Hello Friends,

Looks as though we have a little ESE windswell this morning with the odd longer period set mixed in. Winds were light at 0700 and the outlook is for them to move around to the NE as we head toward noon. As the pic shows, there are at least occasional chest to shoulder high waves.

From the look of the latest forecast data, the swell energy will continue to fade toward a flat weekend. If you can get out this morning, I’d do it. That said, there should be waist high stuff through the week, so don’t feel too desperate!

Might get out and about for a look around if I can this morning. Naturally I’ll update if I do.

Go well with your day!

Tides: H @0600, L @1300
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: NE/NW 10/15 knots, becoming NE 13/18 knots in the afternoon.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres.Swell: E 1 to 1.5 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: N/NW 10/15 knots early, becoming NE 13/18 knots. Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: E/NE 1 metre.
Thursday: Wind: N/NE increasing to 15/25 knots.
Forecast for Tuesday
Chance of a shower or two, chiefly morning. Sunny periods. Light
winds early, tending moderate east to northeasterly, fresh at times
near the coast in the afternoon.

Hello Friends

Didja get waves this weekend? They were definitely around, although the quality wasn’t uniformly good. This morning the conditions are not too attractive but there is some energy left. At 0800 the NE’r was around 15 kts and the swell was looking smaller than yesterday. The Bureau says it’s around the two metre mark from the NE. Period looks to be down somewhat but the MHL data is off the air right now, so I don’t have an objective number to share. I’d guess it was about 8-9 seconds.

The models project a steady decline toward very small by the end of the week. This morning looks to be as big as it gets for as far forward as the forecasts go (Saturday).

With luck it will be relatively slow and we’ll still have energy of some sort through to around Wednesday morning. If we’re talking head high on the bombs today, it could be chest high on the biggest ones by then.

Going fearlessly into the realms of wild speculation, I note that the current run of WAM projections, show what might be another easterly fetch beginning to intensify late in the week to the NW of NZ. It was a pattern like this that lead to the current extended run of easterly swell. If it does play out in similar fashion, then we might be seeing the effects toward the middle of next week. Lotta ifs and buts lined up there, so don’t hold me to it!

I posted some pictures from Manly yesterday here and I’ll have some more to share later from Collaroy and way south Narrabeen as well. If you missed it, there are three more galleries of Curly, Northy and Dee Why here from last week as well.

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Monday until midnight: Wind: E/NE 8/13 knots, increasing to 15/20 knots in the afternoon.Sea: 1 to 2 metres.Swell: NE about 2 metres.
Tuesday: Wind: NE 8/13 knots.Sea: about 1 metre.Swell: E/NE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: NW/NE 5/15 knots becoming NE 10/20 knots later.

Hello Friends,

Went out for a look around once I had the light. The numbers look up okay – east swell, 3 metres at an average of 9 seconds – and the wind’s not going too hard. But… the surface is still lumpy, the swell isn’t lining up too well at all. Despite the energy levels, I didn’t really see too many waves being caught.

It says something about the conditions that the usually busy Northy had only a few diehards in for the early. There was one tow-in team looking around for something to pull into near Gardens. But it was slim pickings and after finding the wave in my picture, they headed off to pastures new.

Collaroy had little lines but no takers. It looks very flabby indeed and the water (as everywhere else) is pretty ordinary looking.

Longy, well, the picture says it all. Not the swell direction for it.

Dee Why beach looked basically unsurfable, but there were a few in at the point. I had to wait quite awhile before someone managed to jag one. It went for a few seconds and faded out. Not exactly all time.

From the shape of the various interpretations of the WAMs, it looks as though we should still have about the same size and energy levels through today. The prospect is for a gradual decline, probably beginning overnight – when we’re also due to get a little south change. The change isn’t supposed to persist, so maybe we could get lucky tomorrow morning in Sydney.

The fetch that created this swell looks as though it will dissipate this weekend, so next week is not currently looking too flash. Indeed, it could be back to summertime flatness by Wednesday.

Have yourself a top old day and go well!

Tides: L @0810, H @1400
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Friday until midnight: Wind: N/NE 15/20 knots, increasing to 20/25 knots in the evening.Sea: 1.5 to 2.5 metres.Swell: E/NE about 2 metres. Chance thunderstorms.
Saturday: Wind: Early S change 10/15 knots, turning E/NE 10/15 knots in the afternoon, then increasing to 15/20 knots later.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres Swell: E/NE about 2 metres. chance thunderstorms.
Sunday: Wind: NE 10/20 knots.

Hello Friends,

Last night as we went in for our monthly Surfrider meeting, a group of us stood in the late evening light watching a very crowded but juicy Northy. At some point in the previous four hours it had gone from weak and gutless to reasonably intense. Our hopes for the morning were high.

This morning’s swell settings are very similar to last night’s (a couple metres of east windswell at about 9 seconds apart). But… there’s nothing like the quality this morning.

Wind is back around to the east (it was more north yesterday evening), so that’s not helping matters. The Bureau is calling for the wind to settle into the NE, so with luck we’ll see an improvement in the semi-exposed north corners when that happens. The Bureau and the models agree that we should see the swell ramp up through the day, so we’ll be keeping an eye on it.

Outlook for the week ahead is basically for waves of some sort through the weekend. Depending on the interpretation, what happens after that is a bit more up for grabs. Some riffs on the data reckon the east swell could still be lighting spots up with surf options through Tuesday morning. After that it looks less hopeful for at least a few days. The monsoon trough seems to have fired up now, so I’m hoping it won’t be a long wait for another dose of fun.

Have yourself a good one, and if you’re going in for a wave, consider wearing something with long sleeves. The bluebottle count was off the richter last night.

Tides: L @0700, H @1300
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Thursday until midnight: Wind: E/NE 10/15 knots, increasing to NE 15/20 knots in the afternoon.Sea: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: E 2.5 to 3.5 metres, breaking dangerously close inshore. Chance thunderstorms.
Friday: Wind: N/NE 10/15 knots early, increasing to 15/20 knots. Sea: around 1 metre, rising to 1 to 2 metres. Swell: E/NE 2 to 3 metres. Chance thunderstorms.
Saturday: Wind: Early S change 15/20 knots, turning E/NE 10/20 knots later.

Hello Friends,

Pretty much as expected. Wind’s 15-20 kts out of the east, so although there’s plenty of east windswell, it’s very torn up and junky. Had a look at both the Collaroy-Narrabeen and Longy-Dee Why stretches and can report that I didn’t see anything to get excited about.

The swell itself doesn’t seem to have much power given the size (period’s only around 8 seconds) either.

Outlook is for the wind to stay out of the ESE and to pick up as the day goes along, so I don’t think there’s much hope for an improvement to conditions.

The Bureau says the wind will go more east to NE tomorrow, so that should lead to an improvement as the places that work in those conditions begin to light up.

Water quality is going to be an issue because we should be getting showery weather right across the period. And if the last few days are anything to go by, I’d say we’ll probably have a few of our little translucent blue pals in the water as well.

The more optimistic interpretations of the models are showing the swell sticking around into Monday, but pulsing up and down in quality. The latest projection is for good conditions for both Saturday and Sunday morning at east swell spots.

Have yourself a top old day!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Wednesday until midnight: Wind: E/SE 15/20 knots reaching 20/25 knots offshore tending NE in the afternoon.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: E/SE 2 to 3 metres.
Thursday: Wind: E/NE 10/15 knots freshening to NE 15/20 knots later in the afternoon and evening.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: E’ly 2 to 3 metres.
Friday: Wind: N/NE 10/20 knots.

Hello Friends,

Had a look at the beach late and can report it was just as ordinary as this morning. No real sign of a substantive change to the swell settings since then either. Still fluffing along at a couple metres and 7 sec apart. Waves are extremely junky and forming and reforming in such a jumble that you’re hardpressed to get into ‘em.

Outlook is for the cursed wind to blow pretty strongly tomorrow, so I’m not hopeful of a quality improvement at all. The chance of showers doesn’t really brighten the picture much either.

The models aren’t showing a huge increase tomorrow (there’s nothing much showing on the buoys either), but the Bureau reckons it’ll ramp up. For their part, the WAMs are showing it kicking in from around midday Thursday, fading slightly on Friday, kicking back up for Saturday morning. The Bureau says the wind should go more NE and come back a bit for Thr as well…

Oh, and we look like getting overhead and a bit at the very least during the peak pulses.

Just the thing to lull yourself off to sleep with this evening…

Go well!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: E/SE 15/20 knots, reaching 20/25 knots at times. Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: E 1.5 to 2 metres, increasing.
Wednesday: Wind: E/NE 15/20 knots reaching 20/25 knots offshore. Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: E 2 to 3 metres.
Thursday: Wind: E/NE 10/20 knots.
Friday: Wind: N/NE 10/20 knots.

Hello Friends,
Same old same old this morning. Well, not quite. The gloom has largely abated and the wind’s come more around to the E-NE. We’re still looking at very small and weak SE windswell though.

At Dee Why it’s translating into the odd knee to waist high groveller. There are a few bods bobbing about, but it looked pretty inconsistent. I’d be taking the mal or your nearest equivalent. That and a patient and positive attitude.

The forecast remains interesting, if not dazzling. The models have pretty much held to the same prediction for a couple days now. From about Wednesday midday we should see a substantial increase in size as an east swell starts to fill in. The estimates are for wave faces into at least the 1.5x overhead range at spots that like east swell.

It looks as though the wind will be with this one though, so my quality expectations are modest. However, that said, I think Thursday morning could be okay with the outlook currently being for light east winds and sunshine. The light winds early pattern looks likely to continue through Saturday, and the swell should definitely be pushing along at around the same heights. Could be some fun ones coming up.

Go well with your Sunday!

Tides: H@ 0950, L @1625
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Sunday until midnight: Wind: E/NE 15/20 knots.Sea: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: E/SE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Monday: Wind: NE 15/20 knots. Sea: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: E/NE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Tuesday: Wind: E/SE 15/25 knots.

Forecast for Sunday
A few showers. Mostly cloudy. Moderate to fresh northeast winds.

Precis: A few showers.

City: Max: 26 Parramatta: Max: 27
Terrey Hills: Max: 25 Penrith: Max: 28
Liverpool Max: 28 Richmond: Max: 28

Hello Friends,

You may have noticed that we don’t exactly have beach weather this morning. Cloudy skies, the odd light shower drifting down on the steady SSW wind and no obvious sign of swell. The MHL buoy reports a couple metres of south swell at just 7 seconds apart, but as you can see from the photograph (very grainy because the light levels were so low), there’s really nothing much showing.

The general outlook over the next few days is pretty ordinary. It looks from the models as though we’re unlikely to see much of any improvement until we get toward the middle of the week. And even then, while the swell should push up from the east, there’s likely to be a fair amount of east to ESE wind with it.

If I had to pick a day for the coming week, I’d go for Thursday morning before the wind kicks in again. But that’s a fair way off, so I reserve the right to change my advice as the week goes along!

Have yourself a top old day and get up to some good on the way through.

TIDES: L @0900, H @1540
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Saturday until midnight: Wind: S/SE 18/23 knots, turning E/SE 15/20 knots in the afternoon or evening. Sea: about 2 metres, abating to about 1.5 metres.Swell: SE about 1.5 metres. Isolated thunderstorms.
Sunday: Wind: NE 15/20 knots.Sea: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: E/SE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Monday: Wind: NE 10/20 knots.

Hello Friends,

Did you get in for peak day yesterday? From the look of buoy data, the Sydney region copped the bulk of the swell energy. This morning we still have some surf about thanks to around 2.5 metres of SSE swell with an average period of 10 seconds. Dee Why looked.s kinda lumpy and bumpy early and it’s definitely more setty than yesterday.

Outlook is for the swell to continue weakening as the day goes along. If the current trend line keeps moving in the same direction it has since the peak around noon yesterday, I’d say the average swell height will below the two metre mark by close of play. Meanwhile, it should be building up along the north coast.

The latest run of models is showing us drifting back into small and weak windswell conditions across the coming week or so. So I’d get out there and score a few today if you can.

Go well and catch a few fun ones!

TIDES: L @0630, H @1240
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Thursday until midnight: Wind: SE about 10 knots, tending E/NE, then freshening to 15/20 knots in the afternoon. Sea: about 1 metre rising to 1 to 2 metres in the afternoon.Swell: S/SE about 3 metres, breaking dangerously inshore, decreasing to 2 to 2.5 metres.
Friday: Wind: N/NE 15/20 knots, increasing to 20/25 knots later.Sea: 1.5 to 2.5 metres. Swell: S/SE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Saturday: Wind: N/NW 15/25 knots, ahead of a late S/SE change 25/33 knots.

Hello Friends,

Leisurely start for your correspondent this morning and it seems I haven’t missed much – at least where Dee Why’s concerned. Yesterday arvo I joined the crowds near No Man’s and though it was small, I managed to get quite a grovellers in the waist high range. There was some 12 second stuff in the mix then, but this morning it’s gone, plus the swell heights have dropped a touch and the primary direction is getting close to east.

The expected southerly change has just arrived and the wind’s now racked around and picked up to 15-20 kts.

Tide’s just gone high as I write this and from the look of the folks in the water at Dee Why, you’re going to need a rescue board or longer to catch anything much. Plus, I think you’re going to have to walk a fair distance to get to the sand as the carpark is practically spilling into the lagoon this morning.

Outlook is for this afternoon to be pretty much as it is now – ie near flat. There might possibly be a little bump in the semi-protected east exposed corners.

Monday and Tuesday look set to be dominated by SW winds and a small but gradually rising SE swell. The models are looking a bit more optimistic for the middle of the week than they were a day or two ago. It currently appears that we could have something into the interesting range from late Tuesday through (maybe) Thursday early. The models are showing 2 metres dead south at 11 seconds, so it’s not likely to be big, but some spots could be into the head high range.

Here’s hoping…

Go well with your day and stay happy!

Tides: H @1020, L @1700
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Sunday until midnight: Wind: NW 15/20 knots, ahead of a S’ly change 20/25 knots in the morning. Easing to S/SE 15/20 knots in the evening.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres.Swell: E/SE increasing 1.5 to 2 metres. Isolated thunderstorms.
Monday: Wind: S/SW 15/20 knots increasing to 25/33 knots in the afternoon. Sea: about 1.5 metres rising to 2 to 3 metres in the afternoon. Swell: SE 1.5 to 2 metres.
Tuesday: Wind: S/SW 20/30 knots easing.