Posts in Dee Why

Sunny Sunday and waves to play on

Posted on April 22nd, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

There was a murmurer from the SE this morning when I climbed aloft and sure enough, there are waves. Nothing spectacularly big or anything, but as the pictures show there were shoulder plus faces along the beach and waist to maybe occasionally chest for the crew at the point. Seemed to be many people in the water, but then it is a Sunday. And School holidays. And the wind was lightly W-SW so conditions were clean. Given that the forecast is calling for SE wind and swell below a metre, that’s at least a mildly surprising situation.

Tide was low at 0750 and is currently running back in to a 1.3 m high at 1345. Weather should be mostly sunny. Air temp should go to 24° and the water has apparently bumped up to 21°.

The models are suggesting that we’ll have similar swell size to today right through to the arrival of an ECL late in the week. Forecasts for what happens when the low forms up vary from ‘not much’ to chest to head plus at the peak. But we’ll see…

Have a great Sunday everyone!

Set arrives at the point

 

Kiddies stands ope up

 

Busy but interesting

 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge into southeast New South Wales, while a trough lies off the northern coast. This pattern is directing southeast to northeasterly winds over most coastal waters, with little change expected through the next few days, although a low pressure system potential developing with the trough off the north coast may bring a period of more vigorous winds.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
South to southeasterly about 10 knots tending easterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers offshore.

Monday 23 April

Winds
Southeasterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Tuesday 24 April

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending easterly during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Little waves as the swell fades

Posted on April 20th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Sunny skies and light SW breeze at 0715 when I climbed aloft to the RealSurf crows nest to grab a few snaps for your good self. As you can see, it’s down noticeably from this time yesterday. I’d call the point knee high and the beach knee to maybe waist and a bit. And the Bureau says it should drop a little more too. As of 0600 the MHL buoy was detecting a metre from 165° (SSE) at 13.8 sec. Tide was coming in from the 0530 low as it heads to a 1.4 m high at 1135.
Should be a partly cloudy day with a high of 25 and wind should go to the north at 10-15 kts. Water is getting cooler now and is currently around the 20° mark.
And the outlook? Well it’s Friday morning, so we have a piping hot fresh forecast from the Goat to answer your every question.
Have yourself a top old Friday everyone!

Tiny trickle of energy along the rocks

 

Kiddies lines at 0715

 

Maybe something at No Mans, but not much

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards the New South Wales north coast, while a weak southerly change is expected to reach the far north coast early tomorrow. Winds will slowly turn southeast to northeasterly along New South Wales waters over the next couple of days as the high lingers in the region, while a low pressure trough is expected to develop off the northern coast and deepen over the weekend.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly early in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.

Saturday 21 April

Winds
Southerly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots early in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the early morning.

Sunday 22 April

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening.

Waves to be had early

Posted on April 19th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Waist to chest with the odd plus at Dee Why this morning when I checked for the first time a little before 0700. As of 0730 wind was light from the NW. It should come around to the north at 10-15 kts later. Tide is coming in to a 1.5 m high at 1040. The MHL buoy was showing 1.4 m of 11 sec SSE swell.

The models show the swell fading across the day, but interestingly the Bureau is warning about deceptively powerful conditions again tomorrow morning.

Get in ASAP looks to be the plan!

Set at the point 

 

Kiddies peak 

 

No Mans wave 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards the north coast. This high will remain in the region for the remainder of the week, with a passing trough forecast to bring a brief southerly chance to southern and central parts of the coast later today and tomorrow.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm late this afternoon and evening.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Friday 20 April

Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots turning westerly in the morning then south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late morning.Winds reaching up to 20 knots inshore in the early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres inshore around midday.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
Caution
Surf conditions in the early morning may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Saturday 21 April

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly about 10 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm

Wind into it early

Posted on April 18th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Had a look at Curly and Dee Why this morning. Unfortunately the steady ESE wind (6-9 kts) was making the swell look pretty ordinary. There were no takers that I saw at Curly a little before 0800 and around at Dee Why numbers were way down on yesterday. The point was less consistent and noticeably smaller despite the MHL buoy showing only a slight change since yesterday. It was still 2.4 metres at close to 12 sec from the SSE, so I was mildly surprised to see wave faces in the waist to shoulder plus range as opposed to shoulder to a bit overhead range of yesterday. The Bureau also has a warning that surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear, so who knows, maybe I rocked up in the middle of a lull.

Next tide is a 1.6m high at 0950. It’ll be back to low at 1545.

Wind should go around to the NE in the afternoon, so maybe that’ll dial up prospects in the north corners that most definitely weren’t evident this morning.

Swell is predicted to fade to near flat by the weekend, but with any luck tomorrow and Friday morning should have the odd fun little bump in the waist-ish range at dead south spots. This morning’s long range models are suggesting near flat over the weekend but small (knee to waist) for the front half of next week, maybe improving slightly Thr-Fri. Maybe…

Have a great Wednesday one and all!

 

Wading along on a little shorey near Kiddies 0800

 

 

Finding a little energy at the top

Still some lines, but very choppy and messy looking

 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system near Tasmania is expected to move over the Tasman Sea today and extend a ridge along the New South Wales coast, turning winds east to northeasterly. This high will then remain in the region for the remainder of the week with a passing trough forecast to bring a brief southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast on Thursday and Friday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming northeasterly in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Thursday 19 April

Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Friday 20 April

Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southeast 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening

Beautiful but looking flat at Dee Why

Posted on April 16th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Sunny skies, light NW breeze – and less than half a metre of 12-sec SE swell. Couldn’t see any sign of a wave at the Dee Why end of the beach and given that, I’d be surprised if there was a wave anywhere else this morning.

So the obvious question is; when will we see an improvement? And the answer is: not long. The Bureau says the swell should ramp up tomorrow morning. Unfortunately it’s looking like the wind will go from the SW to southerly as the swell ramps. So, maybe there’ll be a little window of opportunity, but then again, maybe not. Wednesday looks a little more hopeful, particularly in the afternoon when the wind is set to swing from the SE to the NE as the swell pushes along at 2-2.5 metres from the south.

The models predict northerly wind on Thursday as the south swell fades toward the metre mark by Friday morning. Beyond that, the long range consensus is not too fabulous. If they’re right, the second week of NSW school holidays could be marginal to near flat. But I wouldn’t be locking in plans on that basis, because those long range predictions are highly speculative.

Have yourself a top old Monday everyone!

 

Beautiful morning light making Dee Why glow 

Weather Situation

A low pressure system to the far southeast of Tasmania is moving slowly east directing westerly winds across the western Tasman Sea. Winds along the New South coast will tend southwest to southeasterly during Tuesday as a high pressure system moves near Tasmania extending a ridge to the north.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending west to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Sunny.

Tuesday 17 April

Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds turning southeasterly during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Wednesday 18 April

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy.

Flat Sunday morning

Posted on April 15th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

What a stunning morning. Clear skies, mild temp and a steady offshore perfectly grooming the sea surface. Alas, as the pictures reveal, there is no surf at Dee Why. MHL must be having technical difficulties because the only buoy reporting in this morning was Batemans Bay. For what it’s worth, it was showing less than a metre of 9 second SSE. So the flatness is obviously pretty widespread.
Not that it has any bearing on our prospects, but the tide was 1.7 m at 0740 and is currently dropping to the 0.37 m low at 1350.
Should be mostly sunny today, with a high of 25°.
The models are showing a slight upward bump around lunchtime today, but it’s not looking likely to be much above the knee high mark.
Monday is shaping to be near flat again, but there might be a little uptick in the afternoon from the SSE. On Tuesday we’re set to have showery, SE’ly conditions. The swell should build with the wind, but I’m not hopeful about the quality for most places. Maybe on Thursday morning we’ll get light winds for the morning session along with some remnant straight south swell…
Have a great Sunday everybody!

Beautiful morning at Dee Why but no waves 

 

Faint and tiny line at No Mans 0750 


 
 

Weather Situation

A low pressure system southeast of Tasmania is moving slowly east directing westerly winds across the western Tasman Sea .Winds along the New South coast will tend southwest to southeasterly during Tuesday as a high pressure system moves near Tasmania extending a ridge to the north.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots in the late morning and afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre, tending southerly 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Monday 16 April

Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots tending northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the morning then turning west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the late morning and afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.

Tuesday 17 April

Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Definitely a few waves around

Posted on April 13th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Heavy smoke haze this morning so picture quality not the best, but you should be able to see that there were interesting sets turning up at Dee Why at around 0700 this morning. The MHL Sydney buoy isn’t reporting in at the moment, but down the coast at Pt Kembla it was SSE, 1.4 m at 14 seconds. Looking at the Dee Why end of the beach and the point, I’d be calling it waist with chest plusses from time to time.

Wind was NW 10-15 kts at 0730 and it should increase a little as the day gets to the (insane) high of 35°

Tide was a 1.6 m high at 0615 and we’re currently headed to the 0.45 m low at 1245.

Outlook you ask? Check the Goat’s thoughts!

Have a top old Friday everyone!

No Mans lines

Set at the point 0650

0650

Inside, waves?

 

 

 

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning northerly in the middle of the day. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southerly around 1 metre by early evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening.

Saturday 14 April

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northwesterly 20 to 30 knots becoming northwesterly 20 to 25 knots in the middle of the day then increasing to 25 to 30 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.

Sunday 15 April

Winds
West to northwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
1st Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Flabby and tiny Tuesday morning

Posted on April 10th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Nothing much happening at the beach this morning. There were a couple of folks on SUPs up toward No Mans when I checked for the first time at around 0640. It looked to be maybe knee high on sets. Surface conditions were lightly choppy. Wind was light from the SW but should drift around to the S-SE for most of the day before turning NE 10-15 kts in the evening.
As of 0500 swell offshore was 2 metres from the SSE at a feeble 8 seconds. Tide is dropping to a 06 m low at 1035 and will be back to a 1.27 m high at 1645. Water is 23°
Weather should be partly cloudy with a high of 24°.
The swell models show the swell energy levels going up overnight and tomorrow the predictions are for around 2 m of 11 second SSE. At the same time the weather should be sunny and wind should north early then going NE later and the Bureau’s hoisted a large and powerful surf warning. The northerlies are set to blow again on Thursday as the swell fades across the day. But, with luck, there should still be a few fun ones for the early on Friday. Right now the weekend isn’t shaping to be too fabulous – but there is considerable variation, so maybe it won’t go flat per the more pessimistic predictions…
Have a top old Tuesday and here’s hoping for tomorrow.

Barely a hint of activity at 0640

SUP’rs poking around at No Mans 

 
 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system will move over the southern Tasman Sea later today extending a ridge along the coast and southerly winds will tend southeast to northeasterly. The next southerly change is expected to develop on the far south coast later on Thursday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming east to southeasterly below 10 knots in the early afternoon then tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Wednesday 11 April

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northerly 15 to 20 knots early in the morning. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Southeasterly 2.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the afternoon and evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Thursday 12 April

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.

Micro Monday

Posted on April 9th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

If you found waves yesterday morning, you should look there again today. The swell is a touch smaller and coming more from the ENE than east now. So, expect ankle to knee with maybe the occasional waist bomb at the optimally aligned stretches. Wind was light west under clear skies for the early session, but it’ll go south to SE this afternoon.

Tide’s low at 0935 and then it comes up about 60 cm to the high at 1540 – so obviously not a huge factor. It’ll be a very warm 33° ahead of a late southerly change. Sun protection is advised from 0910 to 1430.

The good news from the models this morning is that it would seem we’re likely to see a slight upward bump on Wednesday and there currently look to be reasonable hopes for knee to waist plus Weds-Fri.

Have a great Monday one and all!

Zippo at the point, but little bump at kiddies 0700

No one hunting the sets like this at No Mans 

 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards northeast New South Wales, and is directing northeasterly winds along the coast. This high will weaken today as a low passes to the south, with an associated trough delivering a southerly change to southern and central waters. Early tomorrow this change is expected to reach the northern border, bolstered by a new high pressure system moving into the region. Under the influence of this high, a gradual return to northerly winds is forecast later on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting westerly in the morning, then south to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Tuesday 10 April

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the morning then shifting east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 metres in the evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Wednesday 11 April

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Small and choppy Sunday

Posted on April 8th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Cloudy with sunny breaks this morning. Wind was out of the SW to WSW at 4-6 kts as of 0830.  As the day warms up it should come around to the N-NE. There were knee to waist plus waves along the beach and occasionally at the point. Quality didn’t look amazing as it was kind of dumpy and choppy, but if you were patient, there were moments. Being a mild, sunny Sunday morning with little waves, the crowd intensity is dialled right up to the high range. Take your chill attitude and all will be well.

The main swell energy, such as it is, is coming from the south, but the waves are looking more east. At 0700 the MHL buoy was showing 1.2 m from 95° at 10 seconds. Tide was a moderate 0.7m low at 0830 and is now filling into an only slightly higher high pf 1.2m at 1430. So not much change on that front.

We’re heading to a high of 28° and water is 23° and unpolluted. UV will be high from 0910 to 1430.

Weatherwise the week ahead looks to be warm and partly cloudy to mostly sunny until the weekend.

Outlook is for the current swell intensity to stay around what it is now through to midweek when models show it coming around to the SSE and picking up into the 1.5-2m range with 10-13 sec periods. Wednesday morning currently looks like being fun and the same again on Friday. Figure waist plusses Wed and southerly and bigger Thursday then back to to fun and waist plus Friday. Longer range models still show tiny and weak conditions for the following week, but that’s speculative in the extreme.

Have a great Sunday everyone!

 

Set at the point 0810

Set at No Mans 0810 

 

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the far north coast, while a weakening trough lies over the central coast. Once the trough dissipates this morning, the high will direct northeasterly winds along the entire coast. On Monday a low pressure system will move east across the southern Tasman Sea, while the high remains over the the northern Tasman. A trough associated with this low is forecast to bring a southerly change, moving through the southern and central coast on Monday and the north coast on Tuesday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, tending southerly about 10 knots inshore in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Monday 9 April

Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Tuesday 10 April

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots turning east to southeasterly below 10 knots during the day then tending northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

 

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