Posts in Big Picture

How keen are ya?

Posted on September 1st, 2010 in Big Picture, Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Dull skies as the first of September shakes out the kinks and gets going. The BoM says it’ll get cloudier too and by this evening there could be some rain in the mix. There’s almost no energy in the ocean off Sydney at the moment. And unsurprisingly, nothing is showing at Dee Why. According to the latest from the MHL Sydney buoy, it’s around half a metre from the east at about 7 seconds. If it’s any consolation, the other buoys up and down the east coast are basically showing the same thing.

Scanning the current run of the WAMs and the various interpretations of the data, it’s looking as though we’re in for more microness until around Saturday. At that point we might see a little improvement as a small SE pulse arrives. The models are predicting that there will be a dip around Sunday and another small pulse for Monday.

It’s the first day of spring, so I guess we shouldn’t really be terribly surprised at the lacklustre outlook. Tis the season of ordinariness boys and girls. Ah welll…

Might as well keep on smilin’ eh?

Have a top old day!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Wednesday until midnight: Wind: Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending west to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then tending south to southwesterly about 10 knots later in the evening.Sea: Up to 1.5 metres.Swell: Easterly about 1 metre.
Thursday: Wind: Southerly 5 to 10 knots becoming light during the morning then tending south to southeasterly up to 10 knots later in the evening.Sea: Below 1 metre.Swell: Easterly about 1 metre.
Friday: Wind: South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending easterly during the afternoon then tending east to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the evening.


Huey’s chillin’

Posted on August 31st, 2010 in Big Picture, Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

As foretold by the models, surf prospects have diminished overnight from marginal to very marginal. Swell direction is SE but it’s only a metre or so out at sea and the power setting has drifted down to a weak 8 seconds or so. There really doesn’t seem to be much of anything showing at Dee Why, nor along the beach north from there toward No Mans.

There could be a few a little waist high sets to be found at more optimally exposed spots, so if you have time for a look around and you’re not too demanding, some small amusement may be waiting for you to find it.

Latest outlook for the week ahead is for more or less of the same through to around Saturday when it currently looks as though we might possibly get another south pulse. At least one of the riffs on the WAMs is showing quite long period (as in 15+sec) energy on the cards. Here’s hoping!

Have yourself a great day and go well with your plans.

TIDES: H @1210, L @1840
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: Northerly 5 to 10 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots around midday then tending northerly 15 to 20 knots by early evening.Sea: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.Swell: Southeasterly 1 metre.
Wednesday: Wind: Northwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending west to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then tending west to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots later in the evening.Sea: Up to 1.5 metres.Swell: Easterly about 1 metre.
Thursday: Wind: South to southwesterly 5 to 15 knots tending southeasterly up to 10 knots during the morning then tending southerly up to 15 knots during the evening.


Not flat, but not big either

Posted on August 28th, 2010 in Big Picture, Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

The good news is that it’s not flat at spots that pick up south swell. As expected, the swell started picking up late last night and this morning Huey’s got the settings for his new south pulse at a couple metres with an average period of 9 seconds. From the look of the other MHL buoys, Sydney’s currently getting the peak energy. High tide is at 1000-ish and low is around 1600.

As things got started this morning, there were only four or five in the water at Dee Why point and then another couple in the beach break. Chest high sets were turning up reasonably regularly but the swell looks a bit too south for the Dee Why end. I’ll get out and about for a look elsewhere soon and I’m expecting it to be a bit stronger at the exposed spots.

The wind call is still for it to go around to the south this afternoon (when the swell is set to peak), so it looks like this morning is really your best bet for the best combo of size and clean-ness.

With luck the forecast will play out as expected and there’ll be waves of some description at south spots right through to Monday morning.

Have yourself a good one and say hi if you happen to see me shooting. BTW, I’ll try to remember to tweet my shooting location.

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Saturday until midnight: Wind: Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending more southerly during the afternoon.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres.Swell: Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Sunday: Wind: Southerly 15 to 20 knots tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots around midday then becoming southeasterly up to 10 knots by early evening.Sea: Up to 1.5 metres.Swell: Southerly 1.5 to 3 metres.
Monday: Wind: South to southeasterly about 10 knots.

 

 


South spots still happening

Posted on August 14th, 2010 in Big Picture, Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Special request if I may: are there any accompanists on the northern beaches with a spare hour on Sunday? If so, please drop me a line via the feedback link (I’ll reply to all responses this evening!)

The big south swell peaked yesterday at nearly 5 metres off Sydney. As this morning got started, it was closer to the 2.5 metre mark and the downward trend is likely to continue all day. The incoming tide this morning is going to be the best shot for most (south) spots.

Outlook for tomorrow is looking pretty marginal. Should be some little ones still showing up out of the south at the magnet spots but I wouldn’t be amazed if it was getting into the flatness range by lunchtime and then staying there for Sydney surfers until Tuesday when, on current reckoning, we could see another little 1-2m south pulse.

Get out there and enjoy your Saturday!

 

 

 

 

TIDES: H @ 1120, L @1730
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Saturday until midnight: Wind: West to northwesterly about 10 knots tending north to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.Sea: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon then increasing to 2 metres by early evening.Swell: Southerly about 2 metres. Dangerous surf conditions, waves breaking dangerously close inshore, easing early.
Sunday: Wind: West to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending westerly 20 to 30 knots by early evening.Sea: 1 to 2 metres increasing to 3 metres by early evening.Swell: Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Monday: Wind: Westerly 20 to 30 knots.


A few waves around, but those banks…

Posted on August 9th, 2010 in Big Picture.

Hello Friends,

Went for a quick splash after seeing a clean glassy peak at Northy this morning. Sap job! Turned out it was a 1 in 50 clean one. Pretty much all the rest were shutdowns, some of which as I discovered on my first take off were murderous in their intent! Plus the water coming out of the lagoon was making for lots of chilly spots in the lineup.

Just quietly I’m liking the look of the models for Wednesday morning. East to NE swell spots could offer some fun options if the predictions turn out to be right. And we’re set to have offshores with it. It’s not looking like being particularly big, but exposed places could be producing the odd shoulder to head high set if we get lucky.

After I got out, I wandered down to look at Longy and discovered there was quite a crew messing about in the occasional peaks (lots of shutdowns there too) just north of no man’s. Set up the camera and the mighty 650 to do a bit of shooting. The shots are currently uploading to my galleries, so I should have a link up soon.

FWIW, I’m still puzzling over how to let people know what I’m doing when I’m shooting. As I would, they probably assume I’m taking pictures of mates or somebody famous. In fact, I’m trying to get shots of anybody who gets a reasonable wave or even a decent section. So, if you see me on the beach pointing a camera in your direction, there’s an excellent chance I’m taking your picture!

 

 


Some energy for Saturday in Sydney

Posted on August 7th, 2010 in Big Picture.

Hello Friends,

The south pulse that filled in from late yesterday is still here this morning. However it seems to have peaked in the early morning hours at around the three metre mark. It’ll probably be around two metres by mid-morning and looks set to continue to gradually decrease. Average period is close to the 9 second mark, so south swell exposed spots should be showing fun size head high to head high plus sets. Wind is SW and set to fade toward lunch before swinging south for the afternoon session.

Reasonable number of bods in the water at Dee Why this morning, but not insane for a Saturday. Bit of a wait between the chest to shoulder high plus sets and lots of shutting down going on in the beachies.

I’ll be getting out and about with a camera later, so with luck should have a few more shots to share in due course.

General outlook isn’t too hopeless for the week ahead but this morning could be the peak in terms of size and quality. With luck though, there’ll be a reason to get in the water if you’re keen pretty much right through to midweek thanks to what currently looks to be a steady supply of 1-1.5m south to south east swell – at least if the WAMs are to be believed.

Get out there and have yourself a great day.

TIDES: L @1110, H @1745
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Saturday until midnight: Wind: South to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots around midday then tending southerly 10 to 15 knots later in the evening.Sea: 1 to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre later in the evening.Swell: Southerly 1.5 metres.
Sunday: Wind: Southwesterly 5 to 10 knots becoming light around midday then tending north to northeasterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon.Sea: Below 1 metre.Swell: Southerly 1.5 metres.
Monday: Wind: North to northwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending north to northeasterly during the afternoon then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.


Very small at east spots, flat elsewhere

Posted on July 31st, 2010 in Big Picture, North Narrabeen.

Hello Friends,

Dripping skies this morning and still a little bit of east swell. Not too big, but you should find up to waist high at those places that have picked up something over the last couple days. If your favourite stretch of beach doesn’t pick up east swell, you can forget finding anything. The rain is set to clear up later, but it looks as though the swell will not be picking up. I’d expect it to gradually fade away over the next 24 hours and for things to be very quiet come Monday morning.

The models suggest we’ll have a brief 12-18 hour pulse out of the south on Tuesday before slumping back to smallness through the rest of the week. Looking out to next weekend, the predictions have been swinging around a fair amount, but in the latest run of the models they seem to have settled back to predictions of a steady supply of small but surfable, mainly se to e swell.

Enjoy your Saturday!

TIDES: H @1130, T @1715
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong Wind Warning
Saturday until midnight: Wind: North to northwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending westerly 15 to 25 knots around midday then increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon, chiefly offshore.Sea: 1 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres in the afternoon.Swell: Northeasterly about 1 metre.
Sunday: Wind: West to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots at times, tending west to northwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.Sea: Up to 3 metres.Swell: Northeasterly 0.5 metres.
Monday: Wind: West to southwesterly 25 to 30 knots becoming southwesterly 30 to 35 knots during the evening.


Late arvo thoughts

Posted on July 23rd, 2010 in Big Picture, Dee Why.

After holding off until around 1300, the southerly started to fill in along Sydney’s beaches. As the day ends, the swell is still around the two metre mark at sea with an average period of 9 seconds. It’s SE and we’re getting some okay size sets every now and then thanks to some rogue 11 second period stuff. According to the Bureau the energy should stick around overnight and with luck tomorrow will be something of a repeat of today with light winds for the early and a couple metres of 8-9 sec S-SE swell.

I got in the water at the point this morning and as a consequence will have some water snaps to post as a gallery later. Set waves were kinda fun, but we had to wait around a bit and there was a pretty fair crowd on it. I put this down to the fact that Dee Why was probably about the only reasonable wave from Manly to Mona Vale. Anyway, after I got out I did a bit more shooting with a Canon 5D MkII and the 100-400mm lens that I have on test at the moment. A real nice bit of kit, but then it’d want to be for the $5k price tag. When I get the pic files all processed, I’ll load them to a gallery.

Hope you’ve had a great week and are looking forward to a top old weekend!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Friday until midnight: Wind: Southerly 10 to 20 knots, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots later.Sea: Up to 1.5 metres.Swell: Southeasterly 2 metres.
Saturday: Wind: Southerly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southwesterly up to 10 knots during the morning then tending south to southeasterly by early evening.Sea: Below 1 metre.Swell: Southeasterly about 2 metres.
Sunday: Wind: West to southwesterly 5 to 10 knots becoming southwesterly 10 to 15 knots later in the evening.
Monday: Wind: South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending west to southwesterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon then tending west to northwesterly during the evening.

 

 


Sunday late

Posted on July 18th, 2010 in Big Picture.

Hello Friends,

Well, that was fun. Drove from Hay to home in a day. As we set out I said to the family, “I wonder where we’ll see the first car with boards on top…” Turned out to be way earlier than I expected. Instead of somewhere near Sydney, I spotted a couple mals atop a serious looking long distance surf mobile in a tiny little town called Weethale. Between there and about West Wyalong we were only seeing a car every 10 minutes, so I was impressed. But here’s the kicker, we did not see any more boards after that. Not a one.

So anyway, how’s the outlook for tomorrow? Seems as though we can expect the westerly pattern to last but the models reckon the swell will die out overnight. Clearly there was more going on this morning than had looked like happening when I checked the situation last night. There was a lot more east than predicted so that, plus the 10s period, kicked some useful looking options in judging by the pics Doug posted from this morning at Curly. The longer period stuff is still showing up north at Coffs, but down south where the Bureau and the models say we should be getting stuff tomorrow, it’s looking very small. I’m punting on near flatness…

As usual under such circumstances, I hope to be proven spectacularly wrong. I’m hanging out to get wet after a week away from waves!

Go well and catchya tomorrow morning.

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Sunday until midnight: Wind: North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 knots by early evening.Sea: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore by early evening.Swell: Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Monday: Wind: West to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending westerly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending southwesterly during the afternoon. Winds southerly 20 to 25 knots later in the evening.Sea: Below 1.5 metres rising up to 2.5 metres offshore in the evening.Swell: East to southeast to 1 metre.
Tuesday: Wind: South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Wednesday: Wind: South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, increasing to 20 to 30 knots around dawn.


Sunday prospects

Posted on July 17th, 2010 in Big Picture.

Hello Friends,

Fetched up in lovely Hay in the far west of NSW. But I’ve got net access and the evening is young, so I thought I’d make myself useful by having a look at tomorrow’s surf prospects for Sydney…

The wind is set to stay out of the NW all day, but from the look of the forecast models, it seems likely that whatever swell we had on Saturday, will slowly but steadily decline into the marginal category even at those beaches that like SE swell. A slight lift in the period from around 8 to about 9 seconds won’t be enough to counter the drop in average height from 2 metres out at sea this morning, to about a metre at dusk. There might possibly be something catchable at really exposed spots Sunday morning, but from the looks of things, it’ll be marginal to flat by dark.

The latest marine forecast (see below) says Sydney should still have NW winds on Monday when the models reckon it’ll be just about flat. Happily, whilst Monday looks to be a write-off at this point, there just might be a fresh south pulse for us on Sunday. Some of the predictions are going for shoulder to head high for Tuesday morning at south swell spots.

That’d be good!

Probably won’t be filing again until Sunday night – if not Monday morning. Go well!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Saturday until midnight: Wind: Light winds tending northerly up to 10 knots later in the evening.Sea: Below 1 metre.Swell: Southerly 1.5 metres.
Sunday: Wind: North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 knots by early evening.Sea: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.Swell: Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Monday: Wind: Northwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending westerly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Winds southerly 20 to 25 knots later in the evening.
Tuesday: Wind: South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.