Posts in Dee Why

Not Dee Why, but maybe Longy or Curly

Posted on December 15th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

24C before 0900 and 70% humidity under high overcast skies this morning. Wind wasn’t a factor and out at sea the MHL buoy was registering a metre at 8 seconds from 172° (ie close to dead south). As the pictures indicate, there was next to no wave activity at the Dee Why end of the beach. But, you might find something in the knee to thigh high range up toward the lagoon entrance, or over the hill at mid to north Curly.  Tide is coming into a 1.89 m high at 1111 and our temp should top out at 28 along the coast with possible smoke haze. Wind should wander around through the east before settling to the NE and coming up to a standard summer issue 15-20 kts. Swell looks like luffing along at the current low level intensity through the day.
We’re set to switch into southerly mode tomorrow but, while swell heights out at sea will likely come up into the 1.5-2 metre range as a mix of south and east arrive, the models show periods in the gutless chop zone of 6-7 seconds. So, I’m not holding out much hope for reasonable conditions. Both the ECM and Wavewatch models predict weak (short period) and tiny surf through to the end of the work week. Hope they turn out to be low-balling the reality!
Have a great Sunday everyone.

 

Some manner of paddleboard race off No Mans


 

Super keen types hanging around between Kiddies and No Mans.


 
Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is weakening while another, stronger, high builds over southern Australia. These systems are promoting generally east to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coastal waters. Later on Sunday a trough and associated southerly change will move into the far south, quickly tracking up the coast during the remainder of the day.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots tending northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning then tending northerly in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 16 December
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 17 December
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots becoming southeasterly about 10 knots during the morning then east to northeasterly in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Very small but not flat Saturday morning

Posted on December 14th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Light wind, an incoming tide and weak, small, but catchable waves (with the right equipment) on offer this morning. As the pictures show, size is in the knee to thigh high range. It’s not super consistent, but given the 9 second period of the 1 metre south swell, you don’t have to wait too long for another little bump to roll in. Ocean is on 20C and as of 0700 the breeze is light from the NNE. It should settle into a standard summery NEr by this afternoon. Tide is highish 1.89m high at 1025 and back to low at 1705.
While they differ a bit on prevailing direction, both the ECM and Wavewatch models are telling us to expect more very small and short period little wind swell over the coming week. If I had to pick, I reckon the best shot for a wave will be on Tuesday morning.
Have yourself a good Saturday everyone!

Tiny waves at Northy 0620

Contest on near the lugga at 0630

Coppery sea at Long Reef

Dee Why peak at 0630

Ripping at the Lugga

Stroller at south Narrabeen

Weather Situation
A trough of low pressure is moving slowly off the northern New South Wales coast, while a high pressure system over the Bight extends a ridge across southern Australia to the western Tasman Sea. Another trough looks set to affect the southern half of the coast later Saturday as a cold front passes to the south, before the next significant southerly change arrives early Monday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots tending easterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Sunday 15 December
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the early afternoon then tending northerly in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 16 December
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly during the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Quiet morning at Dee Why

Posted on December 13th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

8-10 kts of ESE wind under mostly cloudy skies and no real sign of swell at Dee Why. For what it’s worth, the MHL buoy was seeing a metre of 6 second SSE wind bump as of 0500. Tide is currently coming into the high at 0945, not that it has much bearing on the conditions. Ocean temperature is on 20C and we’re heading to a high of 23 with the chance of a light sprinkle.

Being a Friday morning, I can skip my usual thoughts on the near term surf prospects thanks to the ever reliable Goat who has produced his usual forecast for the coming surf week.

Have a good Friday everyone!

Tiny amount of white water at the point, but way too small to surf

Weather Situation
A trough of low pressure is moving slowly along the northern New South Wales coast, while a high pressure system over the Bight extends a ridge across southern Australia to the western Tasman Sea. Another trough looks set to affect the southern half of the coast later Saturday as a cold front passes to the south, before the next significant southerly change arrives early Monday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
East to southeasterly about 10 knots becoming northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.
Saturday 14 December
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to northeasterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Sunday 15 December
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Grey, onshore, tiny, sorry

Posted on December 12th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Wind was coming from the south at 7-10 kts before 0700 and as of 0400, the MHL buoy was showing 1.5 metres of 7-8 second wind bump from 162°. Tide was coming into a 1.8 m high at 0900. Skies were overcast and Dee Why wasn’t seeing obvious smoke haze. We’re going to to a high of 23 and there’s a 20% chance of a light shower. Beachwatch reports 20C water.

But surf? Well, the pictures tell the sad story. Not today folks.

When will it improve again, well, it’s Thursday and that means we can look forward to the Goat’s wise counsel on these matters later today. It looks pretty quiet to me, but check back this afternoon to see what the Wise One says…

In the meantime, go well with your Thursday.

The point slumbers on a grey and onshore morning

Optimists in the water at Dee Why beach

Weather Situation
A trough of low pressure is lingering on the northern New South Wales coast, while a high pressure system over the Bight extends a ridge over southern Australia. Coastal winds to the the north of the trough are north to northeasterly, with south to southeasterly winds to its south. This trough will slowly move northward over the next day or so, reaching Queensland waters Friday morning. Winds in most areas will gradually shift northerly during the weekend as a feeble high develops over the Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots turning southeasterly in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.
Friday 13 December
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly in the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.
Saturday 14 December
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Less smoke but still grey and tiny

Posted on December 11th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Visibility and therefore air quality is much improved over yesterday’s unprecedented conditions. There’s no surf to speak of at Dee Why, but you might be able to find a little ankle to knee high bump. But the MHL buoy was seeing 2.2 metres of 6-second SSE wind bump, so there’s just no surf energy in our bit of the ocean.
Outlook remains boring for our wave prospects. The models continue to predict micro conditions for the rest of the seek. So on to other things for now…
Have a good one.

No sign of surf at No Mans

Just a touch of foam around the the rocks at the point as of 0715

Weather Situation
A trough of low pressure lingers around the Mid-North Coast, with winds turning northerly ahead of the trough and southerly behind. A high pressure system over the Bight extends a ridge over the southern coastal waters. This ridge is expected to strengthen across southern New South Wales in the latter part of the week.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots inshore in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.
Thursday 12 December
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots, tending southeasterly 10 to 20 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.
Friday 13 December
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots turning east to southeasterly below 10 knots during the morning then tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.


Smoke

Posted on December 10th, 2019 in Dee Why.

0930: Visibility down to about 100 metres on Collaroy Plateau

0930 smoke density increasing…

EARLIER:

Dense smoke in Sydney

The smoke just about blotting out the sun along the beaches by 0630

Hello Friends,

What can one say? The smoke is dreadful this morning. Visibility is maybe 300 m at RealSurf HQ as I write this. And it doesn’t look like getting better until (maybe) after the south change hits.
Needless to say, this isn’t a morning to be engaging in vigorous exercise – even for those of us fortunate enough not to have any sort of respiratory condition – this morning everyone has a respiratory condition. It’s just as well that there really aren’t any waves to justify getting wet.
We’re going to a high of 36C today, so it must be hellish out on the fire grounds. So grateful for those volunteers risking their lives on our behalf.
The climate my generation grew up with is no more. We are on a new course now, away from anything our species has ever known. Most of us get this, but the 10% or so in denial or dismissive of the terrible danger to our children are over represented among our decision makers.
Stay safe everyone.

Sydney area
Hot. Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Areas of smoke haze, thick in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and early evening. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then shifting southerly 35 to 50 km/h in the early afternoon.

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated ozone and particle levels in Sydney for Tuesday 10 December 2019

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is directing north to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. A cold front will bring a southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast today, moving up into the Mid-North Coast during Wednesday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots. A southerly change 20 to 30 knots moving through from the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm inshore this afternoon.
Wednesday 11 December
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots turning southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
1st Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.
Thursday 12 December
Winds
South to southeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening


Scrappy but possible at Dee Why this morning

Posted on December 8th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

8-10 kts of ENE wind texturing the ocean up along the Dee Why stretch by 0730 this morning. Skies were grey but smoke from the fires seems to be down a bit, but there is a smoke alert for the Sydney region today. As the pictures show, there was some junky knee to waist-ish dribble washing into the point and beach. At 0500 the MHL Sydney buoy was seeing 2 metres of 10 second bump from 162°. Tide was a 1.49m high at 0630 and is currently dropping to the low at 1245. Beachwatch says the water temp has clicked up to 21C.

So not the greatest morning for a surf, but if you’re really keen there are choppy and fairly weak little bumps to mess about with.

This morning’s ECM and Wavewatch models are both continuing to project a weak of marginal to near flat and generally messy conditions coming up for us thanks to short periods and low swell heights. Hope they’re wrong!

Go well with your Sunday everyone.

Big enough to catch, but quality ordinary for No Mans

A crew on it at the point 0730

Bomb set at 0730

Weather Situation
A high pressure system, currently over Bass Strait, will drift slowly east during Sunday. This high is forecast to reach the Tasman Sea by Monday, bringing a gradual shift to north to northeasterly winds in most coastal areas. The next trough will bring a southerly change to southern and central coastal parts on Tuesday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly in the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 9 December
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 10 December
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots shifting south to southeasterly during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Little lines coming into Dee Why

Posted on December 5th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Light NNW winds beginning to push smoke in from the record number of fires across NSW. Swell is dead south (182°) and, in line with predictions, has into the 2 metre range at 12 seconds. There’s definitely more of a line showing at the Dee Why end of the beach and there were even a few folks out at the point waiting hopefully around for a set. But to get the maximum size, you’ll be heading to the northern ends and south magnets where I’d be expecting shoulder high with the odd plus. The Bureau says the swell will peak this morning and the models showing it fading back overnight into tomorrow. As always I’m keen to see what the Goat thinks about the coming surf week’s prospects when he rolls out his forecast later today.

We’re heading to a scorcher today with a high of 34C along the coast and air quality is pretty bad. Water temperature is sitting on 20C and the next tide is a low at 0935. It’ll be back to a moderate 1.38 m high at 1545.

Have a good one.

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated PM2.5 and ozone levels in Sydney for Thursday 5 December 2019.

 

A few waiting at the point as a little line comes into the beach at 0745

Lines showing up the beach, maybe more north from there


.
.
Weather Situation
A number of cold fronts will cross southeastern Australia over the coming days, bringing a series of wind changes to New South Wales waters, particularly through southern and central parts.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots, tending north to northeasterly in the early afternoon. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres, increasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.
Friday 6 December
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day then tending southeasterly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Saturday 7 December
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Sunday scrappyness at Dee Why

Posted on December 1st, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Less than amazing late morning at Dee Why this Sunday. There were a few gutless bumps, but you had to work them to get any forward motion. Lulls were long too and by the time I grabbed the snaps around 1040, the high tide was less than two hours away. So, on top of the weak swell, it was also getting fatter. Yes, you could go for a paddle, and there’s nothing wrong with that, but finding any juice, well that wasn’t really on the menu.

The wind was dribbly side shore, but the Bureau tells us it should swing NE during the afternoon – and the swell will weaken.

Looks as though the weak and tiny conditions will be southerly tomorrow but late Wednesday and overnight into Thursday, the Wavewatch model is showing a straight south pulse that might get into the magnets. The ECM model doesn’t agree and it predicts tiny dribble through the week.

I’m planning to head down to Manly after lunch to see if I can make myself useful on the Surfrider Ocean Care Day stall. Drop on by if you’re around!

Head dip on a bomb near No Mans 1040

UFO looms over the hot surf action as a one wave set hits No Mans 1035

Looking like very long waits at Longy lugga

Rider slowing into instability as the little wave at Kiddies fades out

Weather Situation
A weakening trough lies over the New South Wales north coast today, with winds shifting northerly in most coastal areas. A vigorous cold front will reach the southern coast tonight, continuing through remaining areas on Monday, bringing a gusty west to southwesterly change. Following this, a weak ridge looks set to develop over the region on Tuesday, and should remain dominant through much of the coming week.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day then tending northerly 20 to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the evening.
Monday 2 December
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots before dawn, reaching 30 knots during the day.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 3 December
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots tending northwest to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then tending west to northwesterly during the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.


Barely there for the early

Posted on November 30th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Another dense atmosphere morning for Sydney and the Bureau has the following warning on its Saturday forecast:

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated PM2.5 levels in Sydney for Saturday.

It’s right at the lower end of surfability this morning at Dee Why and Narrabeen. If you figure ankle to knee with the odd thigh high bomb set, your expectations should be close to reality. Wind has come around to south and was 12-15 kts when I grabbed the pictures at 0630-0640.

Tide is currently running into what will be a swampy high at 1135. The bump is coming from the SSE-SE at 7 seconds apart and about 1.3 metres out at sea.

Outlook is for conditions to deteriorate surfwise as the day goes along and right now I’m not seeing much of interest on the models until around midweek when there seems to be prospect of a small south pulse into the waist-ish range.

Have yourself a top old Saturday everyone!

Paltry offerings at Long Reef

A few tiny bumps in the corner at Dee Why

Trying – but not succeeding – south Narrabeen

Waist high at Northy 0630

Near the Gardens 0630

Weather Situation
A weak high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the northern New South Wales coast, while a cold front brings a southerly change to southern central waters today. This change is expected to stall and decay in the north during Sunday. A second, more vigorous cold front is forecast to affect southern waters later Sunday and continue through remaining areas on Monday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots in the early morning, locally reaching 30 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
Sunday 1 December
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning then north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day. Winds locally reaching 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening.
Monday 2 December
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 25 knots turning westerly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy