly below 10 knots in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.
Friday 12 June
Winds
East to southeasterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower.

Inbound swell

Posted by: on October 14th, 2014

Hello Friends,

We have a mix of swell this morning. The main energy is from the south at a couple of metres with an average period of about 9 seconds, but there’s a metre or so from the NE at about 8 seconds. Wind is out of the WSW at 10-15 kts for now, but the Bureau’s hoisted the gale pennant for 20-30 kts S-SW later. Should be rainy this afternoon.

As of 0700 there really wasn’t much going on at Dee Why. No one was in the water, although the surface conditions were much cleaner than yesterday’s forecast predicted. But the swell is too south to make an impression and the wind will be along soon. The Bureau’s swell modelling shows the energy coming up steadily and by sunset they’re predicting 5-6 metres with 30-40 kts of south wind.

Interestingly, the MetEye model is showing the wind being offshore across most of the day ahead of the change. So, I’ll be keeping an eye on it to see if we get some forerunner sets before the south wind hits.

Next tide is a high at 1320.

Outlook is for the swell to peak tomorrow but to be pretty solid through Thursday. The big question will be whether or not the wind goes SW enough to make it possible to get a wave in one of the south corners. Some of the models are pointing toward that as a possibility tomorrow and a likelihood for Thursday morning.

Interesting if nothing else.

Go well with your Tuesday everybody!

 

 

dee why beach

No takers at 0710

dy point wave

A tiny teaser

Weather Situation

A cold front is currently crossing northeastern New South Wales with an associated southerly change moving along central and northern parts of the coast today. A low centre developing within the trough is expected to move offshore and deepen during today, with an embedded trough wrapping around the low centre leading to a further intensification of winds, including gales developing between Gabo Island and Seal Rocks today. Conditions will gradually ease during the second half of the week as the low slowly moves further eastwards into the Tasman Sea, and a strengthening high approaches from the west.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Gale Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending northwest to southwesterly in the morning then tending south to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the evening. Winds reaching up to 35 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to 2 to 4 metres around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly 2 to 3 metres, tending easterly 3 metres during the morning, then increasing to 3 to 4 metres around midday.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of rain. Rain and showers heavy at times late this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Wednesday 15 October

Gale Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southerly 25 to 30 knots, reaching up to 35 knots in the morning. Winds turning southwesterly during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
3 to 4 metres, decreasing to 2.5 to 3 metres around midday.
Swell
Southeasterly 3 to 5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. Rain and showers heavy at times in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the morning.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Thursday 16 October

Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning then becoming east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southeasterly 3 to 4 metres, tending southerly 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.

Sticky: Catchables to be had

Posted by: on December 6th, 2012


Hello Friends,

Get in early at your fave south spot or miss out seems to be the message from the forecasts today. An incoming tide, light wind, and a couple metres of 9 second period south swell were combining to produce waist to chest plus waves along the beach at Dee Why. There doesn’t seem to be enough east in the mix to coax the point into life though. The wind is due to go around to the south soon and then continue that way all day. At the same time the swell is expected to gradually fade.

The models have turned dour again this morning. Yesterday they all seemed to be pointing at a steady if unspectacular wave supply through the weekend and into next week. But when the super computers cast the runes last night, it was looking like back to the tiny conditions of the last few weeks.

Have yourself a great Thursday!

TIDES: L @0600, H @1310

Weather Situation
A high pressure system near Adelaide extends a ridge into New South Wales, directing a dry southeast to westerly airstream along the coast. This high will remain the dominant synoptic feature in the region as it drifts eastwards over the next few days. By Friday it is expected to be over the Tasman Sea, bringing warmer northerly winds across the state. The next trough is forecast to bring a southerly change to the southern and central coasts later on the weekend.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming southerly 10 to 15 knots early in the morning then tending southeasterly in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing slowly later.
Friday 7 December
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly about 2 metres.
Saturday 8 December
Winds
Northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
Increasing to 2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Weather
Chance of isolated thunderstorms.

Looking good this morning

Posted by: on August 14th, 2012

 

 
Hello Friends,

Light offshores, around two metres of 9s south swell and sunny skies. What more could you want?

Sets at Dee Why are still occasionally getting into the shoulder high plus range but they’re getting further apart as the swell slowly weakens.

Get out there if you can and have some fun!

TIDES: H @0548 L @1125

Weather Situation
A high pressure system will remain over northeast New South Wales today, while a weakening trough and cold front move across the state’s south. This front will bring a brief wind change to the southern coast overnight, with another weak change expected on Wednesday night. A stronger frontal system is forecast to cross the coast on Friday, generating very windy conditions before moving to the Tasman Sea and deepening on Saturday. Conditions should ease during Sunday as the next high extends a ridge across New South Wales.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
West to northwesterly below 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon or evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly about 2 metres.
Wednesday 15 August
Winds
West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day then becoming westerly 10 to 15 knots later in the evening.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Thursday 16 August
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.

Looks unflat to me

Posted by: on June 20th, 2012

Hello Friends,

 


Hello Friends,

Dee Why beach was well populated by 0800 this morning as keen surfers made the most of what is likely to be a realitively br4ief south pulse for International Surf Day. The MHL buoy is showing 2 metres of 9 second period straight south swell. That should mean that the south spots will probably be the only places with a wave. It should be sunny all day and the wind is set to be out of the NW too.

Outlook is for the pulse to weaken toward dark and be into the waist high range or so tomorrow.

Longer range is looking like very small for Friday, then a potentially just barely surfable pulse for the weekend.

Have yourself a great International Surf Day!

 

TIDES: H @0840, L @1415

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over northern NSW will move slowly east over the next couple of days and weaken. A cold front will approach NSW today, cross western parts of the state tomorrow then cross coastal areas during Friday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northwest to southwesterly 5 to 15 knots becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 knots later in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Thursday 21 June
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres increasing to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly about 1.5 metres decreasing to 0.5 metres late in the evening.
Friday 22 June
Winds
Northwesterly 20 to 25 knots tending westerly 25 to 30 knots during the morning then decreasing to 20 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres increasing to 3 metres during the morning then decreasing to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly about 1 metre tending easterly 0.5 metres from midday.

 

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