Posts in Surf Reports

TG’s Quick Thursday Report and Brief Forecast for Friday

Posted on July 19th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Thursday: flat as a tack. Nice day though.

Friday outlook: flat as a tack. Hmm well there might be a little tiny North East ripple at some places. If there’s not – it’s flat, and that’s that!

More to come tomorrow

TG


Postcards from Norway

Posted on July 17th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

About a metre of 10-sec SSE swell in Sydney this morning. 7-9 kts of NNW wind and air temps of around 7-8 degrees. Not liking your prospects for a wave, sadly.

No surf on last day in Denmark, but I did see noctilucent clouds last night – which is extremely cool for a weather nerd. Daytime temps again in the mid 20s under sunny skies in southern Scandinavia. We caught a ferry between Denmark and Norway and are now moving north. Very beautiful country indeed.

Twilight landscape in Norway

Norway lakes and mountains.

Norway countryside

Noctilucent clouds over northern Denmark. They’re at 76,000 to 85,000 m altitude & mostly only seen this far north and during summer.

Danish coast way too tiny to surf.

Denmark’s getting 42% of its juice from wind.


Postcards from the far north

Posted on July 15th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

At 0400 Sydney was seeing 2.8 metres of SSE swell at 10 seconds apart. Wind was coming from the west at 10-12 knots and air temp up at Terry Hills was a bitterly cold 2.9 degrees! Swell is predicted to fade across the day, but from the numbers I reckon you’re in with a chance through to maybe midday tomorrow…
And now some postcards

There are dozens of these fencelines running off the shore and out hundreds of metres on the mudflats.

locals were out in numbers

Looking WSW from Jutland to the North Atlantic.

First time I’ve seen the ocean in days. The tide was out, so there was probably a km or two of mudflats between the shore and the sea. The pictures were taken at a spot called Mando Island on the west coast of Denmark. It’s in the middle of the Wadden Sea National Park and the tiny 7 km sq island is reached at low tide via a narrow causeway. The pictures were taken after 9 pm with the sun still above the horizon. Wind was blowing from the west and temps were mild considering how far north we are. But the entire northern hemisphere is experiencing unprecedentedly high temperatures. Climate change continues its inexorable march…


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on July 13th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast, Surf Reports.

 

Saturday update:

Oh yes it’s UP!…MHL buoy 4-7 metres dead South 10+ period…Whoomping in at places open to dead South swell…and it’s freezing!

Just climbed to 10 degrees but the WSW windchill means it’s around 3 on the coast.

Not many takers out anywhere.

Stay warm!

TG.

Surf forecast issued Friday 13 July 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

The outlook is for the surf to come up Saturday at places open to dead South but not be very attractive. There should still be some size Sunday but it might be more user friendly . That should continue through to Tuesday, but then drop of rapidly.
By Thursday it’ll be small to flat… before another winter swell arrives Friday from the South to start another surf cycle.
Saturday: should be around 3-4 metres at places open to dead South swell… may get something in protected corners
Sunday: 2-3 metres dead South spots
Monday: 2 – 2+metres South East
Tuesday: 2 metres or so South East
Wednesday: going down rapidly say 1 metre or so North East
Thursday: small to flat
Friday: starting to come up again from the South, in the 1-2 metre range.
Up in the Sky
MSLP Analysis for Fri Jul 13 00:00:00 2018 AUTC
Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Fri Jul 13 07:30:00 2018
Winds
https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,i:pressure
Down in the Sea 
Water temp is a chilly 17 – 18.
image
Tides
http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Saturday 14 July

Summary
Min 6
Max 17
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of fog and frost in the west in the morning. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southeast to southwesterly in the afternoon.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

 

Sunday 15 July

Summary
Min 5
Max 17
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of fog and frost in the early morning, mainly in the west. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 16 July

Summary
Min 4
Max 18
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Areas of morning fog and frost in the west. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Tuesday 17 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 21
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h.


No waves where I am…

Posted on July 13th, 2018 in At large.

Haven’t seen a beach in nearly a week. And the last one was the coast of Wales where the tide was so low we had to walk a kilometre just to get to the water’s edge. And there were no waves whatsoever. Since then been doing lots of moving and not much picture taking.
From here I can see you’ve got 1.4 m of 12-sec SSE in Sydney. So just on those numbers, there should be something to play with. And the good news is it looks like a little bump upward in the next 24 hours or so. Your wind was light from the NW but damn it looks chilly. Should get real windy but at least it’ll be SW. And it seems set to stay that way for you as the swell kicks up another notch or two. Your mate is jealous.
Here in the north west of Germany about 100 kms inland from the North Sea, it was in the mid-twenties under mostly blue skies. So, warmer than Sydney.
Here’s a postcard for ya. Taken on the streets of Utrecht where my daughter’s been doing a term abroad. A really great University town where bicycles dominate and the beer is good.


Quick TG Forecast for Friday

Posted on July 12th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Just a quick forecast for tomorrow… more will be done  for you tomorrow 🙂

Friday: similar to today.. there were some surprisingly sizable sets today at places like Curlie that are open to dead South swell.  May be slightly smaller tomorrow but if not – about the same .

Lots of schoolkids out there.

BoM says partly cloudy 17 max. Wind W…SW later

TG


What a difference a couple of hours makes

Posted on July 8th, 2018 in At large, Dee Why, Surf Reports.

Swell, but it’s closing out down the beach.

Waves at the point now. Clean too.


Swell hasn’t yet arrive at Dee Why

Posted on July 8th, 2018 in At large, Big Picture, Dee Why, Surf Reports.

Flat at Dee Why Point

A ripple down the beach

 

According to the charts, at Dee Why, by now it’s supposed to be 2.3m at 11s with 18kn of wind. but it’s windless and there’s no sign yet of the impending swell. Small waves just folding over. Quite a bunch of people down at Long Reef, but in the 10 minutes I stood there looking up the beach, I didn’t see anyone catch anything. Not a soul in the water at Dee Why. Time will tell, I guess. I took a couple of photos, and I’l try to figure out how to load them.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on July 6th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Wednesday update: Swell is slowly easing back.. still some punch at open beaches but becoming more user friendly. Still best left to fit nad experienced. Sunny blue sky Just saw someone having a swim like it was summer..sure 10 degrees feels like 6.

Sunday update: It’s currently 1 metre and plus with plenty of people out at places open to the South. Not much wind, almost glassy conditions – if you want to add to the crowd.  The Bureau has a dangerous surf warning up today.

Saturday update… Yep… like it says below… 1 metre rideable at some places, not at others.  cold offshore W/NW wind which will pick up as the day goes on.  Water temp is a coolish 18. Have Fun!

Surf forecast issued Friday 6 July 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Wind’s been blowing hard WNW for a good part of the day, and the Bureau is expecting some more windy days ahead.  The initial effect has been to decrease the size of the ENE swell that was coming in earlier, but after a day or so it’ll start to come up from the South.

At first there’ll be a lot of SW in the swell so most of that will be headed out to sea.  How much then results in rideable surf on a day to day basis is always difficult to judge, but TG’s best guess is below…

Saturday: down from today but it should still be around 1 – 1.5 metres or so from North East

Sunday: starting to come up at places open to dead South swell… say around 1 metre or so, increasing with the wind turning SW

Monday: could be around 2 metres or so at places open to dead South but unfortunately accompanied by southerly winds

Tuesday: similar size surf but the wind might be better

Wednesday: easing back through the 1-2 metre range dead South

Thursday: around 1 metre or so South East

Friday: similar.

Have fun !

TG

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Fri Jul 6 04:30:00 2018

MSLP Analysis for Fri Jul 6 00:00:00 2018 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is down a tad at around 18

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Sydney Forecast

View the current warnings for New South Wales

Forecast updated at 9:44 am EST on Friday 6 July 2018.

Forecast for the rest of Friday

Summary
Max 25
Windy. Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds northwesterly 30 to 45 km/h tending westerly 25 to 40 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Windy. Partly cloudy.Sydney25
Windy. Partly cloudy.Penrith24
Windy. Partly cloudy.Liverpool24
Windy. Partly cloudy.Terrey Hills23
Windy. Partly cloudy.Richmond25
Windy. Partly cloudy.Parramatta24
Windy. Partly cloudy.Campbelltown23
Windy. Partly cloudy.Bondi25

Saturday 7 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 18
Windy. Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning westerly 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then increasing to 35 to 50 km/h in the middle of the day.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 8 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 9 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 18
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southeast to southwesterly during the day then becoming light during the afternoon.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Tuesday 10 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 18
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds.

Wednesday 11 July

Summary
Min 7
Max 17
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming westerly 15 to 20 km/h later.

Thursday 12 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 16
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h.

The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:20 pm EST Friday.


Friday

Posted on July 6th, 2018 in At large.

Beautiful morning… blue sky, sunny, mild offshore breeze and some small to medium size waves from East North East….almost Summery.  Tides still a bit low for my taste… and will see if the early crowd thins out later.

Forecast max of 25.


 

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