Posts in Dee Why

Another micro day

Posted on August 16th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Only a faint zephyr stirring the ocean surface at Dee Why as the sun came over the horizon this morning. Skies are clear and the air temp was comparatively mild. But, as the pictures show, there is no swell. The MHL Sydney buoy hasn’t checked in since yesterday evening, but looking at the data from other stations, I’d guess there’s maybe half a metre from the S-SSE at 13-14 seconds.

If you’re interested, Tide was low at 05:55 and will be back to a 1.53 m high at 1215.

Weather should be sunny all day and the wind will be from the SW. Water is about 16°C.

The Goat will be along later with his week-ahead outlook, so I’ll be keen to see his take on our prospects for a memorable Monday….

Have a top Thursday!

Nice morning for a paddle on the SUP

Little tiny trickle of a line at 0650

Weather Situation

Vigorous west to northwest winds ahead of a cold front are expected to ease today and shift south to southwesterly as the front clears the northeast corner of New South Wales and a high pressure ridge builds in its wake. Another strong cold front looks set to arrive on the weekend.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Friday 17 August

Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Saturday 18 August

Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending westerly 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

 


Dialled back to near flat

Posted on August 15th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Swell faded away overnight and this morning sees conditions back to where they were on Monday, ie near flat. At 0500 the MHL buoy was seeing 1.2 metres of 10-second SSE swell. If yesterday is any guide, there could be waves at better aligned stretches, but I’d be surprised if there was anything above knee to waist high. Wind was out of the NW at 10-15 kts as of 0715 and it’s expected to pick up enough for the Bureau to have hoisted the strong wind pennant.
Tide was low at 0510 and will be back to 1.55 m high at 1120. Water temp is 16°C.
The models are uniformly predicting flat to near flat conditions through to Friday. But thereafter continues to look interesting. If they have it right, we could see energy levels beginning to improve late Saturday at spots that pick up dead south swell. By Monday there may be 3-4 metres of 10-ish second straight south with strong SSW wind. Current predictions say Tuesday should be similar. Here’s hoping!
Have a great Wednesday everyone and keep on smilin’.
 

Hint of a line, but no takers at 0700

 

Almost flat at Dee Why 0700


 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over New South Wales will shift to the Tasman Sea tonight as a cold front approaches from the west. Vigorous winds will affect many coastal areas today as this front crosses the region, with a new high developing in its wake on Thursday and Friday. Another strong cold front looks set to arrive on the weekend.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Thursday 16 August

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by evening.
Weather
Sunny.

Friday 17 August

Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Small waves to be had

Posted on August 14th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

We seem to have a little swell this morning. It’s not big enough to kick the point into action, but despite the incoming tide (there’s a 1.57 m high at 1030), waves looked to be into the waist high range at No Mans. Wind was WNW at 10 kts when I grabbed the snaps, but like the tide, it’s going to come up soon. into the 15-20 kt range.

The MHL buoy was detecting 1.3 m of 10-sec SSE swell as of 0500. Water temp should be around the 16° mark.

From the look of the models, the current energy levels should last through the day as we head to a high of 22° under sunny skies. I’m definitely going to be out and about, so possibly more pictures and words later…

Speaking to the models, I’m liking the look of Monday’s prospects. Predictions range from 2-3 metres with periods in the 10-12 sec range from the south. Wind call is for westerlies and sunny conditions. The more pessimistic projections say it’ll tail away over the rest of the week, but the hopeful ones say it could be fun for a few days. Here’s hoping the latter prove closest to the mark,

Have a great Tuesday one and all, and check back later in case I update!

0710 and small lines just showing at the point – but no takers

Surfer tries to get into a waist high bump at No Mans

Weather Situation

Vigorous west to southwesterly winds are expected to slowly ease this evening and early tomorrow as a high pressure system slowly moves across the state. On Wednesday, fresh northwesterly winds are forecast to develop ahead of a cold front that will slip across the south, bringing a west to southwesterly change to southern parts of the coast on Wednesday and central parts during Thursday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon then tending northerly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Sunny.

Wednesday 15 August

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 25 to 30 knots in the early afternoon then decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.

Thursday 16 August

Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning west to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.

Nothing doing at Dee Why

Posted on August 13th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Not a skerrick, not a scrap, not a hope of a wave this morning at Dee Why. From the look of the MHL data for the NSW coast, it would seem that Sydney’s 0.75m of swell is bested in the flatness contest only by B Batemans Bay’s 0.5 m. Everywhere else is bigger and from around Coffs north, it actually looks quite interesting (2 m of ESE at 9 seconds).
Apart from the surf and a morning high tide, conditions would be perfect – if only we had swell.
The Bureau tells us we should have 1.5-2 metres of south swell, so the models predicting something arriving this afternoon may come to pass…
I’ll keep an eye on it and will update if there’s any significant change.
In the meantime, have a great day!

Not a hint of activity 0655

Zippo 0655

Weather Situation
Vigorous west to southwesterly winds are expected to slowly ease over the next few days as a high pressure system slowly moves across the state. The next cold front is forecast to slip across the south on Wednesday, turning winds northwesterly ahead of it.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the morning. Winds becoming variable about 10 knots in the late afternoon then becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Tuesday 14 August
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day then becoming northerly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Sunny.
Wednesday 15 August
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.


Back to micro

Posted on August 12th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Well, that didn’t amount to much. I checked it at intervals on Saturday, hoping the swell would bump up as the tide dropped. But it didn’t cross the threshold for me. Best and biggest waves I saw yesterday were soft, crowded and maybe waist to chest at Northy. Dee Why was smaller and weaker.

This morning sees a metre or so of 11 sec bump from 166° out at sea as of 0600. Unfortunately the 9-10 Kt NW’r seems to be pushing it away from Dee Why. There was just nothing going on when I grabbed this morning’s pics.

First tide of the daylight hours was a 1.5m high at 0850. It’ll be back to a (very) low 0.27 m at 1440. By then the wind should be W-SW at 20-25 kts and… just maybe… the swell should come up at south magnets. Eden was 1.5 m at 8 seconds from 190° as of 0600, so that could mean that swell won’t really get into our region (because of the short period and the angle).

Anyway, I for one will be keeping an eye on it.  16° water or not, I’m keen to get wet.

Outlook on this morning’s models ranges from flat all next week to maybe an uptick on Tuesday into the fun range, then flat again until Friday. Some of the very long range models for next week are currently looking quite hopeful though (2-3 metres of SSE energy with SSW wind…), so there is that.

Have a great Sunday and check back in case I’ve spotted something worth bringing to your attention!

 

Slumbering peacefully on Sunday morning

Not a hint of a line at No Mans 0800


Tiny lines

Posted on August 10th, 2018 in Dee Why, North Narrabeen.

Out for a ride and can report there is more energy than this morning. Best waves were at Northy but there were close to 20 in the water chasing the very occasional sets. Biggest waves were around the chest high range maybe a touch bigger. Looked a bit sectiony too.

At Dee Why there were only a few in the water. Wind was more sideshow and waves both smaller and less consistent.

The point was maybe mal- able but no one was trying it.

Beautiful afternoon and looks like it might come up a little more…


A hint at Dee Why beach

Posted on August 10th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
The point looked to be flat at 0700, but there were a few people in the water at Kiddies chasing tiny, maybe knee high bumps. That’s more activity than I’ve seen since getting home on Sunday. The MHL buoy data from 0500 was showing 0.9 m of 12-sec south swell. Tide hit a 1.77 m high a little after 0700, so possibly as it drops, we’ll see a few more options. MHL’s modelling shows a slight increase toward midday. The northerly wind will be picking up as the day goes along – with obvious implications for some spots.
The Goat wasn’t able to drop a forecast last night, but he’ll be along with his wisdom later today, so I’ll confine my thoughts on the outlook to saying I’m a tiny bit hopeful for a small improvement tomorrow…
Have a great Friday one and all!

Nothing at the point but the occasional knee high bump at Kiddies as of 0700

Weather Situation
A high pressure system is moving eastwards across the Tasman Sea today, extending a ridge to the New South Wales coast. Meanwhile, a strong cold front is crossing South Australia, and will affect New South Wales on the weekend. Coastal winds are forecast to turn northerly and increase ahead of this system, which will bring a vigorous westerly change to the southern half of the coast on Saturday, extending throughout early Sunday. Conditions should gradually ease later Sunday and Monday, as a new high approaches from the west.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Saturday 11 August
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots turning westerly 20 to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Sunny.
Sunday 12 August
Winds
West to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Below 1 metre, tending southerly 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly around 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Lake Dee Why

Posted on August 9th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Another perfect winter’s day in Sydney. Dee Why fairly sparkled at 0700 when I grabbed the daily pics. But, alas, beautiful as the day promises to be, there was absolutely no hint of a wave. Nor is there any prospect in the Bureau’s predictions for an immediate improvement.

MHL’s Sydney buoy was detecting 0.7 m of 12 sec from the SSE (152°), so no hint yet of the predicted long period east component the models have been showing for a few days now.

As always, I’m keen to see the Goat’s thoughts on the prospects for the coming week because at least a couple of the models are showing some small hope.

Have a great Thursday and be sure to check back this evening for the Goat’s forecast!

Flatter than yesterday, or as flat?

Ocean doing its impression of zero

Weather Situation

A high pressure ridge is currently across northern New South Wales, while a cold front is crossing the south of the state, maintaining gusty westerly winds over southern coastal waters. The ridge is expected to extend further south during Thursday with winds easing. Northerly winds will strengthen on Friday and Saturday ahead of the next strong cold front, expected to reach New South Wales coastal waters on Saturday night.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Friday 10 August

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Saturday 11 August

Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots tending northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.

 


Still on hold

Posted on August 8th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
You wouldn’t know it from looking at the conditions, but the MHL buoy was showing a touch under a metre of 10-sec SSE at 0500 which is up a tiny bit from yesterday. Unfortunately if the Bureau has it right, the swell will fade a little later. And hopes for late Thursday and Friday seem to have gone sour as well by their account. The only hope is that the models’ prediction of an increase in energy levels from 10 to maybe 12 seconds which could bring south magnet spots into the just surfable range by Friday morning. Some models are showing swell coming up around Monday – but with periods dialling back. So, it’ll be interesting to see the Goat’s take tomorrow evening.
Have a great Wednesday everyone!

 

Not a hint of a line at North Head


 

Dead calm at the point 0700


 

Zippo 0700


 

Weather Situation

A high pressure ridge is developing across northern New South Wales while a cold front passes to the south today, maintaining gusty westerly winds in southern coastal areas. The ridge is expected to extend further south during Thursday and Friday, with winds easing.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending westerly in the late afternoon. Winds reaching up to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Thursday 9 August

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the early afternoon then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Friday 10 August

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Yep, still flat as a tack

Posted on August 7th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

As expected, this morning dawns cool, clear and utterly flat at Dee Why. Looks like another day for getting on with the non-surfing dimensions of your life.

For the record, the MHL buoy was showing 0.7 m of 8 sec wind bump from 158° as of 0500. At report writing time, wind was WNW 13-17 kts.

Surf prospects remain unchanged according to this morning’s models. Today and tomorrow are looking flat, Thursday might see a faint sign of life and then from Friday to maybe Sunday there could be very small but surfable waves from the east. By “surfable”, I mean knee to waist at magnets.

Have yourself a great Tuesday everyone!

 

Just about perfectly flat at 0700

 

Weather Situation

A high pressure ridge is developing across northern New South Wales, while a series of cold fronts pass to the south, maintaining gusty westerly winds in many coastal areas. The ridge is expected to extend further south during the second half of the week, with winds easing and shifting more northerly.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots during the morning and early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Wednesday 8 August

Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Thursday 9 August

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

 

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