Posts in Dee Why

Back to weak and small

Posted on February 17th, 2020 in Dee Why, Surf Reports.

Hello Friends,
Energy levels continued to fade as expected overnight and this morning sees rather weak looking waist to chest and a bit conditions. Ocean’s still somewhat lumpy but the surface was smooth at 0700. At 0500 the MHL buoy was picking up 2 metre, 10 second stuff from the SSE east. So, your best hope for size early were the south magnets. Tide was high at 0400 and is now dropping to the low at 1045. Skies were mostly cloudy (in line with the forecast) and we’re due to see a high of 26C along the beaches. Water is 23C according to Beachwatch.

Went for a closer look at the conditions and took a few pics.

There were around 20 in the water at the fun left bank formed by the last couple of swells. Waits were long, but if you jagged a set wave, it looked fun. Kinda lumpy and rippy plus water didn’t look great.

The peak is back

Kinda rippy but definitely surfable on set waves

Fewer people and fewer waves at the point. Rides were shorter too, but saw a couple of cover ups.

This section was pretty much the whole wave, but I’m sure this person didn’t mind

Outlook is for conditions to bumble along in this marginal fashion until around Thursday when both the ECM and Wavewatch models are indicating a south pulse in the 2.5 m, 11 second range.
Have a good Monday everyone!

Weather Situation
A light pressure pattern lies across the region in the wake of ex-Tropical Cyclone Uesi, with a high pressure system south of the continent slowly moving southeast. Southeasterly winds are expected to tend northeasterly by Monday evening ahead of the next cold front, which is forecast to bring a southerly change to New South Wales waters in the middle of the week. A low pressure system may develop near the southeast of the continent on Wednesday in response to the front, possibly strengthening winds and developing hazardous surf conditions, before rapidly moving away to the east.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
East to southeasterly below 10 knots becoming northeasterly during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Tuesday 18 February
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Wednesday 19 February
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots shifting southerly 10 to 15 knots during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre in the evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.


Sunday morning with waves for Dee Why

Posted on February 16th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

It looks somewhat bumpy, but there are waves to be had at Dee Why. Size is down from yesterday, but I saw shoulder to maybe head plus sets at the point and a touch bigger just up the beach from the point. The MHL buoy showed energy from the east of 2 metres at 9-10 seconds. Tide is dropping to the low at 0925. High will arrive at 1520. Beachwatch is warning that pollution is possible at all Sydney beaches. With luck we’ll get enough sunshine today to knock down the viral and bacterial load that will have spiked significantly with all the run-off. You definitely don’t want to get in if you have any open wounds.

The swell models show the energy swinging more SE during the day and then staying that way for tomorrow. The size and period are projected to stay about the same as they are now. The good news, at least on the swell energy front, is that there should be waves all week. Right now it looks as though Thursday could see an uptick into bigger southerly conditions.  Wind will be out of the southerly quarters, with morning sessions offering the best quality – as usual.

Your corespondent will be going back into postcard mode from Thursday as I have to be in California through to April.

Have a good Sunday!

Rider racing along in the shorey 0800

Sets still reasonably big as of 0800

Not super smooth, but surfable

Weather Situation
A light pressure pattern lies across the region in the wake of ex-Tropical Cyclone Uesi, with a high pressure system south of the continent slowly moving southeast. Southeasterly winds are expected to tend northeasterly in the new week ahead of the next cold front which is forecast to bring a southerly change to New South Wales waters in the middle of the week.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly about 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
South to southeasterly 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 17 February
Winds
East to northeasterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.
Tuesday 18 February
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northerly during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.


Heavy fog early

Posted on February 10th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Swell peaked last night and looks to be dropping rapidly – not that it much matters. Conditions are extremely messy and junky, plus the water is highly likely to be polluted with run-off. Next tide is a 2.02 m high at 0955.

Will try to add a picture or two when the fog lifts.

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system to the south of Tasmania extends a ridge into the Tasman Sea, while a trough lies along the New South Wales coast. This pattern is bringing strong and gusty onshore winds to over the southern half of the coast today, reaching gale force at times. Conditions are expected to gradually ease from later part of Monday onwards as the high and trough both weaken.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the morning. Winds decreasing to 10 to 20 knots by midday.
Seas
2.5 to 4 metres, decreasing below 2.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metre around midday.
Swell
Easterly 3 to 4 metres during the morning, decreasing to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning and afternoon.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Tuesday 11 February
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Wednesday 12 February
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.


Tiny early on Thursday

Posted on February 6th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

The Bureau has a surf conditions warning this morning, but I couldn’t see any sign of dangerous conditions at Long Reef or Dee Why this morning. Indeed, as the pictures show, it was only just barely surfable at Longy. Looking at the latest MHL data as of 0400, there was 1.4 metres of 11-12 sec south swell at sea. Wind was coming from the east at around 10kt under cloudy skies when I checked the beach. It’s expected to pick up as the day goes along. Tide was high at 0640 and ocean is on 23C.

From the look of the models this morning we’re going to see swell building through the weekend, but the forecasts also show relentless onshores with it. I hope the Goat has a more encouraging take on the prospects this afternoon.

Have a great Thursday everyone.

 

Near the lugga

Nobody down the beach toward the Pole

Heart=stopping excitement at Long Reef 0630

 

Weather Situation
A high pressure system will remain near-stationary over the southern Tasman Sea for the next several days, bringing onshore winds to the New South Wales coast. A low pressure trough is expected to deepen near the northern coast today and during Friday, extending to parts of the central and southern coast on the weekend. Easterly winds are likely to strengthen around the south of this trough over the coming days.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon and evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Friday 7 February
Winds
Easterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres from the middle of the day.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Saturday 8 February
Winds
Easterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of rain. Rain, heavy at times. The chance of a thunderstorm.


Clear air to start but only tiny

Posted on February 5th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

The first haze free morning in weeks saw smooth seas at Dee Why with only a very tiny little line evident. The point’s not on the menu, but if you wander up the beach toward Longy, it looks as though you might find the odd knee high bump.

As of 0700, there was a light NW breeze and the air temp was 20C. Skies were partly cloudy.

The MHL buoy was showing 1.8 metres of 11 seconds from the SSE as of 0400.

Outlook is for the tiny conditions to switch over to easterly wind tomorrow and a  very slightly bigger south swell. However, it doesn’t look as though we can expect better waves for awhile yet. The models  are showing a gradual increase in wave heights at sea, but the underlying swell height is another thing. The ECM model reckons swell will get into the 2+ metre range from late Friday, but projects that periods will get shorter. On the other hand, Wavewatch shows the opposite, ie decreasing swell heights but improving periods. Good thing we’ll have the Goat to weigh in tomorrow with his outlook.

Have a great Wednesday everyone!

 

Tiny wave gets caught up toward the Pole

Nothing much at Dee Why this morning

Weather Situation
A high pressure system is moving from the Bight to the Tasman Sea as a front continues to move away to the east. This high is forecast to remain over the southern Tasman Sea through the coming week, bringing onshore winds to the New South Wales coast. A trough looks set to deepen near the coast during this period, although there is currently some uncertainty over its strength and position.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
East to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon. Winds reaching up to 20 knots inshore during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Thursday 6 February
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly 15 to 20 knots early in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Friday 7 February
Winds
Easterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm.


Dense atmosphere and only tiny waves

Posted on February 3rd, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Foggy morning at Dee Why but applying the haze cutting filter to my picture, you can make out a few folk hanging around just up from Kiddies in what look to be very tiny swell conditions. Checking the MHL data , there was 1.4m of 7 seconds from the S-SSE. There wasn’t much wind around either. Down at North Head the breeze was out of the south at 3-4 kts. Tide is low at 1015 and back to high at 1600. Water is on 24C according to Beachwatch.

Interestingly the Bureau has hoisted a hazardous surf warning for tomorrow following a swing to southerly conditions today and overnight. So, there should be wave energy, but it’s not clear to me if there will be much happening in the protected south corners. Beyond that, Weds-Thr look like being straight onshore from the east but with potentially some juice from the south…

Go well!

Low visibility morning with tiny waves

Weather Situation
A southerly change associated with a low pressure trough has stalled off the Mid-North Coast while a high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards the far northern coast. A stronger cold front will see the southerly change strengthen and extend further north today and into Tuesday. Behind this, a new high is forecast to move from the Bight to the Tasman Sea during the middle of this week, as another trough deepens off the northern coast.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending southwesterly in the morning then tending east to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the early afternoon. A southerly surge at 20 to 30 knots moving through in the late afternoon and evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres in the afternoon and 2 to 3 metres in the evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning and early afternoon.
Tuesday 4 February
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots, decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the morning. Winds turning east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
2.5 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Wednesday 5 February
Winds
Easterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy.


Smoke and heat and knee high

Posted on February 2nd, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Climbed aloft to take the pictures and although skies were blue straight overhead, looking to the south you could see and smell the smoke coming our way. Heaps of fires still going north and south of us, so no end in sight to the bad air days for us.

Here comes the smoke

You could take the board to the beach, but don’t expect much more than about thigh high on the sets at Dee Why. Out at sea there is a 7 second, 1.5 metre north wind bump, so no immediate prospect of an improvement to the surf. We’re set for a south change tomorrow night, so Tuesday morning should see SE wind and a reasonable perk in the swell. Looking at the models, swell could be up to 3 metres, but period is projected to be 8-9 seconds, so the biggest spots will be blown out and the corners will likely be a lot smaller than 3 metres on faces.
Have a good one.
Weather Situation
A high pressure ridge is directing northerly winds along the coast ahead of a southerly change associated with an approaching cold front. This change currently lies about the southern waters, extending to the central parts of the coast during Sunday before weakening and stalling about northern waters on Monday. Later on Monday and during Tuesday, southerly winds are forecast to strengthen as a second front crosses to the Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots. Winds tending north to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning ahead of a south to southwesterly change moving through in the late morning. Winds tending southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the late morning.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny morning. 70% chance of showers in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
Monday 3 February
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending west to southwesterly in the morning then tending northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon ahead of a southerly change 25 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre increasing to 2 to 3 metres in the evening.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 2 metres by early evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Tuesday 4 February
Winds
South to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots tending east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, tending easterly below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy.


Still very small this morning

Posted on January 31st, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

No real sign of a wave at Dee Why this morning. Cloudy skies early too. The MHL buoy 0500 report showed 0.8 of a metre at 12 seconds from the SSE and North Head was seeing 5-10kts of wind from the NE as of 0730. Next tide is a high at 1310. By then the wind should be nearing it’s full force of 15-25kts.

As for the outlook, well, may I refer you to the mighty Goat!

Nothing doing along the beach north from Dee Why at 0730

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will strengthen a little as a cold front approaches from the west. This pattern will bring increasing northeasterly winds to most coastal areas today and Friday. The front is expected to bring a southerly change to the far south coast late Saturday, continuing through central parts during Sunday and stall about northern waters on Monday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Saturday 1 February
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots turning northeasterly in the late morning and afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Sunday 2 February
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots shifting southerly 15 to 20 knots during the morning or early afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.


Really small at Dee Why this morning

Posted on January 30th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Not sure that you could actually catch anything at Dee Why this morning. The point’s definitely out of the question and I couldn’t see anyone along the beach from the RealSurf crowsnest. I’d say it was ankle to maybe, possibly, knee-thigh high. Curiously the MHL buoy was detecting 1.4 m of SSE at 14 seconds as of 0400. Tide was just coming off the low when I checked conditions for the first time today. It’s now coming into the high at 1230. Water is 23C and clean according to Beachwatch.
I’m seeing a few hopeful signs in the forecasts for an improvement to our prospects in a few days, so I’m keen to see what his Goatness has to say in his Thursday week-ahead predictions…
Go well with your Thursday!

 

Very tiny line near No Mans

Point utterly flat, Kiddies only barely “bigger”

 
Weather Situation
A high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge to the north, while a weak low pressure trough lies on the northern New South Wales coast. This trough is expected to decay by the late morning, while a new high moves across Bass Strait to the Tasman Sea, where it is expected to strengthen as a cold front approaches from the west. This pattern will bring increasing northeasterly winds to most coastal areas during today and Friday. The front is expected to bring a southerly change to the far south coast late Saturday, continuing through central parts during Sunday and northern waters on Monday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Friday 31 January
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Saturday 1 February
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.


Grey, gloomy and tiny for Wednesday morning

Posted on January 29th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

8 to 10 knots of southerly and heavy overcast skies as Wednesday got started along the beaches. I couldn’t see anyone in the water at Dee Why or No Mans. Not surprising really when you look at the pictures. Surface conditions were actually relatively smooth, but there is no energy in the ocean for us to play with. The latest MHL data shows only a 6 second, 1.5 m SSE wind bump out at sea. Not that it’s very relevant, but tide is coming into a high just before noon. The southerly should swing east later.

A quick scan of the swell prediction models suggests that we can write off surfing in Sydney for another couple of days, but maybe come late Friday we’ll get a bump into the fun range that could persist into the early part of Saturday. The models show sub-10 sec periods though, so I’m only very cautiously hopeful. I’ll be keen to see what the Goat thinks tomorrow…

Have a good Wednesday!

No Mans no dice at 0700

Spitty and heavily overcast on a tiny morning

Weather Situation
A high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards the northern New South Wales coast, while a weakening low pressure trough slowly moves north along the northern coast. The next high is expected to move from the Bight to the Tasman Sea later today where it will strengthen towards the end of the week as a cold front approaches from the west. Northeasterly winds will freshen across New South Waters ahead of this cold front, before a southerly change is expected on Sunday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning east to southeasterly below 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy.
Thursday 30 January
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late morning and reaching up to 20 knots inshore.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres inshore during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Friday 31 January
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.