Posts in Dee Why

Full and tiny at Dee Why this morning

Posted on January 16th, 2017 in Dee Why.

0630 tiny lines showing at Dee Why

Hello Friends,

A light north breeze, clear skies and some knee and a bit high bumps coming into the south end of Dee Why at 0630. According to the latest data from the MHL buoy, there’s about a metre of 7-sec SE wind bump out at sea. Tide’s coming into the 1.7m high at noon, but even at 0630 it looked pretty fat and full for the small number of folks bobbing hopefully about at Kiddies. I reckon they’re looking at knee to maybe waist on the biggest ones.
From the shape of this morning’s modelling, surf conditions don’t look like changing too dramatically across the coming week. The more optimistic predictions have the short period wind bump building a little by Friday ahead of a change to southerlies. Saturday and Sunday could see head plus with sideshores at optimal locations. But right now it doesn’t look like the wind’ll back off enough for anything like clean conditions.
If those same models are right about your correspondent’s prospects, there should be clean, long period waist to chest plus lines winding along the points of southern California next weekend. Expect postcards!
Have a great Monday one and all.

Weather Situation
Southeast to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast will turn north to northeasterly during Monday as a high pressure system over the Tasman Sea strengthens a ridge along the coast. The next south to southeasterly change is expected to develop on Wednesday.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Caution
Deceptively powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Tuesday 17 January
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower offshore in the early morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere.
Wednesday 18 January
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots tending northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then shifting south to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Bumpy SE with little waves

Posted on January 15th, 2017 in Dee Why.
dy point

Big enough to make the point marginal

dy beach

The odd possible wave at Kiddies at 0730


Hello Friends,
Light but steady 6-7 kt ESE breeze and a bumpy knee to waist-ish plus waves at Kiddies and possibly at the point as we headed toward the 1.9m high tide at 1115.
The Bureau tells us we can expect a break from the hot weather today and that we could see a bump up in the swell energy during the morning.
The MHL buoys started picking up an increase in both swell height and average period last night and as of 0500 the Sydney buoy was showing 1.9 metres of 10-sec SSE swell.
This morning’s swell modelling isn’t entirely uniform across the various prediction sites. Some are showing the swell fading back this afternoon (in line with the Bureau’s call) and then being small to near flat for the working week, but others project the current size to maintain through Monday. The long range predictions are currently showing some manner of south wind, south swell event for next weekend. At this stage it looks like potentially getting into the head high rangebut with a fair amount of south to SE wind Sat-Mon.
I’ll be keeping an eye on it for you from the other side of the planet from Wednesday onward…
Have yourself a great Sunday!

Weather Situation
A low pressure trough off the New South Wales far north coast is deepening with a small low possibly developing within it Sunday morning. South to southeasterly winds will turn north to northeasterly during Monday as a high pressure system moves over the Tasman Sea extending a ridge along the coast and the trough weakens. The next south to southeasterly change is expected to develop along the south and central coasts on Wednesday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending easterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 16 January
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 17 January
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 20% chance of a shower


Grey skies and minimal wave activity

Posted on January 13th, 2017 in Dee Why.
dy point and beach

0630 SUP rider falls off the back of a tiny bump at Kiddies

dy beach

Nothing in the way of waves at 0630

Hello Friends,
Heavy overcast and a steady 8-9 kts of NNE wind with only the faintest hint of wave energy at 0630 Friday morning. The 0500 data from the MHL buoy was showing a touch over a metre of 7-sec SE wind bump just offshore of Sydney.
As the pictures show, what this means is that you’re looking at ankle to maybe knee high on the bigger ones. So, if you really just have to get in the water for a dose of natural energy, take your biggest and floatiest wave tool – and a zen like attitude. To the extent it matters, your next tide is a high at 0940.
Although it was heavily overcast and a comparatively mild 24 as I was tapping out the report, the Bureau tells us we’re going to 35 later. Unfortunately the Bureau’s calling for the already weak conditions to fade even more as the day goes along.
And the outlook for the week ahead? Well, the ever reliable Goat issued his weekend and beyond forecast last night.
Go well with your Friday and stay cool!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system currently off the New South Wales coast will move quickly east today causing coastal winds to turn back to the north. A trough approaching from the west will move up the New South Wales coast on the weekend, bringing a south to southeasterly change to the southern and central coastal waters on Saturday and to most of the north coast on Sunday.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the middle of the day. Winds reaching up to 30 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Saturday 14 January
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds shifting south to southeasterly in the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening.
Sunday 15 January
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 25 knots turning easterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.


Smooth little tiny waves early

Posted on January 12th, 2017 in Dee Why.
dy beach

A couple hopefuls near the pole at 0700

Hello Friends,
Mostly cloudy skies and only 3-4 kts of south breeze as of 0730 along the beaches of Sydney at 0730 Thursday morning. A reasonably vigorous south change broke the heat yesterday evening, but it faded overnight and the forecast says we can expect the wind to go around to the east while the little uptick in swell fades. At 0500 the MHL buoy was showing 1.6 metres from the south at 7 and a bit seconds apart. There were a couple of punters in the water up toward the pole when I took this morning’s snaps and a little line came through down toward Kiddies, but no waves were caught while I watched. From the look of it and given the numbers, I’d say you’d be doing well to find a knee high dribbler on the incoming tide (high’s just before 0900).
The Goat’s forecast should appear later today, so I’ll be keen to see if he’s seeing anything interesting or hopeful for the coming week…
And speaking of the coming week, your correspondent will be filing my morning briefs from the other side of the planet for awhile as it’s my turn to help out with my elderly mother (many a fellow boomer will be able to relate I’m sure). BTW, if you could contribute the odd eyeball report while I’m away, drop me a line – all you need is a cam phone to grab a snap with.
Have a great Thursday everyone!

dy point and beach

Set wave at Kiddies looks like there might occasionally be something…

Weather Situation
A trough of low pressure on the Mid North Coast associated with a cold front crossing the Tasman Sea is expected to continue moving north today bringing a southerly change which will reach the Queensland border during the afternoon. A high will move to the the western Tasman Sea in the wake of the trough with winds turning back to the north on Friday. Another trough is expected to reach the far south coast late Friday, before extending slowly northwards on Saturday, reaching the Hunter coast in the evening.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly below 10 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower inshore, near zero chance elsewhere.
Friday 13 January
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day then turning northerly 20 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Saturday 14 January
Winds
North to northwesterly 20 to 30 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning then becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.


Hot one ahead but no waves

Posted on January 11th, 2017 in Dee Why.
dy point and beach

Nothing going on at Dee Why as of 0615

Hello Friends,
The Bureau tells us it’ll get to 38 in Sydney today. There was a faint westerly wafting off across the shore, but there’s less than a metre of 6-sec east wind bump out at sea. At Dee Why that means barely a hint of whitewater along the rocks at the point and tiny ankle to calf-high lines at the beach. Tide was headed into the high at 0800 as I wrote this, and that wasn’t helping either. If you can find anything approximating a wave this morning, my hat’s off to you.
This morning’s swell modelling generally points toward another 48-72 hours of barely there dribble. Then, if they’re right, they’re predicting a switch to south wind and 10+ second 1.5-2 metre south swell. Probably not the greatest conditions, but at least flatness shouldn’t be an issue.
Stay cool and go well with your Wednesday!

dy beach

Up the beach from Dee Why, no sign of a wave

sydney skyline

Murky looking Sydney skyline

Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge to the northwest directing north to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales north and central coasts while a low pressure trough brings southeast to northeasterly winds along the south coast. South to southeasterly winds are expected to extend along the entire coast during Wednesday and Thursday as the trough moves north in response to a cold front crossing the southern Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northwest to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots shifting south to southeasterly 20 to 25 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres by evening.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre in the middle of the day.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower or thunderstorm.
Thursday 12 January
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning easterly below 10 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower.
Friday 13 January
Winds
Northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Grey, smooth and micro

Posted on January 10th, 2017 in Dee Why.

dy point

Looking like yesterday, ie very tiny to flat


Hello Friends,
Have something else to do today? Good. The wave situation is dire at Dee Why. I couldn’t see anything above the knee high mark- if that. Tide was high at 0705, so that didn’t help, but the real problem is the less than a metre of 6 sec east wind bump out at sea.
Outlook is for the very small to just barely catchable conditions to persist through Saturday. Some of the swell models are showing a moderate south pulse for Sunday-Monday. Those same models are also predicting SE wind with it, so I’m currently only cautiously optimistic.
Have yourself a top old Tuesday everyone and keep on smilin’!

dy beach

Not a hint of a line near the pole

Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge to the northwest and is directing north to northeasterly winds across northern and central New South Wales waters. A low pressure trough across central and southern Australia and extending across southern coastal waters is generating southeasterly winds along the south coast. As this trough shifts north during Tuesday afternoon it will bring a temporary southerly change along the southern and central coast before a stronger southerly change is anticipated along the coast on Wednesday and Thursday associated with a cold front slipping south of the state.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day and becoming northeast to southeasterly during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 40% chance of showers, mostly in the morning.
Wednesday 11 January
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the afternoon.
Thursday 12 January
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning easterly 10 to 15 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Full and tiny at Dee Why Monday

Posted on January 9th, 2017 in Dee Why.
dy point

0650 and the point’s quiet

dy beach

Maybe you could catch a knee high bump up the beach…

Hello Friends,
Not much of anything showing at Dee Why around 0650 this morning. The wind was around 10 kts from the NE and at 0500 the MHL buoy was showing 1.7 metres of 7-sec of east wind bump out at sea. Tide was high at 0610, so Dee Why looked fat and very small when I grabbed the pictures; I’d say ankle to knee with maybe the odd waist high bomb.
The wind should wander around to the SE later this morning before settling to the NE this afternoon.
According to the Bureau’s modelling, the swell should stay around the current level more or less through Wednesday when we should see a change to more southerly conditions. Right now it doesn’t look as though we’ll see much of any improvement to surf prospects until (maybe) the weekend.
Have a great Monday everyone!

WRL cam

WRL cam showing little NE lines at 0530, but surfable? Maybe…

Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge along the northern New South Wales coast. This pattern will maintain an east to northeasterly airstream over the coast for the next few days, apart from a brief southerly change along the south coast on today as a trough moves through. A stronger southerly change is forecast to move up the coast during Wednesday and Thursday.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Winds offshore north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots. Winds inshore northerly about 10 knots tending southeasterly in the late morning then northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Tuesday 10 January
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower in the morning and afternoon.
Wednesday 11 January
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting southerly during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers


Knee to waist high bumps at Dee Why early

Posted on January 8th, 2017 in Dee Why.
dy beach

Not super crowded for a sunny Sunday early sesh at Dee Why

Hello Friends,

At 0730 wind was out of the NNE at 5-7 kts and the 0500 data from Sydney’s MHL waverider buoy was showing 1.25 metres of 7-sec east wind bump. Tide was heading toward the low at 1135 (it’ll be high again at 1730). There were a reasonable number of people in the water at Dee Why but, if anything, it looked a bit lighter crowd-wise than you’d usually see on a sunny Sunday morning. Waves were in the knee to waist range and breaking pretty close to the beach.
A quick scan of the forecast models suggests that we’re probably stuck in this pattern of small, short period wind junk for another week or so. Yesterday it looked like there might be something in the way of a south pulse late in the week, but this morning’s projections mostly aren’t showing much. That said, the Bureau’s Auswave model is predicting a major system in the might just ahead of the weekend and some of the long range models seem to be indicating that we could see something on the east coast from it briefly around Sun-Mon.
Have yourself a great Sunday everyone!

dy beach

Nothing at the point, little on the beach at 0730

dy beach

Typical set wave at 0730

Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge along the northern New South Wales coast. This pattern will maintain an east to northeasterly airstream over the coast for the next few days, apart from a brief southerly change along the south coast on Monday as a trough moves through. A stronger southerly change is forecast to move up the coast during Wednesday and Thursday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 9 January
Winds
Northerly 20 to 25 knots turning northeasterly in the middle of the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Tuesday 10 January
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 20% chance of a shower.


Little waves for the early at Dee Why

Posted on January 6th, 2017 in Dee Why.
dy beach surfing

Small waves at the point and the beach at 0725

dy beach surfing

Kiddies wave rolls through at 0725

Hello Friends,

Light east breeze showing at North Head around 0730, but Dee Why was looking glassy. There were knee to waist high bumps along the beach and, if the crowd hanging around out there’s any guide, there’s something at the point too. MHL’s Sydney buoy was registering a metre of 7-sec east bump as of 0500. Tide’s low at 0900 and will be back to a 1.5 metre high at 1510.
It was raining down the Shire way as I wrote this, but the weather radar shows only a few more spots of rain getting to Sydney over the coming hours. Wind should pick up into the 10-15 kt range from the east too.
The ever reliable Goat has taken a look at the surf prospects for the coming week and as usual I concur with his wise prognostications.
Have a top old Friday everyone and stay happy!

Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge along the New South Wales coast and maintains a southeast to northeasterly airstream across the coastal waters. Little change is expected to this pattern until a low pressure trough moves across the state on Sunday and Monday, sending a southerly change along coastal waters.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Saturday 7 January
Winds
East to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower in the morning and early afternoon.
Sunday 8 January
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Please be aware
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
Nearby Coastal Waters


Rainy to start

Posted on January 5th, 2017 in Dee Why.
Cockatoo in the rain

Cockatoo taking a rain bath outside RealSurf HQ this morning

Hello Friends,

Completely socked in with steady rain at report-writing time this morning. The local cockatoo flock took the opportunity for some rain bathing right outside my window, so I grabbed a picture to share.
Wind at North Head was 10-12 kts from the NE and the MHL buoy at 0500 was showing 1.3 metres of 7-8 sec NE wind bump.
Tide was low just before 0800 and is now running into a 1.5m high at 1405.
So, not much reason from the numbers to get out in the rain for a wave this morning. Wind should stay about the same all day and the Bureau is predicting a mix of SE and E wind swells, so maybe possibly it’ll look more inviting once the showers back off…
Have a good morning and check back later for an update to the pictures. Go well!


 

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