Articles tagged with "3/10"

Unexpectedly interesting Tuesday morning

Posted by: on November 1st, 2016
dy point surfer

Little line gets picked up along the rocks at 0700

dy beach surfer

Lines up the beach toward No Mans at 0700

Hello Friends,

The Bureau says it’s on the fade, but this morning saw an 8-sec 1.3 metre SSE wind swell producing knee to waist plus waves at the point and up the beach. Wind was a light and somewhat chilly westerly at 0700 and tide was coming into the high at around 1000 under mostly clear skies.
It looks as though we can expect the offshores will switch around to light onshores by lunch time as the swell gradually runs out of what little puff it has.
The models continue to predict a brief but potentially quite fun south pulse around Sunday, but between now and then it looks marginal to near flat conditions are most likely.
Have a great Tuesday and stay happy!

Weather Situation
An east to northeast flow over the waters will briefly turn south to southwest during Wednesday. Winds will then tend north to northeast on Thursday and Friday as a high pressure system moves over the Tasman Sea extending a ridge along the north coast.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots shifting west to northwesterly in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers offshore, 20% chance elsewhere.
Wednesday 2 November
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds shifting east to southeasterly below 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Thursday 3 November
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then tending north to northeasterly during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Small but not flat on Monday morning

Posted by: on May 23rd, 2016

Hello Friends,

Light north wind as the day got started and swell was a touch under a metre out of the SE at 9 seconds apart. At Dee Why there were knee to waist-ish lines at both the point and along the beach. Tide was still coming into the high at 0910.

There’s a strong wind warning for the NW’r to kick up soon and then to swing SW this afternoon.

While the outlook is for the swell to, if anything, fade more today, the models continue to project it to start ramping tomorrow afternoon. Wind is set to be strong SW again, so surf options may be somewhat limited. The Bureau says it should be 2-3 metres from the south and then on Wednesday, they see it going to 3 to 5 metre(!) south with SW wind.

The models show the swell dropping back pretty quickly overnight into shoulder to head on Thursday morning. Right now Friday’s shaping to be on the small, but not flat, side.

Have yourself a top old Monday one and all!

dy beach

Little line at DY beach

dy point surfers

A few bods chasing little ones at the point 0710


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Weather Situation
A high pressure system currently centred in the western Tasman Sea will continue to move east. North to northwesterly winds will freshen ahead of a cold front, which is expected to bring a strong gusty south to southwesterly change along the coast during Monday, reaching the far north early Tuesday.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots turning west to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 24 May
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the morning and early afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre, tending southerly 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.
Wednesday 25 May
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning then becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 5 metres, decreasing to 2.5 to 3 metres during the evening.
Weather
Sunny.

Knee to waist high at Dee Why this morning

Posted by: on April 28th, 2016

Hello Friends,

Getting into the marginal range this morning at the point. Swell’s coming from the east at around a metre with an average period of under 8 seconds. That means knee to waist on the catchable ones at the point, and something similar along the beach.
Winds were light and from the N to W early. Tide was low at 0630 and is now coming into the high at 1230. By the time we’re dealing with high tide fatness, the wind’s expected to be out of the north at 10-15 kts.
The Goat should be along with his forecast later today and I’ll be interested to see his take on the prospects. The models are generally pointing toward small to marginal across the next week, but some hold out hope for Saturday morning and again on Monday.
Get out for a splash if you can, but take your little wave board and however it plays out, have a top old day!

sydney fog

Foggy city morning

Sets are just into the rideable range with the right equipment

Sets are just into the rideable range with the right equipment

Up the beach a small bump appears at 0700

Up the beach a small bump appears at 0700

hawkesbury fog

Foggy on the Hawkesbury at 0700

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea is very slowly moving east, maintaining a ridge across New South Wales. The ridge will gradually weaken as the high moves further east. Winds will remain northeast to northwesterly for the rest of the week.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Northerly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower offshore this morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere.
Friday 29 April
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Saturday 30 April
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of rain.

Fading but light offshore early

Posted by: on February 29th, 2016

Hello Friends,

Swell’s dropped overnight as expected, but there were still a few waist high plus waves to be had along the beach and, very occasionally, the point. Wind was lightly from the NW and the latest data from the MHL buoy (c. 0400) was showing 1.7 metres of 9s swell from the SSE, along with a small NE component.
Tide’s low at 0725 and high again at 1320. By the time it’s back to high the wind should be around to the NE but fairly light.
The week is shaping up to be a small one surfwise, but with luck the winds will generally be light for the early and there’ll be something in the knee to waist high range to go with it.
Have yourself a top old Monday and keep on smilin’!

dy point surfers

Dropped overnight but not gone

dy surfer

Still the odd waist plus up the beach at 0700

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Bight will gradually move eastwards into the southern Tasman Sea during today, extending a ridge along the New South Wales coast. A brief southeasterly change is moving up the south coast and will stall near the Illawarra before weakening this morning. Another cold front is expected to pass to the south of the continent on Wednesday with a trough stretching from inland Australia through western parts of New South Wales mid-week.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
East to southeasterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore this evening.
Tuesday 1 March
Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.
Wednesday 2 March
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Scrappy and full early but small waves

Posted by: on February 25th, 2016

Hello Friends,

Case of morning sickness at the point and along the beach at Dee Why this morning. Wind was north about 4-8 kts when I took the picture but the forecast tells us it’ll be 15-20 kts from the N-NE soon enough. At 0400 the MHL buoy recorded the swell coming from the NE. It was 2 metres but the average period was only 7 seconds.
Tide will be high at 1050, so conditions aren’t likely to improve much before the wind ratchets up. Looks like the best prospects will be in the north corners.
The strong NE’r is set to go overnight and then to switch southerly early in the morning. At the same time, the swell is expected to pulse up from the NE. If the models have it right, the average period will jump too, so protected south corners could be the plan.
On Saturday the Bureau says the wind’ll be SE 15-25 kts and that we’ll have a combo of easterly and southerly swell energy under cloudy, showery skies. The Bureau says surf conditions will be ‘deceptively powerful’ too. According to the modellers, average periods could be in the 14-15 sec range.
It’ll be interesting to see the Goat’s take on the coming week because it looks to me like early in the period will be better than later…
Good luck if you’re able to go wave hunting today and have yourself a top old time!

dy point

Lumpy bumps coming in every now and again

Posted by: on February 20th, 2016

Hello Friends,

Light SSW wind for the early, so surface conditions were comparatively smooth. But the wind’ll swing southerly soon and that, combined with a 0735 high tide, means the 1.5 metres or so of 8 sec SSE wind swell won’t be producing much of interest.
If you were out early, before the wind kicked in, there were some waist plus options about, but for the most part it was more like knee to waist and rather weak.
Surf outlook isn’t too red hot for the next couple of days but the models are pretty much all showing the energy levels coming back up into the solid range from Tuesday onward. Some of the long range predictions are currently projecting swell through next weekend. So, yowza!
Have yourself a top old weekend and rack up those brownie points with family and friends because you just may need them after Tuesday…

tow in surfers

Messing about at Gardens 0630

dy surfer

Out in front of the club

SUP at dy point

Risking fin damage along the rocks

dy surfer

Not super fabulous for the early

Weather Situation
A high pressure system south of Western Australia extends a ridge across southern and eastern New South Wales, while a low pressure system slips away to the southeast in the Tasman Sea. A southerly change will stall about central parts of the coast this morning. A high pressure system will become established over the Tasman Sea later in the weekend, turning winds east to southeasterly as it extends a ridge to the northern coast.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots inshore until mid morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Sunday 21 February
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning easterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during the day.
Monday 22 February
Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.
Please be aware
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
Nearby Coastal Waters

Another grey start and smaller surf too

Posted by: on January 27th, 2016

Hello Friends,

The Bureau has a warning posted for deceptively powerful surf conditions and at 0400 the MHL buoy was showing close to two metres at 12 seconds (plus there was some smaller, weaker component from the NE) – but, as the picture shows, it was pretty quiet looking at Dee Why around 0645. Maybe I didn’t wait long enough for a sneaker set… but it was only waist high at the point and probably about that up the beach. Wind was light early but will be coming up from the NE later – and it’ll be stronger than yesterday. Tide was low at 0500 and will be high again at 1115.
The low tide bank situation hasn’t been too flash at Dee Why lately from what I’ve experienced, so there might be a slight improvement as the tide fills in. It’ll be race against the building wind though.
Outlook according to the Bureau is for the swell to move more east and to come up a bit tomorrow. Friday could offer a morning sesh as well, but both days activities will be limited by the summery NE wind pattern. The Bureau’s MetEye model shows 10-15 kts of NE by 0800 for tomorrow morning and they predict a similar pattern for Friday.
Good luck with your wave hunting and keep on smilin’!

dy point surfer

Not too exciting looking at the point or the beach at 0645

Weather Situation
A high pressure system to the southeast of Tasmania is moving slowly east while maintaining a ridge along the New South Wales coast, directing generally southeast to northeasterly winds over coastal waters. Winds will turn north to northeasterly later today and Thursday as the ridge weakens and a low pressure trough approaches from the west. This trough is expected to evolve into a complex low pressure system as it reaches the coast at the end of the week, with several centres likely to develop. There is considerable uncertainty regarding the position of these centres, which will have a significant influence on wind speed and direction.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.
Caution
Deceptively powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Thursday 28 January
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers.
Friday 29 January
Winds
Northerly 20 to 25 knots turning northeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Scrappy Saturday

Posted by: on January 16th, 2016

Hello Friends,

That curse’d ol’ SSE easter is really pranging the surface conditions this morning. We do have swell, indeed a few hours ago the MHL buoy was detecting 2.5 metres from the SSE at 11 seconds apart. Unfortunately, as the pictures show, it was really pretty junky and disorganised at even the magnet spots such as Dee Why beach. Shoulder to head on the bombs maybe, but 99% messy close outs.
Tide’s just gone low and will be back to the high at 1400.
The Bureau tells us that it’ll be south-easterly through the weekend. On Monday we should slip into a more summery pattern with afternoon nor’easters and small, generally weak, vaguely southerly wind bump.
While the front half of the coming work week looks kinda marginal on the models, the back half has taken on a decidedly interesting complexion. If the super computers have it right, we could be looking at an extended run of solid – but not crazy big – longish period (12-14s) east swell with mostly light winds from around Friday. One of the real long range predictions shows it being very good right through next week. That’d be nice.
Have yourself a fine old Saturday everyone and keep on smilin’!

north narrabeen

No go at Northy

south Narrabeen

The only person in the water from Collaroy to North Narrabeen was near The Gardens

dee why surfer

Shutdown city or section town, take your pick at Dee Why at 0640

long reef

Longy bombies blerghy

white rock

White rock not getting any energy at 0645

Stormy Monday morning

Posted by: on January 4th, 2016

Hello Friends,

Wind was straight east outside the RealSurf wheelhouse as your correspondent climbed aloft for a look at the situation around 0730. Skies were dark and the ocean was a similar shade. Easy to believe there’s a 90% chance of rain. Wind was ESE at around 15 kts and the forecast tells us it’ll ramp up into the 15-25 kt range by lunch time.

As the picture shows, conditions were pretty rugged at Dee Why point. Even so, there were a few people in the water chasing the waist to chest plus sets. The MHL buoy was picking up a mix of 2.4 metres of 8-second SE wind swell and 7-10 sec smaller stuff from the NE.

Tide was high at 0440 and will be low again at 1100.

According to this morning’s swell models, the energy levels are likely to peak across the next 24 hours before very gradually fading over the remainder of the week. However, along with lots of rain (not good for the water quality), it looks as though the onshores will stay in place through to early Thursday before we see a brief SW episode.

dy point surfers

More swell energy this morning but the wind’s smashing it.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system south of the Bight is moving slowly east maintaining a weak ridge over the coast and directing mostly southeasterly winds onshore. Winds are expected to increase slightly today as the high becomes anchored south of Tasmania until at least the middle of the next week. A deepening trough over eastern New South Wales is expected to move slowly east to be offshore by Wednesday morning with winds turning southerly and freshening in its wake.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Easterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late morning and early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres, tending easterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of rain.
Tuesday 5 January
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Easterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the morning. Winds turning southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of rain.
Wednesday 6 January
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning southerly during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Little waves for Christmas morning

Posted by: on December 25th, 2015

Hello Friends,

Just jamming in a quick report before the family rouses on Christmas morning. It’s not much weatherwise, kinda dull really, but there are some little knee to waist-ish things flopping over along the beach and even occasionally at the point. At 0830 the wind was lightly NE and a couple of hours ago the MHL buoy off Sydney detected a mix of SE and NE wind swell. The main energy was coming from the former direction at about 9 seconds apart and with an average height at 1.7 metres. Tide was just hitting high as I wrote this around 0850. It’ll be back to low at 1530. I’m rating conditions as 3 out of 10.
Wind will pick up as the day goes along in the usual summer fashion. Tomorrow looks like a rinse and repeat of today while Sunday sees strong S-SE wind arriving and smashing things up.
Gotta run, best wishes to you and yours!

dy point surfer

Tiny wave at the point this morning.

dy surfer

Up and riding in the shories at Dee Why on Christmas morning

Weather Situation

A weak low pressure system and trough off the north coast is moving slowly further to the north as a high over the southern Tasman Sea gradually extends a ridge over NSW. Winds are forecast to tend more northerly and increase today and during Saturday as a cold front approaches from the west. This front is forecast to bring a gale-force southerly change to the southern half of the New South Wales coast during Saturday, then northern parts on Sunday as winds gradually ease in the south.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly 15 to 20 knots this morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.

Saturday 26 December

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots before a southerly change 30 to 35 knots in the late evening, possibly reaching 40 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Becoming cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.

Sunday 27 December

Winds
Southerly 25 to 35 knots tending southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 40% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.
 

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