Archive for March 2018

Waves for the early but wind picking up

Posted on March 25th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Northerly wind was coming up by 0900 on its way to 15-25 kts later. Waves looked somewhat junky when I grabbed the pics, but they were in the chest plus range on sets and definitely rideable. Tide was dropping to the 0.5 m low at 1000 (it’s back to a shallow 1.3m high at 1600) and out at sea a few hours earlier, the MHL buoy was detecting 1.7 m of 12 second swell from the SSE plus some component out of the NE – which the forecast tells us should push up a little during the day.

It’ll be north corners only soon.

Tomorrow looks like having somewhat smaller waves according to the models, but the wind call is for W-SW → N-NW, so could be, um, variable. Tues-Weds look puny right now but Friday has the potential to be solid in the morning according to some models.

Have a great Sunday one and all!

 

 

Set arrives at the point 0845

Right at No Mans

Party wave at No Mans

 

Weather Situation

A weak high pressure systems lies over the Tasman Sea while a cold front about the Bight is moving east. Winds will tend northerly and increase today ahead of the passage of the frontal system, which is forecast to move through southern and central parts of the coast late tonight or early Monday. In its wake a weak ridge will develop over the south.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening. Winds changing west to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots late at night.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny day. 60% chance of rain this evening.

Monday 26 March

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending north to northwesterly early in the morning then tending west to southwesterly around midday.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
50% chance of rain in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the morning. Mostly sunny afternoon.

Tuesday 27 March

Winds
Southeast to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning then becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Water shots from Saturday morning at Dee Why point

Posted on March 24th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Got in the water with the camera this morning because I didn’t feel like competing with the weekend crew. 🙂


Saturday surfing day

Posted on March 24th, 2018 in At large.

The Pole 0700

Mysterious goings-on off Narrabeen

Northy featuring a healty crew at 0700

Crunchy conditions near Marquesas


Hello Friends,

Swell is out of the east at 10 seconds with a height at sea of 2 metres, wind was light early but going NE later. Going for a high of 27 ° and ocean is  24°. Tide is dropping to low at 0840 then flooding back into the high at 1445 – by which time the wind should be up to full strength.

Looked very busy early, which isn’t too surprising given the last few days of anti-surfing conditions. Oh and the weekend too.

Exposed spots were delivering set wave faces into the head plus range, but mostly it was chest to shoulder-ish on sets and puny between.

Swell is on the fade, but if the modelling is right we should have something for the early tomorrow (assuming the north wind doesn’t get started before dawn) and then we’re into marginal but not flat territory across the front half of the week. From late Weds onward, it currently looks as though the energy levels could come back up into the waist to shoulder range, depending on when and where etc.

Have a top old Saturday!

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system to the south of the Tasman Sea is extending a ridge northwards, while a low pressure trough lies off the New South Wales central and north coasts. This trough is expected to weaken today as the high moves further east with east to northeasterly winds freshening along the New South Wales coast. Northerly winds will strengthen on Sunday ahead of the passage of a frontal system about southern and central parts of the coast on Monday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunday 25 March

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.

Monday 26 March

Winds
North to northwesterly 20 to 30 knots at first, turning west to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres later.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Northy firing at dusk

Posted on March 23rd, 2018 in North Narrabeen, Surf Reports.

Out for a ride and discovered Northy is clean and head to head plus with an unusually light crowd.


Junk specialists only this morning

Posted on March 23rd, 2018 in At large.

Queenscliff looking dire 0800

Sort of something at the Bower

Dee Why point – no takers

North of Kiddies 0825

Hello Friends,

Well, as the pictures show, there is swell, but surface conditions are terrible thanks to a steady 10-15 kts of ESE wind. I saw a few people in the water in the corner at Manly, a couple more out at the Bower and then nobody at Curly or the Dee Why to Longy stretch. Sets at exposed locations would have been head and a bit on the faces. We’ve had a bit of rain in the last 48 hours, but Beachwatch’s only water quality warning this morning was a caution for Longy and Northy due to the lagoons being open.

Wind should stay at about the current intensity all day, but as the forecast indicates, turn NE late. I suppose there might be a slight chance of an improvement in north corners, but I wouldn’t be pinning too much hope on that particular prospect.

The Goat dropped his forecast yesterday, so I invite you to partake of his wisdom as you contemplate the weekend prospects. And of course, as usual, your correspondent will be offering a few surfly thoughts and observations tomorrow morning around 0730 on ABC 702 .

Have yourself a top old Friday and keep on smilin’!

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system southeast of Tasmania is extending a ridge to the north and a low pressure trough lies off the New South Wales central and north coasts. East to southeasterly winds will turn east to northeasterly during Friday as the high moves towards New Zealand strengthening a ridge to the northwest and the trough weakens.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
1st Swell
Easterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, tending southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Saturday 24 March

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northerly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Sunday 25 March

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.

TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on March 22nd, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.
The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Surf Forecast issued Thursday 22 March 2018:
Seven day outlook for Sydney:
Messy again tomorrow. Then it should start to tidy up a bit from Saturday onwards, gradually going down through the week, but with waves for most of the time… And it looks like we’ll get some more patches of nicer, warmer weather too…
Friday: around 3 metres East South East and messy
Saturday: down to around 2 metres or in the upper part of the 1-2 metre range East South East (bigger up the coast) and going down as the Noreaster tidies it up and knocks it down
Sunday: down in the 1-2 metre range East North East
Monday: down more in the 1-2 metre range North East
Tuesday: down more in the 1-2 metre range East South East
Wednesday: ditto again South East
Thursday: low end of the 1-2 metre range South South East
Have a good one, or two.
TG

Up in the Air

http://www.bom.gov.au/fwo/IDY00030.201803220000.png
http://www.bom.gov.au/gms/IDE00135.201803220430.jpg
Winds
https://www.windy.com/?-33.983,151.067,5,i:pressure
Down in the Sea
Water temp is a delightful 24
http://www.bom.gov.au/fwo/IDYOC141.+000.jpg
Tides
http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau
http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/sydney.shtml

Another stormy day

Posted on March 22nd, 2018 in Dee Why.

Through the rain, looking bleak for surfin

Wind going hard at 0730

Hello Friends,

You know yesterday? Yeah. Like that.

The ocean is a wind torn mess thanks to 16-20 kts of ESE’ly. The MHL buoy was showing 3.5 m of 10 sec SSE energy as of 0500. So biggish at open stretches, but really not surfable.

It looks as though the wind will stay bad for us through tomorrow, but maybe it’ll relent enough for Saturday morning to be a possibility. The Goat should be along later with his thoughts, so as always I’ll be keen to see his take on our prospects for the coming week.

Have a great Thursday and see ya in the water soon

Weather Situation

A very strong high pressure system south of Tasmania with a ridge to the north is directing east to southeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. Winds will turn east to northeasterly during Friday as the high moves over the southern Tasman Sea strengthening the ridge to the northwest.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southeasterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the day. Winds turning easterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Easterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the morning are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Friday 23 March

Winds
Easterly 15 to 20 knots turning northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers.

Saturday 24 March

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northerly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers

 


Stormy morning

Posted on March 21st, 2018 in Dee Why.

Big and a mess

Messy and probably unsurfable 

 
Hello Friends,
No reason to take the board to DY this morning. The pictures tell the story of the belting SE wind and 3.6 metre 9-sec SSE swell. The Bureau says we’ll have rain through Saturday and SE wind through to Friday morning. So, I’m not too hopeful of decent surf anywhere until maybe north corners on Friday arvo…
Have a top old day everybody!

Weather Situation
A trough lies about central parts of the coast as a very strong high pressure system south of Tasmania slowly moves eastward. This is generating fresh east to southeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast, with particularly strong winds on the southern flank of the trough. As the high slips further to the southeast on Friday and the trough weakens, winds will tend northeasterly.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Gale Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southeasterly 25 to 30 knots, reaching up to 35 knots offshore during the morning.
Seas
2.5 to 3 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 2 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the day.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of rain. Rain and showers heavy at times offshore. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.
Thursday 22 March
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southeasterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers.
Friday 23 March
Winds
East to southeasterly 20 to 25 knots tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers.


Very small to near flat this morning

Posted on March 20th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Too tiny to consider this morning

Not really No Mans

 

Hello Friends,

Sorry kids, no surfin’ today – unless you’re ridiculously keen. Wind is out of the south and will soon be 15-25 kts. The MHL buoy was showing a metre of 9-second bump from the south. Not that it matters, but tide is now coming in to a 1110 1.64 m. Skies were partially cloudy when I grabbed the pics, but there’s a 95% chance of showers today. And the rain will intensify over the next couple of days.

Outlook is not too exciting. Basically the wind will be SE and strong, so while the swell should push up over the next 24 hours, conditions will be pretty bad for surfing through to Saturday morning. And the showery weather is projected to persist out to Monday.

Ah well, patience friends, patience. The good conditions will return!

 

Weather Situation

A trough lies about central parts of the coast as a high pressure system south of the Bight moves eastward. This high is forecast cross over Tasmania to the southwestern Tasman Sea overnight, strengthening a ridge along the southern New South Wales Coast. This will cause winds to shift east to southeasterly and freshen, with particularly strong winds on the southern flank of the trough. As the high slips further to the southeast on Friday and the trough weakens, winds will tend northeasterly.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots in the morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. Near 100% chance of showers. Showers heavy at times offshore later tonight. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore late this afternoon and evening.

Wednesday 21 March

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southeasterly 25 to 30 knots.
Seas
2.5 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly below 1 metre, tending east to southeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. Rain and showers heavy at times offshore in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the morning and afternoon.

Thursday 22 March

Winds
Southeasterly 20 to 30 knots turning easterly during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

South magnets only and don’t expect much

Posted on March 19th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Mournful Monday morning at Dee Why. 

 
Hello Friends,

The weekend swell has faded away to almost nothing. Surface conditions are choppy looking as of 0730 and waves look to be in the ankle to knee high range at Dee Why beach (the point’s offline for now).

The MHL 0500 data was showing 1.8 m from the SSE but with a fluffy and gutless 7-second period. Tide was low at 0410 and is now filling into a high-ish 1.7 m high at 1025. Beachwatch says all Sydney beaches have good water condition and that ocean temp is 25°. It should be sunny later and get to a high of 30°.

From tomorrow we swing back to southerly wind and rainy skies. Swell energy will ramp up but I reckon were not looking at reasonable conditions until maybe Saturday (water quality could be questionable though).

Have yourself a great Monday and get up to some good where you can!