Articles tagged with "3/10"
This entry was posted by: Don on February 3rd, 2010
Posted in: Big Picture, Dee Why, North Narrabeen.
Tags: 3/10, ESE-3m-8-10s. Hello Friends,
Pretty much as expected. Wind’s 15-20 kts out of the east, so although there’s plenty of east windswell, it’s very torn up and junky. Had a look at both the Collaroy-Narrabeen and Longy-Dee Why stretches and can report that I didn’t see anything to get excited about.
The swell itself doesn’t seem to have much power given the size (period’s only around 8 seconds) either.
Outlook is for the wind to stay out of the ESE and to pick up as the day goes along, so I don’t think there’s much hope for an improvement to conditions.
The Bureau says the wind will go more east to NE tomorrow, so that should lead to an improvement as the places that work in those conditions begin to light up.
Water quality is going to be an issue because we should be getting showery weather right across the period. And if the last few days are anything to go by, I’d say we’ll probably have a few of our little translucent blue pals in the water as well.
The more optimistic interpretations of the models are showing the swell sticking around into Monday, but pulsing up and down in quality. The latest projection is for good conditions for both Saturday and Sunday morning at east swell spots.
Have yourself a top old day!
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Wednesday until midnight: Wind: E/SE 15/20 knots reaching 20/25 knots offshore tending NE in the afternoon.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: E/SE 2 to 3 metres.
Thursday: Wind: E/NE 10/15 knots freshening to NE 15/20 knots later in the afternoon and evening.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: E’ly 2 to 3 metres.
Friday: Wind: N/NE 10/20 knots.
This entry was posted by: Don on February 2nd, 2010
Posted in: Big Picture.
Tags: 3/10, E-2m-7s. 
Hello Friends,
Had a look at the beach late and can report it was just as ordinary as this morning. No real sign of a substantive change to the swell settings since then either. Still fluffing along at a couple metres and 7 sec apart. Waves are extremely junky and forming and reforming in such a jumble that you’re hardpressed to get into ‘em.
Outlook is for the cursed wind to blow pretty strongly tomorrow, so I’m not hopeful of a quality improvement at all. The chance of showers doesn’t really brighten the picture much either.
The models aren’t showing a huge increase tomorrow (there’s nothing much showing on the buoys either), but the Bureau reckons it’ll ramp up. For their part, the WAMs are showing it kicking in from around midday Thursday, fading slightly on Friday, kicking back up for Saturday morning. The Bureau says the wind should go more NE and come back a bit for Thr as well…
Oh, and we look like getting overhead and a bit at the very least during the peak pulses.
Just the thing to lull yourself off to sleep with this evening…
Go well!
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: E/SE 15/20 knots, reaching 20/25 knots at times. Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: E 1.5 to 2 metres, increasing.
Wednesday: Wind: E/NE 15/20 knots reaching 20/25 knots offshore. Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres. Swell: E 2 to 3 metres.
Thursday: Wind: E/NE 10/20 knots.
Friday: Wind: N/NE 10/20 knots.
This entry was posted by: Don on January 25th, 2010
Posted in: Curl Curl, Manly.
Tags: 3/10, SE-1.5m-9s. Hello Friends,
Swell is on the fade and there were lots of folks in the water at Manly and Curly bidding it adieu.
I think the pictures pretty much tell the story – they’re both set waves.
(above: Sth Curl Curl, below: Manly)
This entry was posted by: Don on January 18th, 2010
Posted in: At large, Curl Curl, Freshwater, Manly.
Tags: 3/10, SE-1.5m-8s. Hello Friends,
Had to drop my old tractor, er, car, in at mechanic’s for rego, so found myself fetched up in lovely Brookvale. Happily mate PB was free to give me a ride home, so we took the long way and checked the beach.
There were a few bods in the water up toward the Queenscliff end of Manly. Seemed to be a bit of a wait for waves, but every now and then a little mal-able option rolled gently in from the sparkling horizon.
Over at Freshy there were similar numbers in the water and the waves were about the same size if not a touch bigger on the sets. The only problem is that there are just no banks there at the moment, so every single one of them was shutting down, including the set wave in the picture below…
Last spot we checked out was Curly. It was around the same size as Manly and showing the same weakness. Looked like you could maybe get a fish up to speed for a few moments as the wave stood up, but that’s about it. Again, water looked inviting and the wind wasn’t into it. There are worse ways to kick off a week…
Finally, I just had a call from Brian up in Ooffs who reports that at long last they have a little something to play on. Wave faces are into the three foot range on what looks to him to be a mainly east swell.
This entry was posted by: Don on November 14th, 2009
Posted in: Big Picture, Dee Why.
Tags: 3/10, S-1m-8s. Hello Friends,
Glassy and very small this morning at Dee Why beach. We have around a metre or so of 8 sec period south windswell rolling slowly in and while it is struggling to get into the waist high range on sets, at least you can occasionally catch one.
From the look of the data coming out of the Batemans Bay and Eden buoys, there doesn’t seem to be anything particularly hopeful where we’re concerned. If anything, it’s looking consistent with the model forecasts for a gradual decline across the day.
However whilst tomorrow seems likely to be pretty similar, there is a possibility that we might see some forerunners of the expected south pulse by late in the day.
Come Monday morning though, we should be seeing fun size south swell (shoulder to head high plus is my modest hope). The wind is set to go southerly in the afternoon on Monday, but if the forecast 14-16 sec periods eventuate, I reckon it won’t be putting people off too terribly much.
With luck, the swell should keep going for at least another 72 hours. Woohoo!
Have yourself a top old Saturday one and all.
Not much too 'em, but at least you might be able to jag something rideable this morning.
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Saturday until midnight: Wind: Variable 05/10 knots, tending N/NE 13/18 knots in the afternoon. Sea: below 1 metre, rising to 1.5 metres in the afternoon.Swell: SE about 1 metre.
Sunday: Wind: Variable 5/10 knots ahead of an early S/SE change 13/18 knotsSea: up to 1.5 metres. Swell: E/SE about 1 metre.
Monday: Wind: NW/NE 10/20 knots ahead of a 15/25 knot S change in the evening.
This entry was posted by: Don on August 4th, 2009
Posted in: Big Picture, Dee Why.
Tags: 3/10, S-1.5-9/10s. Hello Friends,
Grey, almost foggy start to the day in Sydney. Looks like our swell has declined significantly overnight. It’s actually a touch bigger out at sea than this time yesterday, but the all important period setting has gone from 11-13 sec to 9-10 sec. At Dee Why this is translating into weak and crumbly waist high conditions that had not attracted anyone into the water as of 0700.
My hunch is that places with direct exposure to the swell direction should still be showing a little something. Outlook is for the wind to be out of the N-NE early, but not getting up to much in the way of velocity.
Surf outlook across the remainder of the work week is not looking too spectacular. Indeed you’d have to say it’s pretty likely to be flat to nearly flat most places until the weekend.
The long range models have been swinging about lately. They’re currently showing the possibility of reasonable chest to head high waves out’ve the easterly quarters. Hope it pans out that way…
In the meantime, pile into your Tuesday with great effect!
0700ish and if you're missing it, it doesn't look as though you're missing much...
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: N/NE 5/10 knots, tending N/NW 10/15 knots by afternoon and increasing to 15/20 knots offshore. Sea: to 1 metre at first, rising to 1 to 1.5 metres in the afternoon.Swell: S 1 to 1.5 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: W 8/13 knots, becoming E/NE 8/13 knots in the afternoon/evening.Sea: around 1 metre. Swell: S/Se 1 to 1.5 metre.
Thursday: Wind: W/NW 5/10 knots early, tending N/NE 13/18 knots.
This entry was posted by: Don on July 20th, 2009
Posted in: Dee Why.
Tags: 3/10, SSE-1m-11s-12s. 
Just barely catchable on the sets at 1030
1030, dropping tide, improving mal options?
This entry was posted by: Don on July 16th, 2009
Posted in: Big Picture, Dee Why.
Tags: 3/10, S-2m-7s. 
Not exactly spectacular at Dee Why, especially since he had to wait 15 minutes for it to turn up.
Hello Friends,
This morning’s DY picture required a 15 minute wait in the 11 degree temps. The five folk in the water up the beach from the SLSC had to be extremely dedicated given the conditions. Grey skies, cold air and a very inconsistent and weak south windswell do not add up to the most attractive combo. Given the 7 second average period, I’d be pretty surprised if much of anywhere was offering a wave this morning.
No obvious sign of a tsunami from the quake in New Zealand overnight, although this morning’s forecast from the Bureau mentions it.
The models are not offering much joy it has to be said. We’ve had a spectacularly productive winter for swell, so I guess one shouldn’t be too churlish if it looks as though Huey’s going to take a break. Well, maybe not a complete break, as in flat, but it does kinda look as though we’ll have a run of small conditions from late Saturday into the new week. It does currently seem as though the anticipated Fri-Sat pulse should appear. Right now I’m hoping for waist to shoulder high from Friday afternoon into Saturday.
May I respectfully ask you to participate in the current poll. I’d particularly encourage those of you who consider yourself regulars around here to add your two cents. Ad sales have been an uphill battle lately… Thanks in advance!
Outlook from the Bureau:
Synoptic Situation
A complex low pressure system lies over the Tasman Sea. Winds will strengthen along the coast today as the low deepens, while a high pressure ridge pushes across from the west. Winds should ease by Saturday as the high moves over the coast. Abnormal currents may affect some beaches, harbours and coastal waterways today as the result of an undersea earthquake that occurred near the New Zealand coast Wednesday evening.
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong Wind Warning.
Thursday until midnight: Wind: S/SW 10/15 knots, increasing to 15/20 knots during the morning and reaching 20/30 knots in the afternoon/evening.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres rising to 2 to 3 metres.Swell: S/SE 1 to 1.5 metres. Abnormal currents may affect some beaches, harbours and coastal waterways. Possible thunder and small hail.
Friday: Wind: S/SW 20/30 knots, easing to 15/20 knots later.Sea: 2 to 3 metres, abating to 1 to 2 metres laterSwell: S/SE 1.5 to 2.5 metres. Isolated early thunderstorms.
Saturday: Wind: S/SW 10/20 knots, tending NW 5/10 knots later.
This entry was posted by: Don on July 15th, 2009
Posted in: Big Picture, Dee Why.
Tags: 3/10, SE-1m-9s. Hello Friends,
First rays of sun find Dee Why looking very small...
I think we’ve got a bit of a break in the action happening this morning. The numbers haven’t changed much since dusk yesterday. Swell is still out of the SE at about a metre at sea. Average period is on the 9 sec mark but there is still some 12 sec component in the mix so that should translate into the very occasional set into the surfable range. At first light in Dee Why there were a few folks in the beachy and one at the point. Average size of the rideable ones looked to be around waist high. Lulls were pretty long and when one of the long period set waves turned up it was all by its little lonesome. If you missed it, there was another 10+ minute wait.
Nice light this morning and the wind was not a factor, but according to the Bureau (see below), the weather’ll be turning pretty ordinary by dark. The smallness looks like getting smaller through the day and running pretty close to flat tomorrow and into Friday. But there’s good news for the weekend warriors as the models are currently showing a bit of a south pulse around about Saturday.
A quick request if I may, could those of you who’ve been visiting the site for a few years please take a sec to respond to the latest front page poll question about a new Friends of RealSurf campaign. Cheers!
Low tide was at 0712 and the high rolls through at 1346.
Synoptic Situation
A complex low pressure trough is developing over the southern Tasman Sea, with a low expected to develop well offshore from the South Coast during today. Westerly winds along the southern half of the coast will turn south to southwesterly today, and strengthen on Thursday as they extend further north. A high pressure system will move into western NSW on Thursday then over the coast on Friday with wind over most waters easing by Saturday.
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Wednesday until midnight: Wind: W/NW 10/15 knots, reaching 15/20 knots offshore at first. Turning S/SW 10/15 knots during the afternoon.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres, reaching 2 metres offshore early. Swell: SE about 1 metre. Possible thunder and small hail.
Thursday: Wind: S/SW 10/15 knots, reaching 15/20 knots at times. Increasing to 20/30 knots later.Sea: rising to 2 to 3 metres.Swell: S/SE about 1 metre.
Friday: Wind: S/SW 25/33 knots, easing to 10/20 knots inshore.
Forecast for Wednesday
Fine at first, but cloud increasing and a shower or two developing
during the day. Chance of some thunder and small hail this afternoon.
Light to moderate northwest winds, tending southwest to southerly in
the afternoon.
Precis: Shower or two developing.
City: Max: 16 Parramatta: Max: 15
Terrey Hills: Max: 14 Penrith: Max: 15
Liverpool Max: 16 Richmond: Max: 15
This entry was posted by: Don on July 9th, 2009
Posted in: Big Picture, Dee Why.
Tags: 3/10, SE-2m-8s. 
Not too thunderous looking at Dee Why beach this morning.
Hello Friends,
Not the best looking conditions down at Dee Why beach this morning. Swell has dropped again overnight and it now looks as though the average wave is in the waist high range. Undoubtedly there will be some bigger sets, but if it’s like yesterday, it’ll be pretty disorganised and distinctly windswell-y. Weather promises to be fairly ordinary as well, so it’s looking like a good day to hoe into your chore list.
Might be a plan to block out some surf time in your diary for Sunday-Monday if you’re in the Sydney region. Here’s why:
WAM for Sunday: looking like a fetch for strong east swell.
The prospect is for a juicy east to ESE swell to begin filling in from late Saturday and, on current reckoning, to last through Tuesday. How good has this winter been?
Have yourself a top old day!
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Thursday until midnight: Wind: E/SE 10/15 knots, reaching 15/20 knots at times. Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres.Swell: SE 1.5 to 2 metres. Possible thunderstorms.
Friday: Wind: E/SE 10/15 knots, reaching 15/20 knots at times.Sea: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: SE 1.5 to 2 metres.
Saturday: Wind: E/NE 10/20 knots.
