Posts in Surf Reports

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on January 23rd, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 23 January 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Bit warmish today, with a bit of dust in the air. The wind is expected to turn south early tomorrow morning to cool down the temp for you.

My mates and I have looked at the surf all week, gone in for swims because of the crowd (it’s school hols and those who had gone south came home and stayed home) and the waves (not to my liking anytime I saw them), but at the beach I’ve heard other people, all young people, raving about the great surf they had here or there, whenever. Anyway, good luck to them; glad they’re having fun.

The coming week is also likely to suit the keen, enthusiastic, young, fit etc, who’ll be best able to make the most of continuing Noreast windswell.  Factors determining how good the surf will be each day this week will be tides, banks (I haven’t seen a good one for ages) and wind.  And of course it’ll be bigger at southern ends of beaches (but windy at times).

Surf outlook

Friday: down a bit from today, say around the middle of the 1-2 metre range North East

Saturday: somewhere around 1, 1+ metres North East

Sunday: smaller East North East

Monday: around 1 metre East North East

Tuesday: ditto North East

Wednesday: up a little from the South, say 1-1+ metres East South East

Thursday: around 1 metre East South East.

At least someone’s having fun!

TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jan 23 05:30:00 2020

 

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jan 23 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.375,151.216,8,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 23, 24 at the moment

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Summary
Dust haze. Possible shower/storm later.
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Areas of dust haze. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely later this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm with gusty winds. Winds northwesterly 25 to 40 km/h tending northerly 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening.

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to elevated particle levels in Sydney for Thursday 23 January 2020.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Friday 24 January

Summary
Min 24
Max 28
Early haze. Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Areas of dust haze in the early morning. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southerly 15 to 25 km/h before dawn then tending east to southeasterly in the early afternoon.

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to elevated particle levels in Sydney for Friday 24 January 2020.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Early haze. Shower or two. Sydney 24 28
Early haze. Showers. Penrith 24 33
Early haze. Shower or two. Liverpool 23 31
Early haze. Shower or two. Terrey Hills 22 27
Early haze. Showers. Richmond 24 32
Early haze. Shower or two. Parramatta 22 30
Early haze. Shower or two. Campbelltown 22 31
Early haze. Shower or two. Bondi 23 25

Saturday 25 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 27
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers in the morning and early afternoon. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Sunday 26 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 30
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 27 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 29
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 28 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 30
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 29 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 27
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 30 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 28
Cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day


B1 report down but not out

Posted on January 23rd, 2020 in Surf Reports.

Lovely morning to start a very hot Sydney day.  Swell has backed of further but still some fun waves to be had.   Numbers have dwindled from previous days also.   Worth a paddle.

Mona Vale early……


B1 rider report

Posted on January 22nd, 2020 in Surf Reports.

Another classic northern beaches morning.   Stopped by Mona Vale on the way to the B1 to the city and grabbed this snap of a lumpy but promising main break line up.   As ever, the outgoing tide will improve things.   Warm water and fun waves – what’s not to like!


Back to your regular programme

Posted on January 22nd, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,
Weirdly mild under cloudy skies in the Barossa this morning, but I can see you have light north breezes along the beaches as of 0900. Swell has faded back to a more usual for this time of year NE wind swell that’s about  seconds apart and 1.5 metres out at sea. Beachwatch says water is a boardshort friendly 23C and clean. So expect knee to maybe waist plus at the NE magnets. Tide’s dropping to low at 1410.

Have a good one, and will try to find a postcard for you later today…

Weather Situation

A weak low pressure trough lies on the northern New South Wales coast, while a feeble high over southeast Australia pushes a ridge to the east. The coastal trough is expected to decay today as a high becomes dominant over the Tasman Sea, with coastal winds shifting northerly and increasing. A cold front approaching from the west will bring a change to the southern half of the New South Wales coast during Thursday, before stalling and weakening around the Macquarie coast on Friday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Thursday 23 January

Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots becoming northerly 15 to 25 knots in the morning then tending north to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Friday 24 January

Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly in the morning then tending southeast to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots through the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Tuesday in SA

Posted on January 21st, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Well, of course, there were waves for you fine people because I’m away from the beach. Hope you got amongst it.

Herewith a few postcards…

One of the many, many trucks of hay we saw driving toward Adelaide. This one was in, appropriately enough, Hay.

King of the Mountain

Peloton in Tununda

From two metres away… Barossa Valley

Chasing the breakaway


B1 dawn patrol report

Posted on January 21st, 2020 in At large.

Bilgola

Another 5 star summer morning!   Swell has wound back a notch but there are still plenty of great waves around.  And it will keep improving as the tide drops

Your reporter had some nice waves with a friendly crew at a northern  corner as the sun was rising.

(late because posted by Don!)


B1 report – go surfin’

Posted on January 20th, 2020 in At large.

Today is the day!     Waves everywhere as a nice 3-4’ swell pushes in.  Your correspondent had a fun surf at a north corner with a few others at first light.    Things are on the improve as the tide drops.   A day for surfing.

Grabbed this shot of Collaroy from the B1 bus  as we sped through.


Little bumps for Dee Why

Posted on January 20th, 2020 in Surf Reports.

Hello Friends,

Sitting in the lovely Bidgee Motor Inn in the tidy little town of Hay and looking at surf cams in Sydney is slightly unreal. It looks as though there are soft litttle short period windswell bumps in the knee to waist high range this morning. Wind was light NW as of 0830, but as the forecast below indicates, you’ll be seeing heaps of NE before long.

Back on the road to Adelaide, so catch you tomorrow.

On the road to Hay last night, spotted this downburst wind outflow from a thunderstorm. That brownish stuff is the dust kicked up by the descending cold air from high inside the storm. It splashes off the ground, kicking up dust

Weather Situation
A trough continues to remain along the coast today with the expectation for a low pressure system to develop over southeast Australia and track southeast. A trough associated with this low is expected to bring southerly change to the south coast on Tuesday and central parts of the coast on Wednesday. Another trough is forecast to bring a southerly change to southern parts later on Thursday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northeasterly below 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the morning then tending northerly in the late evening. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly 2 metres, tending northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon, then decreasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe.
Tuesday 21 January
Winds
West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds turning north to northeasterly in the early afternoon then tending northeast to southeasterly in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Sunny.
Wednesday 22 January
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Cloudy skies and little tiny waves

Posted on January 19th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Nice to wake up to a morning that doesn’t smell of smoke. Skies were cloudy as Sunday got started, but the wind was only 4-7 kts from the SW and Dee Why was seeing the odd knee to maybe waist high bump from a 9 second, 1.4 metre SE wind swell. Tide was running out to the low at 1050 and water quality is likely to be polluted from run-off from the last few days of rain. We can expect the odd shower again today and tomorrow, but after that it looks as though we’ll be back to sunny conditions.
The models show a little uptick in wave energy for the next 24 hours and then a gradual weakening trend for surf prospects as the week plays out. Your correspondent will be sending postcards from well west of Dee Why for the next 10 days.
Have a great Sunday everyone!

 

No takers at the point, but little stuff at Kiddies

A few Sunday morning surfers getting knee to thigh high bumps at 0720

 
Weather Situation
A trough lies along the coast and will remain in place for the next couple of days. Within this trough small low pressure circulations may develop during the weekend, locally enhancing rainfall and winds along parts of the coast. On Monday, a larger scale low pressure system is forecast to develop over southeast Australia and track southeast. A trough associated with this low is expected to bring southerly change to the south coast on Tuesday and central parts of the coast on Wednesday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending northwest to northeasterly in the late evening. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore around midday.
1st Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Monday 20 January
Winds
Westerly around 10 knots tending northerly 15 to 20 knots offshore before winds tending west to northwesterly before sunrise. Winds turning northeasterly 15 to 20 knots by midday. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Tuesday 21 January
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots tending northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then turning north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Sunny.


Rainy morning

Posted on January 18th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

There were bands of showers queued up off the coast this morning and the rain was coming down steadily when I checked the beach for my usual Saturday morning radio report on ABC Sydney 702. Visibility was okay but all that run-off had Beachwatch calling most Sydney beaches likely to be affected by pollution from the stormwater runoff of the last couple of days. Wind was SSW 10-20 kts, so while not straight onshore, it was kind of slow but waist to chest at Dee Why. There were a few on the point, where it seemed to be quite a wait between sets. The beach was more consistent and bigger, but of course on the dropping tide, the shutdowns were plentiful. Around at the Collaroy Narrabeen stretch, the beach was empty and waves looked overall to be smaller than at Dee Why. The exception was at north Collaroy where a couple of folks were playing around in chest high stuff on a little energy focal point. Surface conditions were smooth too.

Outlook-wise I’m not seeing much to encourage a surfer until maybe Monday morning when the wind and swell combo could possibly come together for the morning session. Beyond that, Tuesday looks a possibility but the rest of the week is shaping to be tiny while I’m over in SA and away from the beach.

Have a good one!


Weather Situation
A broad trough lies along the coast and will remain in place for the next few days. Within this trough small low pressure circulations may develop during the weekend, locally enhancing rainfall and winds along parts of the coast. On Monday, a larger scale low pressure system is forecast to develop over southeast Australia, and track south. A trough associated with this low is expected to bring southerly change along the far south coast on Tuesday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots inshore in the late morning and early afternoon. Winds turning east to northeasterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Sunday 19 January
Winds
East to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the morning. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre, tending easterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Monday 20 January
Winds
Northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres, tending northeasterly 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.