Articles tagged with "SSE-1m-8s"

Sleep all day

This entry was posted by: Don on June 14th, 2009
But not much to take, sadly. This is an example of the infrequent sets.

But not much to take, sadly. This is an example of the infrequent sets.

Hello Friends,

Well, as expected, the surf situation is pretty marginal. That hasn’t stopped a small fleet of super peak acolytes from attending that celebrated heap of submerged Dee Why sand though.

Sets are further apart and it’s much smaller than this time yesterday. About the biggest thing I saw was struggling to make chest high on the takeoff (trough to crest). So, it isn’t totally flat, but compared to Wed-Friday of last week, it’s, well, you wouldn’t want to compare.

I’d be taking the fish or the mal to ensure maximum fun extraction from the conditions. Because it’s so marginal, the number of surfable options around the Sydney region will not be too plentiful. And that means more chums at the few spots that are working.

Outlook is for the flat to near flat conditions to persist through Monday night, but thereafter it looks as though we could be in for some solid south swell through Thursday. One of the models is currently predicting 3-4 metres of 15sec south swell from around mid-morning Tuesday. If the Bureau’s right about the wind, then there could be interesting conditions in the morning, turning onshore in the afternoon.

Weather may not be too good for picture taking though, as the Bureau is saying we could have showers on and off from Tuesday through to the weekend.

Go well with your plans and adventures!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Sunday until midnight: Wind: N/NW 10/15 knots, reaching 15/20 knots offshore at times.Sea: to about 1.5 metres. Swell: S/SE below 1 metre.
Monday: Wind: W/SW 10/20 knots.Sea: to 2 metres. Swell: S/SE 1 metre.
Tuesday: Wind: SW 10/20 knots turning S/SE 15/25 knots.

Cool out there this morning

This entry was posted by: Don on June 9th, 2009

Seems to be quite a wait between them, but there are occasional set waves to be had.

Seems to be quite a wait between them, but there are occasional set waves to be had.


Hello Friends,

Nippy out there (by Sydney standards) this morning. Scattered cloud about as the day gets into gear, and most important, we have a little trickle of swell for those who like their carpark suiting up on the brisk side. Happily, there is a tiny trickle of swell for the keen. It’s characterised by long waits though because the only surfable sets are those with a 12 second period. The average period is only 8 seconds, and since the primary swell direction is SSE and the height at sea only a metre, that means in between the longer period sets it’s going to be just about flat.

At around 0800, the wind was still relatively light and from the NW. However, as the Bureau forecast below indicates, it’s going to pick up this morning and be whipping along at 25-33 kts as we get to the other end of the day.

And it doesn’t look like backing off overnight. Indeed, it could be blasting along at up to 40 kts from the W by this time tomorrow. The models aren’t all predicting the same set of conditions for us. Some project the arrival of solid swell by tomorrow, while others are saying Thursday will be the day. They do agree that it’s most likely to be out of the south with a period into the 10 sec range and size at sea into the 4 metre range.

So, if you had to peg out a day for a wave, it looks like Thursday might not be a bad plan…

Go well with your day!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Gale warning
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: W 15/20 knots, reaching 25/30 knots offshore, increasing to 20/30 knots generally this morning, then to W/SW 25/33 knots this evening.Sea: 2 to 3 metres, rising to 2.5 to 3.5 metres this evening.Swell: SE up to 1 metre.
Wednesday: Wind: W 25/35 knots, possibly reaching 35/40 knots at times. Turning W/SW during the morning, S/SW later. Sea: 2.5 to 4 metres. Swell: SE about 1 metre, increasing to S 3 to 4 metres.
Thursday: Wind: S/SW 25/35 knots, easing to 15/25 knots later.

Very, very quiet

This entry was posted by: Don on June 7th, 2009
Tight little group of folk were ready to pounce on anything remotely surfable at this tiny peak.

Tight little group of folk were ready to pounce on anything remotely surfable at this tiny peak.

Hello Friends,

It’s a pleasant enough early winter’s day in Sydney, but the surf situation is pretty ordinary. About the best you can say is that at least it’s not dead south, so something does trickle in every now and again. Swell at sea is around a metre from the SSE at about 8 seconds apart. As my picture shows, this can translate into the occasional waist high bomb set. With luck, as the tide drops (it’s low at around 1330), a few more little peaks will come into play. However, there is the issue of the wind.

The Bureau says the W-NW breeze of this morning is going to be pushing along at a pretty intense 20-30 kts by dark – and then it looks set to stay that way for most of the coming work week.

According to the models, we can pretty much write off wave hopes until late Wednesday. Thursday remains hopeful for Sydney surfers, so if you can, block out a little space in the calendar just in case. Ya never know…

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong wind warning
Sunday until midnight: Wind: W/NW 8/13 knots increasing to 13/18 knots by afternoon then 20/30 knots in the evening.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres rising to 2 to 3 metres.Swell: E/SE 1.0 to 1.5 metre.
Monday: Wind: W/NW 20/30 knots.Sea: 2 to 3 metres.Swell: SE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Tuesday: Wind: W’ly 20/30 knots.

Extra tinyness with that tinyness?

This entry was posted by: Don on April 27th, 2009

Hello Friends,

Running behind with my contribution this morning. Wish it was because I’d been surfing. Sadly, we have a classic little (we hope!) winter-style flat spell. We have west to WNW winds and a very small, just about straight south swell. That combo will be delivering next to nothing at most places. You might spot a very tiny peak at a stretch of beach with straight south exposure. But I wouldn’t be counting on finding anything.

There’s quite an intense low deep in the Tasman at the moment, but from the look of the charts, it may not end up slinging much our way because the dominant fetch won’t get pointed in our general direction for long. When I say “much” I mean big swell of the sort we had last week. It should definitely be fun size and surfable from the middle part of the day tomorrow. How big? Hmmm… waist to chest with the odd shoulder high set at places facing south?

So, what has the Bureau to say?

Good day for a walk along the beach.

Good day for a walk along the beach.

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Monday until midnight: Wind: W/NW 20/25 knots at first, easing to 18/23 knots by the afternoon.Sea: about 2 metres abating to 1 to 2 metres. Swell: S/SW about 1 metre increasing to 2 metres during the day.
Tuesday: Wind: W/SW 20/30 knots.Sea: 2 to 3 metres. Swell: S about 2 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: SW/NW 10/15 knots.

Go well!

Quiet start to Sunday

This entry was posted by: Don on February 22nd, 2009

Hello Friends,

Dull skies greeted Sydneysiders this morning. Dull skies and small, but not flat, conditions at Dee Why. The MHL data shows we have the same metre or so of SSE windswell (8 sec period) we’ve seen for the last couple days. The good news then is if you found a wave yesterday, go back there again and you should be right.

As far as Dee Why goes, there seem to be weak little lines coming in and, as late as 0800, pretty much no one in the water from the point to well up the beach from the DYSLSC.

We’re set for a few more showers this morning, before the afternoon turns partly cloudy. The light SE winds this morning should turn to the E-NE this afternoon.

I’m gonna go out and check a couple more beaches for ya, so more in an hour or so…

Not looking fabulous, but not flat at Dee Why at 0800

Not looking fabulous, but not flat at Dee Why at 0800

Still waiting out here

This entry was posted by: Don on September 29th, 2008

 

Yep, still small...

Yep, still small...

Hello Friends,

Weak little south pulse showing on the buoy data this morning, but I can’t see much of anything showing at Dee Why. But I wasn’t really expecting to, given that it’s barely a metre out at sea from the SSE and the period is a gutless 8 seconds. 

It should push up a bit today according to the Bureau. The wind is set to reach 20-30 kts from the SW-SE, before backing of again to 15-20 kts. There’s not much of a breeze as I write this around 0800, but down the coast at places like Ulladulla and Green Cape, the wind has kicked up and is blowing anywhere from 10-25kts from the SSW. The latest buoy data isn’t showing any significant increase in the average swell size though, so I’m not real optimistic about our hopes for a significant improvement in the next few hours.

Model watchers have no doubt picked up on the prospects of a brief very long period pulse coming our way in Sydney around Weds mid-afternoon. It’s looking mighty brief though. Maybe 12-16 hours. And it is possible that the peak will hit in the middle of the night. How big? Well, if the forecast period of 16-18 seconds eventuates and if it’s 1.5-2 metres, we’d be talking sets well into the overhead range at exposed south spots.

Here’s the Bureau’s marine forecast for Sydney for the next few days:

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong Wind Warning.
Monday until midnight: Wind: SW/SE increasing to 20/30 knots during the late morning, before easing to 15/20 knots later.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres rising 2 to 3 metres late morning, abating later.Swell: S’ly 1 to 1.5 metres increasing to about 2 metres. 
Tuesday: Wind: SW/SE 10/15 knots tending NE 10/15 knots in the afternoon.Sea: to 1 metre.Swell: S 1.5 to 2 metres. 
Wednesday Outlook: Wind: N/NE increasing to 20/25 knots in afternoon.
Thursday Outlook: Wind: NW/NE 15/25 knots

I like the look of Thursday morning – if that pulse a) materialises and b) really does have an 18 sec period.

A couple requests for you this morning, if I may…

I’m looking for a notebook capable of running XP but my budget is only a couple hundred bucks – so I’m not expecting to get much! If you have such an object, drop me a note via our contact form.

Second request, I’m interested in hearing about any good surf bloggers you’ve come across. You know the deal: someone who writes regularly about a particular location from a surfer perspective.

Have yourself a good one!

Almost like summer

This entry was posted by: Don on September 25th, 2008

0645: SUPs rule!

0645: SUPs rule!



Hello Friends,

Fine and mostly sunny all day is the forecast for Sydney. Wind is light and variable now but it will swing around to the NE and build up to a summery 10-15kts. What would be really good is if we could have some swell to go with the conditions. It’s not quite flat, but the conditions are pretty marginal. The MHL Sydney buoy is showing about a metre of SSE 8 sec period windswell. This is pretty close to what we saw yesterday morning, so I reckon my usual advice applies: if you found something there yesterday, check it again today.

Looking at the other buoy reports, it does seem that if you head south of Sydney the swell doesn’t get any bigger, but the period gets up into the 10 second range. If you’re up along the beautiful northern coast, periods are about the same as Sydney, but average heights are around the 2 metre mark.

Checking this morning’s fresh batch of long range forecasts, it looks as though we’re in for more of the same through the weekend (no change there). The south pulse set for early in the new week is still showing on the models, but there are various interpretations – some are estimating it will barely affect us in Sydney while at least one is calling for around 12 hours of 2 metre, 10 sec period south swell. If I had to take a punt, it’d be for the early on Tuesday. Just for fun, here are a couple links to previous reports: if the pessimists are closer to the mark and Tuesday morning sees 2 metres at 8 seconds from the south, it might be like this, or, if the optimists are right and the period’s more like 10 sec, maybe this will be closer to the mark

Have yourself a top old day!
PS: Do you have any favourite surf blogs? Do you write a surf blog? Why not send me a link and if I dig it too, I’ll give it a mention in my report!

Gremlins attack!

This entry was posted by: Don on August 4th, 2008

Hello Friends,

Grrr! Those pesky gremlins! You’re fixing one thing, they’re breaking another. But, we’re back and that’s a good thing! I wish I could say the same about the waves. Boo-hoo. The long, slow decline toward marginal-ness in Sydney continued last night and this morning finds the average height of swell at sea bumping along at about a metre from the SSE.

We could live with that if there was a decent period, but that too has headed down and is now somewhere between 8-9 seconds on average. There’s the odd 10 second period set in the mix, so if you are very patient and in exactly the right spot, you just might get something in the waist to chest high range on a bomb set.

On current indications, it would seem that this state of affairs is likely to persist for the next 24 hours or so. But we could possibly see a little pulse around Weds if a low forms up as forecast on Tuesday.

Have yourself a top old day!