Hello Friends,

Sydney’s beaches are in for a pretty ordinary old day from the look of things. The ocean’s choppy and messy but there is a bit more of a line than yesterday and as a consequence a few bods are in the water chasing waist high lumps of junkiness. With low tide at around 0830 and a high around 1520, the optimal time for a lot of spots should be late morning. Unfortunately, the already dodgy wind situation is only going to get dodgier as the wind picks up a bit more and works around through the easterly quarters from the present SE to the NE. Sounds like a recipe for messiness all day long, but with a slight hope that semi-protected NE corners might possibly be worth consideration late in the day.

As for the long range outlook, I like the look of the Goat’s latest prognostications. The current run of the models is pretty supportive of his estimates too. I’ll have a look at the prospects tomorrow morning ahead of my usual 0730 702 ABC gig.

Have yourself a top old day!

The Bureau’s Friday morning Sydney forecast

Weather Situation

A high near Tasmania will move to the Tasman Sea today allowing winds to gradually tend to the east to northeast. A low pressure system is expected to deepen over South Australia today. The low should deepen further on Saturday and move southeast towards Tasmania with winds along the NSW coast becoming strong to gale force. The low will then move quickly into the southern Tasman Sea on Sunday allowing winds to gradually ease.
Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds: South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending easterly during the day then east to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots by early evening. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening. Swell: Southerly 0.5 to 1.5 metres.
Forecast for Saturday

Winds: North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots. Seas: 2 to 3 metres. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres decreasing to 1 metre late in the evening.
Forecast for Sunday

Winds: Northwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending west to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning then tending westerly up to 15 knots during the afternoon. Winds tending west to southwesterly up to 20 knots during the evening. Seas: Up to 3 metres decreasing below 2 metres during the morning. Swell: Easterly 2 metres tending southeasterly during the evening.

Hello Friends,

Another day of littleness up and down the coast of NSW. Dee Why was showing nothing substantial this morning under grey skies. The Sydney MHL buoy is detecting barely half a metre of 7 second period SE windswell. There is some 13 sec component in amongst it, but I can’t see any sign of larger stuff.

It’s not looking too promising for any improvement to the wave situation today in the Sydney region. There is some hope for just barely marginal waves tomorrow morning at south swell spots and then maybe an option or two on Saturday if we get some long period stuff as is being predicted for our region by some interpretations of the latest WAM data.

This monring’s WAMs are projecting the aforementioned little uptick on Saturday, followed by a dip on Sunday then another minor upward bump late Monday into Tuesday. But at this stage there doesn’t look like being anything much above the chest to shoulder high range at exposed spots over the coming 4 to 5 days…

Go well folks!

The BoM says:

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the northern Tasman Sea will move slowly to the east over the next couple of days. A trough and associated southerly change has weakened in the north. A second trough is expected to move along the coast late Thursday and Friday with an increase in the southerly winds associated. A low pressure system is expected to deepen over South Australia on Friday as another high pressure system moves into the southern Tasman Sea. The low should deepen further on Saturday and move southeast towards Tasmania with winds along the NSW coast becoming strong to gale force.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds: Southerly 5 to 10 knots becoming light during the morning then tending southerly up to 15 knots during the afternoon. Winds increasing to southerly 15 to 20 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening. Swell: Southerly about 1 metre. The chance of thunderstorms during this afternoon.
Forecast for Friday

Winds: South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending east to northeasterly during the afternoon. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southerly about 1 metre.
Forecast for Saturday

Winds: Northeasterly 20 to 25 knots tending north to northeasterly 25 to 35 knots during the morning. Seas: 1.5 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning then increasing to 4 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Southeasterly about 2 metres tending easterly 1.5 metres during the evening.

Hello Friends,

Dull skies as the first of September shakes out the kinks and gets going. The BoM says it’ll get cloudier too and by this evening there could be some rain in the mix. There’s almost no energy in the ocean off Sydney at the moment. And unsurprisingly, nothing is showing at Dee Why. According to the latest from the MHL Sydney buoy, it’s around half a metre from the east at about 7 seconds. If it’s any consolation, the other buoys up and down the east coast are basically showing the same thing.

Scanning the current run of the WAMs and the various interpretations of the data, it’s looking as though we’re in for more microness until around Saturday. At that point we might see a little improvement as a small SE pulse arrives. The models are predicting that there will be a dip around Sunday and another small pulse for Monday.

It’s the first day of spring, so I guess we shouldn’t really be terribly surprised at the lacklustre outlook. Tis the season of ordinariness boys and girls. Ah welll…

Might as well keep on smilin’ eh?

Have a top old day!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Wednesday until midnight: Wind: Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending west to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then tending south to southwesterly about 10 knots later in the evening.Sea: Up to 1.5 metres.Swell: Easterly about 1 metre.
Thursday: Wind: Southerly 5 to 10 knots becoming light during the morning then tending south to southeasterly up to 10 knots later in the evening.Sea: Below 1 metre.Swell: Easterly about 1 metre.
Friday: Wind: South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending easterly during the afternoon then tending east to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the evening.

Hello Friends,

As foretold by the models, surf prospects have diminished overnight from marginal to very marginal. Swell direction is SE but it’s only a metre or so out at sea and the power setting has drifted down to a weak 8 seconds or so. There really doesn’t seem to be much of anything showing at Dee Why, nor along the beach north from there toward No Mans.

There could be a few a little waist high sets to be found at more optimally exposed spots, so if you have time for a look around and you’re not too demanding, some small amusement may be waiting for you to find it.

Latest outlook for the week ahead is for more or less of the same through to around Saturday when it currently looks as though we might possibly get another south pulse. At least one of the riffs on the WAMs is showing quite long period (as in 15+sec) energy on the cards. Here’s hoping!

Have yourself a great day and go well with your plans.

TIDES: H @1210, L @1840
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: Northerly 5 to 10 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots around midday then tending northerly 15 to 20 knots by early evening.Sea: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.Swell: Southeasterly 1 metre.
Wednesday: Wind: Northwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending west to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then tending west to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots later in the evening.Sea: Up to 1.5 metres.Swell: Easterly about 1 metre.
Thursday: Wind: South to southwesterly 5 to 15 knots tending southeasterly up to 10 knots during the morning then tending southerly up to 15 knots during the evening.

Hello Friends,

Another beautiful end of winter morning. According to this morning’s run of data from the MHL waverider buoy, the swell settings are very slightly smaller than close of play yesterday, ie averaging around the 1.5 metre mark from the SSE at about 8-9 seconds apart. As with yesterday, the best spots will be those with good south exposure. It’s therefore looking pretty marginal at the Dee Why end of the Longy-Dee Why stretch. In fact, I didn’t see anyone in the water at 0700.

Winds are light to begin with, but the Bureau says that the wind will get around to the E-SE and pick up to a junk-inducing 10 knots.

Latest run of the forecast models points to a gradual decline in average size over the next day or so. Overall it looks as though we’re likely to have flatness by the end of the week but with luck the weekend should see a small pulse of activity. Looking a lot like spring to me.

I did some shooting over the weekend and as I write this, the fruits of that labour are currently uploading to my gallery site. As usual I’ll post a couple galleries here once the pics are all online.

Go well with your day and get wet if you can.

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Monday until midnight: Wind: South to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending east to southeasterly by early evening.Sea: Below 1 metre.Swell: Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Tuesday: Wind: North to northeasterly 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.Sea: Below 1 metre.Swell: Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: North to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

Hello Friends,

Interesting little late afternoon pulse yesterday but no real sign of it this morning at the Dee Why end of the beach. Swell is running at around the metre mark and is coming out of the SSE at 10 seconds apart. In theory, a little more should be showing at the aforementioned southern end, but there was just one person on a SUP having a poke around near the point. Otherwise the beach was empty from there to around half way to No Mans.

The good news is that latest run of forecast models for our part of the world have once again confirmed expectations for a reasonable size south pulse (up to about the 3 metre mark on faces at exposed spots). It’s still looking as though we’ll have to wait until Friday for it to get started. And in a spot of good news for weekend warriors, the peak energy currently seems most likely to occur overnight on Saturday and into Sunday morning for Sydney.

Certainly sounding hopeful, and that’s never a bad thing!

On another note, just thought I’d share the following from Scott. Always stoked to be able to help mate!

A big thanks to Phil at Raine & Horne Dee Why for valiantly trying to locate the owner of a board (me) accidently left at Curl Curl this week. A colleague of his spotted my posting on Real Surf & put us in touch with each other.
Thanks Don. -Scott

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong wind warning.
Wednesday until midnight: Wind: Westerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots at times, decreasing to 15 to 25 knots during the morning then decreasing to 15 to 20 knots around midday. Winds west to northwesterly 20 to 30 knots by early evening.Sea: 1 to 2 metres increasing to 3 metres by early evening.Swell: Southeasterly 0.5 metres.
Thursday: Wind: Westerly 25 to 30 knots.Sea: Up to 3 metres.Swell: Southeasterly about 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms.
Friday: Wind: Westerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.