Posts in Dee Why

Another grey and blustery one

Posted on October 21st, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

15-20 kts of SSW wind and a shade under 2 metres of 6-sec S-SSW bump showing at North Head and out at sea. Conditions at Dee Why, unsurprisingly, looked weak, small and messy. I couldn’t see anyone in the water either.

A day for doing other things I’d say because it’s unlikely there’ll be any positive change to conditions according to the Bureau.

Prospects for tomorrow don’t look too much better, although the weather could be a little nicer in the afternoon. I’m not seeing much of interest for the rrest of the week in this morning’s batch of swell models. Tuesday morning looks about the best prospect right now thanks to a call for brief moderation in the wind. But the waves are likely to be short period and therefore gutless.

Your correspondent will be heading off to the Northern hemisphere again from Thursday. So, expect the usual stream of postcards from Cali and thoughts on what the models show for Sydney. If the iron law of ‘you really missed it’ holds, the waves will get better in Sydney while I’m away. 🙂

Go well with your Sunday!

 

No takers at Dee Why at 0810

 

No Mans no takers

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is directing a humid northeasterly airstream over the New South Wales coast, while a trough with an associated southerly change extends northwards. The trough is expected to slow and stagnate on the lower Mid North coast today before weakening on Monday with a return to northeasterlies along the whole coast. The next southerly change is expected later on Tuesday in the south.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots inshore during the morning and early afternoon. Winds decreasing to about 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres, tending easterly 1.5 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Monday 22 October

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day. Winds reaching up to 20 knots inshore in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, reaching up to 1.5 metres in the evening.
1st Swell
Easterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Tuesday 23 October

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Murky and minor

Posted on October 18th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Wind was coming lightly from the NNE at 0730 while skies were heavily overcast. We can expect the wind to pick up later and by this afternoon it should be 15-20 kts. At 0500 the MHL buoy off Sydney was seeing 2 metre of 9-sec coming from both the NE and SSE. Unfortunately, it didn’t seem to be adding up to much at Dee Why when I grabbed the snaps around 0720. I couldn’t see anyone in the water, which isn’t surprising given the weak, small and confused conditions.

The Bureau says it’ll get to a summery 24° and there’s a 90% chance of rainfall. Interestingly, the UV levels are creeping up and despite the cloud, it’ll be 8 (very high) on the scale. Ocean’s still 18C according to beachwatch – which also tells us apart from the lagoon exits at Northy, Long Reef and Curl Curl, water quality at all beaches is okay.

Being Thursday, I shall await the Goat’s prognostications with interest. From my reading of the runes, it looks like we’re near the peak of the energy levels for the next week…

Have a great day everyone!

Small and weak looking at Dee Why point

 

Nothing much evident at No Mans

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will slowly move towards New Zealand over the coming days, generating east to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. A weak southerly change is expected along the south coast early Friday, before winds return back to the northeast late Friday. A second southerly change is forecast to move up southern and central parts of the coast on the weekend.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers during the day time. The chance of thunderstorms during the day time.

Friday 19 October

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Cloud clearing.

Saturday 20 October

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots turning northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.

Dull, grey but not flat

Posted on October 17th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Steady 8-15 kts of NNE wind under heavily overcast skies as Wednesday gets into gear. As the pictures show, conditions are not overly interesting at the Dee Why end of the beach. Might be a bit more interesting up at Longy where it’s more protected from the wind. At 0400 the MHL buoy was showing most energy coming from the east. It was about 2.5 metres at around 9 seconds. As with yesterday, we have a mix of south around to NNE swells.

The NE’r is expected to get up to 20-25 kts and the swell should continue to push along at about the current intensity. We can expect a shower or two across the day. Tide is low at 0845 and the high will be along at 1520. According to Beachwatch, ocean temp is sitting on 18C.

Outlook is for the wind to stay N-NE at about the current intensity through Friday. Saturday looks like being showery and NE as well, but there might be a window of opportunity for the early session. However, the models show the swell decreasing slightly but staying in the surfable range. Sunday should see more rainfall, but we’re expected to have SW wind early, so again, there may be another shot at something passable on Sunday morning – question is, will there be much swell energy left?

Have a top old Wednesday and get up to some good where you can!

No takers at the point 0720

 

Small to marginal looking at No Mans

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system over the Tasman Sea near New Zealand will remain almost stationary for the coming days, generating southeast to northeasterly winds. Strong northeast winds are expected along the southern coast today with a low pressure trough over central New South Wales.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly 20 to 25 knots.
Seas
2 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.

Thursday 18 October

Winds
Northeasterly 20 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.

Friday 19 October

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Mostly sunny afternoon.

Another messy morning with size

Posted on October 16th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

No lack of energy this morning, but Dee Why’s a complete mess and it didn’t look like anyone was in the water. The MHL’s directional spectrum graphic for 0400 was showing 3 metres of 11 sec from dead north plus a lot of stuff from the SSE (154°) – a perfect recipe for the chaotic conditions captured in the pictures. Not surprisingly given the rain, the water also looks foul (Beachwatch had pollution possible warnings at most beaches yesterday and there’s a 90% chance of more showers today).

The wind was 6-7 kts from the NE at 0700 but looking at the clouds scudding overhead, the prediction of it ramping up to 15-20 kts is entirely plausible. And the NE’r is going to keep hammering us through Thursday. Friday should see it go more NW-NE in the morning before again going NE in the afternoon.

Most of the models show the swell heights gradually drifting down as we get into the weekend and next week looks small but not unsurfably so.

Have a great day everyone!

 

Lots of energy – but chaotic

 

Too crazy to surf at 0700

 

No Mans lines

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will remain near stationary for the coming days, generating southeast to northeasterly winds. Meanwhile, a deep coastal trough along the southern Queensland and northern New South Wales coast is generating strong winds in the far north. This coastal trough is expected move further offshore today while the high pressure system remains over the Tasman Sea. Strong northeast winds area expected to develop about the far south today as another trough moves over central New South Wales.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Wednesday 17 October

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots early in the morning and again in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Thursday 18 October

Winds
Northeasterly 20 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly around 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
2nd Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Lightly onshore early

Posted on October 15th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Definitely activity along the beaches, but the quality? Not so much. Couldn’t see anyone in the water at Dee Why when I grabbed the snaps a little after 0715. It looks weak, messy and fat. Plus there’s more rain in the mix, so water quality is unlikely to improve.
The MHL data showed 2.2 m of 9 second stuff from the SSE and the NE.
Tide was low at 0650 and is now coming into a 1.5 m high at 1320.There’s a 90% chance of rain and the wind will pick up to 20-25 kts from the NE. The NE swell comnponent should pick up too, leading to the Bureau warning of large and powerful surf conditions.
Outlook is for the NE regime to continue through Wednesday as the combo NE-S swells fluctuate around in the 1-2 metre range. The swell models tell us to expect the wind situation to last through Thursday before finally backing off on Friday morning.
So hang in there, it’ll get better.
Have a top Monday!

City pokes above the fog at 0720

 

Lion Island fog peekaboo

 

No Mans at 0715

 

Flabby but not flat

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will remain near stationary for the coming days, generating southeast to northeasterly winds. Meanwhile, a coastal trough is deepening along the southern Queensland and northern New South Wales coast, generating strong to gale force winds in the far north. This coastal trough is expected move further offshore today while the high pressure system remains over the Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly 20 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres, tending northeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Tuesday 16 October

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning and again in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Wednesday 17 October

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.

Onshore and that’s all

Posted on October 14th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Straight onshore from the east at 15-20 kts on a mild, cloudy and showery Sunday morning. As the pictures show, it’s extremely junky but not flat. Set faces are definitely shoulder plus. The latest MHL data tells us that as of 0600 we had 2.4 metres of 13 second swell from the ESE (145°). Water looked pretty ordinary and Beachwatch warns that pollution is possible at most beaches this morning. Ocean temp is sitting on 18C.
The Bureau says we’re in for three days of NE wind and they’ve posted warnings about the surf conditions being dangerous for rock fishers and such for today and tomorrow.
According to some of the swell models, there could be a window of opportunity Wednesday and Thursday morning as the swell persists and the wind backs off.
Here’s hoping!

The point at 0810 Sunday morning

 

No one in the water from Kiddeis to Longy

 

Curly suitable only for beach walking

 

Junkriders on it at the point 0800

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will remain near stationary for the coming days, generating east to northeasterly winds. Meanwhile, a coastal trough is deepening along the southern Queensland and northern New South Wales coast today, strengthening winds in the north. From Monday, north to northeasterly winds are expected as a second trough moves through the state’s west and the high pressure system remains over the Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
East to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 metres.
1st Swell
East to southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Monday 15 October

Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northeasterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Tuesday 16 October

Winds
Northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.

Chilly, grey and windy

Posted on October 11th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

12-16 kts of SE wind to kick off the morning’s beachside activities. More cloudy skies too, and although the swell popped up to 3 metres at 11 seconds from the SSE (158°), it’s not looking too enticing at Dee Why. As of 0830 there didn’t appear to be any people in the water and sets looked to be maybe chest to shoulder high.

Unsurprisingly given the rain, Beachwatch reports that pollution is possible from Collaroy south to Manly (apart from south Curly). They report that water temp is 19C.

Outlook is for the onshores to continue into the weekend, although they are set to swing more to the NE from Saturday and stay that way right through most of next week. So, possibilities maybe in a few north corners, particularly early…

Have a top old Thursday!

Junky junk at No Mans

 

Bigger than yesterday, but no cleaner

Weather Situation

Vigorous south to southeast winds have been affecting the waters in association with a cold front that moved across the region yesterday. In the wake of the front, a high pressure system near Tasmania is forecast to extend a ridge along the New South Wales coast. As this high drifts eastwards to the Tasman Sea at the end of the week, winds are expected to tend east to northeast.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy.

Friday 12 October

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly in the late morning and afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 metres, tending southeasterly 2 metres around midday.
Weather
Cloudy.

Saturday 13 October

Winds
Easterly 15 to 25 knots turning northeasterly 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Back in grey

Posted on October 10th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

20 kts of southerly under dark grey skies as Wednesday rolled into view. The wind is beating up the surface conditions at Dee Why and the swell is still small and weak (it was 1.6 metres at 5 seconds from the south as of 0600). The Bureau tells us to expect it to increase across the day but the wind’ll blow hard from the south to SE for at least the next three days. Plus there’s near certainty of showers today. Missable in a word.

Swell’s expected to peak tomorrow but wind’s also set to be more SE, so my hopes are modest. And the long range outlook is for generally onshore conditions into next week. So, we’ll be looking to the corners for now.

Have a great day everyone!

Southerly herding the white horses past North Head

 

Scrappy at No Mans 0800

 

Not enough energy to make the point work

Weather Situation

A trough will move up the north coast today while a cold front to its south will follow in its steps. The trough will bring a south to southeasterly change to the north coast, while the front will strengthen these south to southeasterly winds. Both features will clear the far north coast early tomorrow. In their wake, a high pressure system south of the Bight is forecast to extend a ridge along the New South Wales Coast. As this high drifts eastward to the Tasman Sea toward the end of the week, winds are expected to tend east to northeasterly.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2.5 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers.

Thursday 11 October

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Friday 12 October

Winds
East to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, tending southeasterly 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Sunny skies

Posted on October 9th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A change from the recent rainy conditions as this morning sees sunny conditions with a light westerly breeze. Sadly the swell has dialled back at Dee Why. At 0500 the MHL buoy was seeing 1.2 m from the ESE (127°) at 10 seconds. There might be a little more energy showing at better exposed stretches but where Dee Why’s concerned it’s too small for the poiint and the beachy wasn’t looking too populated either. Tide hits a 1.7 m high at 0910 and then heads back to low at 1515.

Weather should start to cloud up later and there’s a 20% chance of rain later. The showers return tomorrow along with the southerlies. And the swell should start to come back up during the morning. Expectations for a major south swell event have changed pretty dramatically downward from predictions just a day or two ago. The latest projections are calling for a couple of metres from the south in the 9-10 second range from Thursday into next week. It looks as though wind will be steadily onshore during the period in question – unfortunately.

Ah well, at least there’s the hope of some scrappy stuff for the extra keen.

 

Fading but still little lines coming in

 

Not quite big enough to make the point work at 0745

Weather Situation

A weak low pressure system off the Illawarra coast will gradually move southeast away from New South Wales today. At the same time, a strong high pressure system over the Bight is expected to push a ridge along the south coast later today, then along the north coast tomorrow. As a result, winds will shift south to southeasterly along whole coast over the next day or two. Winds are forecast to tend east to southeasterly on Thursday and Friday as the high drifts from the Bight to the Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
Westerly below 10 knots, tending northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon the shift south to southeasterly in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Wednesday 10 October

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Thursday 11 October

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Clean looking early with more showers on tap

Posted on October 8th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

12-15 kts of SW wind at 0800 made for clean looking surface conditions at Dee Why. Another area of showers was sweeping in from the south as I grabbed the pictures. As of 0500 the 2 metre swell was coming from the SSE (148-152°) at 7 seconds apart.

The call is for the swell to drop toward the middle part of the day, when the wind is predicted to swing to the SE. From the shape of the swell prediction models, we can expect the current waist to chest size to be more in the knee to waist high range tomorrow and Wednesday.

That big south pulse for Thursday to Sunday is still showing on the models. Unfortunately they’re also continuing to predict heaps of south wind while the swell is peaking at close to 3 m between late Weds and Friday. With luck the surf won’t fade completely once the wind becomes less annoying around Sunday.

Have a top old Monday everyone!

Smooth at Dee Why and little sets coming in

 

Still a hint up the beach at 0800

Weather Situation

A near-stationary trough lies across the north coast and extends southward offshore, with a low pressure circulation off the central coast. This has recently generated vigorous south to southeasterly winds on its southern flank, while southwest to northwesterly winds lie to its north. The low is is expected to affect central coastal areas during today while gradually weakening. Winds will tend back to the north ahead of a cold front which is expected to move along the south coast on Tuesday and reach the north coast on Wednesday, bringing a vigorous southerly change.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds tending northeast to southeasterly in the middle of the day then tending southeast to southwesterly in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.

Tuesday 9 October

Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots shifting north to northeasterly below 10 knots in the morning then shifting south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers in the evening.

Wednesday 10 October

Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning southerly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

 

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